Background: There is an increasing body of evidence associating short-term ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) exposure with asthma-related hospital admissions in children. However, most studies have relied on temporally resolved exposure information, potentially ignoring the spatial variability of NO₂. We aimed to investigate how daily NO₂ estimates from a highly resolved spatio-temporal model are associated with the risk of emergency hospital admission for asthma in children in England.

Methods: We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study including 111,766 emergency hospital admissions for asthma in children (aged 0-14 years) between 1st January 2011 and 31st December 2015 in England. Daily NO₂ levels were predicted at the patients' place of residence using spatio-temporal models by combining land use data and chemical transport model estimates. Conditional logistic regression models were used to obtain the odds ratios (OR) and confidence intervals (CI) after adjusting for temperature, relative humidity, bank holidays, and influenza rates. The effect modifications by age, sex, season, area-level income deprivation, and region were explored in stratified analyses.

Results: For each 10 µg/m³ increase in NO₂ exposure, we observed an 8% increase in asthma-related emergency admissions using a five-day moving NO₂ average (mean lag 0-4) (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.06-1.10). In the stratified analysis, we found larger effect sizes for male (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.07-1.12) and during the cold season (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.08-1.12). The effect estimates varied slightly by age group, area-level income deprivation, and region.

Significance: Short-term exposure to NO₂ was significantly associated with an increased risk of asthma emergency admissions among children in England. Future guidance and policies need to consider reflecting certain proven modifications, such as using season-specific countermeasures for air pollution control, to protect the at-risk population.

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.