Understanding Low Interest Rate Environments: Definition & Impact
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Erika Rasure is globally-recognized as a leading consumer economics subject matter expert, researcher, and educator. She is a financial therapist and transformational coach, with a special interest in helping women learn how to invest.
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Key Takeaways
- Low interest rates stimulate borrowing and economic growth by reducing borrowing costs.
- Borrowers and investors benefit from low rates, while savers and lenders may lose out.
- Zero and negative interest rates are extreme examples of low rate environments.
- Rates close to 0% were common after the 2008 financial crisis.
- Prolonged low rates can lead to increased debt and lower bank profitability.
What Is a Low Interest Rate Environment?
A low interest rate environment involves a risk-free interest rate that is lower than the historical average for interest rates. Much of the world experienced a low interest rate environment following the 2008-09 financial crisis. Low interest rate environments tend to benefit borrowers at the expense of lenders and savers. But if they last too long, they can damage banks' profitability and result in increased debt for some.
Therisk-free rate usually is set by a country'scentral bank to support economic activity. As their names imply,zero interest rates andnegative interest rates go beyond even low rates.
How Low Interest Rates Impact the Economy
Much of the developed world has experienced a low interest rate environment since 2009 as monetary authorities from around the globe cut interest rates to effectively 0% in order to stimulate economic growth and preventdeflation.
Low interest rate environments are meant to stimulate economic growth by making it cheaper to borrow money to finance investment in both physical and financial assets. One special form of low interest rates isnegative interest rates. This type of monetary policy is unconventional in that depositors must pay the central bank (and in some cases, private banks) to hold their money, rather than receiving interest on their deposits.
Like anything else, there are always two sides to every coin—low interest rates can be both a boon and a curse to those affected. In general, savers and lenders will tend to lose out while borrowers and investors benefit from low interest rates.
Case Study: U.S. Low Interest Rates from 1999 to 2021
As an example, let us consider the interest rate environment in the United States from 1999 to 2021. The red line represents the risk-free rate (one-year Treasuries) and the blue line is the fed funds rate.
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Both rates are often used to describe the risk-free rate. As the graph shows, the period following the 2008 financial crisis until around 2017 represents a low interest rate environment, with rates not only below historical norms, but also very close to 0%.
Meanwhile, rates begin to rise in 2017, but in 2019 started to fall again, and then in 2020 fell back close to 0% due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Beneficiaries of Low Interest Rates: Who Gains the Most?
TheFederal Reserve lowers interest rates in order to stimulate growth during a period of economic decline. That means that borrowing costs become cheaper.
A low interest rate environment is great for homeowners because it will reduce their monthly mortgage payment. Similarly, prospective homeowners might be enticed into the market because of the cheaper costs. Low interest rates can mean more spending money in consumers' pockets.
They also may be willing to make larger purchases and borrow more, which spurs demand for household goods. This is an added benefit tofinancial institutions because banks are able to lend more. The environment also helps businesses make large purchases and boost their capital.
Challenges and Risks of Prolonged Low Interest Rates
Just as there are advantages to a low interest rate environment, there are also drawbacks, especially if the rates are kept extremely low for a long period of time. Lower borrowing rates mean investments are also affected, so anyone putting money into a savings account or a similar vehicle won't see much of a return during this type of environment.
Bank deposits will also drop, but so will bank profitability because cheaper borrowing costs will result in a decrease in interest income. These periods will increase the amount of debt people are willing to take on, which could be a problem for both banks and consumers when interest rates begin to rise.
The Bottom Line
A low interest rate environment occurs when the risk-free rate drops below the historic average. Borrowers generally benefit from lower interest rate charges on loans. Savers and lenders may face drawbacks, such as lower returns on savings accounts and money market funds, and increasing consumer debt. Prolonged low interest rate environments can impact bank profitability. The periods following the 2008-09 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic illustrate real-world examples of prolonged low interest rate environments.
Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development. "Long-Term Interest Rates."
International Monetary Fund. "Back to Basics: How Can Interest Rates Be Negative?"
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "Effective Federal Funds Rate."
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "1-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate."
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