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.2022 Oct 18;119(42):e2204305119.
doi: 10.1073/pnas.2204305119. Epub 2022 Oct 3.

Rapid wage growth at the bottom has offset rising US inequality

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Rapid wage growth at the bottom has offset rising US inequality

Clem Aeppli et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A..

Abstract

US earnings inequality has not increased in the last decade. This marks the first sustained reversal of rising earnings inequality since 1980. We document this shift across eight data sources using worker surveys, employer-reported data, and administrative data. The reversal is due to a shrinking gap between low-wage and median-wage workers. In contrast, the gap between top and median workers has persisted. Rising pay for low-wage workers is not mainly due to the changing composition of workers or jobs, minimum wage increases, or workplace-specific sources of inequality. Instead, it is due to broadly rising pay in low-wage occupations, which has particularly benefited workers in tightening labor markets. Rebounding post-Great Recession labor demand at the bottom offset enduring drivers of inequality.

Keywords: earnings inequality; inequality trends; minimum wage; unemployment; wage growth.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no competing interest.

Figures

Fig. 1.
Fig. 1.
Labor earnings inequality trends. (A) Hourly. (B) Weekly. (C) Annual. (D) Top 50% share. OEWS, Occupation Employment and Wage Statistics.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.
Labor earnings growth by percentiles. Vertical axes show logged real 2000 dollars. (A andB) Hourly (CPS-ORG). (C andD) Weekly (CPS-ORG). (E andF) Annual (ASEC).
Fig. 3.
Fig. 3.
Differenced quantiles of occupation and workplace premiums between 2002 and 2012 and between 2012 and 2018. The 5th and 95th percentiles are excluded. Data are from the OEWS.
Fig. 4.
Fig. 4.
The influence of falling unemployment rates (UE) (Left) and rising local minimum wages (MW) (Right) on the national distribution of log weekly earnings.Lower shows real 2012 and 2018 earnings distributions as well as counterfactuals (in orange) where 2012 workers are assigned 2018 unemployment rates or minimum wages.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

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