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Using the mean deviation in the elicitation of the prior distribution.(English)Zbl 0743.62023

Summary: The mean deviation about an arbitrary point \(a\) of a probability distribution, \(\delta_ a(X)=E(| X-a|)\), is a measure of dispersion seldom encountered in statistical applications. However, when this point is taken to be the mean or the median, the mean deviation has a meaningful interpretation and can be useful in soliciting and quantifying subjective information for Bayesian analysis. We present the basic properties of the mean deviation and focus on its use in determining the prior distribution. Only results related to the Beta family are presented here, but results for other common distributions are also available.

MSC:

62F15 Bayesian inference

Cite

References:

[1]Abramowitz, M.; Stegun, I., Handbook of Mathematical Functions with Formulas, Graphs and Mathematical Tables (1964), Dover: Dover New York ·Zbl 0171.38503
[2]Berger, J. O., The robust Bayesian viewpoint, (Kadane, J., Robustness of Bayesian Analysis (1984), North-Holland: North-Holland Amsterdam), 63-144
[3]Bickel, P. J.; Lehman, E. L., Descriptive statistics for non-parametric models III. Dispersion, Ann. Statist., 6, 1139-1158 (1976) ·Zbl 0351.62031
[4]Chaloner, K. M.; Duncan, G. T., Assessment of a Beta prior distribution: PM elicitation, The Statistician, 32, 174-180 (1983)
[5]Duran, B. S.; Booker, J. M., A Bayes sensitivity analysis when using the Beta distribution as a prior, IEEE Trans. Reliab., 37, 239-247 (1988)
[6]Groeneveld, R. A.; Meeden, G., Measuring skewness and kurtosis, The Statistician, 33, 391-399 (1984)
[7]Hartigan, J. A., Bayes Theory (1983), Springer: Springer New York ·Zbl 0537.62007
[8]Johnson, N.; Kotz, S., Continuous Univariate Distributions, 2 (1970), Houghton-Mifflin: Houghton-Mifflin Boston, MA ·Zbl 0213.21101
[9]Kamat, A. R., A property of the mean deviation of the Pearson-type distributions, Biometrika, 53, 287-289 (1966) ·Zbl 0168.40103
[10]Payton, M. E.; Yound, L. J.; Young, J. H., Bounds for the difference between median and mean of Beta and negative Binomial distributions, Metrika, 36, 347-354 (1989) ·Zbl 0704.60016
[11]Pham-Gia, T., On Bayes sensitivity analysis when using the Beta as a prior (comment), IEEE Trans. Reliab., 39, 6-8 (1990)
[12]Roberts, H. V., Reporting of Bayesian studies, (Fienberg, S. E.; Zellner, A., Studies in Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics (1974), North-Holland: North-Holland New York), 465-483
[13]Singpurwalla, N. D., An interactive PC-based procedure for reliability assessment incorporating expert opinion and survival data, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 83, 43-51 (1988)
[14]Stuart, A.; Ord, J. K., Kendall’s Advanced Theory of Statistics (1987), Oxford Univ. Press: Oxford Univ. Press New York
[15]Weiler, H., The use of incomplete Beta functions for prior distributions in Binomial sampling, Technometrics, 7, 335-347 (1965)
[16]Winkler, R. L., Prior information, predictive distributions and Bayesian model-building, (Fienberg, S. E.; Zellner, A., Studies in Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics (1980), North-Holland: North-Holland New York), 95-109 ·Zbl 0444.62042
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.
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