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Hydrological Research Letters
Online ISSN : 1882-3416
ISSN-L : 1882-3416
Original Research Letter
Climate change impacts on seasonal runoff in the snowy Japan Sea region of Honshu, Japan
Al- ShakilAndrew Charles Whitaker
Author information
  • Al- Shakil

    Graduate School of Science and Technology, Niigata University, Japan

  • Andrew Charles Whitaker

    Institute of Science and Technology, Niigata University, Japan

Corresponding author

ORCID
JOURNALOPEN ACCESS
Supplementary material

2025 Volume 19Issue 1Pages 8-14

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.3178/hrl.24-00017
Details
  • Published: 2025Received: July 18, 2024Released on J-STAGE: January 31, 2025Accepted: September 05, 2024Advance online publication: -Revised: -
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Abstract

Historically, the Japan Sea region of Honshu has experienced some of the heaviest snowfalls in the world, though snowfalls are now decreasing due to global warming. This study examined changes in streamflow seasonality and trends in monthly runoff during the past 60 years at nine river basins located across Niigata, Yamagata, Akita and Aomori Prefectures. A streamflow seasonality index (Center Time,CT) was adopted, and meteorological stations paired with gauging stations to analyze the dependence of streamflow seasonality on air temperature. Overall, there is a strong tendency for winter and early snowmelt season flows to increase (December to March), while the peak snowmelt season flows in April are decreasing. In most cases,CT shows a trend for earlier seasonal runoff, and we confirm a strong linear relationship betweenCT and temperature during snow cover season (December to April). The relationship betweenCT and temperature appears to be stronger in the south of the study region (meanR2 = 0.64) than in the north (meanR2 = 0.37). In addition, the regression slope (temperature sensitivity ofCT) is greater in the southern region, with an average value of –6.3 days per degree Celsius compared to –4.2 days per degree Celsius in the northern region.

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© 2025 The Author(s) CC-BY 4.0 (Before 2017: Copyright © Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources)
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