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Model diagnostics |
Inmachine learning, a common task is the study and construction ofalgorithms that can learn from and make predictions ondata.[1] Such algorithms function by making data-driven predictions or decisions,[2] through building amathematical model from input data. These input data used to build the model are usually divided into multipledata sets. In particular, three data sets are commonly used in different stages of the creation of the model: training, validation, and testing sets.
The model is initially fit on atraining data set,[3] which is a set of examples used to fit the parameters (e.g. weights of connections between neurons inartificial neural networks) of the model.[4] The model (e.g. anaive Bayes classifier) is trained on the training data set using asupervised learning method, for example using optimization methods such asgradient descent orstochastic gradient descent. In practice, the training data set often consists of pairs of an inputvector (or scalar) and the corresponding output vector (or scalar), where the answer key is commonly denoted as thetarget (orlabel). The current model is run with the training data set and produces a result, which is then compared with thetarget, for each input vector in the training data set. Based on the result of the comparison and the specific learning algorithm being used, the parameters of the model are adjusted. The model fitting can include bothvariable selection and parameterestimation.
Successively, the fitted model is used to predict the responses for the observations in a second data set called thevalidation data set.[3] The validation data set provides an unbiased evaluation of a model fit on the training data set while tuning the model'shyperparameters[5] (e.g. the number of hidden units—layers and layer widths—in a neural network[4]). Validation data sets can be used forregularization byearly stopping (stopping training when the error on the validation data set increases, as this is a sign ofover-fitting to the training data set).[6]This simple procedure is complicated in practice by the fact that the validation data set's error may fluctuate during training, producing multiple local minima. This complication has led to the creation of many ad-hoc rules for deciding when over-fitting has truly begun.[6]
Finally, thetest data set is a data set used to provide an unbiased evaluation of a model fit on the training data set.[5] When the data in the test data set has never been used (for example incross-validation), the test data set is called aholdout data set. The term "validation set" is sometimes used instead of "test set" in some literature (e.g., if the original data set was partitioned into only two subsets, the test set might be referred to as the validation set).[5]
Deciding the sizes and strategies for data set division in training, test and validation sets is very dependent on the problem and data available.[7]
A training data set is adata set of examples used during the learning process and is used to fit the parameters (e.g., weights) of, for example, aclassifier.[9][10]
For classification tasks, a supervised learning algorithm looks at the training data set to determine, or learn, the optimal combinations of variables that will generate a goodpredictive model.[11] The goal is to produce a trained (fitted) model that generalizes well to new, unknown data.[12] The fitted model is evaluated using “new” examples from the held-out data sets (validation and test data sets) to estimate the model’s accuracy in classifying new data.[5] To reduce the risk of issues such as over-fitting, the examples in the validation and test data sets should not be used to train the model.[5]
Most approaches that search through training data for empirical relationships tend tooverfit the data, meaning that they can identify and exploit apparent relationships in the training data that do not hold in general.
When a training set is continuously expanded with new data, then this isincremental learning.
A validation data set is adata set of examples used to tune thehyperparameters (i.e. the architecture) of a model. It is sometimes also called the development set or the "dev set".[13] An example of a hyperparameter forartificial neural networks includes the number of hidden units in each layer.[9][10] It, as well as the testing set (as mentioned below), should follow the same probability distribution as the training data set.
In order to avoid overfitting, when anyclassification parameter needs to be adjusted, it is necessary to have a validation data set in addition to the training and test data sets. For example, if the most suitable classifier for the problem is sought, the training data set is used to train the different candidate classifiers, the validation data set is used to compare their performances and decide which one to take and, finally, the test data set is used to obtain the performance characteristics such asaccuracy,sensitivity,specificity,F-measure, and so on. The validation data set functions as a hybrid: it is training data used for testing, but neither as part of the low-level training nor as part of the final testing.
The basic process of using a validation data set formodel selection (as part of training data set, validation data set, and test data set) is:[10][14]
Since our goal is to find the network having the best performance on new data, the simplest approach to the comparison of different networks is to evaluate the error function using data which is independent of that used for training. Various networks are trained by minimization of an appropriate error function defined with respect to a training data set. The performance of the networks is then compared by evaluating the error function using an independent validation set, and the network having the smallest error with respect to the validation set is selected. This approach is called thehold out method. Since this procedure can itself lead to some overfitting to the validation set, the performance of the selected network should be confirmed by measuring its performance on a third independent set of data called a test set.
An application of this process is inearly stopping, where the candidate models are successive iterations of the same network, and training stops when the error on the validation set grows, choosing the previous model (the one with minimum error).
A test data set is adata set that isindependent of the training data set, but that follows the sameprobability distribution as the training data set. A test set is therefore a set of examples used only to assess the performance (i.e. generalization) of a specified classifier on unseen data.[9][10] To do this, the model is used to predict classifications of examples in the test set. Those predictions are compared to the examples' true classifications to assess the model's accuracy.[11] If a model fit to the training and validation data set also fits the test data set well, minimaloverfitting has taken place (see figure below). A better fitting of the training or validation data sets as opposed to the test data set usually points to overfitting.
In the scenario where a data set has a low number of samples, it is usually partitioned into a training set and a validation data set, where the model is trained on the training set and refined using the validation set to improve accuracy, but this approach will lead to overfitting. Theholdout method[15] can also be employed, where the test set is used at the end, after training on the training set. Other techniques, such as cross-validation and bootstrapping, are used on small data sets. The bootstrap method generates numerous simulated data sets of the same size by randomly sampling with replacement from the original data, allowing the random data points to serve as test sets for evaluating model performance. Cross-validation splits the data set into multiple folds, with a single sub-fold used as test data; the model is trained on the remaining folds, and all folds are cross-validated (with results averaged and models consolidated) to estimate final model performance. Note that some sources advise against using a single split, as it can lead to overfitting as well as biased model performance estimates.[12]
For this reason, data sets are split into three partitions: training, validation and test data sets. The standard machine learning practice is to train on the training set and tune hyperparameters using the validation set, where the validation process selects the model with the lowest validation loss, which is then tested on the test data set (normally held out) to assess the final model. The holdout method for the test set reduces computation by avoiding using the test set after each epoch. The test data set should never be used for validating the training model or fine-tuning hyperparameters, as it provides an accurate and honest evaluation of the model's final performance on unseen data, but it can be used multiple times to determine the performance of an updated model and detect overfitting or the need for further training or early stopping.[16] Methods such ascross-validation are used, where the test set is separated and the training data set is further split into folds, with a sub-fold serving as the validation set to train the model; this is effective at reducing bias and variability in the model.[5][12] There are many methods of cross-validation such asnested cross-validation.

Testing is trying something to find out about it ("To put to the proof; to prove the truth, genuineness, or quality of by experiment" according to the Collaborative International Dictionary of English) and to validate is to prove that something is valid ("To confirm; to render valid" Collaborative International Dictionary of English). With this perspective, the most common use of the termstest set andvalidation set is the one here described. However, in both industry and academia, they are sometimes used interchanged, by considering that the internal process is testing different models to improve (test set as a development set) and the final model is the one that needs to be validated before real use with an unseen data (validation set). "The literature on machine learning often reverses the meaning of 'validation' and 'test' sets. This is the most blatant example of the terminological confusion that pervades artificial intelligence research."[17] Nevertheless, the important concept that must be kept is that the final set, whether called test or validation, should only be used in the final experiment.

Omissions in the training of algorithms are a major cause of erroneous outputs.[18] Types of such omissions include:[18]
An example of an omission of particular circumstances is a case where a boy was able to unlock the phone because his mother registered her face under indoor, nighttime lighting, a condition which was not appropriately included in the training of the system.[18][19]
Usage of relatively irrelevant input can include situations where algorithms use the background rather than the object of interest forobject detection, such as being trained by pictures of sheep on grasslands, leading to a risk that a different object will be interpreted as a sheep if located on a grassland.[18]
Pattern recognition has its origins in engineering, whereas machine learning grew out of computer science. However, these activities can be viewed as two facets of the same field, and together they have undergone substantial development over the past ten years.
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