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UK unemployment rate hits near five-year high as wage growth slows

A lady working in a London mash and pie restaurant serving up.

Summary

Live Reporting

Edited by Ben Hatton and Charlotte Hadfield, with reporting from BBC Business

  1. Analysis

    Uncertainty can lead employers to sit on their handspublished at 09:05 GMT

    Simon Jack
    Business editor

    Today's figures suggest the job market is still weak.

    Employers are still reluctant to take people on for a number of reasons we saw last year: there was a big increase in employers' National Insurance contributions, increases in the National Living Wage, particularly for young people, and there’s uncertainty around the Employment Rights Act. We also had a late Budget.

    All of that creates uncertainty, so employers kind of sit on their hands.

    The good news is that the hiring freeze seems to be thawing just a little bit. The number of vacancies out there has kind of levelled off. But overall you could say that this is still a pretty weak employment market.

    We’re seeing the biggest falls in employment in retail and hospitality. This sector employs quite a lot of young people, and people either at or close to the National Living Wage.

    The broader picture is that a lot of these uncertainties came at precisely the moment in the wider economy when employers were thinking: 'how many people do I actually need? Can I get automation? Can I deploy AI?'

    People are getting a bit more expensive and a bit riskier - so they’re thinking of other ways to invest in the business, in capital rather than labour.

  2. Unemployment for 18-24s reaches 14% - the highest since 2020published at 08:31 GMT

    We're continuing to look through the figures released by the Office for National Statistics earlier and bring you any key lines.

    The unemployment rate of people aged 18-24 in the UK has hit 14%, the data shows.

    This marks a 0.3 percentage point increase from the three months to November, which saw an 18-24 unemployment rate of 13.7%

    Aside from one three-month period in 2020 during the pandemic, which also saw 14%, the last time the UK saw a higher unemployment rate for 18-24s was in 2015.

    For those aged 16-17, the unemployment rate is 34.2%, falling from 34.7% reported in the three months to November.

    The ONS are set to release the latest figures looking specifically at the level of young people (16-24) not in education, employment or training, later this month.

  3. Analysis

    These figures could lead the Bank of England to decide it will cut interest ratespublished at 08:24 GMT

    Theo Leggett
    International business correspondent

    Slow economic growth in the second half of last year, and a late November Budget, contributed to what the ONS describes as weak hiring activity.

    The number of people on company payrolls fell by 130,000 across the year to December, while more people who were out of work were actively looking for a job, pushing the unemployment rate up to a near five-year high.

    Average pay grew by 4.2%, down from a revised 4.4% in the previous survey - with public sector wages still growing much faster than those in the private sector.

    Economists say the latest figures would reinforce expectations that inflation will fall back, making it likely the Bank of England would choose to cut interest rates soon, possibly at its next rates-setting meeting in March.

  4. UK unemployment close to five-year high, ONS figures showpublished at 07:39 GMT
    Breaking

    The UK's unemployment rate hit a near five-year high in the last three months of 2025, climbing to 5.2%, according to official data.

    That’s a 0.1 percentage point rise from the 5.1% recorded inthe three months to November.

    Across the UK, average annual pay grew by 4.2% - with thepublic sector seeing 7.2% growth and the private sector seeing 3.4%.

    The Office for National Statistics (ONS) says the figures reflect "weak hiring activity". Chancellor Rachel Reeves' 2024 Budget hiked employer National Insurance contributions and saw a rise in the minimum wage, leading some businesses to slow down hiring and replace outgoing workers.

    We’re digging through the figures now and will bring you more on what they all mean in our next few posts.


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