A record number of voters, in excess of 65.6 million, cast postal votes.[8][9] The Postal Service handled approximately 135 million pieces of election-related mail between September 1 and November 3 of 2020, delivering the vast majority of these materials on time.
As of July 2020, five states—Colorado,Hawaii,Oregon,Utah andWashington—hold elections almost entirely by mail, with Hawaii and Utah adopting full vote-by-mail elections in 2020.[10] Postal voting is an option in 33 states and the District of Columbia. Other states allow postal voting only in certain circumstances, though theCOVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has prompted further discussion about relaxing some of those restrictions. In the run up to the2020 United States presidential election, then-PresidentDonald Trump repeatedly asserted that mail-in voting would result in widespread fraud, and indicated that he would block necessary funding for the postal service. Among other things, this funding would have been used to ensure that mail-in votes were processed securely[11] and on time.[12] In September 2020, theHomeland Security Department issued an intelligence bulletin asserting "Russia is likely to continue amplifying criticisms of vote-by-mail and shifting voting processes amidst the COVID-19 pandemic to undermine public trust in the electoral process."[13]
The National Vote at Home Institute, which advocates postal ballots and is led by formerDenver elections directorAmber McReynolds, analyzed all states in 2020[16] and found that 32 states "are missing major pieces of policy or best practices that ensure a secure mail ballot process such as a sufficient data integrity process, signature verification processes and/or a signature deficiencycure process."[17]Among these 32 states, 15 lack steps to verify voters' addresses before mailing them ballots, 17 states do not mandate a signature verification process, and 30 do not have adequate options to cure defects in voter signatures.[17] Often voters have no way to cure signature mis-matches.[18]
Chart about July 2020 survey on chances of voting by mail in November election[19]
In June 2020,Pew Research Center found that only 20% of all voters nationally said they had experience voting by mail, and only 2% to 8% had voted by mail in the states that have required reasons in the past.[20]
According to a 2020 study, Democratic and Republican voters became increasingly polarized on their support for postal voting during the coronavirus pandemic.[21]
In March 2020, President Donald Trump stated during aFox News interview that a Democratic funding proposal to expand absentee voting during the pandemic "had things — levels of voting that, if you ever agreed to it, you’d never have a Republican elected in this country again."[22]
In May 2020, Trump began to claim that postal voting was highly vulnerable to fraud, stating that postal ballots will be "substantially fraudulent. Mail boxes will be robbed, ballots will be forged & even illegally printed out & fraudulently signed".[23] Republican politicians are divided on the issue, with some making similar claims about fraud, while others – including a considerable portion of Republican senators – have disavowed Trump's claims.[24][25][26] Fact checkers say there is no evidence of substantial fraud associated with mail voting.[27][28]
On September 2, Donald Trump suggested that people in the state of North Carolina should vote twice in November's election, both in person and by mail, and so commit voter fraud.[33]
In a September 2, 2020CNN interview, attorney generalBill Barr asserted the Justice Department had indicted a Texas man for fraudulently completing 1,700 mail-in ballots. There was no such indictment, and the matter actually involved a series of errors by election officials during a county election, rather than fraud. Barr also repeated his concerns that foreign adversaries could flood the country with counterfeit ballots to disrupt the election, a threat that experts characterized as nearly impossible to execute. Days earlier, multiple senior American intelligence officials said there was no evidence any foreign powers intended to manipulate mail-in voting. On the day after Barr's interview, theHomeland Security Department issued an intelligence bulletin asserting "Russia is likely to continue amplifying criticisms of vote-by-mail and shifting voting processes amidst the COVID-19 pandemic to undermine public trust in the electoral process."[34][35][36][13] In a subsequent September 2020 interview, Barr stated that mail-in voting meant "we’re back in the business of selling and buying votes" including "outright coercion, paying off a postman, here’s a few hundred dollars, give me some of your ballots."[37]
At aWhite House news conference on September 23, 2020, after a journalist asked Trump to commit to "a peaceful transferral of power," he responded: "Get rid of the ballots and you’ll have a very peaceful — there won’t be a transfer, frankly. There will be a continuation."The New York Times interpreted this as a reference to mail-in ballots specifically.[38]Ellen Weintraub, commissioner of the Federal Election Commission, tweeted in response: "In case anyone is unclear on the concept, in the United States of America, we do not 'get rid of' ballots. We count them. Counting the ballots – *all* the ballots – is the way we determine who leads our country after our elections. The only way."[39] (As for Trump's suggestion that the transfer of power might not be peaceful, Sen.John Cornyn said the comment was inappropriate, Sen.Ben Sasse said it was "crazy stuff," and Sen.Mitt Romney said it was "unthinkable and unacceptable." All three are Republicans.)[40]
On September 30, 2020, federal judgeDana Christensen denied a request from the Trump campaign to block voting by mail in Montana, characterizing the campaign's claims that mail-in ballots would cause widespread voter fraud as "fiction."[41] After Christensen's ruling was upheld by a three-judge panel of theNinth Circuit Court of Appeals, Montana Republicans appealed to theSupreme Court, but their petition was rejected by justiceElena Kagan.[42]
Minnesota's Secretary of State announced that ballots postmarked before Election Day that arrived by November 10 would still be counted. However, with just days before Election Day, the8th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled ballots that arrived after 8:00 PM on Election Night would have to be ‘segregated, pending a legal challenge about whether they could be counted’.[43][44] At the time almost 400,000 absentee ballots in Minnesota that had been requested were yet to be returned.[43] The change had been challenged by two Minnesota Republicans whom Brasel ruled "are in danger of creating confusion rather avoiding."[45] On October 11, federal judge upheld a lower court ruling that allowed Minnesota to accept absentee ballots received past 8:00 PM election night.
In September 2020, thePennsylvania Supreme Court extended the deadline for accepting mail-in ballots and allowed them to be deposited in dropboxes.[46] Republicans asked theUnited States Supreme Court to issue a stay against the deadline extension, which the Court denied on October 19.[47] Pennsylvania Republicans then asked the Court to fast-track the request to block the deadline extension, but on October 28 the Court declined to hear the appeal before the election.[48]
On October 28, the Supreme Court denied a request from Republicans and the Trump campaign to allow ballots to be received up to three days after election day in North Carolina, rather than the nine day limit that had been set by the State Board of Elections amidst the pandemic.[49]
On November 4, federal judgeEmmet G. Sullivan ordered Louis DeJoy to "sweep" USPS facilities for undelivered mail-in ballots and immediately deliver any they find. When DeJoy failed to comply, Sullivan announced that DeJoy would have to be "deposed".[50][51][52][53][54] Following the court-ordered sweeps, approximately 1,700 ballots were found in Pennsylvania and about 500 were found in North Carolina.[55] Federal court filings on November 5 reported that, the previous day, USPS had processed over 9,000 ballots in the Nevada Sierra district in Nevada; nearly 6,000 ballots in the Greensboro and Mid-Carolinas districts in North Carolina; and nearly 7,000 ballots in multiple Pennsylvania districts.[56] At the time, the election outcomes in these states were still considered too close to call.[57]
In July 2020, the administration of theUnited States Postal Service, including a bipartisan Trump-appointedBoard of Governors and Board-appointedPostmaster GeneralLouis DeJoy, instituted cost-reducing measures that resulted inslower delivery of mail. This caused fear that, due to the phenomenon ofelectoral blue shift, Democratic ballots might not be delivered in time to be counted.[59][60] Election expertEdward Foley expressed concern that the blue shift phenomenon, along with difficulties caused by conducting an election during apandemic, could lead to "a perfect storm" in the 2020 presidential election.[61] Foley's concern was particularly pronounced due to the fact that incumbent presidentDonald Trump had not stated whether or not he would accept the results of the election.[62]
The following month, Donald Trump stated that he opposed funding USPS because it would enable greater access to mail-in voting.[63] Reacting to this sentiment, former presidentBarack Obama accused Trump of trying to "actively kneecap the Postal Service".[64] The Postal Service warned voters in 46 states that it could not guarantee that all ballots cast by mail in the 2020 election would arrive in time to be counted.[65] For this reason, election experts advocated that postal ballots be mailed weeks in advance of election day.[59] Alternatively,Jamelle Bouie ofThe New York Times argued that Democrats should, if able, vote in person.[66]
On September 17, 2020, federal judgeStanley Bastian issued an injunction against the USPS's cost-reducing measures, ruling that Trump and DeJoy were "involved in a politically motivated attack on the efficiency of the Postal Service," adding that the 14 states requesting the injunction "demonstrated that this attack on the Postal Service is likely to irreparably harm the states’ ability to administer the 2020 general election."[67]
A March 2021 report from the Postal Service's inspector general found that the vast majority of mail-in ballots and registration materials in the 2020 election were delivered to the relevant authorities on time.[68][69] The Postal Service handled approximately 135 million pieces of election-related mail between September 1st and November 3rd, delivering 97.9% of ballots from voters to election officials within three days, and 99.89% of ballots within seven days.[68][70]
On October 5, Texas governorGreg Abbott issued a proclamation limiting each county to one dropbox for mail-in ballots.[71] Federal judgeRobert Pitman blocked Abbott's order on October 9.[72] The next day, Texas attorney generalKen Paxton appealed to theFifth Circuit Court of Appeals for an emergency stay of Pitman's ruling, which a three-judge panel temporarily granted on an administrative basis pending further review.[73] A Texas state judge also blocked Abbott's order on October 15, and a state appeals court upheld that decision on October 23, taking the case to theTexas Supreme Court, which ruled in favor of Abbott on October 27.[74][75]
An effort by the Trump campaign and Republican Party to haveballot dropboxes declared unconstitutional in Pennsylvania was blocked by federal judgeNicholas Ranjan on October 10.[76]
^David Lazer; et al. (30 July 2020),Report #7: Update on Vote by Mail, State of the Nation: A 50-State COVID-19 Survey, COVID-19 Consortium for Understanding the Public’s Policy Preferences Across States
^Box 40220Olympia, Contact Us Washington Secretary of StateLegislative Building · PO; Policy, WA 98504-0220Phone Numbers Privacy."Current Election Information".www.sos.wa.gov. Retrieved2020-10-22.{{cite web}}:|first1= has generic name (help)CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
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