Comment
doi: 10.1073/pnas.2214347119. Epub 2022 Oct 10.Catastrophic climate risks should be neither understated nor overstated
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- PMID:36215483
- PMCID: PMC9586302
- DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2214347119
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Comment
Catastrophic climate risks should be neither understated nor overstated
Matthew G Burgess et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A..
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No abstract available
Conflict of interest statement
The authors declare no competing interest.
Figures
(A) Scenario mentions in the IPCC’s Working Group II (Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability) contributions to the Fifth (AR5) and Sixth (AR6) Assessment Reports (data from refs. and 3). (B) Fossil-fuel-and-industry (FFI) CO2 emissions in the seven marker scenarios from AR6, compared to the IEA’s Stated Polices and Announced Pledges scenarios, and to the ranges of all AR6 scenarios having similar projected FFI CO2 emissions growth rates from 2005 to 2050 (data from refs. and , calculated using the methods of ref. 4).
Comment in
- Reply to Burgess et al: Catastrophic climate risks are neglected, plausible, and safe to study.Kemp L, Xu C, Depledge J, Ebi KL, Gibbins G, Kohler TA, Rockström J, Scheffer M, Schellnhuber HJ, Steffen W, Lenton TM.Kemp L, et al.Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Oct 18;119(42):e2214884119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2214884119. Epub 2022 Oct 10.Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022.PMID:36215481Free PMC article.No abstract available.
Comment on
- Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios.Kemp L, Xu C, Depledge J, Ebi KL, Gibbins G, Kohler TA, Rockström J, Scheffer M, Schellnhuber HJ, Steffen W, Lenton TM.Kemp L, et al.Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Aug 23;119(34):e2108146119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2108146119. Epub 2022 Aug 1.Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022.PMID:35914185Free PMC article.
References
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Sixth assessment report.https://www.ipcc.ch/assessment-report/ar6/. Accessed 29 September 2022.
- Pielke R. Jr., Ritchie J., Distorting the view of our climate future: The misuse and abuse of climate pathways and scenarios. Energy Res. Soc. Sci. 72, 101890 (2021).
- Pielke R. Jr., Burgess M. G., Ritchie J., Plausible 2005–2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100. Environ. Res. Lett. 17, 024027 (2022).
- Kahn M. E., et al. , Long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change: A cross-country analysis. Energy Econ. 104, 105624 (2021).
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