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2019 Canadian federal election

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(Redirected from43rd Canadian federal election)

2019 Canadian federal election

← 2015October 21, 20192021 →

338 seats in theHouse of Commons
170 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout67.0%[1] (Decrease 1.3pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Justin Trudeau in 2019 at the G7 (Biarritz) (48622478973) (cropped) (cropped) (cropped).jpg
Andrew Scheer 2019 (3x4 cropped).jpg
Yves-François Blanchet Entrevue no smile 2023 (cropped-2).png
LeaderJustin TrudeauAndrew ScheerYves-François Blanchet
PartyLiberalConservativeBloc Québécois
Leader sinceApril 14, 2013May 27, 2017January 17, 2019
Leader's seatPapineauRegina—Qu'AppelleBeloeil—Chambly[a]
Last election184 seats, 39.47%99 seats, 31.91%10 seats, 4.67%
Seats before1779510
Seats won15712132
Seat changeDecrease 20Increase 26Increase 22
Popular vote6,018,7286,239,2271,387,030
Percentage33.12%34.34%7.63%
SwingDecrease 6.40ppIncrease 2.43ppIncrease 2.96pp

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
Jagmeet Singh at the 2nd National Bike Summit - Ottawa - 2018 (42481105871) (cropped v2).jpg
Elizabeth May 2017 (cropped).jpg
Maxime Bernier in 2017 - cropped.jpg
LeaderJagmeet SinghElizabeth MayMaxime Bernier
PartyNew DemocraticGreenPeople's
Leader sinceOctober 1, 2017August 27, 2006September 14, 2018
Leader's seatBurnaby SouthSaanich—Gulf IslandsBeauce
(lost re-election)
Last election44 seats, 19.72%1 seat, 3.43%New party
Seats before3921
Seats won2430
Seat changeDecrease 15Increase 1Decrease 1
Popular vote2,903,7221,189,607294,092
Percentage15.98%6.55%1.62%
SwingDecrease 3.74ppIncrease 3.12ppNew party

2019 Canadian general election riding results map
Results by province and territory

Prime Minister before election

Justin Trudeau
Liberal

Prime Minister after election

Justin Trudeau
Liberal

The2019 Canadian federal election was held on October 21, 2019.Members of theHouse of Commons were elected to the43rd Canadian Parliament. In keeping with themaximum four-year term under a2007 amendment to theCanada Elections Act, thewrits of election for the 2019 election were issued byGovernor GeneralJulie Payette on September 11, 2019.

With 33.12% of the vote for theLiberal Party, led by incumbentPrime MinisterJustin Trudeau, the 2019 election set, at the time, a record for the lowest vote share for a party that would go on to form a single-partyminority government (this record would later be beaten in the subsequent2021 federal election).[2] The Liberals lost the popular vote to theConservative Party by one per cent,[3] marking only the second time in Canadian history that a governing party formed a government while receiving less than 35 per cent of the national popular vote, the first time being the inaugural1867 Canadian federal election afterConfederation. It was also the first time since1979 that the party with the most votes overall did not win the most seats.

The Conservatives, led byAndrew Scheer, won 121 seats and remained theOfficial Opposition. TheBloc Québécois, led byYves-François Blanchet, won 32 seats to regainofficial party status and became the third party for the first time since2008. TheNew Democratic Party, led byJagmeet Singh, won 24 seats, its worst result since2004. TheGreen Party, led byElizabeth May, saw its best election results with three seats and for the first time received over one million votes. The Greens also elected their first MP outside of British Columbia,Jenica Atwin inFredericton, New Brunswick.[3]Independent MPJody Wilson-Raybould won her seat and was the first independent to win a seat in over a decade. In their first election, thePeople's Party failed to win any seats, as leaderMaxime Bernier lost his own seat inBeauce, a seat he won as a Conservative in the previous four elections before forming his own party following hisunsuccessful bid for the Conservative Party's leadership.

Between2015 to2025, this is the only election in which the Liberals lost seats.

Background

[edit]

The2015 federal election resulted in aLiberalmajority government headed byJustin Trudeau. TheConservatives became the Official Opposition (withStephen Harper announcing his resignation as party leader) and theNew Democrats (NDP) became the third party. While members of theBloc Québécois and theGreens were elected to the House, both failed to achieve the required number of MPs—twelve—for official party status. Bloc leaderGilles Duceppe announced his resignation shortly after the election, and was succeeded byParti Québécois MNAMartine Ouellet.[4] After losing aleadership review, Ouellet announced she would step down as Bloc leader on June 11, 2018,[5] and was succeeded byYves-François Blanchet on January 17, 2019.[6]

Tom Mulcair was rejected as NDP party leader; he gained only 48% of the vote at the NDP's April 2016leadership review. The party held aleadership election on October 1, 2017, electing Ontario MPP and the former Deputy Leader of theOntario New Democratic PartyJagmeet Singh as Mulcair's successor.[7][8]

Parties and standings

[edit]

The table below lists parties represented in theHouse of Commons after the2015 federal election, and the standings at dissolution.

NameIdeologyLeader2015 resultAt dissolution
Votes (%)Seats
LiberalLiberalism
Social liberalism
Justin Trudeau39.47%
184 / 338
177 / 338
ConservativeConservatism
Economic liberalism
Fiscal conservatism
Andrew Scheer31.89%
99 / 338
95 / 338
New DemocraticSocial democracy
Democratic socialism
Jagmeet Singh19.71%
44 / 338
39 / 338
Bloc QuébécoisQuebec nationalism[9]Yves-François Blanchet4.66%
10 / 338
10 / 338
Green[b]Green politics
Green liberalism
Elizabeth May3.45%
1 / 338
2 / 338
People'sRight-wing populism
Canadian nationalism
Conservatism
Maxime BernierN/A
1 / 338
Co-operative Commonwealth[c]Social democracyN/AN/A
1 / 338
Independents[b]N/AN/A0.28%
0 / 338
8 / 338
Vacant seatsN/AN/A
5 / 338

Bill C-44

[edit]

Bill C-44 was passed in 2017 and assigned responsibility to theParliamentary Budget Office to calculate the cost of party platforms for elections; the review was available in the 2019 election. The Parliamentary Budget Office had a $500,000 budget for costing party platforms for this election, but announced it would only review a party platform at the request of the authoring party. It also conducted confidential assessments of independent and party platform proposals preceding the election campaign. The service was also available to members of parliament representing a party without official party status in the House of Commons, likeElizabeth May's Green Party.[11]

Electoral reform

[edit]
Main article:Canadian House of Commons Special Committee on Electoral Reform

In June 2015, Trudeau pledged to reform the electoral system if elected, saying, "We are committed to ensuring that 2015 is the last election held under first-past-the-post."[12][13] As the Liberals, New Democrats, Bloc Québécois, and Green Party were all in favour of reform, a different voting system could have been in place by the next federal election.[14]

ASpecial Committee on Electoral Reform was formed with representatives from all five parties in the House. The committee's report,Strengthening Democracy in Canada: Principles, Process and Public Engagement for Electoral Reform, was presented in December 2016 and recommended aproportional electoral system be introduced following a national referendum. The majority of the all-party committee recommended "that the government should, as it develops a new electoral system ... [seek to] minimize the level of distortion between the popular will of the electorate and the resultant seat allocations in Parliament."[15][16]

The mandate of the committee was to "identify and conduct a study of viable alternate voting systems" rather than to recommend a specific alternative system.[17] TheMinister of Democratic InstitutionsMaryam Monsef was critical of the committee's recommendation saying "I have to admit I'm a little disappointed, because what we had hoped the committee would provide us with would be a specific alternative system to first past the post." Interim Conservative LeaderRona Ambrose said Monsef's comments were "a disgrace" and Green Party LeaderElizabeth May said "[t]he minister chose to insult the committee and chose to mislead Canadians."[15]

In February 2017, Trudeau dropped support for electoral reform, issuing a mandate to newly appointed Minister of Democratic InstitutionsKarina Gould, saying that, "A clear preference for a new electoral system, let alone a consensus, has not emerged. ... Changing the electoral system will not be in your mandate."[18] In response to questions from the public in Iqaluit, Trudeau said "It is because I felt it was not in the best interests of our country and of our future," citing concerns that alternative electoral systems would give too much power to "extremist and activist voices" that could create "instability and uncertainty" dividing the country.[19]

Assessment of Trudeau's government

[edit]

In July 2019, an independent academically edited study,Assessing Justin Trudeau's Liberal Government: 353 Promises and a Mandate for Change, was published by Les Presses de l'Université Laval, finding that Justin Trudeau's government kept 92 per cent of pledges, when complete and partial pledges were added together, while the Harper government kept 85 per cent of complete and partial pledges. When only completed, realized pledges were calculated, Harper's government, in their last year, kept 77 per cent of promises while the Liberal government kept 53.5 per cent. The book notes that Harper's pledges tended towards transactional pledges which target sub-populations while Trudeau's government's promises were transformative—ambitious pledges the Liberals took while they were the third-place party. Trudeau's government, according to the researchers, and the "last Harper government had the highest rates of follow-through on their campaign promises of any Canadian government over the last 35 years."[20][21]

Election spending

[edit]

According to Elections Canada rules, third parties are allowed to spend $1,023,400 in the pre-election period between June 30 and the start of the election campaign. They can spend an additional $511,700 during the election campaign.[22][23]

Reimbursements for political parties and candidates

[edit]

Political parties receive a reimbursement for 50 per cent of their election expenses during the writ period. Similarly, electoral district associations receive a reimbursement of 60 per cent of their election expenses during the writ period. Both reimbursements are publicly funded.[24][d]

Registered third parties

[edit]

A person or group must register as athird party immediately after incurring expenses totaling $500 or more on regulated activities that take place during the pre-election period or election period. The regulated activities are partisan activities (that promote parties or candidates), election surveys, partisan advertising and election advertising. Furthermore, to be a third party you must be :

  • an individual who is a Canadian citizen, a permanent resident or lives in Canada
  • a corporation that carries on business in Canada, or
  • a group, as long as a person responsible for the group is a Canadian citizen, a permanent resident or lives in Canada.

One cannot spend money or use their resources to influence Canadian elections if they are a foreign third party.

There are also strict limits on expenses related to regulated activities, and specific limits that can be incurred to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district. Registered third parties are subject to an election advertising expenses limit of $1,023,400 in the pre-election period, of which $10,234 can be spent in a given electoral district and $511,700 during the election period. Of that amount, no more than $4,386 can be spent to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district.[25][26][27]

Incumbents not running for reelection

[edit]

Below are the 44 MPs who chose not to run in the 2019 federal election:

Member of Parliament[a 1]Electoral districtProvince or territoryMP since
 Frank Baylis[28]Pierrefonds—DollardQuebec2015
 Bill Casey[29]Cumberland—ColchesterNova Scotia2015[a 2]
 Rodger Cuzner[30]Cape Breton—CansoNova Scotia2000
 Mark Eyking[31]Sydney—VictoriaNova Scotia2000
 Colin Fraser[32]West NovaNova Scotia2015
 Pam Goldsmith-Jones[33]West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky CountryBritish Columbia2015
 T. J. Harvey[34]Tobique—MactaquacNew Brunswick2015
 Andrew Leslie[35]OrléansOntario2015
 Eva Nassif[36]VimyQuebec2015
 John Oliver[37]OakvilleOntario2015
 Denis Paradis[38]Brome—MissisquoiQuebec2015
 Kyle Peterson[39]Newmarket—AuroraOntario2015
 Don Rusnak[40]Thunder Bay—Rainy RiverOntario2015
 Geng Tan[28]Don Valley NorthOntario2015
 Borys Wrzesnewskyj[41]Etobicoke CentreOntario2015[a 3]
 David Anderson[42]Cypress Hills—GrasslandsSaskatchewan2000
 Jim Eglinski[43]YellowheadAlberta2014
 Kellie Leitch[44]Simcoe—GreyOntario2011
 Guy Lauzon[45]Stormont—Dundas—South GlengarryOntario2004
 Larry Miller[46]Bruce—Grey—Owen SoundOntario2004
 Rob Nicholson[47]Niagara FallsOntario2004
 Alex Nuttall[48]Barrie—Springwater—Oro-MedonteOntario2015
 Bev Shipley[49]Lambton—Kent—MiddlesexOntario2006
 Robert Sopuck[50]Dauphin—Swan River—NeepawaManitoba2010
 Kevin Sorenson[51]Battle River—CrowfootAlberta2000
 David Tilson[32]Dufferin—CaledonOntario2004
 Dave Van Kesteren[52]Chatham-Kent—LeamingtonOntario2006
 Mark Warawa[53][a 4]Langley—AldergroveBritish Columbia2004
 Marjolaine Boutin-Sweet[54]HochelagaQuebec2011
 David Christopherson[55]Hamilton CentreOntario2004
 Nathan Cullen[56]Skeena—Bulkley ValleyBritish Columbia2004
 Fin Donnelly[57]Port Moody—CoquitlamBritish Columbia2009
 Linda Duncan[58]Edmonton StrathconaAlberta2008
 Hélène Laverdière[59]Laurier—Sainte-MarieQuebec2011
 Irene Mathyssen[60]London—FanshaweOntario2006
 Anne Minh-Thu Quach[61]Salaberry—SuroîtQuebec2011
 Christine Moore[62]Abitibi—TémiscamingueQuebec2011
 Murray Rankin[63]VictoriaBritish Columbia2012
 Romeo Saganash[64]Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—EeyouQuebec2011
 Erin Weir[65][a 5]Regina—LewvanSaskatchewan2015
 Celina Caesar-Chavannes[66][a 6]WhitbyOntario2015
 Tony Clement[67][a 7]Parry Sound-MuskokaOntario2006
 Darshan Kang[a 6]Calgary SkyviewAlberta2015
 Hunter Tootoo[68][a 6]NunavutNunavut2015
  1. ^affiliation as at dissolution
  2. ^had also served as MP in 1988–1993, 1997–2009
  3. ^had also served as MP in 2004–2011
  4. ^announced retirement; died before election
  5. ^elected as NDP
  6. ^abcelected as Liberal
  7. ^elected as Conservative

Timeline

[edit]
See also:42nd Canadian Parliament
Changes in seats held (2015–2019)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Medicine Hat—Cardston—WarnerMarch 23, 2016[69]Jim Hillyer ConservativeDeath in officeOctober 24, 2016[70]Glen Motz Conservative
NunavutMay 31, 2016[71]Hunter Tootoo LiberalResigned from caucus[a 1] Independent
Ottawa—VanierAugust 16, 2016[72]Mauril Bélanger LiberalDeath in officeApril 3, 2017Mona Fortier Liberal
Calgary HeritageAugust 26, 2016[73]Stephen Harper ConservativeResignationApril 3, 2017Bob Benzen Conservative
Calgary MidnaporeSeptember 23, 2016[74]Jason Kenney ConservativeResignation[a 2]April 3, 2017Stephanie Kusie Conservative
Saint-LaurentJanuary 31, 2017[75]Stéphane Dion LiberalResignation[a 3]April 3, 2017Emmanuella Lambropoulos Liberal
Markham—ThornhillJanuary 31, 2017John McCallum LiberalResignation[a 4]April 3, 2017Mary Ng Liberal
Sturgeon River—ParklandJuly 4, 2017[76]Rona Ambrose ConservativeResignationOctober 23, 2017Dane Lloyd Conservative
Lac-Saint-JeanAugust 9, 2017[77]Denis Lebel ConservativeResignationOctober 23, 2017[78]Richard Hébert Liberal
Calgary SkyviewAugust 31, 2017[79]Darshan Kang LiberalResigned from caucus[a 5] Independent
Scarborough—AgincourtSeptember 14, 2017[80][81]Arnold Chan LiberalDeath in officeDecember 11, 2017[82]Jean Yip Liberal
Bonavista—Burin—TrinitySeptember 30, 2017[83]Judy Foote LiberalResignation[a 6]December 11, 2017Churence Rogers Liberal
South Surrey—White RockSeptember 30, 2017[84]Dianne Watts ConservativeResignation[a 7]December 11, 2017Gordon Hogg Liberal
Battlefords—LloydminsterOctober 2, 2017[85]Gerry Ritz ConservativeResignationDecember 11, 2017Rosemarie Falk Conservative
Chicoutimi—Le FjordDecember 1, 2017[86]Denis Lemieux LiberalResignationJune 18, 2018[87]Richard Martel Conservative
TerrebonneFebruary 28, 2018[88][89]Michel Boudrias Bloc QuébécoisResigned from caucus Groupe parl qué
June 6, 2018[90] Bloc Québécois
Rivière-du-NordFebruary 28, 2018Rhéal Fortin Bloc QuébécoisResigned from caucus Groupe parl qué
September 17, 2018[91] Bloc Québécois
MirabelFebruary 28, 2018Simon Marcil Bloc QuébécoisResigned from caucus Groupe parl qué
June 6, 2018 Bloc Québécois
RepentignyFebruary 28, 2018Monique Pauzé Bloc QuébécoisResigned from caucus Groupe parl qué
September 17, 2018[91] Bloc Québécois
Bécancour—Nicolet—SaurelFebruary 28, 2018Louis Plamondon Bloc QuébécoisResigned from caucus Groupe parl qué
September 17, 2018[91] Bloc Québécois
JolietteFebruary 28, 2018Gabriel Ste-Marie Bloc QuébécoisResigned from caucus Groupe parl qué
September 17, 2018[91] Bloc Québécois
MontcalmFebruary 28, 2018Luc Thériault Bloc QuébécoisResigned from caucus Groupe parl qué
September 17, 2018[91] Bloc Québécois
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau LakesMay 2, 2018[92]Gord Brown ConservativeDeath in officeDecember 3, 2018[93]Michael Barrett Conservative
Regina—LewvanMay 3, 2018[94]Erin Weir New DemocraticRemoved from caucus[a 8]May 11, 2018[95] CCF
OutremontAugust 3, 2018[96]Tom Mulcair New DemocraticResignationFebruary 25, 2019[97]Rachel Bendayan Liberal
BeauceAugust 23, 2018[98]Maxime Bernier ConservativeResigned from caucusSeptember 14, 2018 People's
Burnaby SouthSeptember 14, 2018[99]Kennedy Stewart New DemocraticResignation[a 9]February 25, 2019[97]Jagmeet Singh New Democratic
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond HillSeptember 17, 2018[100]Leona Alleslev LiberalChanged affiliation Conservative
York—SimcoeSeptember 30, 2018[101]Peter Van Loan ConservativeResignationFebruary 25, 2019[97]Scot Davidson Conservative
Parry Sound-MuskokaNovember 7, 2018[102]Tony Clement ConservativeResigned from caucus[a 10] Independent
Brampton EastNovember 30, 2018[103][non-primary source needed][104]Raj Grewal LiberalResigned from caucus[a 11] Independent
Nanaimo—LadysmithJanuary 2, 2019[105]Sheila Malcolmson New DemocraticResigned[a 12]May 6, 2019[106]Paul Manly Green
Saint-Léonard—Saint-MichelJanuary 29, 2019[107]Nicola Di Iorio LiberalResignation
Kings—HantsFebruary 10, 2019[108]Scott Brison LiberalResignation
WhitbyMarch 20, 2019[109]Celina Caesar-Chavannes LiberalResigned from caucus Independent
Markham—StouffvilleApril 2, 2019[110]Jane Philpott LiberalRemoved from caucus[a 13] Independent
Vancouver GranvilleApril 2, 2019[110]Jody Wilson-Raybould LiberalRemoved from caucus[a 13] Independent
Langley—AldergroveJune 20, 2019Mark Warawa ConservativeDeath in office[a 14]
Calgary Forest LawnAugust 2, 2019Deepak Obhrai ConservativeDeath in office[a 14]
Longueuil—Saint-HubertAugust 16, 2019[111][112]Pierre Nantel New DemocraticRemoved from caucus[a 15]August 16, 2019[112] Independent
  1. ^to seek treatment for addiction
  2. ^in order toseek the leadership of theProgressive Conservative Association of Alberta
  3. ^becomingAmbassador to the European Union
  4. ^becomingAmbassador to China
  5. ^amid allegations ofsexual harassment
  6. ^formerMinister of Public Services and Procurement
  7. ^following her entrance into the2018 British Columbia Liberal Party leadership election
  8. ^over harassment allegations
  9. ^torun for Mayor of Vancouver
  10. ^as a result of asexting scandal
  11. ^to seek treatment for a gambling addiction
  12. ^to run for the provincial district ofNanaimo
  13. ^abamid theSNC-Lavalin affair
  14. ^abdies due tocancer, while serving as a Conservative MP
  15. ^will run forGreens in 2019 Canadian federal election

2015

[edit]

2016

[edit]

2017

[edit]

2018

[edit]

2019

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Endorsements received by each party
TypeLiberalConservativeNDPBloc QuébécoisGreenPPCNo endorsement
MediaHamilton Spectator[149]
Toronto Star[150]
The Varsity[e][151]
Le Devoir[f][152]
PostMedia[153][154][155][156]Le Devoir[f][152]The Globe and Mail[157]
Politicians and public figuresBarack Obama[158]
Masai Ujiri[159]
Martin Luther King III[160]
Blaine Higgs[161]
Jason Kenney[162]
Brian Pallister[163]
Rupi Kaur[164]
Rachel Notley[g][165]
Wab Kinew[166]
Ryan Meili[167]
Pamela Anderson[168]
Neil Young[169]
Dennis King[163]
François Legault[170]
Hazel McCallion[171]
Scott Moe[167]
John Tory[172]
Unions and business associationsOntario Federation of Labour[173]

Campaign slogans

[edit]
PartyEnglishFrenchTranslation of French (unofficial)
Conservative Party"It's time for you to get ahead."[174]"Plus. Pour vous. Dès maintenant."[175]"More. For you. Starting now."
New Democratic Party"In it for you."[176]"Les progressistes : c'est nous"[177][h]"We are the progressives"
Liberal Party"Choose Forward"[178]"Choisir d'avancer"[179]"Choosing to move forward"
Bloc Québécois
N/A
"Le Québec, c'est nous"[180]"Quebec, it's us" or "We are Quebec"
Green Party"Not Left. Not Right. Forward Together."[181]"L'urgence d'agir."[182][i]"The urgency to act."
People's Party"Strong & Free"[183]"Fort et libre""Strong and free"

Election campaign

[edit]

Liberal

[edit]

TheParliament of Canada'sEthics Commissioner,Mario Dion, found that Trudeau improperly influenced thenMinister of Justice and Attorney GeneralJody Wilson-Raybould to intervene in an ongoing criminal case against Quebec-based construction companySNC-Lavalin.[184] TheTrudeau government has maintained that there was no undue pressure or law broken, that offering SNC-Lavalin adeferred prosecution agreement (DPA) could save jobs, and that the controversy resulted from a misunderstanding and an "erosion of trust".The affair became public in February 2019, shortly after Wilson-Raybould had been shuffled to another cabinet position. Wilson-Raybould resigned from cabinet later that day. This was followed by the resignation of cabinet ministerJane Philpott, over the government's handling of the affair. In April, Wilson-Raybould and Philpott were expelled by Trudeau from the Liberal caucus; Trudeau cited concerns for division in and subsequent weakening of the Liberal party. On April 2, 2019, Wilson-Raybould, as Liberal candidate forVancouver Granville, and Philpott, as Liberal candidate forMarkham—Stouffville, were deselected as candidates.[185]

In late August, Party deputy leaderRalph Goodale, Liberal candidate forRegina—Wascana,Lawrence MacAulay, candidate forCardigan, andFrancis Scarpaleggia, candidate forLac-Saint-Louis, were singled out for their opposition tosame-sex marriage. Pundits argued that Goodale was being hypocritical, due to his role with Scheer and the same-sex marriage incident.[186][187] Goodale later stated that he had evolved on the position and wanted answers from Scheer.[188]

On August 30, Hassan Guillet, Liberal candidate forSaint-Léonard—Saint-Michel, was dropped as a candidate following allegations of anti-Semitic comments fromB'nai B'rith.[189] Guillet's nomination previously raised concern that his ethnicity would be out of place in the majority Italian riding.[190] Guillet denied the allegation, alleged that the Liberals were aware of the post, and that they "imposed" his replacementPatricia Lattanzio, on the riding.[191] On September 20, Guillet announced he would run as an independent.[192]

Sameer Zuberi, Liberal candidate forPierrefonds—Dollard, was nominated on September 15, despite questioning Osama bin Laden's involvement in 9/11 in a social media post.[193] Zuberi called the accusations false saying it was an attempt by the Conservatives to deflect attention away from their own candidates with extremist or white supremacist leanings.[194]

On September 18,L'Express of Drummondville reported that the Liberal candidate forDrummond, William Morales' nomination victory was attended by two convicted criminals. Morales said that while he maintains contact with Spanish-speaking members from the Drummondville community the two people were not involved in his campaign and he does not have close relations with them.[195] He later told his local newspaper that he interacts with members regardless of their background.[196]

On September 18, Trudeau attracted controversy for a photograph published inTime magazine, in which he worebrownface makeup to a party atWest Point Grey Academy, where he was a teacher, in 2001. Trudeau called it a mistake and apologized publicly for it.[197][198] When apologizing, Trudeau also confessed to having worn similar makeup in high-school.[199] Following his apology, an earlier instance from the early 1990s of Trudeau wearing blackface makeup was uncovered.[200][199] The following day, Trudeau apologized again and said he was "not that person anymore".[201][202][203] He also said that it should not be called "makeup" but blackface.[202] Some commentators labelled this hypocritical, since the Liberals had exposed the past misdeeds of some Conservative candidates.[204][205] Trudeau drew a mixed reaction from the public. Some were upset and contemplated changing their vote,[206][207] while others defended him, such as members of minorities, minority community groups, racialized commentators and some of his opponents.[207][208][209][210][211][212] Later, Trudeau announced that he wanted to apologize personally to Jagmeet Singh, who replied that he would only meet Trudeau for an apology if it was "politics-free" and private.[213] Following the announcement, Singh received a call from Trudeau on September 24, and they talked privately for 15 to 20 minutes.[214] In the days following the scandal, pollsters pointed out that the majority of Canadians either were not bothered by the scandal or had accepted Trudeau's apology.[215][216]

On September 23, Del Arnold, Liberal candidate forCalgary Shepard, apologized to Conservative rivalTom Kmiec after spreading misleading information about his place of residence. Arnold has not apologized for a deleted tweet that accused Andrew Scheer of having links to "white supremacy" and the 2017Unite the Right rally in Virginia.[217]

On September 28,Judy Sgro, Liberal candidate forHumber River—Black Creek, made remarks during an interview with a radio network called GBKM FM defending Trudeau's wearing of brownface/blackface makeup: "Those in the black community have told me how much more love they have for the prime minister, that he wanted to have a black face. That he took great pride in that, too". She later apologized for her remarks, saying that "the comments I made on GBKM FM were insensitive," and further adding "I should have known better, and I apologize".[218][219][220]

On October 13, due to a security threat, Trudeau appeared 90 minutes late to a campaign rally. Trudeau took extraordinary security precautions at the event. He wore a bulletproof vest and was surrounded by heavily armed security personnel. His wife was also supposed to introduce him, but she did not appear on stage. The Liberal Party did not reveal the nature of the threat.[221][222][223] Scheer and Singh both showed concern for Trudeau following the threat.[222][224] The following day, the RCMP was still with the Liberal leader.[225] Furthermore, Trudeau explained that he followed advice from the RCMP and that this event will not change the way he campaigns.[224][226]

On October 14, Trudeau dodged multiple questions about a possible coalition with the NDP in a minority scenario. He responded that he remains focused on winning a majority.[227][228]

Conservative

[edit]

About one year after he assumed office, polling showed that Ontario PremierDoug Ford of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario was deeply unpopular—in some cases even less popular than previous Ontario Liberal Party PremierKathleen Wynne when she lost power,[229][230][231] which could have deterred voters from voting for Scheer.[232][233] This worried CPC insiders and prompted theProgressive Conservative Party of Ontario to call an extended recess of the provincial legislature to reduce negative news coverage, in order to help the federal Tories.[234][231] If the Conservatives lost the election, Scheer pledged to blame it on Ford during his leadership review.[231] Therefore, leading up to the campaign, Andrew Scheer distanced himself from Ford and later campaigned without him.[235][236] Meanwhile, the Liberals and Scheer's opponents tried to capitalize on Ford's unpopularity by linking Scheer to the Premier multiple times.[237][238][239]

Several CPC candidates were dropped leading to and during the course of the campaign. On April 25, Harzadan Khattra, the candidate forDufferin—Caledon, was disqualified after a fellow contestant sent the party verifiable information about "membership buying, improper voting, and other concerns".[240] On June 28,Salim Mansur, the candidate forLondon North Centre, was disqualified over alleged fears that the Liberals would characterize Mansur's record as Islamophobic.[241] On July 10, Mark King, the candidate forNipissing—Timiskaming, was stripped of his nomination for disputed reasons.[242][243] On September 12, Cameron Ogilvie, Conservative candidate forWinnipeg North, resigned as a candidate after the party became aware of withheld social media post which the Conservative Party described as "discriminatory".[244] On October 4, the party announced that Heather Leung, the candidate forBurnaby North—Seymour, was dropped as reports surfaced of her making anti-LGBTQ comments in a video from 2011.[245][246] Due to the deadline for naming candidates having passed, her name remained on the ballot.[247][246] If she were to win, she would not sit in the party's caucus.[248] Questions were raised as to why it took the party so long to remove her, since she was "a known commodity" when she was nominated.[249][250] She had made anti-LGBTQ and anti-abortion comments in the past and ignored the media for months.[251][250][252] Her riding association had also been criticized for their controversial social media posts.[251][246] On October 10, Leung claimed she was misunderstood and that her comments were lost in translation since English is her third language. However, she did not apologize for her comments.[253]

On July 10, Cyma Musarat, Conservative candidate forPickering—Uxbridge, faced an allegation from fellow party members that she won her nomination by using improper voting procedures.[254] The Conservative Party faced an accusation that its headquarters had been delaying the nomination contest to find a different candidate.[255] From July 24 to September 15, Ghada Melek attracted attention. This conservative candidate forMississauga—Streetsville, was revealed by former organizers of theOntario Progressive Conservative Party to have been rejected as a candidate in theprovincial riding overTwitter posts about Muslim extremism.[256]National Council of Canadian Muslims had issues over Melek's Twitter posts about Islam and LGBT+ community.[257] Scheer accepted an apology she issued for her comments.[258] Later, CTV News obtained her provincial vetting report and her promotion of conspiracy theories was seen as another factor behind her disqualification.[259] When asked about the provincial party red-flagging Melek, Scheer defended her again.[260]

On August 22, Scheer faced questions over a 2005 online video in which he spoke against same-sex marriage[261] Scheer himself did not respond until a press conference a week later where he argued that Trudeau was raising a wedge issue;[262] Several pundits had an issue with his response.[263][264] Weeks later, Scheer was asked if he needed to apologize for his comments giving the standards he set for his candidates; however he gave no response.[265] After Trudeau's apology regarding blackface, Scheer was asked again if he should apologize for his words; he gave no response.[266][267] Scheer once again chose to not answer the question directly on popular Quebec talk showTout le monde en parle. He said that he supports the law and the rights of Canadians, but that he will not walk in Pride parades.[268]

Between August 26 and 30, the Conservatives were questioned on abortion.Alain Rayes, Scheer'sQuebec lieutenant, attracted attention after he told a Quebec radio station that he misspoke on the party stance on abortion.[269] A few days later, Scheer held a press conference, where he addressed the issue. However, his answers were seen as confusing in the media, and anti-abortion activists found his answers to be mixed-messaging.[270][271] A day later, Scheer said that he and his cabinet would vote against anti-abortion bills if the debate is re-opened.[272] Scheer reiterated this statement onTout le monde en parle.[268] A day after his rivals pushed him to clarify his position during the TVA debate, Scheer mentioned that he was pro-life but reiterated what he said in the past concerning anti-abortion bills.[273][274]

On September 12, Rachel Wilson, Conservative candidate forYork Centre, attracted attention after a video was posted online that called for pro-life legislation.[275] Wilson did not comment when asked about abortion legislation.[276] On September 13, Arpan Khanna, Conservative candidate forBrampton North, apologized after it was revealed that he offhandedly used the slur "fag" to tease a friend.[277] On September 14, Justina McCaffrey, Conservative candidate forKanata—Carleton, attracted attention for making negative remarks in a video aboutJustin Trudeau and Francophones, and her relationship withFaith Goldy.[278] She departed a campaign event when confronted by reporters, but later released a statement apologizing for her comments and later stated that her relationship with Goldy ended a longtime ago.[278][279] However, there were pictures of the two together in 2017—one of them featured Goldy doing the "OK sign".[280][281][282] Conservative campaign manager Hamish Marshall's past role as a director ofRebel Media was also questioned, since Goldy was an on-screen personality before being fired.[283][284] On October 7, the Canadian Press discovered that McCaffrey was a member of the controversial religious groupOpus Dei. The CPC's spokesperson responded by saying that they do not question their candidates about their personal religious beliefs.[285]

On September 28,The Globe and Mail revealed that they found no record of Scheer receiving the licence required by law to work as an insurance agent or broker in Saskatchewan despite him claiming so in the past.[286][287][288]Robert Fife, the Ottawa bureau chief forThe Globe and Mail, explained that Scheer was an insurance clerk.[289] Scheer responded by saying that he did receive his accreditation, but that he left the insurance office before the licensing process was finalized.[288][290] Later, the Insurance Brokers Association of Saskatchewan said that Scheer completed just one of four required courses to become an insurance broker. The IBAS declined to comment further and said that a formal complaint had been launched by Liberal MPMarco Mendicino to the General Insurance Council of Saskatchewan.[291][292]

On October 3,The Globe and Mail revealed that Scheer haddual Canadian and American citizenship. The latter was obtained through his American-born father.[293][294] He began the process ofrenouncing his US citizenship in August.[294][295] Scheer confirmed that he has filed US tax returns. A party spokesperson added that he let his US passport lapse and that he has not voted in any U.S. election.[296] The party verified that he is registered forthe draft under the U.S.Selective Service System, which is a list of individuals who can be conscripted into the armed forces in the event of a national emergency.[297][298] When asked why he had not previously disclosed his dual citizenship, Scheer stated that he had never been asked about it.[299] It was seen as hypocritical since Scheer had attacked former Governor GeneralMichaëlle Jean on this same issue and because the Conservatives had attackedThomas Mulcair andStéphane Dion on this issue.[293][294][300] Scheer defended the former by stating that he was asking a question to his constituents and said that he was not leading the party at the time when it came to the latter situation.[296][301] Over the next days, he refused to explain how he traveled to the United States without a valid U.S. passport. It is against the law for U.S. citizens to do so without a valid U.S. passport.[302]

On October 11, the CBC filed an application in the Federal Court of Canada against the Conservative party over the use of television excerpts in partisan advertising. They claimed the party's use of excerpts violated the "moral rights" of news anchor Rosemary Barton and reporter John Paul Tasker. The action was brought despite the material having been taken down from websites and deleted from Twitter. The CBC said that it was given no reassurance that such use would not be repeated. The lawsuit says that the use of the material in a partisan way "diminishes the reputation" of the CBC and leaves it open to allegations that it is biased.[303][304][305][306]

On October 14, Scheer ruled out any coalition or negotiations with the Bloc Québécois. He said that he "does not need to work with the Bloc Québécois to deliver results for Quebec" and that he can work with Quebec Premier François Legault to deliver them.[307][228] On October 16, Scheer said that the party with most seats should have the right to form government.[308][309] A day later, he stood by his claim and added that is what has happened in modern history.[310] Journalists pointed out that it was not the case and gave examples such as the2018 New Brunswick general election and the2017 British Columbia general election.[311][312][313][314]

On October 18 and 19,The Globe and Mail and CBC News revealed that the Conservative Party hiredWarren Kinsella to "seek and destroy" the People's Party.[315][316] Bernier filed a complaint to Elections Canada over what he called "a secret campaign to smear his party".[317][318] Scheer did not say or deny that the Conservatives hired a consultant to destroy the PPC.[319][320]

New Democratic Party

[edit]

NDP candidates were dropped or stepped down during the course of the campaign. On June 20, Rana Zaman, candidate forDartmouth—Cole Harbour, was dropped over comments about theIsraeli–Palestinian conflict that the party deemed "unacceptable".[321]

On August 16,Pierre Nantel, candidate forLongueuil—Saint-Hubert, was de-selected after reports surfaced of ongoing discussions regarding Nantel joining theGreen Party of Canada.[322] On September 11, Dock Currie, candidate forKamloops-Thompson-Cariboo, was forced to resign over "flippant and aggressive" comments he made toward pro-pipeline activists.[323] The next day, Olivier Mathieu, candidate forLasalle-Emard-Verdun, stepped down following allegations of physical abuse against his ex-spouse.[324]

During the election, Jagmeet Singh has faced questions about wearing of a turban and whether that would reduce the number of people who would vote for him. Jonathan Richardson, the former federal NDP's executive member for Atlantic Canada, who defected to theGreen Party, stated in an interview withCBC Radio, that some potential NDP candidates were hesitant to run in New Brunswick, due to Singh's turban.[325]CTV News covered a Singh event inVerner, Ontario and spoke to a number of voters there, including NDP supporters, who said that they would not vote for a leader wearing a turban.[326]CBC News found a similar reaction inRuth Ellen Brosseau's riding.[327] Singh responded to these concerns. He explained some things about his turban and recorded a French ad without it to alleviate people's worries.[328][329] Furthermore, according toAlexandre Boulerice, the party's Deputy Leader andQuebec lieutenant, the NDP is targeting young voters and they do not care about the turban.[330]

On October 2, a man told Singh to cut off his turban to look more Canadian during a campaign stop. Singh replied that Canadians "look like all sorts of people" before walking off.[331][332]

During the campaign, Singh talked about what he would do in a minority. On August 22, due to the controversy over Scheer's previous comments about same-sex marriage, he announced that the NDP would not support a Conservative minority government under any circumstances.[333] On September 22, Singh announced that despite Trudeau's past brownface and blackface incidents, he would not rule out working with the Liberals in a minority scenario.[334] On October 10, he laid out the conditions for NDP support in a minority Parliament: a national single-payer universal pharmacare plan, a national dental care plan, investments in housing, a plan to waive interest on student loans, a commitment to reduce emissions, to end subsidies for oil companies and to deliver aid to oilpatch workers to transition them out of fossil fuel industries, the introduction of a "super wealth" tax, a commitment to closing tax loopholes and reducing cellphone bills. He later added that changing the way the country votes is also a condition (Singh's NDP backs a system ofmixed-member proportional representation).[335][336] He added that he does not rule out supporting a pipeline-owning Liberal minority government.[337] On October 13, Singh said he would "do whatever it takes" to keep the Tories from power, including forming a coalition government with the Liberals. He added that he is "ready to work with anyone", when he was asked about the Bloc.[338][339] The following day, Singh backed off those comments and urged Canadians to vote NDP in order to receive services like universal pharmacare and dental care.[228][340][341] Later, Singh said that coalition is not a dirty word and doubled down on his view that under no circumstance would his party support the Conservatives in a minority.[342]

Bloc Québécois

[edit]

On August 9, André Parizeau, Bloc candidate forAhuntsic-Cartierville, created attention over his past communist affiliations as Leader of the Parti communiste du Québec (PCQ).[343] Parizeau disavowed the PCQ in order to be accepted as candidate.[344]

In October, the Bloc Québécois called on Quebeckers to vote for candidates "who resemble you" (" des gens qui nous ressemblent ") in the election, prompting NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh to denounce the message as unacceptable and divisive. In his closing statement during Wednesday's French-language debate, Bloc Leader Yves-François Blanchet called on voters to "opt for men and women who resemble you, who share your values, who share your concerns and who work for your interests, and only for the interests of Quebeckers." The Bloc has said the comment has nothing to do with someone's background or religion but with Québécois values.[345][346][347][348] During the English debate, Blanchet called the translation of his words dishonest and mentioned that the same words were used byIgniatieff in 2011 andMulcair in 2015.[349]

On October 10,Le Journal de Montréal discovered that four BQ candidates had made anti-Islam and racist social media posts.[350][351] A Bloc spokeswoman said it was up to Quebeckers to judge its candidates' social-media posts.[351] The comments were condemned by Elizabeth May, Jagmeet Singh,Mélanie Joly andFrançoise David.[352] Later, the candidates all posted the same apology on their respective social media accounts and Yves-François Blanchet apologized for his candidates' Islamophobic and racist social media posts.[353][354]

On October 13, Blanchet announced that they will not support a coalition or a party in a minority scenario. The Bloc will go issue by issue and support what is best for Quebec.[355][356]

Green Party

[edit]

Several GPC candidates were dropped or stepped down during the course of the campaign. On July 23, Brock Grills, Green candidate forPeterborough—Kawartha, stepped down for "personal reasons". Grills was accused of fraud by a former employer but he and the EDA president stated that accusation was not the reason behind his stepping down. Grills, who repeated his reasoning, also mentioned the Green Party central office "pushed" for his resignation because he was reaching out to other parties to ask them to adopt policies to curb climate change.[357] On August 16, Luc Saint-Hilaire, Green candidate forLévis—Lotbinière, was forced to resign because of a Facebook post demanding Boufeldja Benabdallah, co-founder of theCentre Culturel Islamique de Québec, to denounce a man who allegedly lit his ex-wife on fire.[358] On September 12, Erik Schomann, Green candidate forSimcoe North, resigned over a 2007 Facebook post which appeared to suggest he wanted to mail pieces of a pig carcass to Muslims in support of the protesters during theMuhammed comic controversy.[359] On October 7, Marthe Lépine, candidate inGlengarry—Prescott—Russell, was dropped over anti-abortion comments; however, as the party missed the deadline to remove her from the ballot, she remained despite being disavowed.[360]

On September 9, the Green Party issued a statement insisting that there is "zero chance" of reopening the abortion debate; few hours after May stated the Green Party will not ban members from trying to reopen abortion debate in an interview.[361] May later added that MPs risk being ousted if they move to reopen the debate.[362] From September 10 to 16, attention was focused onPierre Nantel, the candidate forLongueuil—Saint-Hubert. He created this attention over his comments aboutQuébec separatism on a Quebec radio station. May disputed that Nantel was aQuebec sovereigntist, but Nantel contradicted her afterwards.[363] However, May stated he could be still be a candidate.[142] Some journalists and columnists were confused by her reasoning for keeping him as a candidate.[364][365] Furthermore, May was asked by the son of the lateJack Layton to not use the latter for political points when defending Nantel.[366] On September 10, Mark Vercouteren, the candidate forChatham-Kent-Leamington, and Macarena Diab, the candidate forLouis-Hébert were revealed to have made "anti-abortion statements".[367] A spokesperson defended both of them but a few days later, it was revealed by May that Vercoutern was being "re-vetted" over the party not noticing Vercouteren's questionnaires.[142] A week after the original comments were revealed, Vercouteren stated his view aligned with the party.[368] On September 12, Dale Dewar, Green candidate forRegina—Qu'Appelle, apologized for making past negative comments on social media about Israel,Zionism andIsraelis.[369]

On October 15, the Green Party found anti-Islam social-media posts by four of its Quebec candidates.[370][371]

Starting on September 23, the GPC drew scrutiny around the world for manipulating a picture of Elizabeth May to make it seem as if she was using a reusable cup and metal straw instead of a disposable cup.[372][373][374] When she was onTout le monde en parle, May clarified that the original photo featured a compostable cup; the picture was modified to add the GPC's logo. She did admit that it was ridiculous that a staffer modified the picture.[375]

Leading up to and during the campaign, May talked about what she would do in a minority. On September 3, she announced that she would not be prepared to prop up any minority government of the major parties given current climate plans.[376] Later, on September 26, May announced that the GPC would not prop up a minority government that moves forward with the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion.[377] In the final week of the campaign, the idea of a coalition took hold. May said that in countries withproportional representation, parties can plan to govern together before the election, but that in Canada such talk is "meaningless" due to thefirst-past-the-post system.[378][379]

People's Party

[edit]

In February 2019, LaPresse discovered that Martin Masse, the PPC's spokesperson, had written controversial blog posts in the past.[380]The Star discovered that four members of the PPC had used racist and anti-immigrant rhetoric. They were removed from the party as a result.[381][382] Bernier himself has been accused multiple times of usingdog-whistle politics.[383][382][384] Bernier responded to this by saying racists are not welcome in his party and acknowledging that Canada is a diverse country.[385][382] Later, Maxime Bernier generated a reaction after a photograph of him with members of an anti-immigration group surfaced online.[386][387] Bernier told the media that everyone is welcome at his events, that he is unaware of their views, that he would condemn them if the media could show that they were racists and that racists were not welcome in his party, but experts were skeptical of Bernier and thought that he was well aware of who was attending.[387] A few weeks later, he was also reprimanded for being photographed withPaul Fromm. A spokesperson stated that Bernier had no idea who Fromm was, but once again experts were skeptical of the explanation.[388][389][390] On September 23, news sites revealed that one of the PPC's founding members was aWhite nationalist and two others had ties toAnti-immigration groups.[391][392] One of those founding members—a former American neo-Nazi leader—was volunteering for the party. He was also a member of theOntario Progressive Conservative Party.[393] He was removed from the party on August 29, after his past came to light.[394] The PPC's spokesperson said that it did not come up during the vetting process since he came from the US. They later cited toGlobal News that his removal was an example of the Party taking a stand against racism.[391] The party toldLe Devoir that they did not have enough resources to vet them at the beginning of the PPC 's formation and the two other members denied having racist views.[395]

On July 30, Cody Payant, People's candidate forCarlton Trail—Eagle Creek, attracted attention for a social media post defendingLindsay Shepherd. Payant argue that it was taken out of context. Bernier defended Payant after he spoke to Payant and was satisfied with his explanation.[396]

On September 2, Maxime Bernier calledGreta Thunberg "mentally unstable" on Twitter.[397] A few days later, he backtracked his comments stating his intention was to criticize her role as "a spokesperson forclimate alarmism" and did not mean to denigrate her.[398] After the campaign, Bernier classified these comments as his only election regret and as a mistake.[399]

On September 18,Steven Fletcher, People's candidate forCharleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley, denied allegations for illegally using campaign signs and voter data from the Conservative Party. Fletcher also suggested that the move was political motivated from the Conservative and took issues to the fact that the letter was leaked online.[400] On September 19, 2019, Nancy Mercier, People's candidate forBeauséjour, raised concern from local organizations over comments aboutIslamism andimmigration Mercier indicated her concerns are with Islamic terrorism and not members of any race.[401] On October 10, Sybil Hogg, the candidate for Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook, came under fire for a series ofanti-Islam tweets calling Islam "pure evil" and for the religion to be banned in Canada. The PPC's executive director reached out to her to understand the context and Hogg explained that she failed to draw the distinction between "Islam" and "Islamism" or "radical Islam". She added that her concern was radical Islam and not Islam. Due to the response, the PPC said they would not take action against her. Later, Bernier called the tweets "absolutely racist and Islamophobic" and confirmed that she will not face consequences.[402][403][404]

Several candidates were dropped or stepped down before the election. On September 6, Ken Pereira, People's candidate forPortneuf—Jacques-Cartier, stepped down because of a "terrible family tragedy". When announced as the candidate, Pereira had attracted attention for his online "anti-vaccine" and "pro-conspiracy theory" posts and was defended by the party.[405] On September 12, Brian Misera, People's candidate forCoquitlam—Port Coquitlam, claimed that he was removed for asking Bernier to denounce racism more clearly in an online video posted on Misera's Twitter account. However, the PPC stated that Misera was removed after he allegedly admitted to the party that he was his own financial agent, a violation ofElections Canada rules.[277] Yet a statement of Misera's disqualification obtained by City News made no reference to the PPC's claim or Misera's claim.[406] On September 30, Chad Hudson, People's Party candidate for the Nova Scotia riding of West Nova, tweeted that he would no longer be running for the party, less than two hours before Elections Canada's deadline for candidates to officially register to be on the ballot. He criticized the party and its leadership for being "divisive", as well as "bad for democracy" and contributors to the "toxic state of politics". Hudson, later admitted that he did not notify the party of his decision.[407] On October 8, Victor Ong, the People's Party of Canada candidate in Winnipeg North, resigned after deciding the party is "racist and intolerant".[408][409]

Third-party organizations

[edit]

On August 19, environmental groups were warned byElections Canada that any third party that promotes information about climate change during the election period with paid advertising could be engaging in partisan activity.[410] Registered charities with a charitable tax status would be required to register as a third party for the election if they engaged in any partisan activity incurring $500, which would include advertising and surveys, or risk their charitable tax status.[411] These regulations were a result ofPeople's Party of Canada leaderMaxime Bernier expressing doubts about the legitimacy of climate change, because a third party that advertises the dangers of climate change during the election period may be considered to be indirectly advocating against the People's Party.[411] After confusion about the warning, Elections Canada released a public statement to clarify that the prohibition applied only to advertising, not speech in general the following day.[412]

On August 25, billboards purchased by a True North Strong & Free Advertising Corp., a third party promoting thePeople's Party of Canada's immigration policy, with the text "Say NO to Mass Immigration" appeared in Vancouver, Calgary, Regina, and Halifax. True North Strong & Free Advertising Corp is run by Frank Smeenk, the chief executive of a Toronto-based mining exploration company. The Peoples Party of Canada told the media that it had no contact with the group.[413] Initially,Pattison Outdoor Advertising defended the billboards, arguing that they complied with theAdvertising Standards Canada Code[414] but later decided to pull them and said that they would review their protocols on advocacy advertising.[415] The Pattison president later revealed that the billboards would have stayed up had True North Strong & Free identified themselves on the billboards and how the public could get in touch with them.[416]

On October 3, the CBC revealed that theManning Centre is a driving financial force behind a network of anti-Liberal Facebook pages pumping out political messaging and memes during the federal election campaign.[417][418] Facebook pulled one of their ads due to the excess violence.[419] The Manning Centre's donations to those groups, worth more than $300,000, are hidden, since the think tank, which did not register as a third party, does not intend to disclose them. Elections Canada says there is nothing in the law to prevent outside groups from raising money and then passing those donations along to third-party advertisers.[420][421] As a result of this lack of disclosure,Democracy Watch filed a complaint to Canada'sChief Electoral Officer. It argued that the Manning Centre should have registered as a third party.[22][422] Furthermore, due to this controversy,Jean-Pierre Kingsley, the former chief electoral officer, said that the next federal government must close the gap in the law that allowed the Manning Centre to raise money and then pass it along to third-party groups without disclosing the source of those donations.[423]

Third-party spending (from June 30, 2019, until October 1, 2019)[22][j]
Third party[k]Money spent during the pre-election periodMoney spent during the election campaign
Unifor$923,417$365,963
United Steelworkers$739,548$142,419
Fairness Works$551,987N/A
Friends of Canadian Broadcasting$211,615$329,372
Canadian Federation of Nurses Unions$8,475$412,606
Canadians United for Change$51,557$292,464
Canadian Medical Association$221,709$86,971
Grain Farmers of Ontario$167,800$71,250
Canadian Union of Postal Workers$151,196$42,225
Canada Proud$96,677$95,438

Platforms

[edit]
2019 Canada election – issues and respective party platforms
IssueBQConservativeGreenLiberalNDPPPC
Business
  • Eliminate subsidies for fossil fuel businesses.[424]
  • Eliminate subsidies for fossil fuel businesses.[424]
  • Eliminate subsidies for private media companies.[425]
  • For every new regulation imposed, eliminate two existing regulations.[424]
  • Eliminate subsidies for fossil fuel businesses.[424]
  • Eliminate subsidies for fossil fuel businesses.[424]
  • Eliminate subsidies for fossil fuel businesses.[424]
Crown corporations
  • Privatize the Trans Mountain pipeline.[428]
  • Increase funding for the CBC.[429]
  • Increase funding for the CBC.[429]
Deficit
  • Balance the budget in five years.[424]
  • Balance the budget in five years.[424]
  • Balance the budget in twenty-one years.[432]
  • Oppose the use of anyausterity measures in pursuit of a balanced budget.[433]
  • Balance the budget in two years.[434]
Education
  • Increase federal RESP contributions from 20% to 30%.[435]
  • Fully fund the cost of university tuition.[435]
  • Forgive federal student debts.[435]
  • Remove interest from federal student loans.[435]
Elections
Energy
  • Oppose all pipeline construction.[424]
  • Support the construction of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion.[443]
  • Oppose the construction of the Northern Gateway pipeline.[444]
  • Oppose all pipeline construction.[445]
Environment
  • Cut corporate income taxes from 15% to 5% for green technology businesses.[424]
  • Ban the dumping of raw sewage into waterways.[424]
  • Require heavy emitters to invest in clean technology.[424]
  • Create a green-technology patent tax credit.[424]
  • Cut corporate income taxes from 15% to 7.5% for businesses selling zero-emission products.[424]
  • Protect 25% of Canada's land and water by 2025.[424]
  • Plant two billion trees by 2029.[424]
  • Ban some single use plastics.[424]
  • Protect 30% of Canada's land and water by 2030.[424]
  • Ban some single use plastics.[424]
  • Ban non-renewable electricity sources by 2030.[424]
Firearms
  • Classify firearms through legislation based on mechanical features and remove theRCMP's power to reclassify firearms.[447]
  • Repeal Bill C-71.[448]
  • Extend background checks on firearm licenses from five years to life.[449]
  • Allow municipalities to ban individuals with firearm licenses from owninghandguns.[451]
  • Ban individuals with firearm licenses from owning AR-15s.[451]
  • Allow municipalities to ban individuals with firearm licenses from owninghandguns.[452]
  • Classify firearms through legislation based on mechanical features and remove theRCMP's power to reclassify firearms.[453]
  • Make firearm licenses permanent.[453]
Foreign
  • Withdraw from theUnited Nations Compact on Migration.[454]
  • Recognize Jerusalem as the capital ofIsrael.[455]
  • End the practice of using foreign aid money to fund abortions.[456]
  • BanHuawei from participating in Canada's 5G networks.[429]
  • Withdraw Canada's $250 million contributions to China's Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.[429]
  • Stop sending foreign aid to countries with a Human Development Index over 0.6, which will reduce the foreign aid budget by 25%.[429]
  • Classify theIran Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization.[429]
  • Stop selling weapons toSaudi Arabia.[429]
  • Increase foreign aid spending to 0.7 per cent of gross national income.[429]
Health
  • Increase healthcare funding by at least 3% per year.[424]
  • Introduce government funding for prescription medications.[424]
  • Introduce government funding for dental care for low-income individuals.[424]
  • Increase healthcare funding by at least 3% per year.[424]
  • Introduce government funding for prescription medications.[459]
  • Introduce government funding for dental care.[459]
Housing
  • Increase funding for social housing in Quebec.[435]
  • Increase the amortization period for insured mortgages to 30 years for first-time buyers.[435]
  • Appoint a Minister of Housing.[435]
  • Eliminate the first-time home buyer incentive.[435]
  • Increase the amount first-time homebuyers are allowed to withdraw from their RRSPs from $25,000 to $35,000.[435]
  • Build 500,000 social housing units.[435]
  • Fund up to $5,000 in rental subsidies for 500,000 low-income households.[435]
Labour
  • Ban government workers in positions of authority from wearing visible religious symbols while working.[425]
  • Raise the federal minimum wage to $15.[424]
  • Ban non-credit unpaid internships.[424]
  • Raise the federal minimum wage to $15.[424]
  • Raise the federal minimum wage to $15.[424]
  • Ban non-credit unpaid internships.[424]
Legal
  • Increase funding for the Youth Gang Prevention Fund by 25%.[429]
  • Impose a mandatory prison sentence of five years for possession of a smuggled firearm.[429]
  • Impose a prison sentence of up to fourteen years for diverting firearms into the hands of criminals.[429]
  • Require individuals on parole to cut ties with gangs.[429]
  • List crime and gang organizations in the Criminal Code.[429]
  • Impose a mandatory prison sentence of five-year sentence for ordering or participating in violent criminal activity.[429]
  • Impose a mandatory prison sentence for directing gang crime.[429]
  • Start a judicial inquiry into the SNC-Lavalin scandal.[429]
  • Enable the RCMP to seek access information protected by cabinet confidence by making an application to the Supreme Court of Canada.[429]
  • Decriminalize all drug possession.[460]
  • Eliminate mandatory minimum sentences.[429]
  • End solitary confinement in prisons.[429]
  • Ban consensual sexuality conversion therapy.[429]
  • Legalize prostitution.[429]
  • Provide free legal aid to survivors of sexual assault and domestic violence.
  • Only appoint bilingual Supreme Court judges.[429]
  • Establish an independent Criminal Case Review Commission to review wrongfully convicted applications.[429]
  • Require all judges to undertake mandatory training on sexual assault law.[429]
  • Require judges to take training about unconscious bias and cultural competency for all judges.[429]
  • Make drug treatment court the default sentence for first-time offenders charged exclusively with drug possession.[429]
  • Ban consensual sexuality conversion therapy.[429]
  • Expunge the criminal records of people guilty of minor cannabis possession.[429]
  • Implement a national ban on carding.[461]
  • Only appoint bilingual Supreme Court judges.[429]
  • Appoint Supreme Court judges to represent Quebec.[429]
  • Ban consensual sexuality conversion therapy for minors.[429]
Immigration
  • Eliminate the Safe Third Country agreement to allow Americans to apply for refugee status in Canada.[424]
  • Give Quebec control over its immigration policies.[435]
  • Exempt Quebec from theMulticulturalism Act.[424]
  • Prevent American residents from applying for asylum or refugee status in Canada.[462]
  • Eliminate the Safe Third Country agreement to allow Americans to apply for refugee status in Canada.[424]
  • Eliminate the Temporary Foreign Workers Program and replace it with more permanent immigrants.[435]
  • Increase the number of new immigrants from 310,000 per year to 350,000 per year by 2021.[463]
  • Eliminate the Safe Third Country agreement to allow Americans to apply for refugee status in Canada.[424]
  • Eliminate the cap on sponsoring parents and grandparents.[435]
  • Reduce the number of new immigrants from 310,000 per year to 150,000 per year.[464]
  • Increase the proportion of economic immigrants.[465]
  • End reliance on UN for refugee selection.[464]
  • Repeal theMulticulturalism Act.[466]
  • End all funding to promote multiculturalism.[466]
  • Require new immigrants to pass a test about Canadian values.[466]
  • Declare the whole border an official port of entry to end exemptions for illegal border crossers.[466]
  • Ban birth tourism.[435]
Indigenous
  • Appoint a minister for "consulting Indigenous rights holders."[424]
  • Repeal and replace theIndian Act.[467]
Military
  • Seek to join the U.S. ballistic missile defence system.[429]
  • Do not use autonomous weapons.[429]
  • Reinstate the veteran disability pension as previously provided by thePension Act.[468]
Provinces and Territories
  • Seek sovereignty for Quebec.[469]
  • Merge Quebec's federal and provincial tax returns into one tax return.[435]
  • Appoint a Minister of Internal Trade.[435]
  • Eliminate interprovincial trade restrictions.[435]
  • Merge Quebec's federal and provincial tax returns into one tax return.[435]
  • Allow unions to initiate trade disputes.[435]
  • Appoint a Minister of Internal Trade.[435]
  • Reduce equalization payments.[427]
  • Eliminate federal funding for areas under provincial jurisdiction.[427]
  • Use section 91(2) of the constitution to eliminate interprovincial trade restrictions.[470]
Senate
  • Appoint senators who are members of the Conservative Party of Canada.[471]
  • Appoint independent senators.[472]
Speech
  • Withhold grants from universities that refuse to allow free speech on campus.[474]
  • Withhold grants from universities that refuse to allow free speech on campus.[475]
  • Repeal M-103.[475]
  • Repeal C-16.[475]
Taxation (Business)
  • Implement a 3% tax on revenue from online services.[435]
  • Expand the small business tax rate to businesses with more than $50,000 in annual passive income.[476]
  • Exempt spouses from taxes on split income.[476]
  • Implement a 3% tax on revenue from online services of businesses that have one billion dollars of revenue worldwide and $50 million of revenue in Canada.[435]
  • Increase the corporate income tax from 15% to 21%.[424]
  • Increase the corporate income tax for banks from 15% to 26%.[429]
  • Implement a robot tax.[435]
  • Implement a 3% tax on revenue from online services of businesses that have one billion dollars of revenue worldwide and $40 million of revenue in Canada.[435]
  • Implement a 3% tax on revenue from online services of businesses that have one billion dollars of revenue worldwide and $40 million of revenue in Canada.[435]
  • Increase the corporate income tax from 15% to 18%.[435]
  • Reduce the corporate income tax rate from 15% to 10%.[477]
  • Extend the Accelerated Capital Cost Allowance to all sectors.[435]
Taxation (Personal)
  • Implement a tax credit for recent graduates or immigrants who move to rural areas and work there.[424]
  • Eliminate the carbon tax.[478]
  • Reduce the 15% income tax bracket to 13.75%.[424]
  • Make EI benefits for new parents non taxable.[424]
  • Implement a 15% public transit pass tax credit.[435]
  • Implement a children's fitness and arts tax credit.[424]
  • Eliminate GST from residential energy bills.[435]
  • Lower the number of hours required for the volunteer firefighter supplies tax credit from 200 to 150.[435]
  • Increase the adoption expense tax credit to $20,000 and make it fully refundable.[429]
  • Remove exemptions from the carbon tax. Apply the entire carbon tax to all industries.[479]
  • Implement a wealth tax.[435]
  • Implement a tax on sugary drinks.[435]
  • Implement a 0.2% tax on financial transactions.[429]
  • Exempt medicinal cannabis from sales tax.[435]
  • Exempt zero-emission vehicles from sales tax.[435]
  • Raise the carbon tax by $10/tonne every year until it reaches $50/tonne.[480]
  • Raise the basic personal income tax deduction to $15,000.[424]
  • Implement a speculation tax on houses bought by non-residents.[435]
  • Implement a 10% tax on personal vehicles valued at $100,000 or more.[435]
  • Remove exemptions from the carbon tax. Apply the entire carbon tax to all industries.[481]
  • Raise the capital gains inclusion from 50% to 75%.[424]
  • Raise the 33% income tax bracket to 35%.[424]
  • Implement a 1% wealth tax on wealth over $20,000,000.[424]
  • Implement a 15% tax on houses purchased by foreign buyers.[435]
  • Implement a 12% tax on personal vehicles valued at $100,000 or more.[435]
  • Eliminate the carbon tax.[482]
  • Abolish the capital gains tax.[483]
  • Raise personal federal exemption to $15,000[484]
  • Replace the current income tax brackets with two tax brackets. Tax income between $15,001 and $100,000 at 15% and income over $100,000 at 25%.[484]
  • Eliminate the federal sales tax.[485]
Trade
  • Remove the Investor-State Dispute Settlement provisions from trade agreements.[429]
  • Attempt to negotiate a free trade agreement withChina.[487]
  • Eliminate supply management for dairy, poultry[488] and eggs.

Misinformation

[edit]

During the Maclean's debate, Scheer said that refugees were "jumping the queue". Journalists called this a false statement and one expert explained that "there is no queue".[489][490]

On September 17, 2019, Brock Harrison, Scheer's director of communication, and the CPC tweeted that the RCMP had confirmed Trudeau was under investigation for SNC-Lavalin. Scheer himself also repeated the allegation. Both tweets were removed after journalists deemed it to be false.[491][492]

A claim was circulating online thatBill Morneau was related to RCMP CommissionerBrenda Lucki through her husband, which is what was stopping the RCMP investigation regarding SNC-Lavalin. The claim is false; Lucki's husband is not related to Morneau.[493][494] Furthermore, there has been no confirmation that there is an RCMP investigation.[491][492]

TheBuffalo Chronicle, an Americanfake news website, promoted a false rumour about a sex scandal that supposedly resulted in Justin Trudeau's departure from West Point Grey Academy.[495][496] The rumour was propagated by other fake news websites,gossip magazines,Warren Kinsella andEzra Levant. On October 7, 2019, the Conservatives issued a press release referencing the rumour and asking "why did Justin Trudeau leave West Point Grey Academy?". TheToronto Star andThe Globe and Mail devoted multiple reporters to the story and found nothing to corroborate it. The former headmaster also released a statement that said "there is no truth to any speculation that [Trudeau] was dismissed".[497][498]

During the campaign, the NDP claimed Bill Morneau had used tax-havens when he was the executive chair ofMorneau Shepell, which was proven false. A probe byCanadians for Tax Fairness found that Morneau Shepell's subsidiary in the Bahamas was a legitimate business and not a way to avoid taxes.[499] The NDP retracted the statement a few weeks after the campaign had ended.[500]

Leaders' debates

[edit]
Main article:Canadian leaders' debates § 2019 debates
2019 Canadian general election debates
DateOrganizersLocationLanguageModerator P  Participant A  Absent invitee N  Non-inviteeSource
LiberalsConservativesNDPGreenBlocPeople's
September 12, 2019Maclean's andCitytvTorontoEnglishPaul WellsAP
Scheer
P
Singh
P
May
NN[501][502]
October 1, 2019Munk DebatesRoy Thomson Hall, TorontoBilingualRudyard GriffithsCancelled[l][503][504]
October 2, 2019TVAMontrealFrenchPierre BruneauP
Trudeau
P
Scheer
P
Singh
NP
Blanchet
N[505]
October 7, 2019Leaders' Debates CommissionCanadian Museum of History,
Gatineau
EnglishRosemary Barton,
Susan Delacourt,
Dawna Friesen,
Lisa LaFlamme,
Althia Raj
P
Trudeau
P
Scheer
P
Singh
P
May
P
Blanchet
P
Bernier
[506][145][507]
October 10, 2019Leaders' Debates CommissionCanadian Museum of History,
Gateau
FrenchPatrice RoyP
Trudeau
P
Scheer
P
Singh
P
May
P
Blanchet
P
Bernier
[506][507]
October 16, 2019University of OttawaOttawaEnglishCancelled[m][508]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Main articles:Opinion polling for the 2019 Canadian federal election andOpinion polling for the 2019 Canadian federal election by constituency
Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
2008
Opinion polls
2011
Opinion pollsBy constituency
2015
Opinion pollsBy constituency
2019
Opinion pollsBy constituency
2021
Opinion pollsBy constituency
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during campaign period of the 2019 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Evolution of voting intentions during the pre-campaign period of the 43rd Canadian federal election. Trendlines arelocal regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and alogarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the regressions, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals. Source code for plot generation is available here.[509]

Results

[edit]
See also:Results of the 2019 Canadian federal election andResults of the 2019 Canadian federal election by riding
Popular vote by province, with graphs indicating the number of seats won within that province or territory. (Because seats are awarded by the popular vote in each riding, the provincial popular vote does not necessarily translate to more seats.)

With 157, the Liberals won a plurality of seats in the House of Commons, allowing them to form a government albeit short of themajority government that they had won in 2015.

TheLiberals, under incumbentPrime MinisterJustin Trudeau won the highest number of seats, at 157, allowing them to form aminority government.[3] TheConservatives underAndrew Scheer remained the Official Opposition and, with 121 seats, formed the largest opposition caucus in Canadian history.[510][n] TheBloc Québécois won 32 seats underYves-François Blanchet, the party's best result since2008, and regainedofficial party status after losing it in2011, while theNew Democratic Party underJagmeet Singh was reduced to 24 seats, its worst results since2004. TheGreens saw its best result in the party's history, winning 3 seats, whileindependent MPJody Wilson-Raybould was re-elected in the riding ofVancouver Granville and became the first independent to win a seat since2008. The newly createdPeople's Party, meanwhile, lost its only seat, with party leaderMaxime Bernier losing re-election in the riding ofBeauce. Aside from Bernier, every major party leader was able to secure election to the House of Commons.

Marking the first time in Canadian history that no single party received more than 35% of the popular vote,[2][511] the Conservatives won 34.41% of the popular vote, a plurality of the vote despite finishing 36 seats behind the Liberals, who won 33.07% of the vote. The NDP placed third in the popular vote at 15.98%, the party's worst performance since2004, while the Bloc Québécois came in fourth with 7.69% of the popular vote, its best performance since2008; as the Bloc Québécois vote is concentrated entirely in Quebec, however, the party placed ahead of the NDP in terms of seats despite winning less than half of the party's vote. The Greens placed fifth with 6.55% of the popular vote, while the People's Party received 1.64% in its inaugural election.[512]

Liberal strength was predominantly concentrated inEastern Canada andBritish Columbia. InOntario, the Liberals won 79 of the province's 121 seats, with a particularly strong showing in theGolden Horseshoe, where the party was not only able to fend off expected challenges from the Conservatives and the NDP but gain the Conservative-held ridings ofKitchener—Conestoga andMilton. InQuebec, the party won 35 of the province's 78 seats, with gains from the NDP (specifically the ridings ofHochelaga,Laurier—Sainte-Marie,Outremont, andSherbrooke) offsetting losses to the Bloc Québécois, and with the party doing particularly well on theIsland of Montreal where they got their best result since1980. InAtlantic Canada, the Liberals won 26 out of the region's 32 seats, sweepingPrince Edward Island and winning all but a single seat in bothNewfoundland and Labrador andNova Scotia. InWestern Canada, the party won only 15 of the region's 104 seats, winning 11 seats inBritish Columbia and 4 inManitoba and being shut out ofAlberta andSaskatchewan for the first time since2011 and1988, respectively. The best Liberal showing in Canada's west was in British Columbia, where they won 11 out of 42 seats. The Liberals also won two of the three territories,Yukon and theNorthwest Territories.[513][514][515][o]

Conservative strength was predominantly concentrated inWestern Canada, particularly inAlberta andSaskatchewan, where the party won all but one of the 48 seats between the two provinces. InBritish Columbia the Conservatives won 17 of the province's 42 seats, while inManitoba the party won half the province's 14 seats, with the remainder split between the Liberals and NDP. The Conservatives increased their vote share in every district in three of those provinces (Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba). However, it only resulted in a net gain of 10 seats. InOntario the party won 36 out of the province's 121 seats, an increase of three seats compared to2015, with losses to the Liberals in theGolden Horseshoe being offset by gains from the Liberals and NDP elsewhere in the province, though Ontario was nevertheless only one of two provinces where the Conservatives saw their share of the popular vote decrease compared to 2015. InQuebec, the second province where the Conservatives won a lower share of the popular vote than they did in 2015, the party won 10 of the province's 78 seats. InAtlantic Canada, the party was able to win 4 of the region's 32 seats after having been shut out entirely in 2015, winning 3 inNew Brunswick and a single seat inNova Scotia, though the party remained shut out ofNewfoundland and Labrador andPrince Edward Island.[513][516][517]

Only running in Quebec, the Bloc Québécois won 32 of the province's 78 seats, with the party doing particularly well in theGreater Montreal Area.[515][o] Gaining seats from the Conservatives, Liberals, and in particular the NDP, compared to 2015 the party saw its share of the vote increase in all but one of the province's 78 seats, the one exception being theMontreal riding ofLaurier—Sainte-Marie, where the party ran a candidate other than former party leaderGilles Duceppe for the first time in its history.[514][518]

With 11 seats inBritish Columbia and 6 seats inOntario, the two provinces accounted for a majority of the NDP's 24 seats,[515][o] though in both provinces the party lost ground compared to 2015: in British Columbia, the party lost the ridings ofKootenay—Columbia andPort Moody—Coquitlam to the Conservatives andNanaimo—Ladysmith to the Greens, while in Ontario the party lostEssex andWindsor—Tecumseh to the Conservatives and Liberals, respectively. InManitoba, the party won 3 of the province's 14 seats, picking up a single seat from the Liberals, while in each ofAlberta,Quebec,Newfoundland and Labrador, andNunavut the party won a single seat, gainingthe latter riding for the first time since1980.[519] In Alberta,Heather McPherson managed to hold the riding ofEdmonton Strathcona followingLinda Duncan's retirement, becoming the only non-Conservative MP in the province,[520][521] while in Newfoundland and Labrador,Jack Harris returned to parliament after having been defeated in 2015, becoming the party's only MP in Atlantic Canada.[512] In Quebec, only eight years after theOrange Wave saw the party win 59 of the province's then-75 seats, the NDP won just one of the province's 78 seats—the seat of Deputy LeaderAlexandre Boulerice—as a result of losses to both the Bloc Québécois and the Liberals, with prominent MPsRuth Ellen Brosseau,Guy Caron, andMatthew Dubé losing re-election and the party suffering its worst performance since2008.[522][523][518]

In addition to party leaderElizabeth May being re-elected, the Greens held theVancouver Island riding ofNanaimo—Ladysmith, previously won from the NDP in aby-election earlier in the year, and gained theNew Brunswick riding ofFredericton from the Liberals, marking the first time the party has won a seat outside ofBritish Columbia.[524] With three seats total, the election marked the best performance in the party's history, with May declaring on election night that the party's results marked "the best election result that any Green Party in any first past-the-post system has ever had."[525]

Summary of the 2019 Canadian federal election – Elections Canada
PartyParty leaderCandidatesSeatsPopular vote
2015Dissol.2019% change
from dissolution
% seatsVotesVote
change
%pp change% where
running
LiberalJustin Trudeau338184177157−11.30%46.45%6,018,728−924,20933.12%−6.34pp33.12%
ConservativeAndrew Scheer338[p]9995121+27.37%35.80%6,239,227+625,59434.34%+2.43pp34.34%
Bloc QuébécoisYves-François Blanchet78101032+220.00%9.47%1,387,030+565,8867.63%+2.97pp32.37%
New DemocraticJagmeet Singh338443924−38.46%7.10%2,903,722−565,64615.98%−3.74pp15.98%
GreenElizabeth May338[q]123+50.00%0.89%1,189,607+586,6746.55%+3.12pp6.55%
 Independent and No Affiliation12508[r]1−87.50%0.30%74,291+24,6750.41%+0.13pp1.51%
People'sMaxime Bernier31510−100.00%0.00%294,092*1.62%*1.70%
Christian HeritageRod Taylor5100018,901+3,6690.10%+0.02pp0.70%
RhinocerosSébastien CoRhino390009,538+2,2750.05%+0.01pp0.45%
LibertarianTim Moen240008,367−28,4080.05%−0.16pp0.60%
Veterans CoalitionRandy David Joy25006,300*0.03%*0.45%
Animal AllianceLiz White170004,408+2,7090.02%+0.01pp0.44%
Marxist–LeninistAnna Di Carlo500004,124−4,7140.02%−0.03pp0.15%
CommunistElizabeth Rowley300003,905−4880.02%0.22%
Pour l'Indépendance du QuébecMichel Blondin13003,815*0.02%*0.49%
Progressive CanadianJoe Hueglin30001,534−2,9420.01%−0.02pp0.83%
MarijuanaBlair Longley4000920−6370.01%−0.01pp0.45%
Canada's Fourth FrontPartap Dua700682*0.00%*0.20%
United PartyCarlton Darby400602*0.00%*0.32%
National Citizens AllianceStephen J. Garvey400510*0.00%*0.27%
Stop Climate ChangeKen Ranney200296*0.00%*0.23%
Canadian NationalistTravis Patron300281*0.00%*0.20%
 Co-operative Commonwealth Federation[s]1
 Vacant5
Total valid votes18,170,880+579,412100.00%
Blank and invalid votes179,479+58,9640.98%+0.30pp
Total2,146338338338100.00%18,350,359+580,480100.00%100.00%
Registered voters/turnout27,373,058+1,433,31667.03%−1.25pp
Source:Elections Canada[526] (Official Voting Results)
Cartogram of the 2019 Canadian federal election results using equal-area ridings

Results by province

[edit]
Distribution of seats and popular vote %, by party by province/territory (2019)
Party nameBCABSKMBONQCNBNSPENLYTNTNUTotal
 LiberalSeats:11479356104611157
Vote:26.213.811.726.541.634.337.541.443.744.933.539.730.933.1
 ConservativeSeats:1733147361031121
Vote:34.069.064.045.233.116.032.825.727.327.932.725.526.134.3
 NDPSeats:1113611124
Vote:24.411.619.620.816.810.89.418.97.623.722.022.340.816.0
 Bloc QuébécoisSeats:3232
Vote:32.47.6
 GreenSeats:213
Vote:12.52.82.65.16.24.517.211.020.93.110.510.62.26.5
 People'sSeats:
Vote:1.72.21.81.71.61.52.01.20.11.41.81.6>
 Independents andminor partiesSeats:11
Vote:1.30.50.20.60.20.11.11.80.50.20.2
Seats:4234141412178101147111338

Analysis

[edit]
See also:List of MPs who lost their seat in the 2019 Canadian federal election

Vote-splitting benefited the Conservatives in Ontario and Metro Vancouver, the Liberals in Quebec and the Maritimes, and the NDP in British Columbia and outside the GTA in Ontario. It also helped the Bloc in some Quebec ridings.[527] Furthermore, analysis by different news outlets showed that the PPC cost the Tories six to seven seats. However, a Tory strategist said that it is not guaranteed that PPC voters would have voted for the Conservatives. The PPC's spokesperson echoed similar sentiments.[528][529][530]

Strategic voting was prominent across the country. However, it was not the primary factor for most. According to a poll conducted after the election, of respondents who ultimately voted Liberal, 46 per cent said they had considered voting for the NDP at some point during the campaign. Another 29 per cent considered voting Green. Additionally, 15 per cent of Conservative voters considered voting for the People's Party.[531][532]

Ninety-eight women were elected to federal seats in this election. This also set a new record, both by number and by percentage, but still fell short of equality advocates' goal of 30% women. The highest percentage of elected women was in the Green party, with two female MPs out of three elected Green Party members.[533][534]

Canadian Election Study

[edit]

The 2019 CES included two survey components. Both included two waves of questions, one in the campaign period (CPS) and a recontact wave after the election (PES).[535]

The non-probability online survey included a sample of Canadians from across the country (CPS n=37,822; PES n=10,337). The goal was to gather enough data to allow for constituency-level analysis as well as proper subgroup analysis of populations that are typically underrepresented in the CES.

The RDD internet survey largely replicated the larger online study, although it contained fewer questions and has a smaller sample (CPS n=4,021; PES n=2,889).

In both surveys, the core questions were drawn from previous CES (to preserve continuity) on key issues such as vote intentions, issue positions, partisanship, and political engagement.

The 2019 Canadian Election Study was led by Laura Stephenson, Allison Harell, Daniel Rubenson and Peter Loewen.

The table below is the indicated vote choice in the 2019 election from the PES, cross-tabbed with demographic questions. The weights have been adjusted to match the actual results of the election.

Demographics

[edit]
Demographic SubgroupLPCCPCNDPBQCGPCPPCOtherSample
Total Vote33.134.316.07.66.51.60.210,337
Gender
Men32.637.612.09.45.41.71.23,901
Women33.731.319.75.97.61.50.34,058
Age
18-2934.822.728.34.97.71.60.01,101
30-3933.330.819.26.07.02.90.71,551
40-4930.236.116.06.77.91.71.41,275
50-5932.036.013.38.96.81.81.21,247
60-6933.438.011.310.75.11.00.61,577
70-7935.437.610.410.25.20.70.7738
80+34.946.18.84.55.10.40.3494
Language
English34.238.217.30.87.01.60.86,656
French27.815.09.441.84.11.70.31,327
Highest Education Attainment
High School or Less29.536.015.110.16.61.90.73,982
College30.537.617.75.36.51.70.61,824
University41.928.416.15.06.51.11.02,169
Religion
Atheist32.627.321.47.69.11.30.72,231
Agnostic34.522.423.74.611.13.20.6523
Buddhist35.324.630.01.24.41.82.673
Hindu39.736.213.50.010.60.00.037
Jewish46.243.27.90.01.90.80.0112
Muslim/Islam81.110.08.10.00.80.00.0115
Sikh50.622.323.20.02.01.90.037
Christian31.939.512.59.34.71.50.64,274
Catholic34.531.312.216.24.01.10.62,297
Protestant & Other Christian28.848.912.81.45.41.90.71,977
Other Religion30.736.114.41.68.94.04.2231
Ethnicity
Indigenous26.636.825.22.16.31.61.4390
European31.734.115.89.36.51.70.96,272
Chinese40.739.99.80.48.30.30.6278
Hispanic46.625.214.60.69.41.52.186
Indian52.730.912.40.02.01.90.0120
Other39.130.719.01.07.41.90.91,071
Income
0-30,00031.827.120.39.58.52.60.31,161
30,001-60,00032.831.016.99.37.61.70.82,038
60,001-90,00032.036.615.28.65.61.20.71,848
90,001-110,00033.636.217.64.45.62.00.5806
110,001-150,00036.338.212.55.66.01.20.31,004
150,001-200,00035.141.19.74.45.82.01.8402
>200,00033.442.28.65.65.90.44.1235
Home Ownership
Own a residence32.538.913.36.96.11.40.85,483
Don't own a residence34.524.321.89.27.42.00.72,500
Do you live in...
A rural area or village24.445.013.35.77.52.21.9849
A town26.037.815.811.46.42.20.51,059
A suburb39.131.114.17.46.61.30.5908
A city36.231.417.96.16.41.30.81,875
Marital Status
Married32.441.912.64.85.81.70.73,663
Not Married33.727.818.710.17.21.60.84,276
Do you have children?
Yes30.939.812.98.15.81.60.94,607
No36.126.720.46.97.61.70.63,343
Employment
Full-time33.234.116.37.36.41.51.13,476
Part-time37.128.319.25.87.71.70.3618
Self employed31.638.511.74.99.53.40.4459
Retired33.738.610.910.25.00.90.72,197
Unemployed28.533.621.53.98.04.10.3286
Student32.415.834.16.710.70.30.0229
Caregiver/Homemaker22.639.720.36.46.74.20.0244
Disabled32.231.820.16.36.82.10.8260
Do you belong to a union?
Yes34.328.621.57.36.11.50.81,470
No32.935.814.67.76.71.60.86,468

Election aftermath

[edit]

Following the election, Trudeau ruled out a coalition and announced that his new cabinet would be sworn in on November 20, 2019.[342] On November 4, 2019, Elizabeth May announced that she would be stepping down as leader of the Green Party.[536] On December 12, 2019, Andrew Scheer announced that he was resigning as leader of the Conservative Party.[537]

Recounts

[edit]

Defeated parties sought recounts in three ridings where the races were won by a few hundred votes. The Bloc Québécois made its request in the Quebec Superior Court for the ridings ofHochelaga andQuébec[538][539] and the NDP sought a recount for the riding ofPort Moody—Coquitlam. Federal judges accepted the requests and ruled that recounts should happen for those ridings.[540][541] All three recount requests were withdrawn during the recounting process, thus the victors stayed the same.[542][543][544][545]

Electoral reform

[edit]

The nature of the elections' results reignited calls for electoral reform.[546][547][548][549][550] Some commentators argued against the current first-past-the-post system,[551][552][553][554] while others defended it.[555][556] Dominic O'Sullivan, Associate Professor of Political Science at Charles Sturt University, argued that Canada should follow in New Zealand's footsteps withtheir electoral reform.[557] News outlets also published articles showing what the election results could have looked like if Trudeau had kept his promise on electoral reform.[558][548][559]

After the election, Elizabeth May sent Prime Minister Justin Trudeau a letter recommendingSTV as a compromise for electoral reform since it meets some of the concerns Trudeau expressed in the past.[560][561]

A poll published by theAngus Reid Institute showed that support for electoral reform andproportional representation in particular skyrocketed following the election.[562]

Western Canadian separatism

[edit]

After Justin Trudeau's re-election on October 21, 2019, #Wexit trended onsocial media.[563] However, experts stated part of the push was due todisinformation andbots.[564][565] On November 4, 2019, the separatist groupWexit Alberta applied for federal political party status.[566] On November 6, 2019, a poll conducted byIpsos show a historic high level of interest in secession from Canada in bothAlberta andSaskatchewan by 33% and 27%, respectively.[567][568] On January 12, 2020,Wexit Canada was granted eligibility for the next federal election.[569] They subsequently changed their name to theMaverick Party.[570]

Chinese government interference

[edit]
Main article:Chinese government interference in the 2019 and 2021 Canadian federal elections

In late 2022,Global News reported on a suspected attempt by thegovernment of China to infiltrate theParliament of Canada by funding a network of candidates to run in the 2019 federal election.[571][572][573][574][575] Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stated on November 20, 2022, regarding alleged interference in the election that "I do not have any information, nor have I been briefed on any federal candidates receiving any money from China".[576] In February 2023, theCanadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS) concluded that the Chinese government interfered in the 2019 elections.[577]

Deregistered parties

[edit]

TheProgressive Canadian Party was deregistered byElections Canada on October 30, 2019, for failing to comply with the reporting provisions of theCanada Elections Act.[578]

The United Party of Canada was deregistered on December 31, 2020, for failing to submit required financial documents or update party information.[579]

The Stop Climate Change Party was deregistered on March 31, 2021, for failing to provide an auditor's report.[580]

Student vote results

[edit]

Student votes are mock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. Student vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results. Though there are 338 ridings in Canada, 341 were declared, as there were ties in three ridings.[581]

10999912712
LiberalNew DemocraticConservativeGreenBQ
Summary of the 2019 Canadian Student Vote
PartyLeaderSeatsPopular vote
Elected%Votes%
LiberalJustin Trudeau10931.96259,81722.34
New DemocraticJagmeet Singh10129.62288,98524.84
ConservativeAndrew Scheer9226.98291,60325.07
GreenElizabeth May277.92210,31418.08
Bloc QuébécoisYves-François Blanchet123.5216,1811.39
People'sMaxime Bernier0048,3104.15
Other0047,9744.13
Total338 + 3100.001,163,184100.00
Source: Student Vote Canada[582]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Not the incumbent, but stood in this seat and won.
  2. ^abFollowing his removal from the NDP caucus, Pierre Nantel sat as an independent until the writ was dropped, but ran as a Green Party candidate on Federal election day.[10]
  3. ^Erin Weir designated himself as a member of the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation following his expulsion from the NDP caucus. The CCF is not a registered party and Weir's designation exists only in a parliamentary, not electoral, sense. See:Co-operative Commonwealth Federation#2018
  4. ^While the source is from 2015, this still applied to 2019
  5. ^Endorsed a Liberal minority with an NDP/Green balance of power
  6. ^abJoint Liberal/BQ endorsement.
  7. ^Endorsed Heather McPherson, the NDP candidate in her riding of Edmonton-Strathcona
  8. ^The NDP changed their French slogan during the campaign. Prior to this one, they used "On se bat pour vous", which is "We Fight for You" in English.
  9. ^The GPC changed their French slogan during the campaign. Prior to this one, they used "Ni à droite ni à gauche. Vers l'avant ensemble", which is "Neither left nor right. Forward together" in English.
  10. ^According to Elections Canada rules, third parties are allowed to spend $1,023,400 in the pre-election period between June 30 and the start of the election campaign. They can spend an additional $511,700 during the election campaign.
  11. ^These are not all the third parties that spent money during the election
  12. ^The debate was cancelled due to Trudeau refusing to attend
  13. ^The debate was cancelled due to Scheer refusing to attend
  14. ^As the number of seats in the House of Commons has increased over time, in terms of share of seats in the House the Conservative's formed the largest opposition caucus since1980.
  15. ^abcSome of the information (vote share and turnout) in the previous reference is not reflective of the final results
  16. ^Includes Heather Leung, who was ejected from the Conservative Party after candidate registration was closed.
  17. ^Includes Marthe Lépine, who was ejected by the party, and Michael Kalmanovitch, who publicly withdrew and threw his support to the local NDP candidate, both after candidate registration was closed.
  18. ^IncludesPierre Nantel, who ran as a candidate for the Green Party in the 2019 election.
  19. ^Erin Weir used this as his parliamentary affiliation after being ejected from the NDP; the CCF ceased to exist as a party when the NDP was formed in 1961.

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Official reports

External links

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