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Moran: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wiesner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The2016 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofKansas, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held on August 2.
IncumbentRepublican SenatorJerry Moran won re-election to a second term in office.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jerry Moran | Dennis Pyle | Milton Wolf | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Moran)[10] | February 28 – March 3, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 73% | 9% | — | 18% |
| 70% | — | 18% | 12% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Moran (Incumbent) | 230,907 | 79.09% | |
| Republican | D. J. Smith | 61,056 | 20.91% | |
| Total votes | 291,963 | 100.00% | ||

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Patrick Wiesner | 59,522 | 62.94% | |
| Democratic | Monique Singh-Bey | 35,042 | 37.06% | |
| Total votes | 94,564 | 100.00% | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Robert Garrard | 100.00% | ||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[17] | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[19] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[20] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[21] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jerry Moran (R) | Patrick Wiesner (D) | Robert Garrard (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[22] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,311 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 37% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[23] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 1,139 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | — | 4% |
| Fort Hays State University[24] | November 1–3, 2016 | 313 | ± 3.5% | 77% | 13% | 10% | 0% |
| SurveyMonkey[25] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,162 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[26] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,123 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 38% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[27] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,164 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 38% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey[28] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,273 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 39% | — | 5% |
| KSN News/SurveyUSA[29] | October 26–30, 2016 | 596 | ± 4.1% | 55% | 31% | 6% | 8% |
| KSN News/SurveyUSA[30] | October 11–15, 2016 | 549 | ± 4.2% | 56% | 31% | 5% | 8% |
| KSN News/SurveyUSA[31] | September 6–11, 2016 | 565 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 34% | 6% | 11% |
| KSN News/SurveyUSA[32] | August 3–7, 2016 | 566 | ± 4.2% | 52% | 32% | 6% | 10% |
| KSN News/SurveyUSA[33] | July 8–11, 2016 | 537 | ± 4.3% | 52% | 33% | — | 15% |
with Monique Singh-Bey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jerry Moran (R) | Monique Singh-Bey (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSN News/SurveyUSA[33] | July 8–11, 2016 | 537 | ± 4.3% | 54% | 30% | 15% |
with Kathleen Sebelius
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jerry Moran (R) | Kathleen Sebelius (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[34] | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,328 | ± 2.7% | 52% | 37% | 11% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Moran (incumbent) | 732,376 | 62.18% | −7.91% | |
| Democratic | Patrick Wiesner | 379,740 | 32.24% | +5.86% | |
| Libertarian | Robert D. Garrard | 65,760 | 5.58% | +3.44% | |
| Independent | DJ Smith (write-in) | 46 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,177,922 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republicanhold | |||||
Moran won all four congressional districts.[36]
| District | Moran | Wiesner | Garrard | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 76% | 19% | 5% | Roger Marshall |
| 2nd | 59% | 36% | 5% | Lynn Jenkins |
| 3rd | 53% | 42% | 6% | Kevin Yoder |
| 4th | 64% | 30% | 6% | Mike Pompeo |
Official campaign websites