技术领域Technical Field
本发明涉及资产清查技术领域，具体是涉及一种基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方法及系统。The present invention relates to the technical field of asset inventory, and in particular to a natural resource asset inventory method and system based on multi-source data analysis.
背景技术Background Art
现有的自然资源资产清查方案中，缺乏对于统计到的自然资源资产数据的准确度审核手段，难以对统计的自然资源资产数据中的异常值进行高效准确的识别，导致对于自然资源的利用保护决策难以得到准确的数据支撑。The existing natural resource asset inventory plan lacks the means to review the accuracy of the statistical natural resource asset data, making it difficult to efficiently and accurately identify outliers in the statistical natural resource asset data, resulting in difficulty in obtaining accurate data support for natural resource utilization and protection decisions.
发明内容Summary of the invention
为解决上述技术问题，提供一种基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方法及系统，本技术方案解决了上述的现有的自然资源资产清查方案中，缺乏对于统计到的自然资源资产数据的准确度审核手段，难以对统计的自然资源资产数据中的异常值进行高效准确的识别的问题。In order to solve the above-mentioned technical problems, a natural resource asset inventory method and system based on multi-source data analysis is provided. This technical solution solves the problem that the above-mentioned existing natural resource asset inventory schemes lack a means to review the accuracy of the statistical natural resource asset data, and it is difficult to efficiently and accurately identify outliers in the statistical natural resource asset data.
为达到以上目的，本发明采用的技术方案为：In order to achieve the above purpose, the technical solution adopted by the present invention is:
一种基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方法，包括：A natural resource asset inventory method based on multi-source data analysis, comprising:
确定影响自然资源变化的若干个事件种类，记为资源相关事件；Identify several types of events that affect changes in natural resources and record them as resource-related events;
从自然资源资产库中，获取与当前时刻最接近的历史自然资源资产清查时刻，作为基准时刻；From the natural resource asset database, obtain the historical natural resource asset inventory time closest to the current time as the reference time;
获取基准时刻的自然资源资产数据，作为基准数据；Obtain natural resource asset data at the base time as base data;
获取以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段内发生的所有资源相关事件，记为统计事件；Obtain all resource-related events that occur within a time period starting from the base time and ending at the current time, and record them as statistical events;
基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据；Analyze the expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment based on benchmark data and statistical events;
获取当前时刻统计的自然资源资产实际数据；Obtain the actual data of natural resource assets at the current moment;
判断自然资源资产预期数据与自然资源资产实际数据之间的偏差是否大于偏差阈值，若是，则判定自然资源资产实际数据存在异常，对自然资源资产实际数据进行针对性核查，若否，则判定自然资源资产实际数据不存在异常，将自然资源资产实际数据统计入自然资源资产库。Determine whether the deviation between the expected data of natural resource assets and the actual data of natural resource assets is greater than the deviation threshold. If so, it is determined that there are abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and a targeted check is conducted on the actual data of natural resource assets. If not, it is determined that there are no abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and the actual data of natural resource assets are counted into the natural resource asset database.
优选的，所述确定影响自然资源变化的若干个事件种类，记为资源相关事件具体包括：Preferably, the determination of several types of events that affect changes in natural resources, recorded as resource-related events, specifically includes:
获取若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率；Obtain the average change rate of natural resources at several adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals;
基于格拉布斯准则，建立峰值筛选条件；Based on the Grubbs criterion, peak screening conditions were established;
基于峰值筛选条件，筛选出若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率中超出正常波动的异常数据点，作为特异数据；Based on the peak screening conditions, several abnormal data points that exceed normal fluctuations in the average change rate of natural resources between adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals are screened out as special data;
确定特异数据对应的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔发生所有事件，记为待验证事件；Determine all events that occur during the interval between adjacent natural resource asset inventory times corresponding to the specific data and record them as events to be verified;
对每个待验证事件进行综合分析，确定各待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标；Conduct a comprehensive analysis of each event to be verified and determine the impact indicators of each event to be verified on the rate of change of natural resources;
判断待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标是否大于预设值，若是，则将待验证事件记为资源相关事件，若否，不做响应；Determine whether the impact index of the event to be verified on the natural resource change rate is greater than the preset value. If so, the event to be verified is recorded as a resource-related event. If not, no response is made.
其中，所述峰值筛选条件的表达式为：Wherein, the expression of the peak screening condition is:
；式中，为第i个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率，为所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率的平均值，s为所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率的标准差，为格拉布斯临界值。 ; In the formula, is the average change rate of natural resources between the i-th adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals, is the average value of the average change rate of natural resources between all adjacent natural resource asset inventory times, s is the standard deviation of the average change rate of natural resources between all adjacent natural resource asset inventory times, is the Grubbs critical value.
优选的，所述对每个待验证事件进行综合分析，确定各待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标具体包括：Preferably, the comprehensive analysis of each event to be verified to determine the impact index of each event to be verified on the natural resource change rate specifically includes:
确定若干个不同程度发生过待验证事件的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔，记为样本时刻间隔；Determine the time intervals of inventory of several adjacent natural resource assets where the events to be verified have occurred to varying degrees, and record them as sample time intervals;
基于样本时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率和所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率，确定待验证事件在不同发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例；Based on the natural resource change rate corresponding to the sample time interval and the natural resource change rate corresponding to all adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals, determine the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate of the event to be verified at different occurrence levels;
基于待验证事件在不同发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例，计算自然资源变化率影响比例与待验证事件的发生程度之间的线性回归相关度，作为待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标；Based on the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate under different occurrence levels of the event to be verified, the linear regression correlation between the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate and the occurrence level of the event to be verified is calculated as the impact indicator of the event to be verified on the natural resource change rate;
其中，所述线性回归相关度的计算公式为：Wherein, the calculation formula of the linear regression correlation is:
；式中，R为自然资源变化率影响比例与待验证事件的发生程度之间的线性回归相关度，n为样本时刻间隔总个数，为第j个待验证事件的发生程度，为第j个待验证事件的发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例。 ; In the formula, R is the linear regression correlation between the impact ratio of natural resource change rate and the occurrence degree of the event to be verified, n is the total number of sample time intervals, is the occurrence degree of the jth event to be verified, is the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate under the occurrence degree of the jth event to be verified.
优选的，所述基于样本时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率和所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率，确定待验证事件在不同发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例具体包括：Preferably, the determining of the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate of the event to be verified at different occurrence degrees based on the natural resource change rate corresponding to the sample time interval and the natural resource change rate corresponding to all adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals specifically includes:
记每一个样本时刻间隔间发生的除待验证事件之外的所有事件，记为对比事件；All events except the event to be verified that occur during each sample time interval are recorded as comparison events;
从所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔中筛选出至少一个有且仅有对比事件发生的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔，记为对比时刻间隔；Select at least one adjacent natural resource asset inventory time interval in which only a comparison event occurs from all adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals, and record it as the comparison time interval;
计算每一个对比时刻间隔的自然资源变化率，并求平均值，作为基准变化率；Calculate the natural resource change rate at each comparison time interval and take the average value as the benchmark change rate;
计算样本时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率与基准变化率之间的差值，并将差值与基准变化率做比，得到待验证事件在样本时刻间隔的发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例。The difference between the natural resource change rate corresponding to the sample time interval and the benchmark change rate is calculated, and the difference is compared with the benchmark change rate to obtain the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate of the event to be verified under the occurrence degree of the sample time interval.
优选的，基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据具体包括：Preferably, based on the benchmark data and statistical events, analyzing the expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment specifically includes:
将所有除特异数据之外的所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率，作为基准变化率；The average change rate of natural resources at all intervals between all adjacent natural resource asset inventory times, excluding special data, is used as the benchmark change rate;
获取每一个统计事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标，并确定每一个统计事件的发生程度；Obtain the impact indicators of each statistical event on the rate of change of natural resources and determine the extent of each statistical event;
基于每一个统计事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标和每一个统计事件的发生程度，通过事件指标计算公式，确定事件影响指标；Based on the impact index of each statistical event on the rate of change of natural resources and the occurrence degree of each statistical event, the event impact index is determined through the event index calculation formula;
确定以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段时长，记为统计时长；Determine the duration of a time period starting from the reference time and ending at the current time, and record it as the statistical duration;
基于统计时长、基准数据、基准变化率和事件影响指标，通过资源预测公式计算当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据；Based on the statistical duration, benchmark data, benchmark change rate and event impact indicators, the expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment is calculated through the resource prediction formula;
其中，所述资源预测公式具体为：The resource prediction formula is specifically:
；式中，Q为当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据，为基准数据，F为基准变化率，P为事件影响指标，t为统计时长。 ; In the formula, Q is the expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment, is the benchmark data, F is the benchmark change rate, P is the event impact indicator, and t is the statistical duration.
优选的，所述事件指标计算公式具体为：Preferably, the event index calculation formula is specifically:
；式中，为第L个统计事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标，为第L个统计事件的发生程度，m为统计事件总个数。 ; In the formula, is the impact indicator of the Lth statistical event on the rate of change of natural resources, is the occurrence degree of the Lth statistical event, and m is the total number of statistical events.
进一步的，提出一种基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查系统，用于实现如上述的基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方法，包括：Furthermore, a natural resource asset inventory system based on multi-source data analysis is proposed, which is used to implement the natural resource asset inventory method based on multi-source data analysis as described above, including:
存储模块，所述存储模块用于存储自然资源资产库；A storage module, wherein the storage module is used to store a natural resource asset library;
事件筛选模块，所述事件筛选模块与所述存储模块电性连接，所述事件筛选模块用于确定影响自然资源变化的若干个事件种类，记为资源相关事件；An event screening module, the event screening module is electrically connected to the storage module, and the event screening module is used to determine several types of events that affect changes in natural resources, which are recorded as resource-related events;
数据分析模块，所述数据分析模块与所述事件筛选模块电性连接，所述数据分析模块用于获取基准时刻的自然资源资产数据，作为基准数据，获取以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段内发生的所有资源相关事件，记为统计事件，基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据；A data analysis module, the data analysis module is electrically connected to the event screening module, the data analysis module is used to obtain the natural resource asset data at the reference time as the reference data, obtain all resource-related events that occur within a time period starting from the reference time and ending at the current time as statistical events, and analyze the expected data of natural resource assets at the current time based on the reference data and the statistical events;
资产清查模块，所述资产清查模块与所述数据分析单元和存储模块电性连接，所述资产清查模块用于判断自然资源资产预期数据与自然资源资产实际数据之间的偏差是否大于偏差阈值，若是，则判定自然资源资产实际数据存在异常，对自然资源资产实际数据进行针对性核查，若否，则判定自然资源资产实际数据不存在异常，将自然资源资产实际数据统计入自然资源资产库。An asset inventory module, the asset inventory module is electrically connected to the data analysis unit and the storage module, and the asset inventory module is used to determine whether the deviation between the expected data of natural resource assets and the actual data of natural resource assets is greater than a deviation threshold. If so, it is determined that there are abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and the actual data of natural resource assets are subject to targeted verification. If not, it is determined that there are no abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and the actual data of natural resource assets are counted into the natural resource asset library.
可选地，所述事件筛选模块包括：Optionally, the event screening module includes:
特异识别单元，所述特异识别单元用于获取若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率，基于格拉布斯准则，建立峰值筛选条件，基于峰值筛选条件，筛选出若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率中超出正常波动的异常数据点，作为特异数据；A specific identification unit, wherein the specific identification unit is used to obtain an average change rate of natural resources at a plurality of adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals, establish a peak screening condition based on the Grubbs criterion, and screen out abnormal data points exceeding normal fluctuations in the average change rate of natural resources at a plurality of adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals based on the peak screening condition as specific data;
事件影响计算单元，所述事件影响计算单元用于确定特异数据对应的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔发生所有事件，记为待验证事件，并对每个待验证事件进行综合分析，确定各待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标；An event impact calculation unit, the event impact calculation unit is used to determine all events that occur between adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals corresponding to specific data, record them as pending events, and conduct a comprehensive analysis on each pending event to determine the impact index of each pending event on the natural resource change rate;
相关判断单元，所述相关判断单元用于判断待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标是否大于预设值，若是，则将待验证事件记为资源相关事件，若否，不做响应。The relevant judgment unit is used to judge whether the impact index of the event to be verified on the natural resource change rate is greater than a preset value. If so, the event to be verified is recorded as a resource-related event. If not, no response is made.
可选地，所述数据分析模块包括：Optionally, the data analysis module includes:
基准确定单元，所述基准确定单元用于获取基准时刻的自然资源资产数据，作为基准数据；A benchmark determination unit, the benchmark determination unit is used to obtain natural resource asset data at a benchmark time as benchmark data;
事件分析单元，所述事件分析单元用于获取以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段内发生的所有资源相关事件，记为统计事件；An event analysis unit, the event analysis unit is used to obtain all resource-related events that occur within a time period starting from a reference time and ending at a current time, and record them as statistical events;
综合计算单元，所述综合计算单元用于基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数。A comprehensive calculation unit is used to analyze the expected number of natural resource assets at the current moment based on benchmark data and statistical events.
与现有技术相比，本发明的有益效果在于：Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following beneficial effects:
本发明提出一种基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方案，基于自然资源正常状态下变化率，结合上次自然资源资产数据统计时刻到当前的时间间隔内的所有会造成自然资源资产数据发生变化的事件进行综合评估自然资源资产预期数据，并基于自然资源资产预期数据与自然资源资产实际数据进行比对，采用基准变化和事件影响的多源数据综合分析，可有效的快速的识别出自然资源清查过程中的异常数据值，进而有效的保证了自然资源资产统计时的准确度，提高对于自然资源资产利用的决策准确度。The present invention proposes a natural resource asset inventory plan based on multi-source data analysis. Based on the change rate of natural resources under normal conditions, combined with all events that may cause changes in natural resource asset data within the time interval from the last natural resource asset data statistical moment to the current time interval, the expected data of natural resource assets is comprehensively evaluated, and the expected data of natural resource assets is compared with the actual data of natural resource assets. By using a comprehensive analysis of multi-source data of baseline changes and event impacts, abnormal data values in the natural resource inventory process can be effectively and quickly identified, thereby effectively ensuring the accuracy of natural resource asset statistics and improving the accuracy of decisions on the utilization of natural resource assets.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
图1为本方案提出的基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方法流程图；Figure 1 is a flow chart of the natural resource asset inventory method based on multi-source data analysis proposed in this scheme;
图2为本方案中的确定影响自然资源变化的若干个事件种类的方法流程图；FIG2 is a flow chart of a method for determining several types of events that affect changes in natural resources in this solution;
图3为本方案中的确定各待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标的方法流程图；FIG3 is a flow chart of a method for determining the impact index of each event to be verified on the rate of change of natural resources in this solution;
图4为本方案中的确定待验证事件在不同发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例的方法流程图；FIG4 is a flow chart of a method for determining the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate of a to-be-verified event at different occurrence levels in this solution;
图5为本方案中的分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据的方法流程图；FIG5 is a flow chart of a method for analyzing expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment in this solution;
图6为本方案提出的基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查系统结构框图；FIG6 is a structural block diagram of the natural resource asset inventory system based on multi-source data analysis proposed in this solution;
图7为本方案中的计算机可读存储介质结构示意图。FIG. 7 is a schematic diagram of the computer-readable storage medium structure in this solution.
具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION
以下描述用于揭露本发明以使本领域技术人员能够实现本发明。以下描述中的优选实施例只作为举例，本领域技术人员可以想到其他显而易见的变型。The following description is used to disclose the present invention so that those skilled in the art can implement the present invention. The preferred embodiments described below are only examples, and those skilled in the art may think of other obvious variations.
参照图1所示，一种基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方法，包括：As shown in FIG1 , a natural resource asset inventory method based on multi-source data analysis includes:
确定影响自然资源变化的若干个事件种类，记为资源相关事件；Identify several types of events that affect changes in natural resources and record them as resource-related events;
从自然资源资产库中，获取与当前时刻最接近的历史自然资源资产清查时刻，作为基准时刻；From the natural resource asset database, obtain the historical natural resource asset inventory time closest to the current time as the reference time;
获取基准时刻的自然资源资产数据，作为基准数据；Obtain natural resource asset data at the base time as base data;
获取以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段内发生的所有资源相关事件，记为统计事件；Obtain all resource-related events that occur within a time period starting from the base time and ending at the current time, and record them as statistical events;
基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据；Analyze the expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment based on benchmark data and statistical events;
获取当前时刻统计的自然资源资产实际数据；Obtain the actual data of natural resource assets at the current moment;
判断自然资源资产预期数据与自然资源资产实际数据之间的偏差是否大于偏差阈值，若是，则判定自然资源资产实际数据存在异常，对自然资源资产实际数据进行针对性核查，若否，则判定自然资源资产实际数据不存在异常，将自然资源资产实际数据统计入自然资源资产库。Determine whether the deviation between the expected data of natural resource assets and the actual data of natural resource assets is greater than the deviation threshold. If so, it is determined that there are abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and a targeted check is conducted on the actual data of natural resource assets. If not, it is determined that there are no abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and the actual data of natural resource assets are counted into the natural resource asset database.
本方案基于自然资源正常状态下变化率，结合上次自然资源资产数据统计时刻到当前的时间间隔内的所有会造成自然资源资产数据发生变化的事件进行综合评估自然资源资产预期数据，并基于自然资源资产预期数据与自然资源资产实际数据进行比对，采用基准变化和事件影响的多源数据综合分析，可有效的快速的识别出自然资源清查过程中的异常数据值。This solution is based on the change rate of natural resources under normal conditions, combined with all events that may cause changes in natural resource asset data in the time interval from the last natural resource asset data statistics to the current time interval to comprehensively evaluate the expected natural resource asset data, and compares the expected natural resource asset data with the actual natural resource asset data. It uses a comprehensive analysis of multi-source data on baseline changes and event impacts to effectively and quickly identify abnormal data values during the natural resource inventory process.
参照图2所示，确定影响自然资源变化的若干个事件种类，记为资源相关事件具体包括：As shown in FIG2 , several types of events that affect changes in natural resources are determined and recorded as resource-related events, including:
获取若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率；Obtain the average change rate of natural resources at several adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals;
基于格拉布斯准则，建立峰值筛选条件；Based on the Grubbs criterion, peak screening conditions were established;
基于峰值筛选条件，筛选出若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率中超出正常波动的异常数据点，作为特异数据；Based on the peak screening conditions, several abnormal data points that exceed normal fluctuations in the average change rate of natural resources between adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals are screened out as special data;
确定特异数据对应的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔发生所有事件，记为待验证事件；Determine all events that occur during the interval between adjacent natural resource asset inventory times corresponding to the specific data and record them as events to be verified;
对每个待验证事件进行综合分析，确定各待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标；Conduct a comprehensive analysis of each event to be verified and determine the impact indicators of each event to be verified on the rate of change of natural resources;
判断待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标是否大于预设值，若是，则将待验证事件记为资源相关事件，若否，不做响应；Determine whether the impact index of the event to be verified on the natural resource change rate is greater than the preset value. If so, the event to be verified is recorded as a resource-related event. If not, no response is made.
其中，峰值筛选条件的表达式为：The expression of the peak screening condition is:
；式中，为第i个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率，为所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率的平均值，s为所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率的标准差，为格拉布斯临界值。 ; In the formula, is the average change rate of natural resources between the i-th adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals, is the average value of the average change rate of natural resources between all adjacent natural resource asset inventory times, s is the standard deviation of the average change rate of natural resources between all adjacent natural resource asset inventory times, is the Grubbs critical value.
其中，正常状态下，自然资源资产的消耗和再生速度是不变的，则相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔内的自然资源平均变化率应当是大致相类似的，若在某个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔内的自然资源平均变化率发生了超出正态分布的异常波动，则该邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔内可能发生的导致自然资源资产发生异常变化的突发事件，这些突发事件是自然资源资产清查过程中值得考虑的影响因素，基于此，本方案采用格拉布斯准则筛选出相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔内的自然资源平均变化率中超出正态分布的特异波动时刻，并分析特异波动时刻内发生的事件，进而得出与自然资源资产相关的资源相关事件。Among them, under normal conditions, the consumption and regeneration rates of natural resource assets are constant, so the average change rates of natural resources in adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals should be roughly similar. If the average change rate of natural resources in a certain adjacent natural resource asset inventory time interval has an abnormal fluctuation that exceeds the normal distribution, then the emergencies that may occur in the adjacent natural resource asset inventory time interval that cause abnormal changes in natural resource assets are influencing factors worthy of consideration in the natural resource asset inventory process. Based on this, this scheme adopts the Grubbs criterion to screen out the specific fluctuation moments in the average change rate of natural resources in adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals that exceed the normal distribution, and analyzes the events that occurred in the specific fluctuation moments, and then derives the resource-related events related to natural resource assets.
参照图3所示，对每个待验证事件进行综合分析，确定各待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标具体包括：As shown in FIG3 , a comprehensive analysis is performed on each event to be verified to determine the impact indicators of each event to be verified on the natural resource change rate, including:
确定若干个不同程度发生过待验证事件的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔，记为样本时刻间隔；Determine the time intervals of inventory of several adjacent natural resource assets where the events to be verified have occurred to varying degrees, and record them as sample time intervals;
基于样本时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率和所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率，确定待验证事件在不同发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例；Based on the natural resource change rate corresponding to the sample time interval and the natural resource change rate corresponding to all adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals, determine the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate of the event to be verified at different occurrence levels;
基于待验证事件在不同发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例，计算自然资源变化率影响比例与待验证事件的发生程度之间的线性回归相关度，作为待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标；Based on the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate under different occurrence levels of the event to be verified, the linear regression correlation between the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate and the occurrence level of the event to be verified is calculated as the impact indicator of the event to be verified on the natural resource change rate;
其中，线性回归相关度的计算公式为：Among them, the calculation formula of linear regression correlation is:
；式中，R为自然资源变化率影响比例与待验证事件的发生程度之间的线性回归相关度，n为样本时刻间隔总个数，为第j个待验证事件的发生程度，为第j个待验证事件的发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例。 ; In the formula, R is the linear regression correlation between the impact ratio of natural resource change rate and the occurrence degree of the event to be verified, n is the total number of sample time intervals, is the occurrence degree of the jth event to be verified, is the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate under the occurrence degree of the jth event to be verified.
参照图4所示，基于样本时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率和所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率，确定待验证事件在不同发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例具体包括：As shown in FIG4 , based on the natural resource change rate corresponding to the sample time interval and the natural resource change rate corresponding to all adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals, determining the natural resource change rate impact ratio of the event to be verified at different occurrence levels specifically includes:
记每一个样本时刻间隔间发生的除待验证事件之外的所有事件，记为对比事件；All events except the event to be verified that occur during each sample time interval are recorded as comparison events;
从所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔中筛选出至少一个有且仅有对比事件发生的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔，记为对比时刻间隔；Select at least one adjacent natural resource asset inventory time interval in which only a comparison event occurs from all adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals, and record it as the comparison time interval;
计算每一个对比时刻间隔的自然资源变化率，并求平均值，作为基准变化率；Calculate the natural resource change rate at each comparison time interval and take the average value as the benchmark change rate;
计算样本时刻间隔对应的自然资源变化率与基准变化率之间的差值，并将差值与基准变化率做比，得到待验证事件在样本时刻间隔的发生程度下的自然资源变化率影响比例。The difference between the natural resource change rate corresponding to the sample time interval and the benchmark change rate is calculated, and the difference is compared with the benchmark change rate to obtain the impact ratio of the natural resource change rate of the event to be verified under the occurrence degree of the sample time interval.
由于自然环境下可能发生为多事件同时发生的情况，因此在进行单一待验证事件分析时，需要剔除其他待验证事件的影响，因此，采用变化率影响比例作为事件的影响分析数据，并采用有且只有其他事件发生时的变化率作为基准数据，保证分析单一事件影响时的数据准确性。Since multiple events may occur simultaneously in the natural environment, it is necessary to eliminate the impact of other events to be verified when analyzing a single event to be verified. Therefore, the change rate impact ratio is used as the impact analysis data of the event, and the change rate when only other events occur is used as the baseline data to ensure the accuracy of the data when analyzing the impact of a single event.
参照图5所示，基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据具体包括：As shown in FIG5 , based on the benchmark data and statistical events, the analysis of the expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment specifically includes:
将所有除特异数据之外的所有相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率，作为基准变化率；The average change rate of natural resources at all intervals between all adjacent natural resource asset inventory times, excluding special data, is used as the benchmark change rate;
获取每一个统计事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标，并确定每一个统计事件的发生程度；Obtain the impact indicators of each statistical event on the rate of change of natural resources and determine the extent of each statistical event;
基于每一个统计事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标和每一个统计事件的发生程度，通过事件指标计算公式，确定事件影响指标；Based on the impact index of each statistical event on the rate of change of natural resources and the occurrence degree of each statistical event, the event impact index is determined through the event index calculation formula;
确定以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段时长，记为统计时长；Determine the duration of a time period starting from the reference time and ending at the current time, and record it as the statistical duration;
基于统计时长、基准数据、基准变化率和事件影响指标，通过资源预测公式计算当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据；Based on the statistical duration, benchmark data, benchmark change rate and event impact indicators, the expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment is calculated through the resource prediction formula;
其中，资源预测公式具体为：The resource prediction formula is as follows:
；式中，Q为当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据，为基准数据，F为基准变化率，P为事件影响指标，t为统计时长。 ; In the formula, Q is the expected data of natural resource assets at the current moment, is the benchmark data, F is the benchmark change rate, P is the event impact indicator, and t is the statistical duration.
事件指标计算公式具体为：The event indicator calculation formula is as follows:
；式中，为第L个统计事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标，为第L个统计事件的发生程度，m为统计事件总个数。 ; In the formula, is the impact indicator of the Lth statistical event on the rate of change of natural resources, is the occurrence degree of the Lth statistical event, and m is the total number of statistical events.
本方案中，基于统计时长内所有统计事件的发生数据，进行综合的计算多个事件综合发生时事件影响指标，并结合自然资源正常的消耗/再生水平进行综合评估当前时刻自然资源资产的期望值，期望值代表的是多源数据综合考量下的自然资源应当现存的资产值，基于期望值与实际值之间的偏差进行综合的判断，若自然资源资产预期数据与自然资源资产实际数据之间的偏差过大，则说明自然资源清查过程中可能存在数据清查失误，造成数据异常，进而有效的保证自然资源资产统计时的准确度，为自然资源资产利用决策提供准确的数据支撑，有效的提高对于自然资源资产利用的决策准确度。In this scheme, based on the occurrence data of all statistical events within the statistical period, a comprehensive calculation of the event impact indicators when multiple events occur is performed, and the expected value of natural resource assets at the current moment is comprehensively evaluated in combination with the normal consumption/regeneration level of natural resources. The expected value represents the existing asset value of natural resources under comprehensive consideration of multi-source data. A comprehensive judgment is made based on the deviation between the expected value and the actual value. If the deviation between the expected data of natural resource assets and the actual data of natural resource assets is too large, it means that there may be data inventory errors in the natural resource inventory process, resulting in data anomalies, thereby effectively ensuring the accuracy of natural resource asset statistics, providing accurate data support for natural resource asset utilization decisions, and effectively improving the accuracy of decisions on natural resource asset utilization.
进一步的，参照图6所示，基于与上述基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方法相同的发明构思，本方案提出一种基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查系统，包括：Further, as shown in FIG6 , based on the same inventive concept as the above-mentioned natural resource asset inventory method based on multi-source data analysis, this solution proposes a natural resource asset inventory system based on multi-source data analysis, including:
存储模块，存储模块用于存储自然资源资产库；A storage module, which is used to store a natural resource asset library;
事件筛选模块，事件筛选模块与存储模块电性连接，事件筛选模块用于确定影响自然资源变化的若干个事件种类，记为资源相关事件；An event screening module, the event screening module is electrically connected to the storage module, and the event screening module is used to determine several types of events that affect changes in natural resources and record them as resource-related events;
数据分析模块，数据分析模块与事件筛选模块电性连接，数据分析模块用于获取基准时刻的自然资源资产数据，作为基准数据，获取以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段内发生的所有资源相关事件，记为统计事件，基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数据；A data analysis module, the data analysis module is electrically connected to the event screening module, and the data analysis module is used to obtain the natural resource asset data at the reference time as the reference data, obtain all resource-related events that occur within the time period starting from the reference time and ending at the current time as statistical events, and analyze the expected data of natural resource assets at the current time based on the reference data and statistical events;
资产清查模块，资产清查模块与数据分析单元和存储模块电性连接，资产清查模块用于判断自然资源资产预期数据与自然资源资产实际数据之间的偏差是否大于偏差阈值，若是，则判定自然资源资产实际数据存在异常，对自然资源资产实际数据进行针对性核查，若否，则判定自然资源资产实际数据不存在异常，将自然资源资产实际数据统计入自然资源资产库。The asset inventory module is electrically connected to the data analysis unit and the storage module. The asset inventory module is used to determine whether the deviation between the expected data of natural resource assets and the actual data of natural resource assets is greater than the deviation threshold. If so, it is determined that there are abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and the actual data of natural resource assets are subject to targeted verification. If not, it is determined that there are no abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and the actual data of natural resource assets are counted into the natural resource asset library.
事件筛选模块包括：The event filtering module includes:
特异识别单元，特异识别单元用于获取若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率，基于格拉布斯准则，建立峰值筛选条件，基于峰值筛选条件，筛选出若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率中超出正常波动的异常数据点，作为特异数据；A specific identification unit is used to obtain the average change rate of natural resources at a certain interval between several adjacent natural resource asset inventory times, establish a peak screening condition based on the Grubbs criterion, and screen out abnormal data points that exceed normal fluctuations in the average change rate of natural resources at a certain interval between several adjacent natural resource asset inventory times as specific data;
事件影响计算单元，事件影响计算单元用于确定特异数据对应的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔发生所有事件，记为待验证事件，并对每个待验证事件进行综合分析，确定各待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标；The event impact calculation unit is used to determine all events that occur between the adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals corresponding to the specific data, record them as pending events, and conduct a comprehensive analysis of each pending event to determine the impact index of each pending event on the natural resource change rate;
相关判断单元，相关判断单元用于判断待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标是否大于预设值，若是，则将待验证事件记为资源相关事件，若否，不做响应。The relevant judgment unit is used to judge whether the impact index of the event to be verified on the natural resource change rate is greater than a preset value. If so, the event to be verified is recorded as a resource-related event. If not, no response is made.
数据分析模块包括：Data analysis modules include:
基准确定单元，基准确定单元用于获取基准时刻的自然资源资产数据，作为基准数据；A benchmark determination unit, the benchmark determination unit is used to obtain natural resource asset data at a benchmark time as benchmark data;
事件分析单元，事件分析单元用于获取以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段内发生的所有资源相关事件，记为统计事件；An event analysis unit, which is used to obtain all resource-related events that occur within a time period starting from a reference time and ending at a current time, and record them as statistical events;
综合计算单元，综合计算单元用于基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数。The comprehensive calculation unit is used to analyze the expected number of natural resource assets at the current moment based on benchmark data and statistical events.
上述系统的使用过程为：The process of using the above system is:
步骤一：特异识别单元从存储模块获取若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率，基于格拉布斯准则，建立峰值筛选条件，基于峰值筛选条件，筛选出若干个相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔的自然资源平均变化率中超出正常波动的异常数据点，作为特异数据；Step 1: The specific identification unit obtains the average change rate of natural resources at several adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals from the storage module, establishes a peak screening condition based on the Grubbs criterion, and screens out abnormal data points that exceed normal fluctuations in the average change rate of natural resources at several adjacent natural resource asset inventory time intervals based on the peak screening condition as specific data;
步骤二：事件影响计算单元确定特异数据对应的相邻自然资源资产清查时刻间隔发生所有事件，记为待验证事件，并对每个待验证事件进行综合分析，确定各待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标；Step 2: The event impact calculation unit determines all events that occur in the interval between adjacent natural resource asset inventory times corresponding to the specific data, records them as pending events, and conducts a comprehensive analysis on each pending event to determine the impact index of each pending event on the natural resource change rate;
步骤三：相关判断单元判断待验证事件对自然资源变化率的影响指标是否大于预设值，若是，则将待验证事件记为资源相关事件，若否，不做响应；Step 3: The relevant judgment unit judges whether the impact index of the event to be verified on the natural resource change rate is greater than a preset value. If so, the event to be verified is recorded as a resource-related event. If not, no response is made.
步骤四：基准确定单元获取基准时刻的自然资源资产数据，作为基准数据；Step 4: The benchmark determination unit obtains the natural resource asset data at the benchmark time as the benchmark data;
步骤五：事件分析单元获取以基准时刻为起始，以当前时刻为终止的时间段内发生的所有资源相关事件，记为统计事件；Step 5: The event analysis unit obtains all resource-related events that occur within a time period starting from the reference time and ending at the current time, and records them as statistical events;
步骤六：综合计算单元基于基准数据和统计事件，分析当前时刻的自然资源资产预期数；Step 6: The comprehensive calculation unit analyzes the expected number of natural resource assets at the current moment based on the benchmark data and statistical events;
步骤七：资产清查模块判断自然资源资产预期数据与自然资源资产实际数据之间的偏差是否大于偏差阈值，若是，则判定自然资源资产实际数据存在异常，对自然资源资产实际数据进行针对性核查，若否，则判定自然资源资产实际数据不存在异常，将自然资源资产实际数据统计入自然资源资产库。Step 7: The asset inventory module determines whether the deviation between the expected data of natural resource assets and the actual data of natural resource assets is greater than the deviation threshold. If so, it is determined that there are abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and a targeted check is performed on the actual data of natural resource assets. If not, it is determined that there are no abnormalities in the actual data of natural resource assets, and the actual data of natural resource assets are counted into the natural resource asset library.
图7是本申请一个实施例提供的计算机可读存储介质结构示意图。如图7所示，是根据本申请一个实施方式的计算机可读存储介质600。计算机可读存储介质600上存储有计算机可读指令。当计算机可读指令由处理器运行时，可执行参照以上附图描述的根据本申请实施方式的一种基于多源数据分析的自然资源资产清查方法。存储介质600包括但不限于例如易失性存储器和/或非易失性存储器。易失性存储器例如可包括随机存取存储器(RAM)和高速缓冲存储器(cache)等。非易失性存储器例如可包括只读存储器(ROM)、硬盘、闪存等。FIG7 is a schematic diagram of the structure of a computer-readable storage medium provided by an embodiment of the present application. As shown in FIG7, a computer-readable storage medium 600 is provided according to an embodiment of the present application. Computer-readable instructions are stored on the computer-readable storage medium 600. When the computer-readable instructions are executed by the processor, a natural resource asset inventory method based on multi-source data analysis according to an embodiment of the present application described with reference to the above figures can be executed. The storage medium 600 includes, but is not limited to, for example, volatile memory and/or non-volatile memory. Volatile memory may include, for example, random access memory (RAM) and cache memory (cache), etc. Non-volatile memory may include, for example, read-only memory (ROM), hard disk, flash memory, etc.
综上所述，本发明的优点在于：可有效的快速的识别出自然资源清查过程中的异常数据值，有效的保证了自然资源资产统计时的准确度。In summary, the advantages of the present invention are that it can effectively and quickly identify abnormal data values in the natural resource inventory process, and effectively ensure the accuracy of natural resource asset statistics.
以上显示和描述了本发明的基本原理、主要特征和本发明的优点。本行业的技术人员应该了解，本发明不受上述实施例的限制，上述实施例和说明书中描述的只是本发明的原理，在不脱离本发明精神和范围的前提下本发明还会有各种变化和改进，这些变化和改进都落入要求保护的本发明的范围内。本发明要求的保护范围由所附的权利要求书及其等同物界定。The above shows and describes the basic principles, main features and advantages of the present invention. Those skilled in the art should understand that the present invention is not limited to the above embodiments. The above embodiments and descriptions only describe the principles of the present invention. The present invention may be subject to various changes and improvements without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention. These changes and improvements fall within the scope of the present invention. The scope of protection claimed by the present invention is defined by the attached claims and their equivalents.
| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
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| CN202411059790.0ACN118585941B (en) | 2024-08-05 | 2024-08-05 | A natural resource asset inventory method and system based on multi-source data analysis |
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| CN202411059790.0ACN118585941B (en) | 2024-08-05 | 2024-08-05 | A natural resource asset inventory method and system based on multi-source data analysis |
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