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Politics
Conservatives Greatly Outnumber Liberals in 19 U.S. States
Politics

Conservatives Greatly Outnumber Liberals in 19 U.S. States

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- The residents of most U.S. states are more likely to identify as conservative than as liberal in their political ideology. In 25 states, the conservative advantage is significantly greater than the national average, including 19 "highly conservative" states in which conservatives outnumber liberals by at least 20 percentage points. Meanwhile, in six states, there are more liberals than conservatives.

Heat map. The political ideology of the populations of each U.S. state.

Nationally, the conservative advantage in ideological identification isnine percentage points, and reflects a narrowing of the conservative-liberal gap from 21 points in 2004.

These findings are based on aggregated data from Gallup's 2018 tracking poll in which respondents were asked to indicate whether they describe their political views as liberal, moderate or conservative.

States in which the conservative-liberal gap is 20 points or greater are considered "highly conservative." The "more conservative than average" states have gaps of between 15 and 19 points. "About average" states' residents prefer the conservative description by seven to 14 points, and those with gaps of zero to six points are considered "less conservative than average."

The number of states in which more residents identify as liberal than as conservative is down slightly from nine in2017. Many of the changes are within the margin of error for the state's sample -- states that barely tilted liberal in 2017 barely tilted conservative in 2018 -- so it is unclear how meaningful these changes are.

Mississippi ranked as the most conservative state in 2018, with 50% of residents identifying as conservative and 12% as liberal, for a gap of 38 points. Twenty-nine percent of Mississippians said they are moderate, and 9% had no opinion.

Massachusetts was the most liberal state in 2018, with 35% of its residents describing their political views as liberal and 21% as conservative. Massachusetts was the first state Gallup measured with more liberal than conservative identifiers (in 2008) and has been the state most consistently leaning more liberal than conservative.

The full results for each state follow.

State Ideological Identification, 2018
ConservativeModerateLiberalConservative advantageN
%%%Pct. pts.
Mississippi50291238666
Alabama463414321,275
South Dakota44371331303
Louisiana433515281,117
Wyoming46311828286
West Virginia45311728445
Tennessee433417261,692
Arkansas41381526758
Utah41401526952
South Carolina413716251,262
Oklahoma433518251,073
Idaho40371723591
Alaska40381723232
Indiana393817221,575
Kansas39381821746
Montana39381821427
North Dakota39411821241
Missouri413420211,532
Georgia393519202,214
Kentucky393520191,124
Texas383620185,898
New Mexico38372018653
North Carolina393321182,433
Arizona37362116948
Ohio373522152,629
Nebraska36382214507
Florida363622144,709
Iowa35392114825
Wisconsin353724111,447
Michigan333823102,319
Nevada33382310647
Pennsylvania343624103,272
Virginia33372492,022
Colorado33372671,549
Minnesota32372571,507
Delaware2943245250
Rhode Island2940254298
Illinois31362742,374
Oregon32352841,316
Connecticut3038273927
New Jersey29372721,860
Maine3529332412
Maryland29392811,337
California29362908,116
New Hampshire283630-2350
New York273530-34,591
Washington283731-31,980
Vermont283632-4249
Hawaii224528-6301
Massachusetts213835-141,623
Based on 2018 Gallup tracking. Data for AK, DE, HI, ND, RI, SD, VT and WY based on combined data from 2018 Gallup tracking and 2018 Gallup Poll Social Series surveys.
Gallup

Editor's Note: The story has been updated to correct the sample size of national adults.

Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted in 2018 on the Gallup U.S. Poll with a random sample of 75,669 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage point at the 95% confidence level.

Sample sizes for states ranged from 232 in Alaska to 8,116 in California. The margin of sampling error for most states is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Samples for Alaska, North Dakota, Vermont, Delaware, Wyoming, Rhode Island, Hawaii and South Dakota were supplemented with additional cases from 2018 Gallup Poll Social Series interviews.

All reported margins of sampling error include computed design effects for weighting.

Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 70% cellphone respondents and 30% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods.

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Gallup https://news.gallup.com/poll/247016/conservatives-greatly-outnumber-liberals-states.aspx
Gallup World Headquarters, 901 F Street, Washington, D.C., 20001, U.S.A
+1 202.715.3030


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