In Bayesian literature, probabilities are considered subjective, and it is recommended to never assign a zero probability to anything. This is because a zero probability as a credence implies that you ...

Suppose you have a coin that you just finished tossing 1,000 times and about 50% of the time it landed on heads, and 50% of the time it landed on tails, so you deem it to be fair.Now, you are asked ...

It seems common in the world and even in philosophy circles to say that we don’t know the probability of certain kinds of events. For example, one may say that we don’t know the probability of life ...

In science, we seem to have laws that apply to groups of things but not the individual things themselves. Some have used this to suggest that in some sense, the “whole” is more fundamental than the ...

If I play a game where I win 4$ is a coin lands heads and 2$ if it lands tails, the expected value of my winnings is 3$.The meaning of this is pretty intuitive from a frequentist point of view. If I ...

For example, if a dice roll has already occurred and we know that it landed on 6, is the probability of it landing on 6 trivially 1? Or is it still 1/6 (or maybe something close to but less than 1)?...

In "real life" we often make decisions under time pressure, without all the information we would want, without full knowledge about the consequences of our actions, and even without always ...

I have noticed that many discussions on this site compare worldviews—particularly theism versus naturalism—while implicitly assuming that the mathematical framework of probability theory can sensibly ...

Quantum Mechanics is taken to be an example of a field that may show the existence of “objective” probabilities.For example, there may be a defined, truly objective probability for an atom to decay ...

So, it is said that certain constants within the physical laws are “fine tuned” for life in the sense that if they were any different, life would not exist. The probabilistic form of the argument is ...

Mathematical probability space is based on 3 assumptions, (e.g., a function that is summed up to 1, or to 100%). We don't argue that the claims (assumptions) occur, but rather we say that if they ...

For context, please refer to the section Biological Information: Beyond the Reach of Chance (pages 10-12) in DNA by Design: An Inference to the Best Explanation for the Origin of Biological ...

Let's say by realistic chance I mean the getting it 50% at least once. And I make 10.000 tosses a day. How can I calculate the streak length - at least roughly and approximately?

Consider a factual claim, X. For instance, suppose I examine evidence E at a crime scene and hypothesize that the evidence is most likely explained by a murderer. We could pose the following ...

There are many philosophical interpretations of probability. Is pluralism the correct one? That is, are different interpretations of probability correct for different purposes? In other words, there ...