Mundell was born Robert Alexander Mundell on October 24, 1932, inKingston, Ontario, Canada, to Lila Teresa (née Hamilton) and William Mundell.[8][9] His mother was an heiress while his father was a military officer and taught at theRoyal Military College of Canada.[10] He spent his early years in a farm in Ontario and moved to British Columbia with his family when his father retired at the end ofWorld War II. He completed his high school education in British Columbia where he was known to have participated in boxing and chess events during this time.[10]
In the 1960s, Mundell's native Canada floated its exchange rate: this caused Mundell to begin investigating the results offloating exchange rates, a phenomenon not widely seen since the 1930s "Stockholm School" successfully lobbiedSweden to leave thegold standard.
In 1962, along withMarcus Fleming, he co-authored theMundell–Fleming model of exchange rates, and noted that it was impossible to have domestic autonomy, fixed exchange rates,and free capital flows: no more than two of those objectives could be met. The model is, in effect, an extension of theIS/LM model applied to currency rates.
Demand sidefiscal policy would be ineffective in restrainingcentral banks under a floating exchange rate system.
Single currency zones relied, therefore, on similar levels of price stability, where a single monetary policy would suffice for all.
His analysis led to his conclusion that it was a disagreement betweenEurope and theUnited States over the rate of inflation, partially to finance theVietnam War, and that Bretton Woods disintegrated because of the undervaluing of gold and the consequent monetary discipline breakdown. There is a famous point/counterpoint over this issue between Mundell andMilton Friedman.[18]
This work later led to the creation of theeuro and his prediction that leaving the Bretton Woods system would lead to "stagflation" so long as highly progressive income tax rates applied. In 1974, he advocated a drastic tax reduction and a flattening of income tax rates.
Mundell, though lionized by some conservatives, has many of his harshest critics from the right: he denied the need for a fixed gold-based currency or currency board[citation needed] (he still often recommended this as a policy inhyperinflationary environments) and he was both a fiscal andbalance of payments deficit hawk. He is well known for stating that in a floating exchange rate system, expansion of the money supply can come about only by a positive balance of payments.
Robert Mundell was considered the "father of theeuro" for his early work encouraging a European monetary union.[6][20] Starting in the 1960s, Mundell supported the constitution of aEuropean Economic and Monetary Union and pushed for the creation of the euro.[21]
In 2000, he predicted that before 2010, theeurozone would expand to cover 50 countries, while the U.S. dollar would spread throughout Latin America, and much of Asia would look towards the yen.[22] Such predictions have proved highly inaccurate.
In his 2012 article "Robert Mundell, evil genius of the euro",Greg Palast affirms that Mundell advocated for the euro because its implementation would have the effect of removing democratic control overmonetary policy. As such, when a crisis hits, eurozone governments would not be able to stimulate the economy by creating money, as is prescribed byKeynesian economics. They would thus be forced to resort to other means to curtail unemployment, such as deregulating businesses, privatizing state industries, cutting taxes, and weakening thesocial safety net.[23]
In 2014, Mundell voiced his opposition to proposals of afiscal union between the European states. He declared that "it would be insane to have a central European authority that controls all the taxes and duties of the states ... controlled in the Union. This transfer of sovereignty is far too big". He also voiced his opposition to the prospect that countries could be liable for other countries' debt.[24]
Mundell won the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science in 1999 and gave as his prize lecture a speech titled "A Reconsideration of the Twentieth Century". According to the Nobel Prize Committee, he got the honour for "his analysis of monetary and fiscal policy under different exchange rate regimes and his analysis of optimum currency areas".
Mundell concluded in that lecture that "the international monetary system depends only on the power configuration of the countries that make it up". He divided the entire twentieth century into three parts by different periods of time:
The first third of the century, from its beginning to the Great Depression of the 1930s, economics was dominated by the confrontation of the Federal Reserve System with the gold standard.
The second third of the century was from World War II to 1973, when the international monetary system was dominated by fixing the price of gold with the US dollar.
The last third of the century started with the destruction of the old monetary system due to the problem of inflation.
With the destruction of the old monetary system, a new international monetary system was finally founded. Controlling inflation by each country became a main topic during this era.
Conference on the New International Monetary System; Mundell, Robert A; Polak, J. J; Fleming, J. Marcus; International Monetary Fund; Columbia University, eds. (1977).The new international monetary system. New York: Columbia University Press.ISBN0231043686.
Mundell, Robert A (1968).International economics. New York: Macmillan.OCLC239387.