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The Journal of the NPS Center for Homeland Defense and Security

Some content on this platform has been removed in accordance with the President's executive orders and DHS priorities.

The Journal of the NPS Center for Homeland Defense and Security

Notes from the Editor

TheDecember 2024 Issue ofHomeland Security Affairs examines significant developments in the technological and human dimensions of security challenges facing our nation. The five articles in this issue highlight the interplay between emerging analytical capabilities and evolving security threats and offer insights into defensive and offensive adaptations in contemporary security operations.Read more.

Homeland Security Affairs

Homeland Security Affairs

Multi-Layer Network PageRank for Critical Infrastructure Analysis

The multi-layer PageRank algorithm provides a portable and flexible tool that can be modified by practitioners to specific infrastructure networks of interest.

By Jacob Miller, Dr. Bill Kay, Patrick Mackey, Dr. Samrat Chatterjee

Multi-Layer Network PageRank for Critical Infrastructure Analysis →

A Perfect Storm: Hamas Terrorist Escalation

“Terrorist groups are not only learning organizations. They are also calculating, rational actors who may perceive a change when the level of violence previously used is no longer effectively communicating their political message.”

By David W. Brannan

A Perfect Storm: Hamas Terrorist Escalation →

Comparing Significant Acts of Anti-Government Violent Extremism: A Research Note

In this research note, the authors examine the utility of the new anti-government/anti-authority violent extremism category by comparing event-level characteristics of domestic terrorism incidents committed by AVEs, SCVEs, and MVEs.

By Michael K. Logan, Clara Braun, Seamus Hughes

Comparing Significant Acts of Anti-Government Violent Extremism: A Research Note →

Security on the Southern Border: What is the National Guard’s Role?

The United States border remains a concern as the number of border crossings has drastically increased over the last few years, highlighting concerns about U.S. immigration policy and the simultaneous issues of international criminal activities.

By Travis L. Eddleman, Christopher Maye, Meagan van Harte

Security on the Southern Border: What is the National Guard’s Role? →

A Review ofFour Battlegrounds, Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence by Paul Scharre

“The intersection of AI and national security offers fertile ground for experts, pundits, and fear mongers alike. Scharre makes clear that it is the nature of the relationship between human and machine that will determine the ways in which AI will contribute to or erode the security of nations.”

By Daniel E. Levenson

A Review ofFour Battlegrounds, Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence by Paul Scharre →

Are U.S.A. School Shootings Black Swans?

This article quantitatively analyzes risk of death by school shootings in the USA using data from 1900 to 2023 for the purpose of determining if school shootings are black swans.

By Ted G. Lewis

Are U.S.A. School Shootings Black Swans? →

Daniel E. Levenson ReviewsDeepfakes by Graham Meikle, Polity Press, 2023

The true threat at the heart of generative AI may lie not in the erosion of our ability to determine whether any one discrete image or video is real or not, but in finding ourselves in a place in which all norms around communication and our capability to navigate digital spaces have been completely undermined. It is not a pretty future, but it is one for which we must prepare, and Meikle’s book is a good place to start.

By Daniel E. Levinson

Daniel E. Levenson ReviewsDeepfakes by Graham Meikle, Polity Press, 2023 →

Risk, Deterrence, and Prospect Theory: Decision Bias Influence on Quantifiable Deterrence Efficacy in Reducing Risk

This work applies prospect theory and other theories of biased decision-making to advance the study of the relationship between quantifiable deterrence and CIKR risk reduction metrics.

By Eric Taquechel

Risk, Deterrence, and Prospect Theory: Decision Bias Influence on Quantifiable Deterrence Efficacy in Reducing Risk →

Bijan Karimi reviews Daniel Kahneman,Thinking Fast and Slow

In Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman, the author introduces readers to System 1 and System 2 thinking. These cognitive processes compete when an individual is faced with a novel, often high stress situation.

By Bijan Karimi

Bijan Karimi reviews Daniel Kahneman,Thinking Fast and Slow →

Tom Mackin reviews Ted Lewis,Critical Infrastructure Protection in Homeland Security: Defending a Networked Nation

Prior to Lewis’ work, infrastructure topics were siloed and missing any descriptive framework that could answer the question of “What is critical in critical infrastructure protection?” Lewis offered the first comprehensive overview of the systems problem associated with this question. 

By Tom Mackin

Tom Mackin reviews Ted Lewis,Critical Infrastructure Protection in Homeland Security: Defending a Networked Nation →

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