Bill Roggio is an American commentator on military affairs,[1] and the managing editor ofThe Long War Journal.[2] Prior to leading a team of online commentators, Roggio published the online weblogThe Fourth Rail.[1] Roggio was an active duty soldier in theUnited States Army in the 1990s.[1]
Roggio and theLong War Journal's staff use reports from media organizations, including publications in countries where terrorists or Islamic insurgencies are active, such as in Afghanistan and Pakistan, then amplify and add historical context to what they find with information from their own network of US intelligence sources. In some cases, PMI has funded trips by its own media-credentialed journalists to report on war zones such as Afghanistan, Iraq, and the Philippines.
Roggio served in theUnited States Army and theNew Jersey National Guard as asignalman andinfantryman. He uses his military experience to add strategic, operational, and tactical level context to the journal's reports. According to theColumbia Journalism Review, "Roggio's greatest service, then, may be the way he picks up where the mainstream press leaves off, giving readers a simultaneously more specific and holistic understanding of the battlefield."[3]
TheColumbia Journalism Review reports that theLong War Journal for the most part avoids political bias in its stories. TheReview, however, noted that Roggio has at times aligned himself with conservative bloggers on issues such as the "Easongate" controversy.[3] The journal states that it is a publication of theFoundation for Defense of Democracies, which describes itself as non-partisan but has been called "neoconservative" by various resources.[4][5][6][7]
In 2006, before the establishment of theJournal,Huffington Post commentatorStephen Kaus criticized Roggio after Roggio complained aboutThe Washington Post's negative coverage of his 2005 trip to Iraq as an embedded reporter with theUnited States Marine Corps. Kaus criticized Roggio as a sensationalist who likes to get people to read his articles by distorting the news.[27]
After Baitullah Mehsud was killed in August 2009, Roggio claimed on August 6, 2009, that a US intelligence official told him US officials thought Mehsud was still alive.[28] This claim about Mehsud's fate was not accurate, as Pentagon spokesman Jeff Morrell and National Security Advisor James Jones claimed that US officials were 90% certain he was killed and they had yet to see any evidence to assume otherwise,[29][30] which was later confirmed by the Pakistan Taliban.[31]
In April 2009, Roggio claimed Rashid Rauf, an Al Qaeda operative who was reported to have been killed in a US drone strike which took place in North Waziristan on November 22, 2008,[32] was still alive.[33] This claim about Rauf's fate was never proven to be true and in July 2010, a U.S. counterterrorism official told the New York Daily News that Rauf was killed in the drone strike.[34] In October 2012, Rauf's family confirmed he was killed in the drone strike.[35]
After Osama bin Laden was killed in May 2011, Roggio claimed that his son Sa'ad, who was believed to have killed in a drone strike in 2009,[36] was one of his possible successors.[37][38] At this time, Roggio gave no mention to the earlier report about Sa'ad's death and stated that Sa'ad "is considered a senior leader and an operational commander in al Qaeda" and that "he is known to shelter in Iran and to move back and forth across the Iranian border with Pakistan." A letter captured from the compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan where Osama was killed also discussed Sa'ad's death.[39] In September 2012, al-Qaeda leaderAyman al-Zawahiri confirmed in a video message that Saad was killed in the drone strike.[40]
In March 2012, Roggio echoed claims by the Daily Times that Ilyas Kashmiri was still alive and was spotted in a meeting with Pakistan Taliban leader Hakimullah Mehsud in North Waziristan.[41] However, the accuracy of this report was disputed because journalists were unable to access the region where Kashmiri was allegedly spotted.[42] A few days later, the report of Kashmiri's survival was further contradicted when an Al Qaeda spokesman eulogized him along with other Pakistani militants who had been killed in various drone strikes.[43]
^United Press International, "Iraq security development slowed in 2008", 16 January 2009, (wire service report).
^Lamb, Christina, "School bombing exposes Obama's secret war inside Pakistan",Sunday Times, 7 February 2010 (correction published on 15 February 2010 noting attribution to theLong War Journal was accidentally omitted), p. 27.
^Joshua, Anita, "Senior Taliban leader killed in drone attack: report",The Hindu, 21 December 2010
