2026 CPR Governor Race Ratings

Dec 20, 2025

About CPR Governor Race Ratings

The CPR Governor Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all gubernatorial elections each cycle. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the state's political makeup, the candidates' strengths and weaknesses, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with candidates and campaign professionals. When sourcing the CPR Race Ratings, please refer to ourterms of use. To inquire about API access and licensing, pleasesubmit a request.

Ratings Summary

Solid Democrat (10)

Likely Democrat (4)

Lean Democrat (0)

Toss Up (5)

Lean Republican (2)

Likely Republican (2)

Solid Republican (13)

Solid DSolid Democrat(10)

10 Dem 0 Rep

Likely DLikely Democrat(4)

4 Dem 0 Rep

Lean DLean Democrat(0)

0 Dem 0 Rep

Toss UpToss Up(5)

3 Dem 2 Rep

Lean RLean Republican(2)

1 Dem 1 Rep

Likely RLikely Republican(2)

0 Dem 2 Rep

Solid RSolid Republican(13)

0 Dem 13 Rep

Hover over chart segments or click columns to explore race details.

All races link to the at-a-glance race pages.

Red text represents Republican-held seats andblue text represents Democrat-held seats.

Terminology Guide

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
Likely: These races are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These races are considered competitive races, but one party has an advantage.
Toss Up: These races are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

Members Only

New York Governor

Stefanik’s Out, but Sour Environment Shifts New York Governor Into Solid Democrat

$matthew klein$

Matthew Klein

December 20, 2025

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Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.