 | |
| Number of straw polls | 12 |
|---|---|
| Voted Democratic | 8 |
| Voted Republican | 4 |
| Voted for winning candidate | 9 |
| Voted for losing candidate | 3 |
Because it is aU.S. territory instead of aU.S. state, voters inGuam are ineligible to elect members of theElectoral College, who would then cast direct electoral votes forpresident andvice president. The territory nonetheless conducts a non-bindingstraw poll on the day of the presidential general election to gauge the preference for president every election year.[1]
The poll has been held in Guam during every presidential election since1980.[1] It was established after theLegislature of Guam passed Public Law 15-49, which requires the Guam Election Commission to conduct the poll. The law also instructs the chairman of the board of the Guam Election Commission to essentially conduct ameeting of electors like those in the states and act as the territory's sole elector, including formally casting an electoral college ballot for the presidential ticket receiving the highest number of votes in the territory, and then officially sending the result to the U.S. Congress.[2]
Because Guam is 15 hours ahead of thecontiguous United States, the poll is regarded as an indicator of how the rest of the country will vote.[3] The territory is home to three U.S. military bases and current and former service members and has historically had a higher voter turnout than the mainland.[4] Since 1980, the results of the Guam poll have aligned with the results of the mainland, except in two instances: in 1980, when the islanders favoredJimmy Carter instead of eventual winnerRonald Reagan, and in 2024, when they favoredKamala Harris instead ofDonald Trump.
 |
Winners of the territory are inbold.
Democratic Party – (D) Green Party – (G) Independent candidate – (I) Libertarian Party – (LI) Republican Party – (R)
|
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Other candidate[a] | Ref. | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | % | Candidate | Votes | % | Candidate | Votes | % | |||||
| 2024 | Kamala Harris(D) | 13,510 | 49.46 | Donald Trump(R)‡ | 12,624 | 46.22 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr.(I) | 938 | 3.43 | [5] | |||
| 2020 | Joe Biden(D)‡ | 14,610 | 55.38 | Donald Trump(R) | 11,058 | 41.91 | Howie Hawkins(G) | 185 | 0.70 | [6][7] | |||
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton(D) | 23,052 | 71.62 | Donald Trump[b](R)‡ | 7,779 | 24.17 | Mimi Soltysik(S) | 1,357 | 4.22 | [3][7] | |||
| 2012 | Barack Obama(D)‡ | 22,688 | 72.51 | Mitt Romney(R) | 8,252 | 26.37 | Gary Johnson(LI) | 351 | 1.12 | [7] | |||
| 2008 | Barack Obama(D)‡ | 20,119 | 57.33 | John McCain(R) | 11,941 | 34.03 | [7] | ||||||
| 2004 | George W. Bush(R)‡ | 21,490 | 64.08 | John Kerry(D) | 11,781 | 35.13 | [7] | ||||||
| 2000 | George W. Bush[b](R)‡ | 18,075 | 51.58 | Al Gore(D) | 16,549 | 47.22 | [7] | ||||||
| 1996 | Bill Clinton(D)‡ | 19,265 | 59.67 | Bob Dole(R) | 12,524 | 38.79 | [2][8][7] | ||||||
| 1992 | Bill Clinton(D)‡ | 10,233 | 59.11 | George H. W. Bush(R) | 6,817 | 39.38 | [7] | ||||||
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush(R)‡ | 14,241 | 58.84 | Michael Dukakis(D) | 9,646 | 39.86 | [7] | ||||||
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan(R)‡ | 17,259 | 63.97 | Walter Mondale(D) | 9,429 | 34.95 | [7] | ||||||
| 1980 | Jimmy Carter(D) | 14,352 | 57.01 | Ronald Reagan(R)‡ | 9,658 | 38.37 | John B. Anderson(I) | 954 | 3.79 | [7] | |||