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Vaclav Smil

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Czech-Canadian scientist and policy analyst (born 1943)

Vaclav Smil
Vaclav Smil
Born (1943-12-09)December 9, 1943 (age 82)
CitizenshipCanadian
Alma materCharles University in Prague,Pennsylvania State University
Scientific career
FieldsEnvironmental science,public policy studies
InstitutionsUniversity of Manitoba
Thesis "Světová a československá energetika" Trans. "Energy Policy in Czechoslovakia and the world." (1969)
WebsiteVaclavSmil.com

Vaclav Smil (Czech:[ˈvaːtslafˈsmɪl];[1] born December 9, 1943) is a Czech-Canadian scientist and policy analyst.[2] He isDistinguished Professor Emeritus[3] in the Faculty ofEnvironment at theUniversity of Manitoba inWinnipeg, Manitoba, Canada. His interdisciplinary research interests encompass energy, environmental, food,population, economic, historical andpublic policy studies. He has also applied these approaches to energy, food andenvironmental affairs of China.

Early life and education

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Smil was born duringWorld War II inPlzeň, at that time in the GermanProtectorate of Bohemia and Moravia (present-dayCzech Republic).[4] His father was a police officer and his mother a bookkeeper.[4] Growing up in a remote mountain town in thePlzeň Region, Smil cut wood daily to keep the home heated. This provided an early lesson inenergy efficiency anddensity.[4]

Smil completed his undergraduate studies and began his graduate work (culminating in the RNDr., an intermediate graduate degree similar to the Anglo-AmericanMaster of Philosophy credential, in 1965)[5] at the Faculty of Natural Sciences ofCharles University in Prague, where he took up to 35 hours of lectures a week, 10 months a year, for five years.[4] "They taught me nature, from geology to clouds," Smil said.[4] After graduation he refused to join theCommunist party, undermining his job prospects, though he found employment at a regional planning office.[4] He married Eva, who was studying to be a physician.[4] In 1969, following theSoviet invasion of Czechoslovakia and Eva's graduation, the Smils emigrated to the United States, leaving the country months before a Soviet travel ban shut the borders.[4] "That was not a minor sacrifice, you know?" Smil says.[4] Smil then received hisPh.D. ingeography from the College of Earth and Mineral Sciences ofPennsylvania State University in 1971.[5][4][6]

Career

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In 1972, Smil took his first job offer at theUniversity of Manitoba where he remained for decades, until his retirement.[4] He taught introductory environmental science courses among other subjects dealing with energy, atmospheric change, China, population and economic development.[4]

Position on energy

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Smil is skeptical that there will be a rapid transition to clean energy, believing it will take much longer than many predict.[4] Smil said "I have never been wrong on these major energy and environmental issues because I have nothing to sell," unlike many energy companies and politicians.[4]

Smil noted in 2018 that coal, oil, and natural gas continue to make up 90% of theprimary energy sources used in the world. Although renewable energy technologies have improved over time, the global share of energy produced from fossil fuels since 2000 has increased.[4] Smil emphasizes that replacing the use of fossil carbon in the production ofprimary iron,cement,ammonia, andplastics is a significant and ongoing challenge in the industrial sector. Together, these industries account for 15% of the world's total fossil fuel consumption.[7] Smil stresses the need for energy prices to reflect their true costs, including greenhouse gas emissions, and promotes a decrease in the demand for fossil fuels throughenergy-saving measures.[8]

Position on economic growth

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Smil believes economic growth has to end, that all growth islogistic rather thanexponential, and that humans could consume much lower levels of materials and energy.[9][10][11]

Reception

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Included among Smil's admirers is Microsoft co-founderBill Gates,[12] who has said: "I wait for new Smil books the way some people wait for the nextStar Wars movie."[4] "He's a slayer of bullshit," saysDavid Keith, an energy and climate scientist atHarvard University.[4]

Personal life

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His wife Eva is a physician[4] and his son David is an organic synthetic chemist.

He lives in a house with unusually thick insulation, grows some of his own food, and eats meat roughly once a week.[10] He reads 60 to 110 non-technical books a year and keeps a list of all books he has read since 1969. He "does not intend to have a cell phone ever."[13]

Smil is known for being "intensely private", shunning the press while letting his books speak for themselves.[4] At the University of Manitoba, he only ever showed up at one faculty meeting (since the 1980s). The school accepted his reclusiveness so long as he kept teaching and publishing highly rated books.[4]

Awards and honors

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He is a Fellow of theRoyal Society of Canada (Science Academy)[14] and the recipient of theAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science Award for Public Understanding of Science and Technology in 2000.[15] In 2010, he was named byForeign Policy magazine to its list of FP Top 100 Global Thinkers.[16] In 2013, he was appointed by theGovernor General to theOrder of Canada.[17] In the fall of 2013, he was the EADS Distinguished Visitor at theAmerican Academy in Berlin.

He has been an invited speaker in more than 300 conferences and workshops in the US, Canada, Europe, Asia and Africa, has lectured at many universities inNorth America, Europe andEast Asia and has worked as a consultant for many US,European Union andinternational institutions.

His bookHow the World Really Works: The Science Behind How We Got Here and Where We're Going was a nominee for the 2022Balsillie Prize for Public Policy.[18]

Publications

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Books

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  • 2025 :How to Feed the World: The History and Future of Food. Viking/Penguin.ISBN 978-0593834510
  • 2023 :Invention and Innovation: A Brief History of Hype and Failure. The MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262048057
  • 2023 :Size: How It Explains the World. Viking/Penguin.ISBN 978-0241506998
  • 2022 :How the World Really Works: A Scientist's Guide to Our Past, Present and Future. Viking/Penguin.ISBN 978-0241454398
  • 2021 :Grand Transitions: How the Modern World Was Made.Oxford University Press.ISBN 978-0241454398
  • 2020 :Numbers Don't Lie: 71 Things You Need To Know About The World. Penguin.ISBN 978-0241454411
  • 2019 :Growth: From Microorganisms to Megacities.The MIT Press.ISBN 0262042835
  • 2017 :Energy and Civilization: A History. The MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262035774
  • 2015 :Natural Gas: Fuel for the 21st Century. Wiley.ISBN 978-1119012863
  • 2015 :Power Density: A Key to Understanding Energy Sources and Uses. The MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262029148
  • 2013 :Making the Modern World: Materials and Dematerialization. Wiley.ISBN 978-1119942535
  • 2013 :Made in the USA: The Rise and Retreat of American Manufacturing. The MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262019385
  • 2013 :Should We Eat Meat? Evolution and Consequences of Modern Carnivory. Wiley.ISBN 978-1118278727
  • 2013 :Harvesting the Biosphere; What We Have Taken from Nature. The MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262018562
  • 2012 :Japan’s Dietary Transition and Its Impacts. The MIT Press.ISBN 978-0313381775
  • 2010 :Prime Movers of Globalization: The History and Impact of Diesel Engines and Gas Turbines. The MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262014434
  • 2010 :Energy Myths and Realities: Bringing Science to the Energy Policy Debate. The AEI Press.ISBN 978-0844743288
  • 2010 :Energy Transitions: History, Requirements, Prospects. Praeger.ISBN 978-0313381775
  • 2010 :Why America Is Not a New Rome. MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262195935
  • 2008 :Global Catastrophes and Trends: The Next Fifty Years. The MIT Press.ISBN 978-0262195867
  • 2008 :Oil: A Beginner's Guide. Oneworld Publications.ISBN 978-1851685714
  • 2008 :Energy in Nature and Society: General Energetics of Complex Systems. The MIT Press.ISBN 9780262693561
  • 2006 :Energy: A Beginner's Guide. Oneworld Publications.ISBN 978-1851684526
  • 2006 :Transforming the Twentieth Century: Technical Innovations and Their Consequences. Oxford University Press.ISBN 9780195168754
  • 2005 :Creating the Twentieth Century: Technical Innovations of 1867–1914 and Their Lasting Impact. Oxford University Press.ISBN 9780195168747
  • 2004 :China’s Past, China’s Future. RoutledgeCurzon.
  • 2003 :Energy at the Crossroads: Global Perspectives and Uncertainties. The MIT Press.
  • 2002 :The Earth's Biosphere: Evolution, Dynamics and Change. The MIT Press.
  • 2001 :Enriching the Earth: Fritz Haber, Carl Bosch and the Transformation of World Food Production. The MIT Press.
  • 2000 :Feeding the World: A Challenge for the 21st Century. The MIT Press.
  • 1998 :Energies: An Illustrated Guide to the Biosphere and Civilization. The MIT Press.
  • 1997 :Cycles of Life: Civilization and the Biosphere. Scientific American Library.
  • 1994 :Energy in World History. Westview Press.
  • 1993 :China's Environment: An Inquiry into the Limits of National Development. M. E. Sharpe. Winner of the 1995Joseph Levenson Book Prize.
  • 1993 :Global Ecology: Environmental Change and Social Flexibility. Routledge.
  • 1991 :General Energetics: Energy in the Biosphere and Civilization. Wiley.
  • 1988 :Energy in China's Modernization. M.E. Sharpe.
  • 1987 :Energy Food Environment: Realities Myths Options. Oxford University Press.
  • 1985 :Carbon Nitrogen Sulfur: Human Interference in Grand Biospheric Cycles. Plenum Press.
  • 1984 :The Bad Earth: Environmental Degradation in China. M.E. Sharpe.
  • 1983 :Biomass Energies: Resources, Links, Constraints. Plenum Press.
  • 1982 : (in collaboration with P. Nachman and T. V. Long, II).Energy Analysis in Agriculture: An Application to U.S. Corn Production. Westview Press.
  • 1980 : (in collaboration with W. E. Knowland).Energy in the Developing World. Oxford University Press.
  • 1976 :China's Energy: Achievements, Problems, Prospects. Praeger.

Articles

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  • "Good Eats".Inference, vol. 5, no. 1 (December 12, 2019)
  • "Sputnik at 60".IEEE Spectrum, September 26, 2017.
  • "A Skeptic Looks at Alternative Energy".IEEE Spectrum, July 2012.
  • "Energy innovation as a process: Lessons from LNG".Master Resource: A Free-Market Energy Blog, January 11, 2010.
  • "Two decades later: Nikkei and lessons from the fall".The American, December 29, 2009.
  • "The Iron Age & coal-based coke: A neglected case of fossil-fuel dependence".Master Resource: A Free-Market Energy Blog, September 17, 2009.
  • "U.S. energy policy: The need for radical departures".Issues in Science and Technology, Summer 2009:47–50.
  • "Long-range energy forecasts are no more than fairy tales".Nature453:154 (2008).
  • "Moore's curse and the great energy delusion".The American 2(6): 34–41 (2008).
  • "Water news: bad, good and virtual".American Scientist, 96:399–407 (2008).
  • "On meat, fish and statistics: The global food regime and animal consumption in the United States and Japan".Japan Focus, October 19, 2008.
  • James N. Galloway, Marshall Burke, G. Eric Bradford, Rosamond Naylor, Walter Falcon, Ashok K. Chapagain, Joanne C. Gaskell, Ellen McCullough, Harold A. Mooney, Kirsten L. L. Oleson, Henning Steinfeld, Tom Wassenaar and Vaclav Smil. "International trade in meat: The tip of the pork chop".Ambio 36:622–629 (2007).
  • "The two prime movers of globalization: history and impact of diesel engines and gas turbines".Journal of Global History, 3:373–394 (2007).
  • "Global material cycles".Encyclopedia of Earth, June 2, 2007.
  • "The unprecedented shift in Japan's population: Numbers, age, and prospects".Japan Focus, May 1, 2007.
  • "Light behind the fall: Japan's electricity consumption, the environment, and economic growth".Japan Focus, April 2, 2007.
  • "21st century energy: Some sobering thoughts".OECD Observer, 2006.
  • "Peak oil: A catastrophist cult and complex realities".World Watch 19: 22–24 (2006).
  • Naylor, R., Steinfeld, H., Falcon, W., Galloway, J., Smil, V., Bradford, E., Alder, J., Mooney, H. "Losing the links between livestock and land".Science 310:1621–1622.
  • "The next 50 years: Unfolding trends:.Population and Development Review, 31: 605–643 (2005).
  • "Feeding the world: How much more rice do we need?" In: Toriyama K., Heong K.L., Hardy B., eds.Rice is life: scientific perspectives for the 21st century. Proceedings of the World Rice Research Conference held in Tokyo and Tsukuba, Japan, November 4–7, 2004. Los Baños (Philippines):International Rice Research Institute, pp. 21–23.
  • "The next 50 Years: Fatal discontinuities".Population and Development Review, 31: 201–236 (2005).
  • "Improving efficiency and reducing waste in our food system".Environmental Sciences, 1:17–26 (2004).

Filmography

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References

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  1. ^"Vaclav Smil on his book, "Making the Modern World" - Bill Gates Notes". June 12, 2014 – via YouTube.
  2. ^"Official website".Vaclav Smil. RetrievedJuly 18, 2025.
  3. ^"Distinguished Professors Emeritus/Emerita | Governance | University of Manitoba".umanitoba.ca. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2023.
  4. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstPaul Voosen (March 23, 2018)."The Realist".Science Magazine.359 (6382):1320–1324.Bibcode:2018Sci...359.1320V.doi:10.1126/science.359.6382.1320.PMID 29567690.Archived from the original on March 22, 2018. RetrievedMarch 24, 2018.
  5. ^ab"Vaclav Smil, PhD Biography".ProCon.org. Encyclopaedia Britannica. May 5, 2017. RetrievedMay 14, 2022.
  6. ^Robert Bryce (July 2007)."An Interview with Vaclav Smil". Robert Bryce website. Archived fromthe original on December 16, 2013.
  7. ^Václav Smil at Driva Climate Investment Meeting 2019, event occurs at 30min from the beginning of his presentation
  8. ^Smil, Vaclav (January 2014)."A Global Transition to Renewable Energy Will Take Many Decades".Scientific American. RetrievedJuly 23, 2021.
  9. ^Watts, Jonathan (September 21, 2019)."Vaclav Smil: 'Growth must end. Our economist friends don't seem to realise that' | Science and nature books | the Guardian".The Guardian.
  10. ^abVoosen, Paul (March 21, 2018)."Meet Vaclav Smil, the man who has quietly shaped how the world thinks about energy".Science Magazine.
  11. ^Gates, Bill (March 26, 2013)."Humans are using up earth's biomass".GatesNotes: The Blog of Bill Gates.
  12. ^King, Ritchie (August 8, 2013)."Meet Vaclav Smil, the Canadian polymath whose books Bill Gates is racing to read".Quartz. RetrievedAugust 8, 2013.
  13. ^Vaclav Smil (2019)."Energy Systems: Transition & Innovation".Agora. RetrievedJuly 30, 2022 – via YouTube.
  14. ^"All Fellows: Records 1651 to 1700".Royal Society of Canada. Archived fromthe original on February 24, 2012.
  15. ^"AAAS Public Engagement with Science Award Recipients".American Association for the Advancement of Science. Archived fromthe original on October 21, 2013. RetrievedMarch 24, 2018.
  16. ^"The FP Top 100 Global Thinkers: 49. Vaclav Smil".Foreign Policy. December 2010. Archived fromthe original on December 3, 2010.
  17. ^"Appointments to the Order of Canada". Governor General of Canada. June 28, 2013. RetrievedMarch 24, 2018.
  18. ^Cassandra Drudi,"Finalists named for 2022 Balsillie Prize for Public Policy".Quill & Quire, September 28, 2022.

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