Beyond the Bubble

The emergence of the shadow shipbreaking market
The shadow fleet now has its own system for scrapping ships, and it’s even riskier than the official one.


Sweden’s still ahead in the preparedness game — and now it means business




Estonia’s Song and Dance Festival is a celebration of national identity
Involve young people in reshaping military service
The defense of our countries now hinges on younger generations. Let’s invite them to contribute their ideas.
Gig model of Russian subversion is a nightmare for Western intelligence services
The model works well for the Kremlin because it allows it to easily recruit freelancers, or “disposable agents” as they’re sometimes called.
The shadow fleet was bad — now the renegade fleet has arrived
Today, we’re seeing the broken windows theory play out on the high seas: lawlessness begetting more lawlessness.
We started checking Russian shadow vessel insurance. Now what?
As these rules-busting, dangerous ships keep sailing our waters, posing enormous risks to other vessels and the environment, it’s time to focus on finding the shady operators behind them.
We need to pay closer attention to Svalbard
NATO members and other allies would do well to start thinking about how they’d respond if Russia took action against one of its most remote geographies.
We need to keep a closer eye on saboteurs in our midst
We’ve seen an uptick in geopolitically motivated harm within our borders, and it’s in all our interest to help stop it.
Let’s get creative to protect undersea cables from sabotage
We can’t count on the stars aligning every time a cable or pipeline suffers mysterious damage, and must find ways of incentivizing ship crews to obey maritime rules.
Here’s a cause Greta Thunberg and the Pentagon can agree on
The world needs a coalition of the willing to protect our oceans.
Shadow fleet could aid Moscow in other ways too — not just oil revenue
Russia’s ghost vessels could be used for strategic sealift, and the U.S. should race to fix its own capabilities in response.
Finland’s preparedness isn’t exactly good for business
Being known as a country facing geopolitical threats has its drawbacks — particularly when it comes to the economy.
Private companies need to get better at monitoring threats
Almost any company is now at risk of geopolitically motivated harm, and it’s imperative they understand the risks they face.
We need a whole-of-society approach to intelligence
If Western countries are to withstand the aggression waged by various rivals and their proxies, sharing insights from the front line is the only way forward — and today, that includes businesses.
The Red Sea: Time for India’s Modi to step in
Nothing the West says or does will convince the Houthis to halt their campaign. But the Indian prime minister is perfectly suited to the task.
How to rein in Russia’s shadow fleet
The countries buying oil transported by these dark vessels could be more receptive to nudges, as they, too, face significant risks.
Today’s Russia-West prisoner swaps are not like the Cold War
With ordinary citizens being picked up simply to be used as exchange fodder, no Westerner is truly safe in hostile countries anymore.
Do a good deed for your country — stay home
Many Westerners continue to travel to hostile nations, knowing their home countries would move mountains to get them free. But that’s a luxury we can no longer afford.
How Western shipping lines try to minimize disruption is of great interest to China
Beijing’s intrusion means Western shipping lines must make sure their crews aren’t just masters of the seas but also able to understand the world of state-linked espionage.
As Russia’s shadow fleet menaces Sweden, here’s how the EU could help
Though it’s impossible to block this subversive armada, there are steps the bloc could take that would at least make Russia’s business harder to execute.
Putin miscalculated on Finland’s border
If Russia wants to intimidate Finland by announcing it’ll avenge the country’s NATO accession with troops on the border, it needs to have plenty of troops at its disposal. And Russia simply doesn’t.
The shameful abandonment of seafarers
An increasing number of sailors are being abandoned by their vessels’ owners, left stuck on board sometimes for months or even years.
EU’s pretending to be an honest trade cop
The bloc is overregulating — and it’s overreaching.
We need to be more aware of the spies in our midst
Knowing about the massive amounts of spying taking place can make one paranoid. But the best antidote to widespread espionage isn’t fear — it’s awareness.
Martin Selmayr gets his chance to return to Brussels
EU commissioners have decided they want the “monster of the Berlaymont” back in a newly created job.
How to respond to Russian aggression in the Baltic Sea
The region’s governments face a dilemma: If they can prove that Moscow’s behind the recent disruptions, they’ll need to decide if, and how, to punish this gray-zone aggression.