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INFORMATIONAL
Internet Architecture Board (IAB)                              R. BarnesRequest for Comments: 7624                                   B. SchneierCategory: Informational                                      C. JenningsISSN: 2070-1721                                                T. Hardie                                                             B. Trammell                                                              C. Huitema                                                             D. Borkmann                                                             August 2015Confidentiality in the Face of Pervasive Surveillance:A Threat Model and Problem StatementAbstract   Since the initial revelations of pervasive surveillance in 2013,   several classes of attacks on Internet communications have been   discovered.  In this document, we develop a threat model that   describes these attacks on Internet confidentiality.  We assume an   attacker that is interested in undetected, indiscriminate   eavesdropping.  The threat model is based on published, verified   attacks.Status of This Memo   This document is not an Internet Standards Track specification; it is   published for informational purposes.   This document is a product of the Internet Architecture Board (IAB)   and represents information that the IAB has deemed valuable to   provide for permanent record.  It represents the consensus of the   Internet Architecture Board (IAB).  Documents approved for   publication by the IAB are not a candidate for any level of Internet   Standard; seeSection 2 of RFC 5741.   Information about the current status of this document, any errata,   and how to provide feedback on it may be obtained athttp://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc7624.Barnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 1]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015Copyright Notice   Copyright (c) 2015 IETF Trust and the persons identified as the   document authors.  All rights reserved.   This document is subject toBCP 78 and the IETF Trust's Legal   Provisions Relating to IETF Documents   (http://trustee.ietf.org/license-info) in effect on the date of   publication of this document.  Please review these documents   carefully, as they describe your rights and restrictions with respect   to this document.Table of Contents1.  Introduction  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32.  Terminology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33.  An Idealized Passive Pervasive Attacker . . . . . . . . . . .53.1.  Information Subject to Direct Observation . . . . . . . .63.2.  Information Useful for Inference  . . . . . . . . . . . .63.3.  An Illustration of an Ideal Passive Pervasive Attack  . .73.3.1.  Analysis of IP Headers  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .73.3.2.  Correlation of IP Addresses to User Identities  . . .8       3.3.3.  Monitoring Messaging Clients for IP Address               Correlation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93.3.4.  Retrieving IP Addresses from Mail Headers . . . . . .93.3.5.  Tracking Address Usage with Web Cookies . . . . . . .103.3.6.  Graph-Based Approaches to Address Correlation . . . .103.3.7.  Tracking of Link-Layer Identifiers  . . . . . . . . .104.  Reported Instances of Large-Scale Attacks . . . . . . . . . .115.  Threat Model  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .135.1.  Attacker Capabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .145.2.  Attacker Costs  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .176.  Security Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .197.  References  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .207.1.  Normative References  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .207.2.  Informative References  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20   IAB Members at the Time of Approval . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23   Acknowledgements  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24   Authors' Addresses  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24Barnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 2]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 20151.  Introduction   Starting in June 2013, documents released to the press by Edward   Snowden have revealed several operations undertaken by intelligence   agencies to exploit Internet communications for intelligence   purposes.  These attacks were largely based on protocol   vulnerabilities that were already known to exist.  The attacks were   nonetheless striking in their pervasive nature, in terms of both the   volume of Internet traffic targeted and the diversity of attack   techniques employed.   To ensure that the Internet can be trusted by users, it is necessary   for the Internet technical community to address the vulnerabilities   exploited in these attacks [RFC7258].  The goal of this document is   to describe more precisely the threats posed by these pervasive   attacks, and based on those threats, lay out the problems that need   to be solved in order to secure the Internet in the face of those   threats.   The remainder of this document is structured as follows.  InSection 3, we describe an idealized passive pervasive attacker, one   which could completely undetectably compromise communications at   Internet scale.  InSection 4, we provide a brief summary of some   attacks that have been disclosed, and use these to expand the assumed   capabilities of our idealized attacker.  Note that we do not attempt   to describe all possible attacks, but focus on those that result in   undetected eavesdropping.Section 5 describes a threat model based   on these attacks, focusing on classes of attack that have not been a   focus of Internet engineering to date.2.  Terminology   This document makes extensive use of standard security and privacy   terminology; see [RFC4949] and [RFC6973].  Terms used from [RFC6973]   include Eavesdropper, Observer, Initiator, Intermediary, Recipient,   Attack (in a privacy context), Correlation, Fingerprint, Traffic   Analysis, and Identifiability (and related terms).  In addition, we   use a few terms that are specific to the attacks discussed in this   document.  Note especially that "passive" and "active" below do not   refer to the effort used to mount the attack; a "passive attack" is   any attack that accesses a flow but does not modify it, while an   "active attack" is any attack that modifies a flow.  Some passive   attacks involve active interception and modifications of devices,   rather than simple access to the medium.  The introduced terms are:Barnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 3]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   Pervasive Attack:  An attack on Internet communications that makes      use of access at a large number of points in the network, or      otherwise provides the attacker with access to a large amount of      Internet traffic; see [RFC7258].   Passive Pervasive Attack:  An eavesdropping attack undertaken by a      pervasive attacker, in which the packets in a traffic stream      between two endpoints are intercepted, but in which the attacker      does not modify the packets in the traffic stream between two      endpoints, modify the treatment of packets in the traffic stream      (e.g., delay, routing), or add or remove packets in the traffic      stream.  Passive pervasive attacks are undetectable from the      endpoints.  Equivalent to passive wiretapping as defined in      [RFC4949]; we use an alternate term here since the methods      employed are wider than those implied by the word "wiretapping",      including the active compromise of intermediate systems.   Active Pervasive Attack:  An attack that is undertaken by a pervasive      attacker and, in addition to the elements of a passive pervasive      attack, also includes modification, addition, or removal of      packets in a traffic stream, or modification of treatment of      packets in the traffic stream.  Active pervasive attacks provide      more capabilities to the attacker at the risk of possible      detection at the endpoints.  Equivalent to active wiretapping as      defined in [RFC4949].   Observation:  Information collected directly from communications by      an eavesdropper or observer.  For example, the knowledge that      <alice@example.com> sent a message to <bob@example.com> via SMTP      taken from the headers of an observed SMTP message would be an      observation.   Inference:  Information derived from analysis of information      collected directly from communications by an eavesdropper or      observer.  For example, the knowledge that a given web page was      accessed by a given IP address, by comparing the size in octets of      measured network flow records to fingerprints derived from known      sizes of linked resources on the web servers involved, would be an      inference.   Collaborator:  An entity that is a legitimate participant in a      communication, and provides information about that communication      to an attacker.  Collaborators may either deliberately or      unwittingly cooperate with the attacker, in the latter case      because the attacker has subverted the collaborator through      technical, social, or other means.Barnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 4]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   Key Exfiltration:  The transmission of cryptographic keying material      for an encrypted communication from a collaborator, deliberately      or unwittingly, to an attacker.   Content Exfiltration:  The transmission of the content of a      communication from a collaborator, deliberately or unwittingly, to      an attacker3.  An Idealized Passive Pervasive Attacker   In considering the threat posed by pervasive surveillance, we begin   by defining an idealized passive pervasive attacker.  While this   attacker is less capable than those that we now know to have   compromised the Internet from press reports, as elaborated inSection 4, it does set a lower bound on the capabilities of an   attacker interested in indiscriminate passive surveillance while   interested in remaining undetectable.  We note that, prior to the   Snowden revelations in 2013, the assumptions of attacker capability   presented here would be considered on the border of paranoia outside   the network security community.   Our idealized attacker is an indiscriminate eavesdropper that is on   an Internet-attached computer network and:   o  can observe every packet of all communications at any hop in any      network path between an initiator and a recipient;   o  can observe data at rest in any intermediate system between the      endpoints controlled by the initiator and recipient; and   o  can share information with other such attackers; but   o  takes no other action with respect to these communications (i.e.,      blocking, modification, injection, etc.).   The techniques available to our ideal attacker are direct observation   and inference.  Direct observation involves taking information   directly from eavesdropped communications, such as URLs identifying   content or email addresses identifying individuals from application-   layer headers.  Inference, on the other hand, involves analyzing   observed information to derive new information, such as searching for   application or behavioral fingerprints in observed traffic to derive   information about the observed individual.  The use of encryption is   generally sufficient to provide confidentiality by preventing direct   observation of content, assuming of course, uncompromised encryption   implementations and cryptographic keying material.  However,   encryption provides less complete protection against inference,Barnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 5]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   especially inferences based only on plaintext portions of   communications, such as IP and TCP headers for TLS-protected traffic   [RFC5246].3.1.  Information Subject to Direct Observation   Protocols that do not encrypt their payload make the entire content   of the communication available to the idealized attacker along their   path.  Following the advice in [RFC3365], most such protocols have a   secure variant that encrypts the payload for confidentiality, and   these secure variants are seeing ever-wider deployment.  A noteworthy   exception is DNS [RFC1035], as DNSSEC [RFC4033] does not have   confidentiality as a requirement.   This implies that, in the absence of changes to the protocol as   presently under development in the IETF's DNS Private Exchange   (DPRIVE) working group [DPRIVE], all DNS queries and answers   generated by the activities of any protocol are available to the   attacker.   When store-and-forward protocols are used (e.g., SMTP [RFC5321]),   intermediaries leave this data subject to observation by an attacker   that has compromised these intermediaries, unless the data is   encrypted end-to-end by the application-layer protocol or the   implementation uses an encrypted store for this data.3.2.  Information Useful for Inference   Inference is information extracted from later analysis of an observed   or eavesdropped communication, and/or correlation of observed or   eavesdropped information with information available from other   sources.  Indeed, most useful inference performed by the attacker   falls under the rubric of correlation.  The simplest example of this   is the observation of DNS queries and answers from and to a source   and correlating those with IP addresses with which that source   communicates.  This can give access to information otherwise not   available from encrypted application payloads (e.g., the "Host:"   HTTP/1.1 request header when HTTP is used with TLS).   Protocols that encrypt their payload using an application- or   transport-layer encryption scheme (e.g., TLS) still expose all the   information in their network- and transport-layer headers to the   attacker, including source and destination addresses and ports.   IPsec Encapsulating Security Payload (ESP) [RFC4303] further encrypts   the transport-layer headers but still leaves IP address information   unencrypted; in tunnel mode, these addresses correspond to the tunnel   endpoints.  Features of the security protocols themselves, e.g., the   TLS session identifier, may leak information that can be used forBarnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 6]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   correlation and inference.  While this information is much less   semantically rich than the application payload, it can still be   useful for inferring an individual's activities.   Inference can also leverage information obtained from sources other   than direct traffic observation.  Geolocation databases, for example,   have been developed that map IP addresses to a location, in order to   provide location-aware services such as targeted advertising.  This   location information is often of sufficient resolution that it can be   used to draw further inferences toward identifying or profiling an   individual.   Social media provide another source of more or less publicly   accessible information.  This information can be extremely   semantically rich, including information about an individual's   location, associations with other individuals and groups, and   activities.  Further, this information is generally contributed and   curated voluntarily by the individuals themselves: it represents   information that the individuals are not necessarily interested in   protecting for privacy reasons.  However, correlation of this social   networking data with information available from direct observation of   network traffic allows the creation of a much richer picture of an   individual's activities than either alone.   We note with some alarm that there is little that can be done at   protocol design time to limit such correlation by the attacker, and   that the existence of such data sources in many cases greatly   complicates the problem of protecting privacy by hardening protocols   alone.3.3.  An Illustration of an Ideal Passive Pervasive Attack   To illustrate how capable the idealized attacker is even given its   limitations, we explore the non-anonymity of encrypted IP traffic in   this section.  Here, we examine in detail some inference techniques   for associating a set of addresses with an individual, in order to   illustrate the difficulty of defending communications against our   idealized attacker.  Here, the basic problem is that information   radiated even from protocols that have no obvious connection with   personal data can be correlated with other information that can paint   a very rich behavioral picture; it only takes one unprotected link in   the chain to associate with an identity.3.3.1.  Analysis of IP Headers   Internet traffic can be monitored by tapping Internet links or by   installing monitoring tools in Internet routers.  Of course, a single   link or a single router only provides access to a fraction of theBarnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 7]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   global Internet traffic.  However, monitoring a number of high-   capacity links or a set of routers placed at strategic locations   provides access to a good sampling of Internet traffic.   Tools like the IP Flow Information Export (IPFIX) Protocol [RFC7011]   allow administrators to acquire statistics about sequences of packets   with some common properties that pass through a network device.  The   most common set of properties used in flow measurement is the "five-   tuple" of source and destination addresses, protocol type, and source   and destination ports.  These statistics are commonly used for   network engineering but could certainly be used for other purposes.   Let's assume for a moment that IP addresses can be correlated to   specific services or specific users.  Analysis of the sequences of   packets will quickly reveal which users use what services, and also   which users engage in peer-to-peer connections with other users.   Analysis of traffic variations over time can be used to detect   increased activity by particular users or, in the case of peer-to-   peer connections, increased activity within groups of users.3.3.2.  Correlation of IP Addresses to User Identities   The correlation of IP addresses with specific users can be done in   various ways.  For example, tools like reverse DNS lookup can be used   to retrieve the DNS names of servers.  Since the addresses of servers   tend to be quite stable and since servers are relatively less   numerous than users, an attacker could easily maintain its own copy   of the DNS for well-known or popular servers to accelerate such   lookups.   On the other hand, the reverse lookup of IP addresses of users is   generally less informative.  For example, a lookup of the address   currently used by one author's home network returns a name of the   form "c-192-000-002-033.hsd1.wa.comcast.net".  This particular type   of reverse DNS lookup generally reveals only coarse-grained location   or provider information, equivalent to that available from   geolocation databases.   In many jurisdictions, Internet Service Providers (ISPs) are required   to provide identification on a case-by-case basis of the "owner" of a   specific IP address for law enforcement purposes.  This is a   reasonably expedient process for targeted investigations, but   pervasive surveillance requires something more efficient.  This   provides an incentive for the attacker to secure the cooperation of   the ISP in order to automate this correlation.Barnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 8]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 20153.3.3.  Monitoring Messaging Clients for IP Address Correlation   Even if the ISP does not cooperate, user identity can often be   obtained via inference.  POP3 [RFC1939] and IMAP [RFC3501] are used   to retrieve mail from mail servers, while a variant of SMTP is used   to submit messages through mail servers.  IMAP connections originate   from the client, and typically start with an authentication exchange   in which the client proves its identity by answering a password   challenge.  The same holds for the SIP protocol [RFC3261] and many   instant messaging services operating over the Internet using   proprietary protocols.   The username is directly observable if any of these protocols operate   in cleartext; the username can then be directly associated with the   source address.3.3.4.  Retrieving IP Addresses from Mail Headers   SMTP [RFC5321] requires that each successive SMTP relay adds a   "Received" header to the mail headers.  The purpose of these headers   is to enable audit of mail transmission, and perhaps to distinguish   between regular mail and spam.  Here is an extract from the headers   of a message recently received from the perpass mailing list:   Received: from 192-000-002-044.zone13.example.org (HELO   ?192.168.1.100?) (xxx.xxx.xxx.xxx) by lvps192-000-002-219.example.net   with ESMTPSA (DHE-RSA-AES256-SHA encrypted, authenticated); 27 Oct   2013 21:47:14 +0100 Message-ID: <526D7BD2.7070908@example.org> Date:   Sun, 27 Oct 2013 20:47:14 +0000 From: Some One <some.one@example.org>   This is the first "Received" header attached to the message by the   first SMTP relay; for privacy reasons, the field values have been   anonymized.  We learn here that the message was submitted by "Some   One" on October 27, from a host behind a NAT (192.168.1.100)   [RFC1918] that used the IP address 192.0.2.44.  The information   remained in the message and is accessible by all recipients of the   perpass mailing list, or indeed by any attacker that sees at least   one copy of the message.   An attacker that can observe sufficient email traffic can regularly   update the mapping between public IP addresses and individual email   identities.  Even if the SMTP traffic was encrypted on submission and   relaying, the attacker can still receive a copy of public mailing   lists like perpass.Barnes, et al.                Informational                     [Page 9]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 20153.3.5.  Tracking Address Usage with Web Cookies   Many web sites only encrypt a small fraction of their transactions.   A popular pattern is to use HTTPS for the login information, and then   use a "cookie" to associate following cleartext transactions with the   user's identity.  Cookies are also used by various advertisement   services to quickly identify the users and serve them with   "personalized" advertisements.  Such cookies are particularly useful   if the advertisement services want to keep tracking the user across   multiple sessions that may use different IP addresses.   As cookies are sent in cleartext, an attacker can build a database   that associates cookies to IP addresses for non-HTTPS traffic.  If   the IP address is already identified, the cookie can be linked to the   user identify.  After that, if the same cookie appears on a new IP   address, the new IP address can be immediately associated with the   predetermined identity.3.3.6.  Graph-Based Approaches to Address Correlation   An attacker can track traffic from an IP address not yet associated   with an individual to various public services (e.g., web sites, mail   servers, game servers) and exploit patterns in the observed traffic   to correlate this address with other addresses that show similar   patterns.  For example, any two addresses that show connections to   the same IMAP or webmail services, the same set of favorite web   sites, and game servers at similar times of day may be associated   with the same individual.  Correlated addresses can then be tied to   an individual through one of the techniques above, walking the   "network graph" to expand the set of attributable traffic.3.3.7.  Tracking of Link-Layer Identifiers   Moving back down the stack, technologies like Ethernet or Wi-Fi use   MAC (Media Access Control) addresses to identify link-level   destinations.  MAC addresses assigned according to IEEE 802 standards   are globally unique identifiers for the device.  If the link is   publicly accessible, an attacker can eavesdrop and perform tracking.   For example, the attacker can track the wireless traffic at publicly   accessible Wi-Fi networks.  Simple devices can monitor the traffic   and reveal which MAC addresses are present.  Also, devices do not   need to be connected to a network to expose link-layer identifiers.   Active service discovery always discloses the MAC address of the   user, and sometimes the Service Set Identifiers (SSIDs) of previously   visited networks.  For instance, certain techniques such as the use   of "hidden SSIDs" require the mobile device to broadcast the network   identifier together with the device identifier.  This combination can   further expose the user to inference attacks, as more information canBarnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 10]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   be derived from the combination of MAC address, SSID being probed,   time, and current location.  For example, a user actively probing for   a semi-unique SSID on a flight out of a certain city can imply that   the user is no longer at the physical location of the corresponding   AP.  Given that large-scale databases of the MAC addresses of   wireless access points for geolocation purposes have been known to   exist for some time, the attacker could easily build a database that   maps link-layer identifiers and time with device or user identities,   and use it to track the movement of devices and of their owners.  On   the other hand, if the network does not use some form of Wi-Fi   encryption, or if the attacker can access the decrypted traffic, the   analysis will also provide the correlation between link-layer   identifiers such as MAC addresses and IP addresses.  Additional   monitoring using techniques exposed in the previous sections will   reveal the correlation between MAC addresses, IP addresses, and user   identity.  For instance, similarly to the use of web cookies, MAC   addresses provide identity information that can be used to associate   a user to different IP addresses.4.  Reported Instances of Large-Scale Attacks   The situation in reality is more bleak than that suggested by an   analysis of our idealized attacker.  Through revelations of sensitive   documents in several media outlets, the Internet community has been   made aware of several intelligence activities conducted by US and UK   national intelligence agencies, particularly the US National Security   Agency (NSA) and the UK Government Communications Headquarters   (GCHQ).  These documents have revealed methods that these agencies   use to attack Internet applications and obtain sensitive user   information.  There is little reason to suppose that only the US or   UK governments are involved in these sorts of activities; the   examples are just ones that were disclosed.  We note that these   reports are primarily useful as an illustration of the types of   capabilities fielded by pervasive attackers as of the date of the   Snowden leaks in 2013.   First, they confirm the deployment of large-scale passive collection   of Internet traffic, which confirms the existence of pervasive   passive attackers with at least the capabilities of our idealized   attacker.  For example, as described in [pass1], [pass2], [pass3],   and [pass4]:   o  NSA's XKEYSCORE system accesses data from multiple access points      and searches for "selectors" such as email addresses, at the scale      of tens of terabytes of data per day.   o  GCHQ's Tempora system appears to have access to around 1,500 major      cables passing through the UK.Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 11]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   o  NSA's MUSCULAR program has tapped cables between data centers      belonging to major service providers.   o  Several programs appear to perform wide-scale collection of      cookies in web traffic and location data from location-aware      portable devices such as smartphones.   However, the capabilities described by these reports go beyond those   of our idealized attacker.  They include the compromise of   cryptographic protocols, including decryption of TLS-protected   Internet sessions [dec1] [dec2] [dec3].  For example, the NSA BULLRUN   project worked to undermine encryption through multiple approaches,   including covert modifications to cryptographic software on end   systems.   Reported capabilities include the direct compromise of intermediate   systems and arrangements with service providers for bulk data and   metadata access [dir1] [dir2] [dir3], bypassing the need to capture   traffic on the wire.  For example, the NSA PRISM program provides the   agency with access to many types of user data (e.g., email, chat,   VoIP).   The reported capabilities also include elements of active pervasive   attack, including:   o  Insertion of devices as a man-in-the-middle of Internet      transactions [TOR1] [TOR2].  For example, NSA's QUANTUM system      appears to use several different techniques to hijack HTTP      connections, ranging from DNS response injection to HTTP 302      redirects.   o  Use of implants on end systems to undermine security and anonymity      features [dec2] [TOR1] [TOR2].  For example, QUANTUM is used to      direct users to a FOXACID server, which in turn delivers an      implant to compromise browsers of Tor users.   o  Use of implants on network elements from many major equipment      providers, including Cisco, Juniper, Huawei, Dell, and HP, as      provided by the NSA's Advanced Network Technology group      [spiegel1].   o  Use of botnet-scale collections of compromised hosts [spiegel2].   The scale of the compromise extends beyond the network to include   subversion of the technical standards process itself.  For example,   there is suspicion that NSA modifications to the DUAL_EC_DRBG random   number generator (RNG) were made to ensure that keys generated using   that generator could be predicted by NSA.  This RNG was made part ofBarnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 12]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   NIST's SP 800-90A, for which NIST acknowledges the NSA's assistance.   There have also been reports that the NSA paid RSA Security for a   related contract with the result that the curve became the default in   the RSA BSAFE product line.   We use the term "pervasive attack" [RFC7258] to collectively describe   these operations.  The term "pervasive" is used because the attacks   are designed to indiscriminately gather as much data as possible and   to apply selective analysis on targets after the fact.  This means   that all, or nearly all, Internet communications are targets for   these attacks.  To achieve this scale, the attacks are physically   pervasive; they affect a large number of Internet communications.   They are pervasive in content, consuming and exploiting any   information revealed by the protocol.  And they are pervasive in   technology, exploiting many different vulnerabilities in many   different protocols.   Again, it's important to note that, although the attacks mentioned   above were executed by the NSA and GCHQ, there are many other   organizations that can mount pervasive surveillance attacks.  Because   of the resources required to achieve pervasive scale, these attacks   are most commonly undertaken by nation-state actors.  For example,   the Chinese Internet filtering system known as the "Great Firewall of   China" uses several techniques that are similar to the QUANTUM   program and that have a high degree of pervasiveness with regard to   the Internet in China.  Therefore, legal restrictions in any one   jurisdiction on pervasive monitoring activities cannot eliminate the   risk of pervasive attack to the Internet as a whole.5.  Threat Model   Given these disclosures, we must consider a broader threat model.   Pervasive surveillance aims to collect information across a large   number of Internet communications, analyzing the collected   communications to identify information of interest within individual   communications, or inferring information from correlated   communications.  This analysis sometimes benefits from decryption of   encrypted communications and deanonymization of anonymized   communications.  As a result, these attackers desire both access to   the bulk of Internet traffic and to the keying material required to   decrypt any traffic that has been encrypted.  Even if keys are not   available, note that the presence of a communication and the fact   that it is encrypted may both be inputs to an analysis, even if the   attacker cannot decrypt the communication.Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 13]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   The attacks listed above highlight new avenues both for access to   traffic and for access to relevant encryption keys.  They further   indicate that the scale of surveillance is sufficient to provide a   general capability to cross-correlate communications, a threat not   previously thought to be relevant at the scale of the Internet.5.1.  Attacker Capabilities    +--------------------------+-------------------------------------+    | Attack Class             | Capability                          |    +--------------------------+-------------------------------------+    | Passive observation      | Directly capture data in transit    |    |                          |                                     |    | Passive inference        | Infer from reduced/encrypted data   |    |                          |                                     |    | Active                   | Manipulate / inject data in transit |    |                          |                                     |    | Static key exfiltration  | Obtain key material once / rarely   |    |                          |                                     |    | Dynamic key exfiltration | Obtain per-session key material     |    |                          |                                     |    | Content exfiltration     | Access data at rest                 |    +--------------------------+-------------------------------------+   Security analyses of Internet protocols commonly consider two classes   of attacker: passive pervasive attackers, who can simply listen in on   communications as they transit the network, and active pervasive   attackers, who can modify or delete packets in addition to simply   collecting them.   In the context of pervasive passive surveillance, these attacks take   on an even greater significance.  In the past, these attackers were   often assumed to operate near the edge of the network, where attacks   can be simpler.  For example, in some LANs, it is simple for any node   to engage in passive listening to other nodes' traffic or inject   packets to accomplish active pervasive attacks.  However, as we now   know, both passive and active pervasive attacks are undertaken by   pervasive attackers closer to the core of the network, greatly   expanding the scope and capability of the attacker.   Eavesdropping and observation at a larger scale make passive   inference attacks easier to carry out: a passive pervasive attacker   with access to a large portion of the Internet can analyze collected   traffic to create a much more detailed view of individual behavior   than an attacker that collects at a single point.  Even the usual   claim that encryption defeats passive pervasive attackers is   weakened, since a pervasive flow access attacker can infer   relationships from correlations over large numbers of sessions, e.g.,Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 14]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   pairing encrypted sessions with unencrypted sessions from the same   host, or performing traffic fingerprinting between known and unknown   encrypted sessions.  Reports on the NSA XKEYSCORE system would   indicate it is an example of such an attacker.   An active pervasive attacker likewise has capabilities beyond those   of a localized active attacker.  Flow modification attacks are often   limited by network topology, for example, by a requirement that the   attacker be able to see a targeted session as well as inject packets   into it.  A pervasive flow modification attacker with access at   multiple points within the core of the Internet is able to overcome   these topological limitations and perform attacks over a much broader   scope.  Being positioned in the core of the network rather than the   edge can also enable an active pervasive attacker to reroute targeted   traffic, amplifying the ability to perform both eavesdropping and   traffic injection.  Active pervasive attackers can also benefit from   passive pervasive collection to identify vulnerable hosts.   While not directly related to pervasiveness, attackers that are in a   position to mount an active pervasive attack are also often in a   position to subvert authentication, a traditional protection against   such attacks.  Authentication in the Internet is often achieved via   trusted third-party authorities such as the Certificate Authorities   (CAs) that provide web sites with authentication credentials.  An   attacker with sufficient resources may also be able to induce an   authority to grant credentials for an identity of the attacker's   choosing.  If the parties to a communication will trust multiple   authorities to certify a specific identity, this attack may be   mounted by suborning any one of the authorities (the proverbial   "weakest link").  Subversion of authorities in this way can allow an   active attack to succeed in spite of an authentication check.   Beyond these three classes (observation, inference, and active),   reports on the BULLRUN effort to defeat encryption and the PRISM   effort to obtain data from service providers suggest three more   classes of attack:   o  Static key exfiltration   o  Dynamic key exfiltration   o  Content exfiltration   These attacks all rely on a collaborator providing the attacker with   some information, either keys or data.  These attacks have not   traditionally been considered in scope for the Security   Considerations sections of IETF protocols, as they occur outside the   protocol.Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 15]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   The term "key exfiltration" refers to the transfer of keying material   for an encrypted communication from the collaborator to the attacker.   By "static", we mean that the transfer of keys happens once or rarely   and that the transferred key is typically long-lived.  For example,   this case would cover a web site operator that provides the private   key corresponding to its HTTPS certificate to an intelligence agency.   "Dynamic" key exfiltration, by contrast, refers to attacks in which   the collaborator delivers keying material to the attacker frequently,   e.g., on a per-session basis.  This does not necessarily imply   frequent communications with the attacker; the transfer of keying   material may be virtual.  For example, if an endpoint were modified   in such a way that the attacker could predict the state of its   pseudorandom number generator, then the attacker would be able to   derive per-session keys even without per-session communications.   Finally, content exfiltration is the attack in which the collaborator   simply provides the attacker with the desired data or metadata.   Unlike the key exfiltration cases, this attack does not require the   attacker to capture the desired data as it flows through the network.   The exfiltration is of data at rest, rather than data in transit.   This increases the scope of data that the attacker can obtain, since   the attacker can access historical data -- the attacker does not have   to be listening at the time the communication happens.   Exfiltration attacks can be accomplished via attacks against one of   the parties to a communication, i.e., by the attacker stealing the   keys or content rather than the party providing them willingly.  In   these cases, the party may not be aware, at least at a human level,   that they are collaborating.  Rather, the subverted technical assets   are "collaborating" with the attacker (by providing keys/content)   without their owner's knowledge or consent.   Any party that has access to encryption keys or unencrypted data can   be a collaborator.  While collaborators are typically the endpoints   of a communication (with encryption securing the links),   intermediaries in an unencrypted communication can also facilitate   content exfiltration attacks as collaborators by providing the   attacker access to those communications.  For example, documents   describing the NSA PRISM program claim that NSA is able to access   user data directly from servers, where it is stored unencrypted.  In   these cases, the operator of the server would be a collaborator, if   an unwitting one.  By contrast, in the NSA MUSCULAR program, a set of   collaborators enabled attackers to access the cables connecting data   centers used by service providers such as Google and Yahoo.  Because   communications among these data centers were not encrypted, the   collaboration by an intermediate entity allowed the NSA to collect   unencrypted user data.Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 16]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 20155.2.  Attacker Costs     +--------------------------+-----------------------------------+     | Attack Class             | Cost / Risk to Attacker           |     +--------------------------+-----------------------------------+     | Passive observation      | Passive data access               |     |                          |                                   |     | Passive inference        | Passive data access + processing  |     |                          |                                   |     | Active                   | Active data access + processing   |     |                          |                                   |     | Static key exfiltration  | One-time interaction              |     |                          |                                   |     | Dynamic key exfiltration | Ongoing interaction / code change |     |                          |                                   |     | Content exfiltration     | Ongoing, bulk interaction         |     +--------------------------+-----------------------------------+   Each of the attack types discussed in the previous section entails   certain costs and risks.  These costs differ by attack and can be   helpful in guiding response to pervasive attack.   Depending on the attack, the attacker may be exposed to several types   of risk, ranging from simply losing access to arrest or prosecution.   In order for any of these negative consequences to occur, however,   the attacker must first be discovered and identified.  So, the   primary risk we focus on here is the risk of discovery and   attribution.   A passive pervasive attack is the simplest to mount in some ways.   The base requirement is that the attacker obtain physical access to a   communications medium and extract communications from it.  For   example, the attacker might tap a fiber-optic cable, acquire a mirror   port on a switch, or listen to a wireless signal.  The need for these   taps to have physical access or proximity to a link exposes the   attacker to the risk that the taps will be discovered.  For example,   a fiber tap or mirror port might be discovered by network operators   noticing increased attenuation in the fiber or a change in switch   configuration.  Of course, passive pervasive attacks may be   accomplished with the cooperation of the network operator, in which   case there is a risk that the attacker's interactions with the   network operator will be exposed.   In many ways, the costs and risks for an active pervasive attack are   similar to those for a passive pervasive attack, with a few   additions.  An active attacker requires more robust network access   than a passive attacker, since, for example, they will often need to   transmit data as well as receive it.  In the wireless example above,Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 17]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   the attacker would need to act as a transmitter as well as a   receiver, greatly increasing the probability the attacker will be   discovered (e.g., using direction-finding technology).  Active   attacks are also much more observable at higher layers of the   network.  For example, an active attacker that attempts to use a mis-   issued certificate could be detected via Certificate Transparency   [RFC6962].   In terms of raw implementation complexity, passive pervasive attacks   require only enough processing to extract information from the   network and store it.  Active pervasive attacks, by contrast, often   depend on winning race conditions to inject packets into active   connections.  So, active pervasive attacks in the core of the network   require processing hardware that can operate at line speed (roughly   100 Gbps to 1 Tbps in the core) to identify opportunities for attack   and insert attack traffic in high-volume traffic.  Key exfiltration   attacks rely on passive pervasive attack for access to encrypted   data, with the collaborator providing keys to decrypt the data.  So,   the attacker undertakes the cost and risk of a passive pervasive   attack, as well as additional risk of discovery via the interactions   that the attacker has with the collaborator.   Some active attacks are more expensive than others.  For example,   active man-in-the-middle (MITM) attacks require access to one or more   points on a communication's network path that allow visibility of the   entire session and the ability to modify or drop legitimate packets   in favor of the attacker's packets.  A similar but weaker form of   attack, called an active man-on-the-side (MOTS), requires access to   only part of the session.  In an active MOTS attack, the attacker   need only be able to inject or modify traffic on the network element   the attacker has access to.  While this may not allow for full   control of a communication session (as in an MITM attack), the   attacker can perform a number of powerful attacks, including but not   limited to: injecting packets that could terminate the session (e.g.,   TCP RST packets), sending a fake DNS reply to redirect ensuing TCP   connections to an address of the attacker's choice (i.e., winning a   "DNS response race"), and mounting an HTTP redirect attack by   observing a TCP/HTTP connection to a target address and injecting a   TCP data packet containing an HTTP redirect.  For example, the system   dubbed by researchers as China's "Great Cannon" [great-cannon] can   operate in full MITM mode to accomplish very complex attacks that can   modify content in transit, while the well-known Great Firewall of   China is a MOTS system that focuses on blocking access to certain   kinds of traffic and destinations via TCP RST packet injection.   In this sense, static exfiltration has a lower risk profile than   dynamic.  In the static case, the attacker need only interact with   the collaborator a small number of times, possibly only once -- say,Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 18]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   to exchange a private key.  In the dynamic case, the attacker must   have continuing interactions with the collaborator.  As noted above,   these interactions may be real, such as in-person meetings, or   virtual, such as software modifications that render keys available to   the attacker.  Both of these types of interactions introduce a risk   that they will be discovered, e.g., by employees of the collaborator   organization noticing suspicious meetings or suspicious code changes.   Content exfiltration has a similar risk profile to dynamic key   exfiltration.  In a content exfiltration attack, the attacker saves   the cost and risk of conducting a passive pervasive attack.  The risk   of discovery through interactions with the collaborator, however, is   still present, and may be higher.  The content of a communication is   obviously larger than the key used to encrypt it, often by several   orders of magnitude.  So, in the content exfiltration case, the   interactions between the collaborator and the attacker need to be   much higher bandwidth than in the key exfiltration cases, with a   corresponding increase in the risk that this high-bandwidth channel   will be discovered.   It should also be noted that in these latter three exfiltration   cases, the collaborator also undertakes a risk that his collaboration   with the attacker will be discovered.  Thus, the attacker may have to   incur additional cost in order to convince the collaborator to   participate in the attack.  Likewise, the scope of these attacks is   limited to cases where the attacker can convince a collaborator to   participate.  If the attacker is a national government, for example,   it may be able to compel participation within its borders, but have a   much more difficult time recruiting foreign collaborators.   As noted above, the collaborator in an exfiltration attack can be   unwitting; the attacker can steal keys or data to enable the attack.   In some ways, the risks of this approach are similar to the case of   an active collaborator.  In the static case, the attacker needs to   steal information from the collaborator once; in the dynamic case,   the attacker needs continued presence inside the collaborators'   systems.  The main difference is that the risk in this case is of   automated discovery (e.g., by intrusion detection systems) rather   than discovery by humans.6.  Security Considerations   This document describes a threat model for pervasive surveillance   attacks.  Mitigations are to be given in a future document.Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 19]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 20157.  References7.1.  Normative References   [RFC6973]  Cooper, A., Tschofenig, H., Aboba, B., Peterson, J.,              Morris, J., Hansen, M., and R. Smith, "Privacy              Considerations for Internet Protocols",RFC 6973,              DOI 10.17487/RFC6973, July 2013,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc6973>.7.2.  Informative References   [dec1]     Perlroth, N., Larson, J., and S. Shane, "N.S.A. Able to              Foil Basic Safeguards of Privacy on Web", The New York              Times, September 2013,              <http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/06/us/nsa-foils-much-internet-encryption.html>.   [dec2]     The Guardian, "Project Bullrun -- classification guide to              the NSA's decryption program", September 2013,              <http://www.theguardian.com/world/interactive/2013/sep/05/nsa-project-bullrun-classification-guide>.   [dec3]     Ball, J., Borger, J., and G. Greenwald, "Revealed: how US              and UK spy agencies defeat internet privacy and security",              The Guardian, September 2013,              <http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/05/nsa-gchq-encryption-codes-security>.   [dir1]     Greenwald, G., "NSA collecting phone records of millions              of Verizon customers daily", The Guardian, June 2013,              <http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jun/06/nsa-phone-records-verizon-court-order>.   [dir2]     Greenwald, G. and E. MacAskill, "NSA Prism program taps in              to user data of Apple, Google and others", The Guardian,              June 2013, <http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jun/06/us-tech-giants-nsa-data>.   [dir3]     The Guardian, "Sigint -- how the NSA collaborates with              technology companies", September 2013,              <http://www.theguardian.com/world/interactive/2013/sep/05/sigint-nsa-collaborates-technology-companies>.   [DPRIVE]   Bortzmeyer, S.,"DNS privacy considerations", Work in              Progress,draft-ietf-dprive-problem-statement-06, June              2015.Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 20]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   [great-cannon]              Marczak, B., Weaver, N., Dalek, J., Ensafi, R., Fifield,              D., McKune, S., Rey, A., Scott-Railton, J., Deibert, R.,              and V. Paxson, "China's Great Cannon", The Citizen Lab,              University of Toronto, 2015,              <https://citizenlab.org/2015/04/chinas-great-cannon/>.   [pass1]    Greenwald, G. and S. Ackerman, "How the NSA is still              harvesting your online data", The Guardian, June 2013,              <http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jun/27/nsa-online-metadata-collection>.   [pass2]    Ball, J., "NSA's Prism surveillance program: how it works              and what it can do", The Guardian, June 2013,              <http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jun/08/nsa-prism-server-collection-facebook-google>.   [pass3]    Greenwald, G., "XKeyscore: NSA tool collects 'nearly              everything a user does on the internet'", The Guardian,              July 2013, <http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jul/31/nsa-top-secret-program-online-data>.   [pass4]    MacAskill, E., Borger, J., Hopkins, N., Davies, N., and J.              Ball, "How does GCHQ's internet surveillance work?", The              Guardian, June 2013,              <http://www.theguardian.com/uk/2013/jun/21/how-does-gchq-internet-surveillance-work>.   [RFC1035]  Mockapetris, P., "Domain names - implementation and              specification", STD 13,RFC 1035, DOI 10.17487/RFC1035,              November 1987, <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc1035>.   [RFC1918]  Rekhter, Y., Moskowitz, B., Karrenberg, D., de Groot, G.,              and E. Lear, "Address Allocation for Private Internets",BCP 5,RFC 1918, DOI 10.17487/RFC1918, February 1996,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc1918>.   [RFC1939]  Myers, J. and M. Rose, "Post Office Protocol - Version 3",              STD 53,RFC 1939, DOI 10.17487/RFC1939, May 1996,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc1939>.   [RFC3261]  Rosenberg, J., Schulzrinne, H., Camarillo, G., Johnston,              A., Peterson, J., Sparks, R., Handley, M., and E.              Schooler, "SIP: Session Initiation Protocol",RFC 3261,              DOI 10.17487/RFC3261, June 2002,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc3261>.Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 21]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   [RFC3365]  Schiller, J., "Strong Security Requirements for Internet              Engineering Task Force Standard Protocols",BCP 61,RFC 3365, DOI 10.17487/RFC3365, August 2002,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc3365>.   [RFC3501]  Crispin, M., "INTERNET MESSAGE ACCESS PROTOCOL - VERSION              4rev1",RFC 3501, DOI 10.17487/RFC3501, March 2003,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc3501>.   [RFC4033]  Arends, R., Austein, R., Larson, M., Massey, D., and S.              Rose, "DNS Security Introduction and Requirements",RFC 4033, DOI 10.17487/RFC4033, March 2005,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc4033>.   [RFC4303]  Kent, S., "IP Encapsulating Security Payload (ESP)",RFC 4303, DOI 10.17487/RFC4303, December 2005,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc4303>.   [RFC4949]  Shirey, R., "Internet Security Glossary, Version 2",              FYI 36,RFC 4949, DOI 10.17487/RFC4949, August 2007,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc4949>.   [RFC5246]  Dierks, T. and E. Rescorla, "The Transport Layer Security              (TLS) Protocol Version 1.2",RFC 5246,              DOI 10.17487/RFC5246, August 2008,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc5246>.   [RFC5321]  Klensin, J., "Simple Mail Transfer Protocol",RFC 5321,              DOI 10.17487/RFC5321, October 2008,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc5321>.   [RFC6962]  Laurie, B., Langley, A., and E. Kasper, "Certificate              Transparency",RFC 6962, DOI 10.17487/RFC6962, June 2013,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc6962>.   [RFC7011]  Claise, B., Ed., Trammell, B., Ed., and P. Aitken,              "Specification of the IP Flow Information Export (IPFIX)              Protocol for the Exchange of Flow Information", STD 77,RFC 7011, DOI 10.17487/RFC7011, September 2013,              <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc7011>.   [RFC7258]  Farrell, S. and H. Tschofenig, "Pervasive Monitoring Is an              Attack",BCP 188,RFC 7258, DOI 10.17487/RFC7258, May              2014, <http://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc7258>.Barnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 22]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015   [spiegel1] Appelbaum, J., Horchert, J., Reissmann, O., Rosenbach, M.,              Schindler, J., and C. Stocker, "NSA's Secret Toolbox: Unit              Offers Spy Gadgets for Every Need", Spiegel Online,              December 2013, <http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/nsa-secret-toolbox-ant-unit-offers-spy-gadgets-for-every-need-a-941006.html>.   [spiegel2] Appelbaum, J., Gibson, A., Guarnieri, C., Muller-Maguhn,              A., Poitras, L., Rosenbach, M., Schmundt, H., and M.              Sontheimer, "The Digital Arms Race: NSA Preps America for              Future Battle", Spiegel Online, January 2015,              <http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/new-snowden-docs-indicate-scope-of-nsa-preparations-for-cyber-battle-a-1013409.html>.   [TOR1]     Schneier, B., "How the NSA Attacks Tor/Firefox Users With              QUANTUM and FOXACID", Schneier on Security, October 2013,              <https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2013/10/how_the_nsa_att.html>.   [TOR2]     The Guardian, "'Tor Stinks' presentation -- read the full              document", October 2013,              <http://www.theguardian.com/world/interactive/2013/oct/04/tor-stinks-nsa-presentation-document>.IAB Members at the Time of Approval   Jari Arkko (IETF Chair)   Mary Barnes   Marc Blanchet   Ralph Droms   Ted Hardie   Joe Hildebrand   Russ Housley   Erik Nordmark   Robert Sparks   Andrew Sullivan   Dave Thaler   Brian Trammell   Suzanne WoolfBarnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 23]

RFC 7624              Confidentiality Threat Model           August 2015Acknowledgements   Thanks to Dave Thaler for the list of attacks and taxonomy; to   Security Area Directors Stephen Farrell, Sean Turner, and Kathleen   Moriarty for starting and managing the IETF's discussion on pervasive   attack; and to Stephan Neuhaus, Mark Townsley, Chris Inacio,   Evangelos Halepilidis, Bjoern Hoehrmann, Aziz Mohaisen, Russ Housley,   Joe Hall, Andrew Sullivan, the IEEE 802 Privacy Executive Committee   SG, and the IAB Privacy and Security Program for their input.Authors' Addresses   Richard Barnes   Email: rlb@ipv.sx   Bruce Schneier   Email: schneier@schneier.com   Cullen Jennings   Email: fluffy@cisco.com   Ted Hardie   Email: ted.ietf@gmail.com   Brian Trammell   Email: ietf@trammell.ch   Christian Huitema   Email: huitema@huitema.net   Daniel Borkmann   Email: dborkman@iogearbox.netBarnes, et al.                Informational                    [Page 24]

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