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2012 United States Senate election in California

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(Redirected fromUnited States Senate election in California, 2012)

2012 United States Senate election in California

← 2006
November 6, 2012
2018 →
Turnout55.2% (voting eligible)[1]
 
CandidateDianne FeinsteinElizabeth Emken
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote7,864,6244,713,887
Percentage62.52%37.48%

County results
Congressional district results
Feinstein:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Emken:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Dianne Feinstein
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Dianne Feinstein
Democratic

Elections in California
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U.S. President primary
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Attorney General
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Elections by year

The2012 United States Senate election in California took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to theUnited States Senate andHouse of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The primary election on June 5 took place under California's new blanket primary law, where all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters voted for any candidate listed, or write-in any other candidate. The top two finishers—regardless of party—advanced to the general election in November, even if a candidate managed to receive a majority of the votes cast in the June primary. In the primary, less than 15% of the total 2010 census population voted. Incumbent Democratic U.S. SenatorDianne Feinstein announced her intention to run for a fourth full term in April 2011[2] and finished first in the blanket primary with 49.5% of the vote. The second-place finisher was Republican candidate and autism activist Elizabeth Emken, who won 12.7% of the vote.

Feinstein ultimately defeated Emken in the general election on November 6, winning 62.5% of the vote to Emken's 37.5%. Feinstein's total of 7.86 million popular votes was the most ever received by a candidate for U.S. Senate in American history untilAdam Schiff won the same seat with over 9 million votes in2024.[3] For a full decade, Emken was the only Republican candidate to have advanced to a general U.S. Senate election in California, as only Democratic candidates advanced to the general election in2016 and2018; however, this streak was broken 10 years later in2022.

Primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Democratic Party

[edit]
  • Dianne Feinstein, incumbent U.S. senator[4]
  • Colleen Shea Fernald
  • David Levitt, computer scientist and engineer[5]
  • Nak Shah, environmental health consultant
  • Diane Stewart, businesswoman
  • Mike Strimling, attorney and former U.S. Peace Corps legal adviser

Republican Party

[edit]

Libertarian

[edit]
  • Gail Lightfoot, retired nurse

Peace and Freedom

[edit]

American Independent

[edit]
  • Don J. Grundmann, chiropractor

Despite Don J. Grundmann running, the American Independent Party gave their party endorsement to Republican Robert Lauten.[14]

Polling

[edit]
Open Primary
Survey USA poll of 1,314 likely voters, March 29–April 2, 2012. MoE: ±2.8%
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDianne Feinstein (incumbent)51
RepublicanDan Hughes2
RepublicanElizabeth Emken2
DemocraticDiane Stewart1
RepublicanJohn Boruff1
RepublicanRick Williams1
RepublicanAl Ramirez1
RepublicanRobert Lauten1
RepublicanOrly Taitz1
LibertarianGail Lightfoot1
DemocraticDavid Alex Levitt1
RepublicanGreg Conlon1
RepublicanDennis Jackson1
RepublicanDonald Krampe1
American IndependentDon J. Grundmann1
RepublicanOscar Alejandro Braun0
RepublicanDirk Allen Konopik0
DemocraticMike Strimling0
DemocraticNak Shah0
DemocraticColleen Shea Fernald0
Peace and FreedomMarsha Feinland0
RepublicanRogelio T. Gloria0
Peace and FreedomKabiruddin Karim Ali0
RepublicanNachum Shifren0
n/aUndecided30
Total votes
Survey USA poll of 1,232 likely voters, May 27–29, 2012. MoE: ±2.8%
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDianne Feinstein (incumbent)42
RepublicanElizabeth Emken4
RepublicanDan Hughes4
RepublicanRick Williams3
RepublicanAl Ramirez3
RepublicanDonald Krampe2
DemocraticDiane Stewart2
DemocraticDavid Alex Levitt2
LibertarianGail Lightfoot2
RepublicanOrly Taitz1
RepublicanGreg Conlon1
RepublicanRobert Lauten1
RepublicanNachum Shifren1
RepublicanDennis Jackson1
RepublicanJohn Boruff1
RepublicanDirk Allen Konopik1
DemocraticColleen Shea Fernald1
DemocraticMike Strimling1
Peace and FreedomMarsha Feinland1
American IndependentDon J. Grundmann1
RepublicanOscar Alejandro Braun0
Peace and FreedomKabiruddin Karim Ali0
DemocraticNak Shah0
RepublicanRogelio T. Gloria0
n/aUndecided24
Total votes

Results

[edit]
Primary results by county:
  Feinstein ≥ 20%
  Feinstein ≥ 30%
  Feinstein ≥ 40%
  Feinstein ≥ 50%
  Feinstein ≥ 60%
  Feinstein ≥ 70%
United States Senate primary election in California, 2012[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDianne Feinstein (incumbent)2,392,82249.3%
RepublicanElizabeth Emken613,61312.6%
RepublicanDan Hughes323,8406.7%
RepublicanRick Williams157,9463.3%
RepublicanOrly Taitz154,7813.2%
RepublicanDennis Jackson137,1202.8%
RepublicanGreg Conlon135,4212.8%
RepublicanAl Ramirez109,3992.3%
LibertarianGail Lightfoot101,6482.1%
DemocraticDiane Stewart97,7822.0%
DemocraticMike Strimling97,0242.0%
DemocraticDavid Levitt76,4821.6%
RepublicanOscar Braun75,8421.6%
RepublicanRobert Lauten57,7201.2%
Peace and FreedomMarsha Feinland54,1291.2%
DemocraticColleen Shea Fernald51,6231.1%
RepublicanDonald Krampe39,0350.8%
American IndependentDon J. Grundmann33,0370.7%
RepublicanDirk Allen Konopik29,9970.6%
RepublicanJohn Boruff29,3570.6%
DemocraticNak Shah27,2030.6%
RepublicanRogelio T. Gloria22,5290.5%
RepublicanNachum Shifren21,7620.4%
Peace and FreedomKabiruddin Karim Ali12,2690.3%
RepublicanLinda R. Price (write-in)250.0%
Total votes4,852,406100.0%

Election contest

[edit]

In July 2012, Taitz sued to block the certification of the primary election results, alleging "rampant election fraud", but her suit was denied.[16][17]

General election

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Dianne Feinstein (D)$12,673,306$12,105,960$865,541$373,734
Elizabeth Emken (R)$1,114,350$1,110,209$4,140$4,479
Source:Federal Election Commission[18][19]

Top contributors

[edit]
Dianne FeinsteinContributionElizabeth EmkenContribution
Pacific Gas and Electric Company$120,700Thomas H. Lee Partners$10,000
JStreetPAC$82,171DevicePharm, Inc.$7,500
General Atomics$56,750Troy Group$7,500
Edison International$54,250Jelly Belly$5,500
General Dynamics$43,500Autism Advocate$5,000
BAE Systems$40,000Geier Group$5,000
Diamond Foods$31,599Generations Healthcare$5,000
Northrop Grumman$30,800Gingery Development$4,000
International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees$30,000MIR3, Inc.$3,000
Wells Fargo$27,250Northrop Grumman$2,800
Source:OpenSecrets[20]

Top industries

[edit]
Dianne FeinsteinContributionElizabeth EmkenContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms$565,129Retired$63,849
Retired$463,058Republican/Conservative$35,800
Agribusiness$367,132Financial Institutions$26,100
Real Estate$334,321Real Estate$19,200
Lobbyists$324,196Business Services$16,000
Financial Institutions$321,744Misc Finance$12,750
Electric Utilities$313,450Printing &Publishing$8,000
Entertainment Industry$300,321Food &Beverage$6,000
Women's Issues$207,449Petroleum Industry$6,000
High-Tech Industry$205,789Lawyers/Law Firms$5,458
Source:OpenSecrets[21]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Dianne Feinstein (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Elizabeth Emken (R), former Vice President of Autism Speaks[22]

Debates

[edit]

No debates were scheduled. Senator Feinstein decided to focus on her own campaign rather than debate her challenger.[23][24]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[25]Solid DNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[27]Safe DNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[28]Safe DNovember 5, 2012

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dianne
Feinstein (D)
Elizabeth
Emken (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[29]May 27–29, 20121,575±2.5%50%34%15%
The Field Poll[30]June 21 – July 2, 2012848±3.5%51%32%17%
CBRT Pepperdine[31]July 30 – August 1, 2012873±3.3%46%34%21%
SurveyUSA[32]September 9–11, 2012524±4.2%55%37%9%
The Field Poll[33]September 6–18, 2012902±3.4%57%31%12%
SurveyUSA[34]October 7–9, 2012539±4.3%54%35%10%
Reason-Rupe[35]October 11–15, 2012508±5.1%60%34%2%5%
LA Times/USC[36]October 15–21, 20121,440±n/a55%38%1%6%
The Field Poll[37]October 17–24, 2012815±3.6%56%32%12%
The Field Poll[37]October 25–30, 2012751±3.6%54%33%13%

Results

[edit]
2012 United States Senate election in California[38]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticDianne Feinstein (incumbent)7,864,62462.52%+3.09%
RepublicanElizabeth Emken4,713,88737.48%+2.46%
Total votes12,578,511100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
County[39]Dianne Feinstein
Democratic
Elizabeth Emken
Republican
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%
Alameda468,45681.93%103,31318.07%365,14363.86%571,769
Alpine40964.11%22935.89%18028.21%638
Amador7,05140.80%10,23259.20%-3,181-18.41%17,283
Butte43,68149.27%44,98150.73%-1,300-1.47%88,662
Calaveras8,87841.57%12,47958.43%-3,601-16.86%21,357
Colusa2,48243.28%3,25356.72%-771-13.44%5,735
Contra Costa300,19470.06%128,31029.94%171,88440.11%428,504
Del Norte4,06547.45%4,50252.55%-437-5.10%8,567
El Dorado35,77641.31%50,82058.69%-15,044-17.37%86,596
Fresno129,26751.14%123,49948.86%5,7682.28%252,766
Glenn3,52038.96%5,51561.04%-1,995-22.08%9,035
Humboldt36,16265.04%19,43734.96%16,72530.08%55,599
Imperial25,34267.24%12,34632.76%12,99634.48%37,688
Inyo3,33342.58%4,49457.42%-1,161-14.83%7,827
Kern92,25242.29%125,90657.71%-33,654-15.43%218,158
Kings13,30442.61%17,91657.39%-4,612-14.77%31,220
Lake13,54358.97%9,42441.03%4,11917.93%22,967
Lassen3,15029.89%7,39070.11%-4,240-40.23%10,540
Los Angeles2,183,65471.53%868,92428.47%1,314,73043.07%3,052,578
Madera15,99741.08%22,94258.92%-6,945-17.84%38,939
Marin105,15380.11%26,10519.89%79,04860.22%131,258
Mariposa3,55140.27%5,26859.73%-1,717-19.47%8,819
Mendocino24,25470.35%10,22429.65%14,03040.69%34,478
Merced32,95554.97%27,00045.03%5,9559.93%59,955
Modoc1,18830.08%2,76169.92%-1,573-39.83%3,949
Mono2,60051.96%2,40448.04%1963.92%5,004
Monterey84,58569.61%36,93030.39%47,65539.22%121,515
Napa37,12266.52%18,68233.48%18,44033.04%55,804
Nevada25,49550.41%25,07849.59%4170.82%50,573
Orange515,90247.48%570,57452.52%-54,672-5.03%1,086,476
Placer68,59941.39%97,13958.61%-28,540-17.22%165,738
Plumas4,16242.81%5,56057.19%-1,398-14.38%9,722
Riverside327,69851.90%303,65148.10%24,0473.81%631,349
Sacramento302,07860.72%195,41239.28%106,66621.44%497,490
San Benito11,38961.09%7,25538.91%4,13422.17%18,644
San Bernardino298,06754.05%253,43345.95%44,6348.09%551,500
San Diego622,78154.41%521,88445.59%100,8978.81%1,144,665
San Francisco305,12688.52%39,58911.48%265,53777.03%344,715
San Joaquin113,70657.00%85,78743.00%27,91913.99%199,493
San Luis Obispo62,21650.80%60,26249.20%1,9541.60%122,478
San Mateo213,50377.22%62,97922.78%150,52454.44%276,482
Santa Barbara93,92159.62%63,59940.38%30,32219.25%157,520
Santa Clara454,64772.93%168,72227.07%285,92545.87%623,369
Santa Cruz91,10978.16%25,46321.84%65,64656.31%116,572
Shasta27,15536.53%47,18463.47%-20,029-26.94%74,339
Sierra67738.58%1,07861.42%-401-22.85%1,755
Siskiyou8,19641.97%11,33458.03%-3,138-16.07%19,530
Solano98,25165.99%50,63434.01%47,61731.98%148,885
Sonoma154,89273.71%55,25626.29%99,63647.41%210,148
Stanislaus78,47051.79%73,06048.21%5,4103.57%151,530
Sutter12,39541.17%17,71558.83%-5,320-17.67%30,110
Tehama8,34936.96%14,24163.04%-5,892-26.08%22,590
Trinity2,65847.46%2,94352.54%-285-5.09%5,601
Tulare42,39542.87%56,49957.13%-14,104-14.26%98,894
Tuolumne10,33642.78%13,82357.22%-3,487-14.43%24,159
Ventura171,48354.42%143,60345.58%27,8808.85%315,086
Yolo49,14867.68%23,46832.32%25,68035.36%72,616
Yuba7,89640.97%11,37659.03%-3,480-18.06%19,272
Totals7,864,62462.52%4,713,88737.48%3,150,73725.05%12,578,511
Shift by county
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Republican — >15%
  •   Republican — +12.5−15%
  •   Republican — +10−12.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Feinstein won 41 of the 53 congressional districts, including three held by Republicans.[40]

DistrictFeinsteinEmkenRepresentative
1st42%58%Doug LaMalfa
2nd73%27%Jared Huffman
3rd56%44%John Garamendi
4th41%59%Tom McClintock
5th72%28%Mike Thompson
6th71%29%Doris Matsui
7th53%47%Ami Bera
8th43%57%Paul Cook
9th60%40%Jerry McNerney
10th52%48%Jeff Denham
11th72%28%George Miller
12th89%11%Nancy Pelosi
13th91%9%Barbara Lee
14th79%21%Jackie Speier
15th71%29%Eric Swalwell
16th59%41%Jim Costa
17th75%25%Mike Honda
18th72%28%Anna Eshoo
19th74%26%Zoe Lofgren
20th73%27%Sam Farr
21st56%44%David Valadao
22nd43%57%Devin Nunes
23rd38%62%Kevin McCarthy
24th56%44%Lois Capps
25th49%51%Buck McKeon
26th56%44%Julia Brownley
27th65%35%Judy Chu
28th73%27%Adam Schiff
29th78%22%Tony Cárdenas
30th69%31%Brad Sherman
31st59%41%Gary Miller
32nd67%33%Grace Napolitano
33rd65%35%Henry Waxman
34th85%15%Xavier Becerra
35th68%32%Gloria Negrete McLeod
36th54%46%Raul Ruiz
37th86%14%Karen Bass
38th67%33%Linda Sánchez
39th49%51%Ed Royce
40th81%19%Lucille Roybal-Allard
41st63%37%Mark Takano
42nd43%57%Ken Calvert
43rd78%22%Maxine Waters
44th85%15%Janice Hahn
45th44%56%John B. T. Campbell III
46th63%37%Loretta Sánchez
47th61%39%Alan Lowenthal
48th45%55%Dana Rohrabacher
49th47%53%Darrell Issa
50th40%60%Duncan Hunter
51st70%30%Juan Vargas
52nd54%46%Scott Peters
53rd63%37%Susan Davis

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013)."2012 General Election Turnout Rates".George Mason University. Archived fromthe original on April 24, 2013. RetrievedApril 3, 2013.
  2. ^Marinucci, Carla (April 30, 2011)."US Sen. Dianne Feinstein on nuclear energy and her 2012 re-election: "My plan is to run"". San Francisco Chronicle Politics Blog.Archived from the original on January 22, 2012.
  3. ^Mahtesian, Charles (November 26, 2012)."Feinstein's record: 7.3 million votes".POLITICO. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2020.
  4. ^Reston, Maeve (October 25, 2010)."Feinstein hints she'll run again in 2012".Los Angeles Times.Archived from the original on January 13, 2011. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2011.
  5. ^Milhalcik, Carrie."Citizen candidate to challenge Dianne Feinstein in Senate race". Current TV. Archived fromthe original on March 20, 2012. RetrievedMarch 22, 2012.
  6. ^Walker, Mark (December 1, 2011)."REGION: Ramona man running against Feinstein in 2012".North County Times. Archived fromthe original on September 7, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2012.
  7. ^Van Oot, Torey (November 28, 2011)."Republican Elizabeth Emken to run against Sen. Dianne Feinstein".The Sacramento Bee. Archived fromthe original on November 30, 2011. RetrievedNovember 28, 2011.
  8. ^abRichman, Josh (November 29, 2011)."Danville woman seeks GOP nod to take on Feinstein".Oakland Tribune.Contra Costa Times.Archived from the original on December 31, 2011. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2012.
  9. ^Merl, Jean (February 6, 2012)."GOP businessman joins field challenging Sen. Dianne Feinstein".Los Angeles Times.Archived from the original on February 13, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2012.
  10. ^Archibald, Ashley (January 28, 2012)."Santa Monican hopes to unseat Feinstein".Santa Monica Daily Press. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2012.[permanent dead link]
  11. ^Surowski, Peter (May 18, 2011)."Rabbi Who Denounced Temecula Mosque Runs for Senate".Temecula Patch. Archived fromthe original on May 22, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2012.
  12. ^"Orly Taitz Senate Campaign: 'Birther Queen' Running As GOP Candidate For U.S. Senate Seat In California".The Huffington Post. November 4, 2011.Archived from the original on November 7, 2011. RetrievedNovember 7, 2011.
  13. ^"Rick Williams for Senate". Archived fromthe original on March 9, 2012. RetrievedMarch 13, 2012.
  14. ^"Voter Information Guide"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on October 28, 2015. RetrievedDecember 30, 2022.
  15. ^"Statement of Vote (June 5, 2012, Presidential Primary Election)"(PDF). California Secretary of State.Archived(PDF) from the original on May 7, 2017. RetrievedDecember 1, 2017.
  16. ^Wisckol, Martin (July 12, 2012)."O.C. 'birther' sues to block primary election results".The Orange County Register. Archived fromthe original on July 17, 2012.
  17. ^Wisckol, Martin (July 13, 2012)."O.C. 'birther' suit to block election results denied".The Orange County Register. Archived fromthe original on July 17, 2012.
  18. ^Federal Election Commission."2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for California FEINSTEIN, DIANNE". fec.gov.Archived from the original on July 21, 2013.
  19. ^Federal Election Commission."2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for California EMKEN, ELIZABETH". fec.gov.Archived from the original on July 21, 2013.
  20. ^"Top Contributors 2012 Race: California Senate".OpenSecrets.Archived from the original on April 7, 2014.
  21. ^"Top Industries 2012 Race: California Senate".OpenSecrets.Archived from the original on April 7, 2014.
  22. ^"Elizabeth Emken".ElizabethEmken.com.Archived from the original on October 18, 2016. RetrievedNovember 2, 2016.
  23. ^PaoloPhotoFilms (September 8, 2012).""Feinstein Walks Out On Reporter", California US Senate debate".Archived from the original on January 12, 2018 – via YouTube.
  24. ^"Sen. Feinstein explains decision not to debate".ocregister.com. November 1, 2012.Archived from the original on December 9, 2012.
  25. ^"2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on August 29, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  26. ^"2012 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  27. ^"2012 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  28. ^"2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  29. ^SurveyUSA
  30. ^The Field Poll
  31. ^CBRT Pepperdine
  32. ^SurveyUSA
  33. ^The Field Poll
  34. ^SurveyUSA
  35. ^Reason-Rupe
  36. ^LA Times/USC[permanent dead link]
  37. ^abThe Field Poll
  38. ^Bowen, Debra (December 14, 2012)."Complete Statement of Vote"(PDF).Secretary of State of California.Archived(PDF) from the original on December 8, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2026.
  39. ^Bowen, Debra (December 14, 2012)."United States Senator by County"(PDF).Secretary of State of California.Archived(PDF) from the original on August 27, 2025. RetrievedOctober 25, 2025.
  40. ^"Counties by Congressional Districts for United States Senator"(PDF). November 6, 2012.Archived(PDF) from the original on November 18, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2025.

External links

[edit]

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