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Plano Real

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Set of measures taken to stabilize the Brazilian economy in 1994

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Coin of1 real commemorating 25 years of the plan, which brought stability to theBrazilian economy afteryears of hyperinflation.

ThePlano Real ("Real Plan",[1] inEnglish) was a set of measures taken to stabilize theBrazilian economy in 1994, during the presidency ofItamar Franco. Its architects were led by theMinister of Finance and succeeding presidentFernando Henrique Cardoso. The Plano Real was based on an analysis of the root causes ofhyperinflation in theNew Republic of Brazil, that concluded that there was both an issue offiscal policy and severe, widespreadinertial inflation. The Plano Real intended to stabilize the domesticcurrency innominal terms after astring of failed plans to controlinflation.

Background

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According to economists, one of the causes of inflation in Brazil was theinertial inflation phenomenon. Prices were adjusted on a daily basis according to changes in price indexes and to the exchange rate of the local currency to theU.S. dollar.Plano Real then created a non-monetary currency, theUnidade Real de Valor ("URV"), whose value was set to approximately 1 US dollar. All prices were quoted in these two currencies,cruzeiro real and URV, but payments had to be made exclusively in cruzeiros reais. Prices quoted in URV did not change over time, while their equivalent in cruzeiros reais increased nominally every day.

Solution

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The Plano Real intended to stabilize the domesticcurrency innominal terms after astring of failed plans to controlinflation. It created theUnidade Real de Valor (Real Unit of Value), which served as a key step to the implementation of the new (and still current) currency, thereal. At first, most academics tended not to believe that the Plan could succeed.Stephen Kanitz was the first public intellectual to predict the future success of the Real Plan.[citation needed]

A new currency called thereal (pluralreais) was introduced on 1 July 1994, as part of a broader plan to stabilize the Brazilian economy, replacing the short-livedcruzeiro real in the process. Then, a series of contractingfiscal andmonetary policies was enacted, restricting the government expenses and raising interest rates. By doing so, the country was able to keep inflation under control for several years. In addition, high interest rates attracted enough foreign capital to finance the current account deficit and increased the country's international reserves. The government put a strong focus on the management of thebalance of payments, at first by setting the real at a very highexchange rate relative to theU.S. dollar, and later (in late 1998) by a sharp increase on domesticinterest rates to maintain a positive influx of foreign capitals to local currencybond markets, financing Brazilian expenditures.

Result

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The real initially appreciated (gained value) against the U.S. dollar as a result of largecapital inflows in late 1994 and 1995, reaching as low as 0.83 per U.S. dollar during early 1995. It then began a gradual depreciation process, culminating in the 1999 January currency crisis, when the real suffered a maxi-devaluation, and fluctuated wildly. Following this period (1994–1999) of a quasi-fixed exchange rate, an inflation-targeting policy was instituted by new central bank presidentArminio Fraga, which effectively meant that the fixed-exchange period was over. However, the currency was never truly "free", being more accurately described as a managed or "dirty" float, with frequent central bank interventions to manipulate its dollar price.

The currency's appreciation was crucial to keep inflation under control. Mainly, it assured the supply of cheap imported products to meet the domestic demand and forced domestic producers to sell at lower prices in order to maintain their market shares. This was especially important in the period immediately following the adoption of the new currency, when the sudden drop in inflation caused a surge in demand. The increased imports, therefore, were essential to avoid demand-side inflationary pressures that would undermine the stabilization plan.

See also

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References

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  1. ^The wordreal in Portuguese could be translated either toreal orroyal in English. The name of the plan comes from the name of the currency which was chosen to give the idea of a stable and credible purchasing power.

External links

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