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.2016 May;73(5):2039-2047.
doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0278.1. Epub 2016 Apr 25.

Past, Present and Future Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition

Affiliations

Past, Present and Future Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition

M Kanakidou et al. J Atmos Sci.2016 May.

Abstract

Reactive nitrogen emissions into the atmosphere are increasing due to human activities, affecting nitrogen deposition to the surface and impacting the productivity of terrestrial and marine ecosystems. An atmospheric chemistry-transport model (TM4-ECPL) is here used to calculate the global distribution of total nitrogen deposition, accounting for the first time for both its inorganic and organic fractions in gaseous and particulate phases, and past and projected changes due to anthropogenic activities. The anthropogenic and biomass burning ACCMIP historical and RCP6.0 and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios are used. Accounting for organic nitrogen (ON) primary emissions, the present-day global nitrogen atmospheric source is about 60% anthropogenic, while total N deposition increases by about 20% relative to simulations without ON primary emissions. About 20-25% of total deposited N is ON. About 10% of the emitted nitrogen oxides are deposited as ON instead of inorganic nitrogen (IN) as is considered in most global models. Almost a 3-fold increase over land (2-fold over the ocean) has been calculated for soluble N deposition due to human activities from 1850 to present. The investigated projections indicate significant changes in the regional distribution of N deposition and chemical composition, with reduced compounds gaining importance relative to oxidized ones, but very small changes in the global total flux. Sensitivity simulations quantify uncertainties due to the investigated model parameterizations of IN partitioning onto aerosols and of N chemically fixed on organics to be within 10% for the total soluble N deposition and between 25-35% for the dissolved ON deposition. Larger uncertainties are associated with N emissions.

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Figures

FIG. 1.
FIG. 1.
Anthropogenic emissions of NH3 and NOx and those of particulate ON used for this study for 1850, 2005 and 2050 from historical ACCMIP database and RCP6.0, RCP8.5 emissions (marked by ‘year’_emi). Particulate ON emissions are derived in the present study from the particulate OC corresponding emissions based on the methodology developed by Kanakidou et al. (2012). Atmospheric deposition of reactive nitrogen as computed by TM4-ECPL based on these emissions (marked by ‘year’_dep). N flux as inorganic reduced N (NHx) (solid), as inorganic oxygenated N (NOy) (open) and as ON (hashed). Noticeable are differences in the projections between RCPs. NOy is calculated as the sum of NOx, HNO3, NO3, HONO, HNO4 and N2O5.
FIG. 2.
FIG. 2.
Comparison between modelled (TM4-ECPL) and observationally derived (OBSERVATIONS) atmospheric deposition annual fluxes of total nitrogen (x) and DON (+) in g-N m−2y−1 (compilation of data by Kanakidou et al. 2012 and references therein). Solid line indicates the 1:1 and dashed lines the 10:1 and 1:10 model-to-observation ratios.
FIG. 3.
FIG. 3.
Atmospheric deposition of N in g-N.m−2y−1 computed by TM4-ECPL for NOy (a) NHx, (b) DON (c) and TN (d), for 2005.
FIG. 4.
FIG. 4.
Percent changes relative to 2005 annual deposition flux computed by TM4-ECPL for NOy, NHx, DON and TN due to pre-industrial emissions (left panels) and due to anthropogenic RCP6.0 emissions (right panels).
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References

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