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2024 Florida Live Results

Overview

Election DateNovember 5, 2024
Where to VoteFind yourPolling Place and Hours
Polls Close7:00 PM Eastern Time, except 8:00 PM Eastern for those areas observing Central Time
Prior ElectionsFlorida Voting History
On this PageResults for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House, State Legislature

Vote counts and race projections provided byDecision Desk HQ.

President(30 Electoral Votes)

Consensus Forecast
Likely Republican

Donald Trump won by 3.3% over Joe Biden in 2020. This is notable for two reasons. First, Florida was the only battleground state where Donald Trump expanded his winning margin from 2016. That year, he won by 1.2%. Second, Florida voters did not side with the overall presidential election winner for only the second time in the past 15 elections. 

Every election since 2000 has been decided by a winning margin of 5% or less. Despite that, Florida is no longer perceived as a true battleground, and money hasnot flowed into the state for the presidential election.

Polling has often been within the margin of error, but almost all of it shows Trump with a small lead.

U.S. Senate

Consensus Forecast
Likely Republican

Sen. Rick Scott is seeking reelection to a second term. He won by the narrowest of margins over Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson in 2018. 

Democrats have not had much success in statewide races since then, and most forecasters have Scott favored. That said, polling is not indicative of a safe race. While Scott has led in each poll this year, most of the recent ones have Scott ahead by 3-5%, near the margin of error.

U.S. House

Consensus Forecast
1-8,11-12,16-19,21,26,28
Safe R
15,27
Likely R
13
Leans R
9
Likely D
10,14,20,22-25
Safe D

Redistricting after the 2020 Census benefited Republicans and also eliminated most of the districts that were competitive in the general election.

Tampa area District 13 might be the best place to look for an election night surprise. Freshman Republican Anna Paulina Luna has drawn astrong challenge from Democrat Whitney Fox. A recent poll showed the contest as tied.

State Senate

State House

Governor

Next election is in 2026

Actual 2024 Electoral Map
2026 Forecasts
Senate  House  Governor
2026 Polls
Senate  House  Governor
Follow 270toWin

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