Movatterモバイル変換

[0]ホーム
URL:

Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
Thehttps:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

NIH NLM Logo
Log inShow account info
Access keysNCBI HomepageMyNCBI HomepageMain ContentMain Navigation
pubmed logo
Advanced Clipboard
User Guide

Full text links

Free PMC article
Full text links

Actions

.2013 Sep 1;39(3):371-396.
doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00608.x.

China's New Demographic Reality: Learning from the 2010 Census

Affiliations

China's New Demographic Reality: Learning from the 2010 Census

Yong Cai. Popul Dev Rev..

Abstract

The paper provides an examination of China's 2010 census data to evaluate its quality and to assess China's demographic situation. The demographic trends revealed by the new census data suggest that China has entered a new demographic era characterized by prolonged low fertility, elevated sex ratios, rapid aging, fast urbanization and major geographic redistribution. How China responses to these demographic challenges will have profound implications for its social and economic future.

PubMed Disclaimer

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Comparison of Population 2010 Age Structure, Census vs.Hukou
Data sources: Census data: NBS 2002, ;Hukou data: National Citizen ID Information System (NCIIS). Note: The standard time for the census data is November 1st, 2010. The standard time for theHukou data is July 1st, 2010. No adjustment is made to synchronize the comparison cohorts.
Figure 2
Figure 2. Intercensal Survival Ratio by Sex and Birth Cohort, China 2000–2010
Data sources: Intercensal survival ratios are calculated from two censuses using data taken from census tabulations (including population in military service). Life table survival ratios are calculated from unadjusted life tables using mortality rates directly taken from the census tabulations.
Figure 3
Figure 3. Infant Mortality Reported by the Ministry of Health, China 2000–2010
Data sources: adjusted infant mortality rates from theChina Health Statistical Yearbook, unadjusted infant mortality rates fromNewsletter of China Maternal and Child Health Surveillance Network, 2010(5) & 2011(4).
Figure 4
Figure 4. Ratio of Age Specific Mortality Rates: Ministry of Health Registry vs. Census Data, China 2010
Data sources: Age specific mortality rates from China Health Statistical Yearbook (2011) and the 2010 census.
Figure 5
Figure 5. Total Fertility by Year, China 1989–2010
Data sources: Unadjusted NBS Population Surveys/Censuses TFRs are calculated from age specific fertility rates published in theChina Population Statistical Yearbook. Annual numbers of births TFRs are derived from annual birth size found in theChina Statistical Yearbook with women’s age structure from the 2010 census. The “2010 Census Cohort Size” TFRs are derived from cohort size enumerated in the 2010 census using women’s age structure from the 2010 census.
Figure 6
Figure 6. Change in the Age Pattern of Fertility and Mean Age at Childbearing, China 1990–2010
Data sources: Calculated using age specific fertility data published in theChina Population Statistical Yearbook.
Figure 7
Figure 7. Map 1. Average Annual Population Growth by Province, China 2000–2010
Data sources: Calculated from population by province in the 2000 and 2010 censuses
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

    1. Banister Judith, Hill Kenneth. Mortality in China 1964–2000. Population Studies. 2004;58:55–75. - PubMed
    1. Bongaarts John. How Long Will We Live? Population and Development Review. 2006;32(4):605–628.
    1. Cai Yong, Lavely William. China’s Missing Girls: Numerical Estimates and Effects on Population Growth. The China Review. 2003;3:13–29.
    1. Cai Yong. Assessing fertility levels in China using variable-r method. Demography. 2008;45(2):371–81. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Cai Yong. Social Forces behind China’s below Replacement Fertility: Government Policy or Socioeconomic Development. Population and Development Review. 2010;36(3):419–440. - PubMed

Grants and funding

LinkOut - more resources

Full text links
Free PMC article
Cite
Send To

NCBI Literature Resources

MeSHPMCBookshelfDisclaimer

The PubMed wordmark and PubMed logo are registered trademarks of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). Unauthorized use of these marks is strictly prohibited.

[8]ページ先頭
©2009-2026 Movatter.jp