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Future contingents, openness and the possibility of omniscience: Defending an argument against relativism and supervaluationism

Theoria 91 (2):e12583 (2025)
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Abstract

Todd and Rabern (2021) mount an argument that – contra both Thomason’s (1970) supervaluationism and MacFarlane’s (2014) relativism – an “open future” view is incompatible with the principle they call “Retro-closure”, according to which today’s rain implies that yesterday it was true that it would rain a day later. In a recent piece, MacFarlane replies. This paper has two aims. First, I argue that MacFarlane’s response to Todd and Rabern is unsuccessful on its own terms. Second, I attempt to clarify Todd and Rabern’s overall argument, and explain how MacFarlane’s replies should be construed within the overall dialectic. The intended result: if you want an "open future", then one's best option is a modified Peirceanism (Todd 2021); if one wants Retro-closure, one's best option is one on which there is a determinate "Thin Red Line" (a view sometimes called "Ockhamism"). However, one cannot have what supervaluationism and relativism both promise, viz., a view that preserves both.

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Patrick Todd
University of Edinburgh

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References found in this work

Relativism, metasemantics, and the future.Derek Ball -2020 -Inquiry: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy 63 (9-10):1036-1086.
Time and Modality.A. N. Prior -1957 - London: Oxford University Press.
Introduction.Patrick Todd &John Martin Fischer -2015 - In John Martin Fischer & Patrick Todd,Freedom, Fatalism, and Foreknowledge. Oxford New York: Oxford University Press. pp. 01-38.

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