Theargument from miracles is an argument for theexistence of God that begins by asserting that there are kinds of possible events the best explanation for which would besupernatural agency. Traditionally, events of the relevant kind are known asmiracles. All the argument requires is that miracles be such that the best explanations for them invoke supernatural agency.[1]
Defenders of the argument includeC. S. Lewis,[2]Richard Swinburne,[3]Gary Habermas,[4]William Paley,[5] andSamuel Clarke.[6]
One deductive argument is proposed byWilliam Paley broadly modeled on the version given byRichard Whately:
Another approach to arguing for a miracle claim is to argue that it is the best explanation for a small set of widely conceded facts. A typical “minimal facts” argument for the resurrection ofJesus starts with a list of facts such as these:
None of these four facts are supernatural claims in and of themselves. The argument maintains that virtually all critical scholars with the appropriate expertise accept these facts, relying on standard historical methods and reasoning. The explanatory argument begins with this broad scholarly consensus, asserting that all alternative explanations for these facts fall short when compared to the one that asserts Jesus truly rose from the dead. As a result, the conclusion is usually presented in a definitive and categorical manner, claiming that the resurrection explanation is the most compelling.
One key advantage of this approach is that it explicitly contrasts the resurrection hypothesis with other potential explanations. By doing so, the argument directly engages with alternative interpretations of the data, addressing them head-on.[8]
Another approach to arguing for a miracle claim involves usingBayesian probability to argue that certain facts or sets of facts make the conclusion more probable. In the case of a categorical argument, this would mean showing that the conclusion is probable given the facts in question. For a confirmatory argument, the aim would be to demonstrate that the conclusion is significantly more probable when these facts are taken into account, compared to what it would be without them. This kind of argument could be structured in a categorical manner by employing the odds form ofBayes's Theorem, which allows for a formal, quantitative comparison of probabilities in relation to the available evidence.[9]