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Ranked pairs

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Ranked Pairs (RP), also known as theTideman method, is atournament-style system ofranked voting first proposed byNicolaus Tideman in 1987.[1][2]

If there is a candidate who is preferred over the other candidates, when compared in turn with each of the others, the ranked-pairs procedure guarantees that candidate will win. Therefore, the ranked-pairs procedure complies with theCondorcet winner criterion (and as a result is considered to be aCondorcet method).[3]

Ranked pairs begins with around-robin tournament, where the one-on-one margins of victory for each possible pair of candidates are compared to find amajority-preferred candidate; if such a candidate exists, they are immediately elected. Otherwise, if there is aCondorcet cycle—a rock-paper-scissors-like sequence A > B > C > A—the cycle is broken by dropping the "weakest" elections in the cycle, i.e. the ones that are closest to being tied.[4]

Procedure

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The ranked pairs procedure is as follows:

  1. Consider each pair of candidates round-robin style, andcalculate the pairwise margin of victory for each in a one-on-one matchup.
  2. Sort the pairs by the (absolute) margin of victory, going from largest to smallest.
  3. Going down the list, check whether adding each matchup would create acycle. If it would,cross out the election; this will be the election(s) in the cycle with the smallest margin of victory (near-ties).[note 1]

At the end of this procedure, all cycles will be eliminated, leaving a unique winner who wins all of the remaining one-on-one matchups. The lack of cycles means that candidates can be ranked directly based on the matchups that have been left behind.

Example

[edit]

The situation

[edit]

Tennessee and its four major cities: Memphis in the far west; Nashville in the center; Chattanooga in the east; and Knoxville in the far northeast

Suppose thatTennessee is holding an election on the location of itscapital. The population is concentrated around four major cities.All voters want the capital to be as close to them as possible. The options are:

  • Memphis, the largest city, but far from the others (42% of voters)
  • Nashville, near the center of the state (26% of voters)
  • Chattanooga, somewhat east (15% of voters)
  • Knoxville, far to the northeast (17% of voters)

The preferences of each region's voters are:

42% of voters
Far-West
26% of voters
Center
15% of voters
Center-East
17% of voters
Far-East
  1. Memphis
  2. Nashville
  3. Chattanooga
  4. Knoxville
  1. Nashville
  2. Chattanooga
  3. Knoxville
  4. Memphis
  1. Chattanooga
  2. Knoxville
  3. Nashville
  4. Memphis
  1. Knoxville
  2. Chattanooga
  3. Nashville
  4. Memphis


The results are tabulated as follows:

Pairwise election results
A
B
MemphisNashvilleChattanoogaKnoxville
Memphis
58%
42%
58%
42%
58%
42%
Nashville
42%
58%
32%
68%
32%
68%
Chattanooga
42%
58%
68%
32%
17%
83%
Knoxville
42%
58%
68%
32%
83%
17%
  • [A] indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the column caption to the candidate listed in the row caption
  • [B] indicates voters who preferred the candidate listed in the row caption to the candidate listed in the column caption

Tally

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First, list every pair, and determine the winner:

PairWinner
Memphis (42%) vs. Nashville (58%)Nashville 58%
Memphis (42%) vs. Chattanooga (58%)Chattanooga 58%
Memphis (42%) vs. Knoxville (58%)Knoxville 58%
Nashville (68%) vs. Chattanooga (32%)Nashville 68%
Nashville (68%) vs. Knoxville (32%)Nashville 68%
Chattanooga (83%) vs. Knoxville (17%)Chattanooga 83%

The votes are then sorted. The largest majority is "Chattanooga over Knoxville"; 83% of the voters prefer Chattanooga. Thus, the pairs from above would be sorted this way:

PairWinner
Chattanooga (83%) vs. Knoxville (17%)Chattanooga 83%
Nashville (68%) vs. Knoxville (32%)Nashville 68%
Nashville (68%) vs. Chattanooga (32%)Nashville 68%
Memphis (42%) vs. Nashville (58%)Nashville 58%
Memphis (42%) vs. Chattanooga (58%)Chattanooga 58%
Memphis (42%) vs. Knoxville (58%)Knoxville 58%

Lock

[edit]

The pairs are then locked in order, skipping any pairs that would create a cycle:

  • Lock Chattanooga over Knoxville.
  • Lock Nashville over Knoxville.
  • Lock Nashville over Chattanooga.
  • Lock Nashville over Memphis.
  • Lock Chattanooga over Memphis.
  • Lock Knoxville over Memphis.

In this case, no cycles are created by any of the pairs, so every single one is locked in.

Every "lock in" would add another arrow to the graph showing the relationship between the candidates. Here is the final graph (where arrows point away from the winner).

In this example, Nashville is the winner using the ranked-pairs procedure. Nashville is followed by Chattanooga, Knoxville, and Memphis in second, third, and fourth places respectively.

Summary

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In the example election, the winner is Nashville. This would be true for anyCondorcet method.

Underfirst-past-the-post and some other systems, Memphis would have won the election by having the most people, even though Nashville won every simulated pairwise election outright. Usinginstant-runoff voting in this example would result in Knoxville winning even though more people preferred Nashville over Knoxville.

Criteria

[edit]

Of the formalvoting criteria, the ranked pairs method passes themajority criterion, themonotonicity criterion, theSmith criterion (which implies theCondorcet criterion), theCondorcet loser criterion, and theindependence of clones criterion. Ranked pairs fails theconsistency criterion and theparticipation criterion. While ranked pairs is not fullyindependent of irrelevant alternatives, it still satisfieslocal independence of irrelevant alternatives andindependence of Smith-dominated alternatives, meaning it is likely to roughly satisfy IIA "in practice."

Independence of irrelevant alternatives

[edit]

Ranked pairs failsindependence of irrelevant alternatives, like all otherranked voting systems. However, the method adheres to a less strict property, sometimes calledindependence of Smith-dominated alternatives (ISDA). It says that if one candidate (X) wins an election, and a new alternative (Y) is added, X will win the election if Y is not in theSmith set. ISDA implies the Condorcet criterion.

Comparison table

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The following table compares ranked pairs with other single-winner election methods:

Comparison of single-winner voting systems
Criterion


Method
Majority winnerMajority loserMutual majorityCondorcet winner[Tn 1]Condorcet loserSmith[Tn 1]Smith-IIA[Tn 1]IIA/LIIA[Tn 1]Clone­proofMono­toneParticipationLater-no-harm[Tn 1]Later-no-help[Tn 1]No favorite betrayal[Tn 1]Ballot

type

First-past-the-post votingYesNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoYesYesYesYesNoSingle mark
Anti-pluralityNoYesNoNoNoNoNoNoNoYesYesNoNoYesSingle mark
Two round systemYesYesNoNoYesNoNoNoNoNoNoYesYesNoSingle mark
Instant-runoffYesYesYesNoYesNoNoNoYesNoNoYesYesNoRan­king
CoombsYesYesYesNoYesNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoYesRan­king
NansonYesYesYesYesYesYesNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoRan­king
BaldwinYesYesYesYesYesYesNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoRan­king
Tideman alternativeYesYesYesYesYesYesYesNoYesNoNoNoNoNoRan­king
MinimaxYesNoNoYes[Tn 2]NoNoNoNoNoYesNoNo[Tn 2]NoNoRan­king
CopelandYesYesYesYesYesYesYesNoNoYesNoNoNoNoRan­king
BlackYesYesNoYesYesNoNoNoNoYesNoNoNoNoRan­king
Kemeny–YoungYesYesYesYesYesYesYesLIIA OnlyNoYesNoNoNoNoRan­king
Ranked pairsYesYesYesYesYesYesYesLIIA OnlyYesYesNo[Tn 3]NoNoNoRan­king
SchulzeYesYesYesYesYesYesYesNoYesYesNo[Tn 3]NoNoNoRan­king
BordaNoYesNoNoYesNoNoNoNoYesYesNoYesNoRan­king
BucklinYesYesYesNoNoNoNoNoNoYesNoNoYesNoRan­king
ApprovalYesNoNoNoNoNoNoYes[Tn 4]YesYesYesNoYesYesAppr­ovals
Majority JudgementNoNo[Tn 5]No[Tn 6]NoNoNoNoYes[Tn 4]YesYesNo[Tn 3]NoYesYesScores
ScoreNoNoNoNoNoNoNoYes[Tn 4]YesYesYesNoYesYesScores
STARNoYesNoNoYesNoNoNoNoYesNoNoNoNoScores
QuadraticNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoYesYesN/AN/ANoCredits
Random ballot[Tn 7]NoNoNoNoNoNoNoYesYesYesYesYesYesYesSingle mark
Sortition[Tn 8]NoNoNoNoNoNoNoYesNoYesYesYesYesYesNone
Table Notes
  1. ^abcdefgCondorcet's criterion is incompatible with theconsistency,participation,later-no-harm,later-no-help, andsincere favorite criteria.
  2. ^abA variant of Minimax that counts only pairwise opposition, not opposition minus support, fails the Condorcet criterion and meets later-no-harm.
  3. ^abcIn Highest median, Ranked Pairs, and Schulze voting, there is always a regret-free, semi-honest ballot for any voter, holding all other ballots constant and assuming they know enough about how others will vote. Under such circumstances, there is always at least one way for a voter to participate without grading any less-preferred candidate above any more-preferred one.
  4. ^abcApproval voting, score voting, and majority judgment satisfy IIA if it is assumed that voters rate candidates independently using their ownabsolute scale. For this to hold, in some elections, some voters must use less than their full voting power despite having meaningful preferences among viable candidates.
  5. ^Majority Judgment may elect a candidate uniquely least-preferred by over half of voters, but it never elects the candidate uniquely bottom-rated by over half of voters.
  6. ^Majority Judgment fails the mutual majority criterion, but satisfies the criterion if the majority ranks the mutually favored set above a given absolute grade and all others below that grade.
  7. ^A randomly chosen ballot determines winner. This and closely related methods are of mathematical interest and included here to demonstrate that even unreasonable methods can pass voting method criteria.
  8. ^Where a winner is randomly chosen from the candidates, sortition is included to demonstrate that even non-voting methods can pass some criteria.



Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Rather than crossing out near-ties, step 3 is sometimes described as going down the list and confirming ("locking in") the largest victories that do not create a cycle, then ignoring any victories that are not locked-in.

References

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  1. ^Tideman, T. N. (1987-09-01)."Independence of clones as a criterion for voting rules".Social Choice and Welfare.4 (3):185–206.doi:10.1007/BF00433944.ISSN 1432-217X.S2CID 122758840.
  2. ^Schulze, Markus (October 2003)."A New Monotonic and Clone-Independent Single-Winner Election Method".Voting matters (www.votingmatters.org.uk).17. McDougall Trust. Archived fromthe original on 2020-07-11. Retrieved2021-02-02.
  3. ^Munger, Charles T. (2022)."The best Condorcet-compatible election method: Ranked Pairs".Constitutional Political Economy.doi:10.1007/s10602-022-09382-w.
  4. ^Munger, Charles T. (2022)."The best Condorcet-compatible election method: Ranked Pairs".Constitutional Political Economy.34 (3):434–444.doi:10.1007/s10602-022-09382-w.

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