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Posted inBudget

Greens try to set agenda on pre-Budget tax debate

As the Government announces a tax break for investors, the Greens are campaigning on lower taxes for low-earners and Labour is stuck in the middle
The Green Party's tax proposal has placed Labour in an awkward position. Photo: Marc Daalder

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Instead, the Greens’ alternative Budget, released last week, has sparked a flurry of fundraising emails in support and opposition – as well as a studious refusal to comment from Labour.

The headlines garnered by the Green Budget have focused as much on the promised new taxes as on what they would fund. The wealth tax (on assets over $2 million, bringing in more than $18 billion a year) makes up the bulk of the $22 billion a year in new taxes in the proposal. Other big changes are higher corporate taxes ($2.3b a year) and a $3b annual boost to ACC levies to fund a significantly increased scope for the entity.

The focus on the proposed private jet tax ($25 million a year) and doubling of mining royalties (to $11 million a year) has been far greater than their actual contribution to the Greens’ proposed Budget.

Meanwhile, the party’s mooted tweak to income tax brackets has received less attention. It would see the Government bring in $740mless in income tax a year, through creating a tax-free threshold. Although tax rates would be raised on high-earners, anyone earning less than $122,000 a year would pay less in income tax than they currently do.

Labour leader Chris Hipkins demurred when asked about his view on the Green proposal.

“I have just seen the headlines. I haven’t actually had a chance to look at it. If you have questions on that, best direct them to the Greens,” he said last week. “We will set out our alternative fiscal plan prior to the election. I think it is a bit too early to do that for us yet as there are two government Budgets to go before then.”

It’s an awkward situation for Labour, which is still sorting out its own tax plans ahead of an expected announcement later this year. Behind closed doors, the party has been debating the relative merits of a Greens-style wealth tax and a capital gains tax.

David Parker, the revenue minister under Labour who left Parliament earlier in May, has been a strong advocate of a wealth tax. He even pushed for one as part of the 2023 Budget, but it was shut down by Hipkins during his short-lived premiership.

Until the party has made a decision, worked through the details and announced its policy, it’ll stay out of the discussion generated by the Green Budget, for fear of being caught in the crossfire.

Certainly, there is a lot of fire being exchanged. Finance Minister Nicola Willis and Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters both drew comparisons between the Greens’ proposal and the economic policies of the Soviet Union.

This was, presumably, hyperbole, as wealth taxes are already in place overseas in countries like Switzerland and Belgium – hardly communist strongholds. The income tax changes, meanwhile, more closely resemble Australia’s settings than those in place behind the Iron Curtain in the 20th century.

Still, it’s a debate Labour wants to shy away from until it actually has something substantive to say.

The Greens are not the only party thinking about tax for this Budget, however. Willis, too, has some small changes in store.

One was announced on Monday afternoon – a very minor tweak to exempt foreign investments made by new migrants before they arrived in New Zealand from the foreign investment fund tax. It would see the Government earn about $65m less in tax a year, Willis said.

Willis has also openly discussed ambitions to reform charities tax rules, though the Budget won’t contain any changes this time around, as the matter is still being consulted on. There have also been suggestions the Government could adopt National’s election policy of repealing the foreign house-buyers ban and taxing prospective overseas property purchasers, although it’s hard to imagine this getting past New Zealand First.

Another unlikely change: More tax cuts.

A year on from Budget 2024, it’s hard to remember how the Government’s $14b in tax cuts dominated the discussion around that period. It really was what everyone was waiting to see in the Budget documents – the crown jewel of National’s 2023 election campaign.

Now, 10 months after the tax cuts came into effect, they’re hardly mentioned. While another round of cuts could be a shot in the arm for the Government’s popularity, the brutal arithmetic of reducing rates across the full tax base is that any change large enough to be noticeable on a weekly basis would cost billions of dollars – billions Willis probably doesn’t have to spare.

Indeed, on Monday the finance minister went out of her way to make clear there were no big new taxes lurking in the Budget documents. That, she said, was the prescription of the Opposition, not the Government.

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Marc Daalder is a senior political reporter at Newsroom. He covers climate change, health, energy and violent extremism.

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7 Comments

  1. Not sure the tax cuts in the last budget are hardly mentioned any more. They continue to cause headaches for our Minister of Finance. Last budget she borrowed some $12 billion to cover the reduced revenue from the tax cuts. This budget it is the turn of low paid women to cover the ongoing reduced revenue from tax cuts – that is the whole point of the pay equity legislation changes being rushed through last week under urgency.

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  2. “Finance Minister Nicola Willis has made clear her second Budget will need to mirror her first in finding savings in state spending to fund new initiatives no longer covered by a reduced operating allowance.” (Tim Murphy, analysis story above).  I think it would be a good idea if Ms Willis teamed up with the Auditor-General and got him to produce lots more reports like the one he has just done on the Oranga Tamariki restructure. What the Auditor-General has said is quite right but, if I were an official at OT involved in the restructure, I would be spending today looking at jobs overseas.  The officials were just doing what Nicola Willis forced them to do – and now they, not Nicola, are the bad guys.  That is grossly unfair.
    And what is this to do with tax?  Well, if you drive all the public servants out of the country, there are your savings in state spending!  You can go ahead and give tax cuts to your mates, perhaps not this Thursday but certainly in the next mini-budget.

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  3. If Labour continues to sit on the fence regarding wealth taxes they run the risk of being a pale blue version of National. I believe that there is a wide recognition that incomes are taxed too heavily and wealth is largely untaxed. The only hope for significant tax reductions for ordinary wage and salary workers is by means of wealth taxes or similar. It is time for Labour to take a stand and put forward the reasons why wealth should be taxed.

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    1. While Labour are absolutely feckless when it comes to tax affairs, a ‘wealth tax’ will only accelerate the hollowing out of New Zealand by driving even more people (and capital) overseas. They’re easily avoided by the truly wealthy and tend to fall on the already struggling middle class. In terms of assessing the extra administrative cost chasing receipts v. the receipts themselves; they’re an almost totally hopeless case.

      In terms of improving the prospect of the Great Kiwi Worker (as opposed to the Great Kiwi Doll Bludger), New Zealand would be better off balancing the tax treatment meted out to economic gains from capital (including land transactions) v income.

      This would reduce the tax incentive to be found in over-investing in residential property and result in more funds going into productive enterprises (reducing housing costs and increasing the total amount of national wealth).

      1. Well, before enacting the wealth tax, they should first enact a capital exit tax. You want to move your money overseas to avoid a 2.5% tax? Cool, you can pay 33% on the way out instead then.

        1. Your on-the-fly (back-of-the-crab-bucket?) tax policies would certainly be one way to end the scourge of foreign investment in New Zealand’s economy.

          Nice one.

  4. The Greens can’t even run their own caucus; what hope do the have for the entire economy?

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