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New York Times

Friday, December 10, 2010

Election 2010

  • 2010 Elections
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  • House
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  • Michigan

Michigan 5th District Profile

New York Times Race ProfileFiveThirtyEight ForecastPrimary ResultsOther Michigan Races
Democratic Incumbent
Dale Kildee
    Republican
    John Kupiec
      New York Times Race Rating
      Solid Democratic
      FiveThirtyEight Model
      100%
      Chance of Democratic win
      Currently held by
      Dale Kildee
      On election night, view liveMichigan 5th District election results.

      Incumbent Voting Record

      Dale E. Kildee (D) seeking re-election after holding the seat for years.

      Major BillsIncumbent VoteAll Democrats
      HEALTH CARE BILLYesYes: 219No: 34
      STIMULUS PACKAGEYesYes: 244No: 11
      TARPYesYes: 172No: 63
      ENERGY BILLYesYes: 211No: 44

      Campaign Finances

      Dale Kildee
      as of Nov. 22
      John Kupiec
      as of Nov. 22
      Raised$615,832$183,373
      Spent$1,180,020$356,315
      Cash On Hand$40,598$144
      Independent expenditures
      For$0$317
      Against$1,527$0
      Contributors
      Top Five Industries
      Casinos/Gambling
      $60,300
      Food & Beverage
      $23,209
      Building Trade Unions
      $54,500
      Retired
      $14,750
      Public Sector Unions
      $40,750
      Retail Sales
      $5,400
      Health Professionals
      $35,450
      Agricultural Services/Products
      $5,000
      Industrial Unions
      $32,500
      Health Professionals
      $4,450
      More »More »
      Top Five Contributors
      Plumbers/Pipefitters Union
      $20,000
      Subway Franchisee
      $19,159
      American Crystal Sugar
      $10,000
      American Farm Bureau
      $5,000
      American Federation of Teachers
      $10,000
      Ace Hardware
      $3,900
      Carpenters & Joiners Union
      $10,000
      Security Packaging
      $3,400
      Honeywell International
      $10,000
      Tropical Smoothie Cafe
      $3,250
      More »More »
      Sources: Federal Election Commission; OpenSecrets.org

      Previous Election Results

      HouseDemocratsRepublicans
      200870%Kildee27%Sawicki
      200673%Kildee25%Klammer
      200467%Kildee31%Kirkwood
      200292%Kildee

      100% reporting Aug. 3 Primary Results

      DemocratDale Kildee34,78278%
      Scott Withers9,56322%
      RepublicanJohn Kupiec22,00956%
      Rick Wilson17,47444%

      Source: Preliminary vote totals from The Associated Press

      FiveThirtyEight Forecast

        Kildee Kupiec
      Projected Vote
      Margin of Error: ± 7.7%
      		 63.3% 34.1%
      Chance of Winning Seat
      99.9%
      0.1%
      Forecast History and Poll Details »

      District Demographics

      Race and ethnicityDistrictU.S.
      White75.9%
      		65.9%
      Black17.5%
      		12.1%
      Hispanic3.7%
      		15.1%
      Asian0.8%
      		4.3%
      Native American0.4%
      		0.7%
      IncomeDistrictU.S.
      Median income$42,578
      		$52,175
      Poverty rate13.8%
      		9.6%
      Below $25,00024.9%
      		23.2%
      $25,000-$50,00029.0%
      		24.8%
      $50,000-$100,00030.0%
      		31.2%
      $100,000-$200,00011.5%
      		16.6%
      $200,000 or more1.4%
      		4.2%
      EducationDistrictU.S.
      High school graduate87.0%
      		84.5%
      Bachelor's degree or higher17.5%
      		27.4%
      AgeDistrictU.S.
      Under 1825.2%
      		24.5%
      65 and older13.4%
      		12.6%

      Source: Census Bureau

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