Actual 2024 Electoral Map
Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster
The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.
| Source | Date | Sample | Vance | Trump, Jr. | Rubio | DeSantis | Carlson | Haley | Pence | Kennedy, Jr. | Ramaswamy | Cruz | Youngkin | Gabbard | Greene | H. Sanders | Hawley | Kemp | T. Scott | Abbott | Bannon | Bessent | Britt | Burgum | Cotton | Noem | R. Scott | Stefanik | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll Averages† | 44.7% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | - | 0.0% | - | - | 0.0% | - | 0.0% | - | - | - | |||
| Harvard Caps Harris | 2/02/2026 | N/A | 53% | 21% | 17% | - | 5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4% | |
| Echelon Insights | 1/26/2026 | 430 LV | 40% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 5% | - | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | - | 1% | - | 0% | - | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | - | 13% | |
| YouGov | 1/16/2026 | 743 A | 41% | 11% | 7% | 8% | - | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21% | |
| AtlasIntel | 12/19/2025 | 755 RV | 47% | 2% | 23% | 13% | - | - | - | - | 2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 1% | - | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | - | - | 11% | |
| Echelon Insights | 12/16/2025 | 426 LV | 45% | 12% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 4% | - | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | - | 1% | - | 0% | - | - | 0% | - | 1% | - | - | 11% | |
| Echelon Insights | 11/17/2025 | 472 LV | 47% | - | 8% | 10% | - | 5% | - | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | - | 1% | 1% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | - | 17% | |
| Emerson College | 11/07/2025 | 420 RV ±4.7% | 54% | - | 6% | 2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 38% | |
| Echelon Insights | 10/21/2025 | 400 LV | 46% | - | 6% | 10% | - | 6% | - | 5% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | - | 1% | 0% | - | 1% | - | 1% | - | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | - | 18% | |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 10/19/2025 | 978 RV | 38% | 25% | 4% | 6% | - | 3% | - | - | - | 3% | 1% | - | - | 2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | - | - | - | 17% | |
| Echelon Insights | 9/22/2025 | 467 LV | 43% | - | 5% | 8% | - | 4% | - | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | - | 2% | 0% | - | 1% | - | 0% | - | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | - | 20% | |
† An average is calculated when there are multiple qualifying polls. The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.
State polling for 2028 Republican presidential primaries is limited at this point. One or more surveys is available for the green states on the map. Click or tap for details.
MA | |
RI | |
CT | |
NJ | |
DE | |
MD | |
DC |