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.2025 Nov;41(8):e70104.
doi: 10.1002/dmrr.70104.

Long-Term Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonist Use Is Not Associated With Increased Risk of Thyroid Cancer in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes

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Long-Term Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonist Use Is Not Associated With Increased Risk of Thyroid Cancer in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes

Rena Pollack et al. Diabetes Metab Res Rev.2025 Nov.

Abstract

Background: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are widely used for type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and obesity, but their potential association with thyroid cancer remains a concern. This study assessed thyroid cancer risk with long-term GLP-1RA use in a large real-world cohort.

Methods: We conducted a propensity score matched cohort study using electronic health records from TriNetX, including 89,646 adults with T2DM who initiated GLP-1RA therapy between 2014 and 2020, and demonstrated continued use for at least 1 year. Active comparator controls included users of insulin, metformin, sodium-glucose transporter-2 inhibitors, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, sulfonylureas, and thiazolidinediones. The primary outcome was the incidence of thyroid cancer.

Results: During a median follow-up of 4.5 ± 2.3 years, GLP-1RA use was not associated with an increased risk of thyroid cancer compared with any of the other antidiabetic medications. As expected, GLP-1RA use was associated with a greater reduction in HbA1c levels, while the negative control outcome remained unaffected. Findings remained consistent across subgroups stratified by sex, age, obesity-status, glycaemic-control, and GLP-1RA type and in multiple sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions: In this large real-world cohort study, long-term GLP-1RA use was not associated with an increased risk of thyroid cancer. These findings provide reassurance for the safety of GLP-1RAs and support their continued evidence-based use in clinical practice.

Keywords: diabetes mellitus type 2; glucagon‐like peptide 1; thyroid cancer.

© 2025 The Author(s). Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
(A) Participant selection process (number of participants). (B) Study timeline. CA, cancer; DPP4i, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors; GLP‐1RA, glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonists; MEN2, multiple endocrine neoplasia type 2; SGLT2i, sodium glucose transporter 2 inhibitors; SU, sulfonylureas; T2DM, type 2 diabetes mellitus; TZD, thiazolidinediones.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2
Risk of thyroid cancer with GLP‐1RA versus other anti‐diabetic medications. (A) GLP1‐RA versusinsulin:n = 62,494 per PSM cohort; mean follow‐up years 4.5 ± 2.3 versus 3.9 ± 2.5; 137 versus 127 patients with an outcome. (B) GLP1‐RA versusmetformin:n = 73,107 per PSM cohort; mean follow‐up years 4.5 ± 2.3 versus 4.0 ± 2.5; 169 versus 143 patients with an outcome. (C) GLP1‐RA versusDPP4i:n = 42,955 per PSM cohort; Mean follow‐up years 4.6 ± 2.4 versus 4.2 ± 2.5; 104 versus 86 patients with an outcome. (D) GLP1‐RA versusSGLT2i:n = 23,532 per PSM cohort; mean follow‐up years 4.3 ± 2.3 versus 3.9 ± 2.2; 42 versus 42 patients with an outcome. (E) GLP1‐RA versusSU:n = 54,634 per PSM cohort; mean follow‐up years 4.6 ± 2.4 versus 4.1 ± 2.5; 123 versus 99 patients with an outcome. (F) GLP1‐RA versusTZD:n = 18,765 per PSM cohort; mean follow‐up years 4.9 ± 2.5 versus 1790 ± 963; 35 versus 30 patients with an outcome. CI, confidence interval; DPP4i, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors; GLP‐1RA, glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonists; HR, hazard‐ratio; NCOs, negative control outcomes; PSM: propensity‐score matched; SGLT2i, sodium glucose transporter 2 inhibitors; SU, sulfonylurea; TZD, thiazolidinedione.
FIGURE 3
FIGURE 3
Risk of thyroid cancer up‐ to 10 years of follow up associated with GLP‐1RA versus other anti‐diabetic medications, stratified by subgroups (n = per PSM cohort). BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; DPP4i, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors; GLP‐1RA, glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonists; HbA1c, haemoglobin A1c; HR, hazard‐ratio; PSM, propensity‐score matched; SGLT2i, sodium glucose transporter 2 inhibitors; SU, sulfonylurea; TZD, thiazolidinedione.
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References

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