Articles

Model details

Model definition and implementation

Model formulation and implementation details

Discretised distributions

Distributions and their discretisation in epinowcast

Case studies

Hierarchical nowcasting of age stratified COVID-19 hospitalisations in Germany

A case study exploring hierarchical models of varying complexity to jointly nowcast age stratified COVID-19 hospitalisations in Germany.

Estimating the effective reproduction number in real-time for a single timeseries with reporting delays

A walk through of a simple approach to jointly estimating the effective reproduction number over time and the delay from a positive test to this test being reported.

Working with epinowcast

Resources to help with model fitting using Stan

How to address issues you may encounter with Stan