.2021 Oct;5(10):1453-1461.

doi: 10.1038/s41559-021-01534-9. Epub 2021 Aug 16.

A global-scale expert assessment of drivers and risks associated with pollinator decline

Lynn V Dicks^{1 2}, Tom D Breeze³, Hien T Ngo⁴, Deepa Senapathi³, Jiandong An⁵, Marcelo A Aizen⁶, Parthiba Basu⁷, Damayanti Buchori^{8 9}, Leonardo Galetto^{10 11}, Lucas A Garibaldi^{12 13}, Barbara Gemmill-Herren^{14 15}, Brad G Howlett¹⁶, Vera L Imperatriz-Fonseca¹⁷, Steven D Johnson¹⁸, Anikó Kovács-Hostyánszki¹⁹, Yong Jung Kwon²⁰, H Michael G Lattorff²¹, Thingreipi Lungharwo²², Colleen L Seymour^{23 24}, Adam J Vanbergen²⁵, Simon G Potts³

Affiliations

¹ Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. lynn.dicks@zoo.cam.ac.uk.
² School of Biological Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK. lynn.dicks@zoo.cam.ac.uk.
³ Centre for Agri-Environmental Research, School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, Reading University, Reading, UK.
⁴ IPBES Secretariat, Bonn, Germany.
⁵ Institute of Apicultural Research, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, China.
⁶ Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente (INIBIOMA), Universidad Nacional del Comahue-CONICET, Río Negro, Argentina.
⁷ Department of Zoology, University of Calcutta, Kolkata, India.
⁸ Center for Transdisciplinary and Sustainability Sciences, IPB University, Jalan Pajajaran, Indonesia.
⁹ Department of Plant Protection, IPB University, Bogor, Indonesia.
¹⁰ Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales, Universidad de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina.
¹¹ Instituto Multidisciplinario de Biología Vegetal, CONICET-UNC, Córdoba, Argentina.
¹² Instituto de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales, Agroecología y Desarrollo Rural, Universidad Nacional de Río Negro, Río Negro, Argentina.
¹³ Instituto de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales, Agroecología y Desarrollo Rural, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Río Negro, Argentina.
¹⁴ World Agroforestry Centre, Nairobi, Kenya.
¹⁵ Prescott College, Prescott, AZ, USA.
¹⁶ The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited, Lincoln, New Zealand.
¹⁷ Biosciences Institute, University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
¹⁸ Centre for Functional Biodiversity, School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa.
¹⁹ Institute of Ecology and Botany, Centre for Ecological Research, Vácrátót, Hungary.
²⁰ School of Applied Biosciences, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea.
²¹ International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (icipe), Nairobi, Kenya.
²² Naga Women's Union, Manipur, India.
²³ South African National Biodiversity Institute (SANBI), Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Claremont, South Africa.
²⁴ Department of Biological Sciences, FitzPatrick Institute, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa.
²⁵ Agroécologie, AgroSup Dijon, INRAE, University of Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Dijon, France.

PMID:34400826
DOI: 10.1038/s41559-021-01534-9

A global-scale expert assessment of drivers and risks associated with pollinator decline

Lynn V Dicks et al. Nat Ecol Evol.2021 Oct.

.2021 Oct;5(10):1453-1461.

doi: 10.1038/s41559-021-01534-9. Epub 2021 Aug 16.

Authors

Affiliations

¹ Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. lynn.dicks@zoo.cam.ac.uk.
² School of Biological Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK. lynn.dicks@zoo.cam.ac.uk.
³ Centre for Agri-Environmental Research, School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, Reading University, Reading, UK.
⁴ IPBES Secretariat, Bonn, Germany.
⁵ Institute of Apicultural Research, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, China.
⁶ Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente (INIBIOMA), Universidad Nacional del Comahue-CONICET, Río Negro, Argentina.
⁷ Department of Zoology, University of Calcutta, Kolkata, India.
⁸ Center for Transdisciplinary and Sustainability Sciences, IPB University, Jalan Pajajaran, Indonesia.
⁹ Department of Plant Protection, IPB University, Bogor, Indonesia.
¹⁰ Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales, Universidad de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina.
¹¹ Instituto Multidisciplinario de Biología Vegetal, CONICET-UNC, Córdoba, Argentina.
¹² Instituto de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales, Agroecología y Desarrollo Rural, Universidad Nacional de Río Negro, Río Negro, Argentina.
¹³ Instituto de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales, Agroecología y Desarrollo Rural, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Río Negro, Argentina.
¹⁴ World Agroforestry Centre, Nairobi, Kenya.
¹⁵ Prescott College, Prescott, AZ, USA.
¹⁶ The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited, Lincoln, New Zealand.
¹⁷ Biosciences Institute, University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
¹⁸ Centre for Functional Biodiversity, School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa.
¹⁹ Institute of Ecology and Botany, Centre for Ecological Research, Vácrátót, Hungary.
²⁰ School of Applied Biosciences, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea.
²¹ International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (icipe), Nairobi, Kenya.
²² Naga Women's Union, Manipur, India.
²³ South African National Biodiversity Institute (SANBI), Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Claremont, South Africa.
²⁴ Department of Biological Sciences, FitzPatrick Institute, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa.
²⁵ Agroécologie, AgroSup Dijon, INRAE, University of Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Dijon, France.

PMID:34400826
DOI: 10.1038/s41559-021-01534-9

Erratum in

Author Correction: A global-scale expert assessment of drivers and risks associated with pollinator decline.
Dicks LV, Breeze TD, Ngo HT, Senapathi D, An J, Aizen MA, Basu P, Buchori D, Galetto L, Garibaldi LA, Gemmill-Herren B, Howlett BG, Imperatriz-Fonseca VL, Johnson SD, Kovács-Hostyánszki A, Kwon YJ, Lattorff HMG, Lungharwo T, Seymour CL, Vanbergen AJ, Potts SG.Dicks LV, et al.Nat Ecol Evol. 2021 Oct;5(10):1462. doi: 10.1038/s41559-021-01554-5.Nat Ecol Evol. 2021.PMID:34453136No abstract available.

Abstract

Pollinator decline has attracted global attention and substantial efforts are underway to respond through national pollinator strategies and action plans. These policy responses require clarity on what is driving pollinator decline and what risks it generates for society in different parts of the world. Using a formal expert elicitation process, we evaluated the relative regional and global importance of eight drivers of pollinator decline and ten consequent risks to human well-being. Our results indicate that global policy responses should focus on reducing pressure from changes in land cover and configuration, land management and pesticides, as these were considered very important drivers in most regions. We quantify how the importance of drivers and risks from pollinator decline, differ among regions. For example, losing access to managed pollinators was considered a serious risk only for people in North America, whereas yield instability in pollinator-dependent crops was classed as a serious or high risk in four regions but only a moderate risk in Europe and North America. Overall, perceived risks were substantially higher in the Global South. Despite extensive research on pollinator decline, our analysis reveals considerable scientific uncertainty about what this means for human society.

PubMed Disclaimer

Comment in

Best practice for protecting pollinators.
Martins DJ.Martins DJ.Nat Ecol Evol. 2021 Oct;5(10):1336-1337. doi: 10.1038/s41559-021-01531-y.Nat Ecol Evol. 2021.PMID:34400824No abstract available.

References

1. The Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services on Pollinators, Pollination and Food Production (IPBES, 2016).
1. Potts, S. G. et al. Safeguarding pollinators and their values to human well-being. Nature 540, 220–229 (2016). - PubMed - DOI
1. Chaplin-Kramer, R. et al. Global malnutrition overlaps with pollinator-dependent micronutrient production. Proc. R. Soc. Bhttps://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2014.1799 (2014).
1. Powney, G. D. et al. Widespread losses of pollinating insects in Britain. Nat. Commun. 10, 1018 (2019). - PubMed - PMC - DOI
1. Koh, I. et al. Modeling the status, trends, and impacts of wild bee abundance in the United States. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 113, 140–145 (2016). - PubMed - DOI

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A global-scale expert assessment of drivers and risks associated with pollinator decline

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A global-scale expert assessment of drivers and risks associated with pollinator decline

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