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Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 U.S. presidential election
Attempts to overturn
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Third parties
Related races
← 201620202024 →

This is a list of nationwide and statewide publicopinion polls that have been conducted relating to theRepublican primaries for the2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.

Background

[edit]
See also:2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Timeline
This section istranscluded from2020 Republican Party presidential primaries.(edit |history)
NomineeExploratory committeeWithdrawn candidate
Midterm electionsIowa caucusesSuper TuesdayRepublican convention

National polling

[edit]
Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Joe
Walsh
Other and
undecided[a]
270 to Win[1]Feb 19, 2020,Feb 18 – 19, 202091.0%5.0%-
RealClearPolitics[2]Feb 11, 2020Dec 10, 2019 – Feb 11, 202089.3%4.0%3.5%
Average90.2%4.5%3.5%1.8%

From February 2020

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Rocky De
La Fuente
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[3]Mar 18–19423 (LV)94%6%
Mar 18Weld withdraws from the race
Mar 17Florida and Illinois primaries; Trump becomes presumptive nominee
Mar 11COVID-19 declared a pandemic by theWorld Health Organization; national emergency declared Mar 13
Mar 10Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri and Washington primaries
Mar 3Super Tuesday
YouGov/Economist[4]Mar 1–3232 (LV)1%94%2%0%[c]2%
YouGov/Economist[5]Feb 23–25385 (LV)1%92%2%1%[d]3%
YouGov/Economist[6]Feb 17–18358 (LV)2%91%1%0%[c]5%
Emerson College[7]Feb 16–18482 (LV)91%9%
YouGov/Yahoo News[8]Feb 12–13610 (LV)[e]82%13%[f]4%
Feb 11New Hampshire primary
YouGov/Economist[9]Feb 9–11349 (LV)2%90%5%1%[d]2%
Feb 7Walsh withdraws from the race
McLaughlin & Associates[10]Feb 7–11479 (LV)87%6%0%[g]7%
YouGov/Economist[11]Feb 2–4401 (LV)0%89%1%3%[h]7%
Feb 3Iowa caucuses

From December 2019 to January 2020

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Rocky De
La Fuente
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
YouGov/Economist[12]Jan 26–28384 (LV)1%89%3%2%1%[d]4%
Emerson College[13]Jan 21–23412 (LV)92%2%6%
YouGov/Economist[14]Jan 19–21459 (LV)1%89%2%2%2%[i]4%
YouGov/Economist[15]Jan 11–14362 (LV)1%88%1%1%1%[d]9%
YouGov/The Economist[16]Jan 5–7399 (LV)1%87%1%2%1%[d]7%
YouGov/The Economist[17]Dec 28–31359 (LV)1%89%1%2%1%[d]6%
YouGov/Economist[18]Dec 22–24415 (LV)1%91%2%1%0%[c]5%
McLaughlin & Associates[19]Dec 14–18399 (LV)83%2%3%0%[j]11%
Emerson College[20]Dec 15–17492 (LV)90%5%5%
YouGov/Economist[21]Dec 14–17354 (LV)1%88%2%2%0%[c]7%
Suffolk University[22]Dec 10–14329 (LV)88%2%2%0%[k]7%
YouGov/Economist[23]Dec 7–10422 (LV)88%2%2%1%[d]8%
YouGov/Economist[24]Dec 1–3417 (LV)89%2%3%6%

June 2019 to November 2019

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
YouGov/Economist[25]Nov 24–26402 (LV)89%2%3%1%[d]6%
RealClear Opinion Research[26]Nov 15–21780 (LV)89%6%1%11%
Emerson College[27]Nov 17–20426 (LV)93%4%3%
YouGov/Economist[28]Nov 17–19383 (LV)90%2%1%7%
Nov 12Sanford withdraws from the race
YouGov/Economist[29]Nov 10–12352 (LV)3%89%1%1%1%[d]5%
YouGov/Economist[30]Nov 3–5402 (LV)1%87%1%3%1%[d]8%
YouGov/Economist[31]Oct 27–29464 (LV)3%83%2%2%1%[d]9%
Suffolk University/USA Today[32][33]Oct 23–26323 (LV)± 5.5%1%85%1%2%11%
YouGov/Economist[34]Oct 20–22404 (LV)3%87%1%1%1%[d]8%
McLaughlin and Associates[35]Oct 17–224111%76%1%2%9%[l]12%
Emerson College[36]Oct 18–21378± 4.9%3%91%2%5%
Ipsos[37]Oct 17–18507± 5.7%1%79%1%1%8%[m]11%
YouGov/Economist[38]Oct 10–133542%86%2%3%5%
YouGov/Economist[39]Oct 6–8473± 2.9%1%84%3%3%8%
YouGov/Economist[40]Sep 28 – Oct 1360± 2.6%3%86%2%2%7%
Quinnipiac University[41]Sep 19–23568± 4.9%2%80%2%2%1%12%
Emerson College[42]Sep 21–23363± 5.1%3%89%5%4%
Fox News[43]Sep 15–17341± 5.0%2%86%2%2%1%5%
YouGov/Economist[44]Sep 14–17416± 2.7%2%86%1%5%1%5%
Emerson College[45]Sep 13–16208± 3.3%6%86%4%4%
Public Religion Research Institute[46]Aug 22 – Sep 15957± 2.8%74%10%13%3%[n]
HarrisX[47]Sep 9–121,1752%76%2%2%4%14%
Democracy Corps[48]Sep 7–113154%85%5%2%1%4%
YouGov/Economist[49]Sep 8–10393± 2.7%3%82%1%4%2%7%
McLaughlin & Associates[50]Sep 7–104163%76%1%3%17%
Sep 8Sanford announceshis candidacy
Emerson College[51]Aug 24–26482± 2.5%84%16%
HarrisX[52]Aug 23–261,19476%5%3%6%10%
Aug 25Walsh announceshis candidacy
Suffolk University[53]Aug 20–2528990%5%5%
McLaughlin & Associates[54]Jul 23–28415± 4.0%4%81%2%14%
Democracy Corps[55]Jul 18–28354± 4.0%4%89%4%3%
Emerson College[56]Jun 21–24407± 4.9%83%17%
McLaughlin & Associates[57]Jun 18–24417-79%7%13%
Suffolk University/USA Today[58]Jun 11–1532690%5%5%

November 2018 to May 2019

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Jeb
Bush
Bob
Corker
Ted
Cruz
Jamie
Dimon
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Paul
Ryan
Ben
Sasse
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
HarrisX[59]May 23–25785± 4.0%73%7%5%13%
Change Research[60]May 18–211,248± 2.8%2%94%4%
7%87%6%
3%94%3%
May 16De La Fuente announces his candidacy
Emerson College[61]May 10–13384± 5.0%86%14%
McLaughlin & Associates[62]May 7–113301%5%77%3%14%
Zogby Analytics[63]May 2–946381%4%10%6%
Quinnipiac University[64]Apr 26–29419± 5.6%3%84%3%1%8%
HarrisX[65]Apr 26–28641± 4.0%75%7%4%11%
Morning Consult[66]Apr 19–21641± 4.0%78%7%15%
Ipsos/Reuters[67]Apr 18–19344± 5.9%1%1%5%4%10%60%2%16%
Apr 15Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College[68]Apr 11–14324± 5.4%85%15%
Ipsos/Reuters[69]Mar 25–26362± 5.9%1%0%3%5%8%63%4%16%
Morning Consult[70]Mar 22–24638± 4.0%9%73%18%
13%72%16%
74%8%18%
McLaughlin & Associates[71]Mar 20–244185%80%1%14%
Emerson College[72]Mar 17–1848390%10%
Ipsos/Reuters[73]Mar 5–11756± 4.1%1%0%0%3%3%9%0%69%2%13%
Monmouth University[74]Mar 1–4339± 5.3%6%75%16%
74%8%18%
Ipsos/Reuters[73]Feb 26 – Mar 41,086± 3.4%1%0%1%5%3%9%1%66%3%13%
Ipsos/Reuters[73]Feb 19–251,138± 3.3%0%1%1%4%4%8%1%65%3%14%
Ipsos/Reuters[73]Feb 12–181,040± 3.5%0%1%1%3%4%8%1%69%2%12%
Emerson College[75]Feb 14–16366± 5.1%85%15%
FOX News[76]Feb 10–12432 (A)±4.5%72%17%11%
McLaughlin & Associates[77]Feb 6–104136%10%72%11%
Monmouth University[78]Jan 25–27335± 5.4%21%66%9%
14%73%11%
Zogby Analytics[79]Jan 18–20307± 5.6%2%1%6%8%9%64%4%6%
HarrisX[80]Jan 4–532017%70%13%
2019
McLaughlin & Associates[81]Dec 10–143922%5%9%72%12%
Harvard-Harris[82]Nov 27–288193%5%2%2%6%6%5%1%44%2%16%
HarrisX[83]Nov 16–1732017%66%17%
9%70%21%
13%69%18%
14%67%19%
19%69%12%
20%65%15%
8%70%21%

Before November 2018

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Bob
Corker
Tom
Cotton
Ted
Cruz
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Ben
Sasse
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Harvard-Harris[84]Jun 24–2543015%85%
GQR Research[85]Jan 6–113744%1%4%3%11%5%5%62%0%5%
2018
Public Policy Polling[86]Dec 11–1221%64%15%
16%74%10%
19%70%11%
22%62%15%
Public Policy Polling[87]Oct 27–2927%57%16%
14%70%16%
24%66%11%
28%53%19%
Public Policy Polling[88]Sep 22–2515%68%17%
18%68%13%
21%59%21%
Fabrizio Lee[89]Aug 20171,500± 2.5%1%13%10%1%54%20%
Public Policy Polling[90]Aug 18–2122%62%17%
21%68%11%
24%52%23%
Opinion Savvy[91]Aug 16–17220± 6.6%8%17%68%7%
221± 6.6%12%15%65%8%
Marist College[92]Aug 8–12361± 5.2%23%64%10%
33%56%8%

Against unnamed primary challenger

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[93]May 10–11, 2020< 1000 (LV)[o]70%23%[p]7%
Morning Consult/Politico[94]Feb 28 - Mar 1 2020718 (LV)91%7%2%
Morning Consult/Politico[95]Jan 4–5, 2020700 (RV)87%10%3%
ABC News/Washington Post[96]Oct 27–30388 (A)±6%67%30%3%
FOX News[76]Oct 27–30388 (A)±6%78%15%7%
FOX News[97]Oct 6–8367-376(LV)±6%77%17%6%
Morning Consult[98]Jun 29 – Jul 1483± 4.0%83%15%3%
Morning Consult[99]Jun 29 – Jul 1541± 4.0%83%15%2%
Morning Consult[100]Jun 21–24698± 4.0%87%12%1%
Morning Consult[101]Jun 20–23639± 4.0%87%10%3%
Morning Consult[102]Jun 14–16693± 4.0%86%13%2%
Morning Consult[103]Jun 7–9659± 4.0%84%13%3%
Morning Consult[104]May 31 – Jun 2672± 4.0%83%14%3%
Change Research[60]May 18–211,248± 2.8%95%4%
Morning Consult[105]May 10–12695± 4.0%84%15%3%
Morning Consult[106]May 3–6680± 4.0%85%13%2%
Morning Consult[107]Apr 28–29692± 4.0%84%13%2%
Morning Consult[108]Apr 19–21641± 4.0%79%18%4%
Morning Consult[109]Apr 12–1436783%15%2%
35882%15%3%
Morning Consult[110]Apr 1–711,986± 1.0%76%20%
Morning Consult[111]Mar 25–3111,549± 1.0%78%20%
Morning Consult[112]Mar 18–2412,090± 1.0%77%19%
Morning Consult[113]Mar 11–1711,542± 1.0%78%20%
Morning Consult[114]Mar 4–1013,682± 1.0%77%20%
Morning Consult[115]Feb 25 – Mar 311,154± 1.0%77%20%
Morning Consult[116]Feb 18–2413,782± 1.0%77%20%
Morning Consult[117]Feb 11–1713,974± 1.0%77%21%
Morning Consult[118]Feb 4–1010,685± 1.0%77%20%
2019
Public Religion Research Institute[119]Sep 17 – Oct 192766%33%1%
Saint Leo University[120]May 25–3163%24%13%
USC Dornsife/LAT[121]Dec 15 – Jan 151,530± 3.0%75%25%
Emerson College[122]Jan 8–1119868%18%14%
2018
Public Policy Polling[86]Dec 11–1270%24%6%
Public Religion Research Institute[123]Oct 18–3084659%34%7%
Public Policy Polling[87]Oct 27–2957%36%8%
Public Policy Polling[88]Sep 22–2561%27%12%
Public Policy Polling[90]Aug 18–2157%29%13%

Statewide polling

[edit]

The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus. Polls with a sample size of <100 have their 'sample size' cells marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Iowa caucus

[edit]

The Iowa Republican caucus took place on Monday, February 3, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Michael
Bloomberg
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Iowa caucuses (first alignment vote)Feb 3, 202097.1%1.1%1.3%0.5%
Emerson College[125]Oct 13–16, 201928693%2%4%1%[q]
Aug 25Walsh announceshis candidacy
Apr 15Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College[126]Mar 21–24, 2019207± 6.9%8%93%
90%10%
Emerson College[127]Jan 30 – Feb 2, 201928010%90%

New Hampshire primary

[edit]

The New Hampshire Republican primary took place on Tuesday, February 11, 2020.[124]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate UpdatedDates polledDonald TrumpBill WeldJoe WalshUndecided[a]
270 to Win[128]Dec 11, 2019Nov 26 - Dec 11, 201979.0%11.0%3.5%6.5%

Since July 2019

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Rocky De
La Fuente
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
New Hampshire primary (popular vote)Feb 11, 20200.1%84.4%0.5%9%5.9%[r]
Emerson College[129]Feb 8–9, 2020500 (LV)±4.3%84%16%
University of New Hampshire/CNN[130]Feb 6–9, 2020212 (LV)±6.7%90%No voters7%1%[s]1%
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[131][132]Feb 5–8, 2020440 (LV)±4.7%3%71%6%8%3%11%
University of New Hampshire/CNN[133]Feb 5–8, 2020227 (LV)±6.5%91%No voters5%2%[t]2%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
University of New Hampshire/CNN[134]Feb 4–7, 2020203 (LV)±6.9%91%No voters5%2%[t]3%
Marist College/NBC News[135]Feb 4–6, 2020441 (LV)±5.8%88%1%7%1%2%
Feb 3, 2020Iowa caucuses
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[136][137]Jan 29-Feb 1, 2020438 (LV)± 4.7%1%72%3%7%7%10%
RKM Research & Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[138]Jan 23–26, 2020407 (LV)1%72%3%7%9%
Marist College/NBC News[139]Jan 20–23, 2020450 (LV)± 5.5%87%2%8%1%2%
University of New Hampshire/CNN[140]Jan 16–23, 2020394 (LV)± 4.9%90%1%4%2%[u]3%
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[141]Jan 8–12, 2020402 (LV)2%79%4%4%3%3%
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR[142]Dec 3–8, 2019365 (LV)± 5.1%74%4%9%9%[v]4%[n]
Emerson College[143]Nov 22–26, 2019440 (LV)84%3%13%0%
University of New Hampshire/CNN[144]Oct 21–27, 2019461 (LV)± 4.6%86%1%5%4%[w]4%
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU[145]Oct 9–13, 2019405± 4.9%71%5%14%3%[x]7%
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[146]Sep 4–10, 201941488%1%3%1%7%
Emerson College[147]Sep 6–9, 201937980%7%13%
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN[148]Jul 8–15, 2019289 (LV)± 5.8%86%7%2%5%
May 16, 2019De La Fuente announceshis candidacy
Monmouth University[149]May 2–7, 2019427± 4.8%72%12%1%2%

Before May 2019

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tom
Cotton
Ted
Cruz
Jeff
Flake
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Suffolk University[150]Apr 25–28, 2019394± 4.9%0%9%70%8%12%
72%17%10%
University of New Hampshire[151]Apr 10–18, 2019208± 6.8%1%10%76%5%8%
Apr 15Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
University of New Hampshire[152]Feb 18–26, 2019218± 6.6%17%68%3%12%
Emerson College[153]Feb 21–22, 2019328± 5.4%82%18%
Praecones Analytica[154]Jan 16–21, 201933024%70%6%
Suffolk University[155]Apr 26–30, 2018315± 5.5%15%72%13%
23%68%8%
28%63%9%
23%66%11%
University of New Hampshire[156]Apr 13–22, 2018202± 6.8%19%67%0%14%
American Research Group[157]Mar 21–27, 2018420± 5.0%4%34%51%11%
33%49%18%
42%48%9%
5%7%11%36%41%
American Research Group[157]Aug 4–6, 2017600± 4.0%52%40%8%
52%27%32%

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[151]Apr 10–18, 2019208± 6.8%63%14%23%
University of New Hampshire[152]Feb 18–26, 2019218± 6.6%56%15%29%
University of New Hampshire[158]Aug 2–19, 2018199± 6.9%56%20%24%
University of New Hampshire[156]Apr 13–22, 2018202± 6.8%55%19%27%
University of New Hampshire[159]Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018157± 7.8%60%18%23%
University of New Hampshire[160]Oct 3–15, 2017191± 7.1%47%23%30%

Nevada caucus

[edit]

The Nevada caucus was cancelled by the Nevada Republican Party in a vote on September 7, 2019.[161]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College[162]Oct 31–Nov 3, 2019409 (LV)2%92%3%3%
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announceshis candidacy
Sep 7, 2019The Nevada Republican Party votes to cancel their caucus.
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy
Apr 15, 2019Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College[163]Mar 28–30, 2019263± 6.1%92%8%

South Carolina primary

[edit]

The South Carolina primary was cancelled in a vote by the South Carolina Republican Party on September 7, 2019.[161]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Bob
Corker
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Mark

Sanford

Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Nov 12Sanford withdraws from the race
Sep 8Sanford announceshis candidacy
Sep 7The South Carolina Republican Party votes to cancel their primary.
Change Research[164][4]Aug 9–12, 2019568 (LV)± 4.3%14%79%
2%95%
Apr 15Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College[165]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019380± 5.1%90%10%
Change Research[166]Feb 15–18, 20197202%91%8%
2%93%5%
21%67%11%
3%91%6%
90%3%7%

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Change Research[167]Jun 11–14, 20191,183± 2.9%95%5%

California primary

[edit]

The California Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[124]

Since June 2019

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark

Sanford

Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Joe

Walsh

OtherUndecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
CNN/SSRS[168]Dec 4–8, 2019298 (LV)± 6.7%85%3%3%2%[y]8%
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College[169]Sep 13–18, 2019208 (LV)6%86%4%4%-
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announceshis candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy

April 2019 to May 2019

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Change Research[170]May 25–28, 2019989± 3.1%5%86%8%
3%90%7%
91%3%6%
Apr 15, 2019Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Change Research[171]Apr 6–9, 20198535%83%12%
4%83%14%

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Change Research[170]May 25–28, 2019989± 3.1%94%7%
Change Research[171]Apr 6–9, 201985388%12%

Colorado primary

[edit]

The Colorado Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College[172]Aug 16–19, 2019339± 5.3%86%14%
Apr 15Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies[173]Jan 30–31 and Feb 4, 2019622± 3.9%78%17%5%

Massachusetts primary

[edit]

The Massachusetts Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Jeff
Flake
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Paul
Ryan
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
MassINC Polling Group/WBUR[174]Feb 23 - 26, 2020374 (LV)± 5.1%83%14%2%[z]2%[aa]
Apr 15Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College[175]Apr 4–7, 2019183± 7.2%82%18%
YouGov/UMass Amherst[176]Nov 7–14, 201822730%1%3%7%2%40%16%
22533%1%7%26%8%2%22%

North Carolina primary

[edit]

The North Carolina Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
High Point University[177]Feb 21 – 28, 2020246 (LV)91%4%3%2%[ab]
Marist College[178]Feb 23 – 27, 2020410 (LV)± 5.4%93%6%<1%1%
Meredith College[179]Feb 16 – 24, 2020353 (LV)85%3.1%2%0.9%[ac]9.1%[ad]
SurveyUSA[180]Feb 13 – 16, 2020501 (LV)± 3%91%5%5%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
High Point University[181]Jan 31 – Feb 6, 2020198 (LV)91%4%1%4%
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy
Emerson College[182]May 31 – Jun 3, 201933688%12%

Texas primary

[edit]

The Texas Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[124]

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate UpdatedDates polledDonald TrumpMark SanfordJoe WalshBill WeldUndecided[a]
270 to Win[183]Nov 24, 2019Nov 18, 201978.0%4.0%1.0%1.0%13.0%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Marist College[184]Feb 21 - 27, 2020621 (LV)±5.1%94%4%<1%2%
University of Texas at Tyler/DMN[185]Feb 17 - 26, 2020567 (LV)± 4.12%86%6%8%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
University of Texas at St Tyler/Dallas News[186]Jan 21–30, 2020445 (LV)± 4.65%88%4%2%6%
CNN/SSRS[187]Dec 4–8, 2019537 (LV)± 5%86%4%3%2%[y]4%
University of Texas at Tyler[188]Nov 5–14, 2019597 (RV)-4%78%1%1%
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announceshis candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy
Emerson College[189]Aug 1–3, 201948290%10%
Emerson College[190]Apr 25–28, 2019344± 5.3%87%13%

Utah primary

[edit]

The Utah Republican primary took place in Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[124]

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[191]October 3–10, 2019600 (LV)± 4%75%22%[ae]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[192]June 11 – July 1, 2019801 (LV)70%28%[ae]

Vermont primary

[edit]

The Vermont Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Rocky De
La Fuente
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Braun Research/VPR/VT PBS[193]Feb 4–10, 2020166 (LV)± 7.6%1%85%6%2%[af]7%

Wyoming caucuses

[edit]

The last presidential cycle's Wyoming caucuses took place on March 1 in 2016 and would, if scheduled for Super Tuesday in 2020, take place on March 3, 2020. Instead, the Wyoming Republican state convention was scheduled for May 9, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Montana State University Billings[194]Oct 7–16, 201967 (LV)No voters91%<1%<1%8%

Michigan primary

[edit]

The Michigan Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[195]Feb 11 – 20, 2020426 (LV)97%0%1%2%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College[196]Oct 31–Nov 3, 20192%92%3%3%-
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announceshis candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy
Apr 15, 2019Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College[197]Mar 7–10, 2019306± 5.6%-89%-11%

Illinois primary

[edit]

The Illinois Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Southern Illinois University/Paul
Simon Public Policy Institute
[198]
Feb 10 - 17, 2020232 (LV)± 6.4%89%4%2%[ag]5%[ah]

Ohio primary

[edit]

The Ohio Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
John
Kasich
Mark

Sanford

Donald
Trump
Joe

Walsh

Bill

Weld

Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College[199]Sep 29–Oct 2, 2019325 (LV)-2%87%5%5%-
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announceshis candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy
Apr 15, 2019Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Baldwin Wallace University[200]Feb 28 – Mar 9, 2018261± 6.0%27%-62%--

Florida primary

[edit]

The Florida Republican primary took place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Marco
Rubio
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
FAU-BEPI[201][5]Mar 5 – 7, 2020409 (LV)± 4.8%92.6%3.8%3.5%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Florida Atlantic University[202]Jan 9 – 12, 2020488 (LV)± 4.4%80%14%5%
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Florida Atlantic University[203]Sep 12–15, 2019355± 5.2%8%85%5%2%
Sep 8, 2019Sanford announceshis candidacy
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy
Florida Atlantic University[204]May 16–19, 2019394± 4.9%0%2%85%5%1%7%
Apr 15, 2019Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Saint Leo University[120]May 25–31, 201868%18%13%

Wisconsin primary

[edit]

The Wisconsin Republican primary took place on Tuesday, April 7, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[195]Feb 11 – 20, 2020348 (LV)93%0%0%[ai]7%
Apr 15Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College[205]Mar 15–17, 201929389%11%

Arizona primary

[edit]

The Arizona 2016 Republican primary was held on March 22, 2016, but the 2020 primary was cancelled on September 9, 2019.[206]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Emerson College[207]Oct 25–28, 2019367 (LV)5%88%3%4%
Sep 9, 2019The Arizona Republican Party votes to cancel their primary.

Delaware primary

[edit]

The Delaware Republican primary took place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[208]Jul 24–29, 2018288± 5.8%9%67%25%

Maryland primary

[edit]

The Maryland Republican primary took place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Larry
Hogan
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Gonzales Research[209]Apr 29 – May 4, 2019203± 7.0%24%68%8%

Pennsylvania primary

[edit]

The Pennsylvania Republican primary took place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[124]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Mar 18, 2020Weld withdraws from the race
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[195]Feb 11 – 20, 2020462 (LV)87%2%2%8%
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Aug 25, 2019Walsh announceshis candidacy
Apr 15Weld announceshis candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College[210]Mar 26–28, 2019311± 5.5%90%10%

Montana primary

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Sanford
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Nov 12, 2019Sanford withdraws from the race
Montana State University Billings[211]Oct 7–16, 201999 (LV)1%88%No votersNo voters11%

New Jersey primary

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Emerson College[212]Jan 16–19, 2020197 (LV)± 6.9%93%4%4%

New Mexico primary

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Walsh
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Feb 7, 2020Walsh withdraws from the race
Emerson College[213]Jan 3–6, 2020322 (LV)87%8%5%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcCalculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyzaaabacadaeafagahaiajakKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^abcdWould not vote with 0%
  4. ^abcdefghijklWould not vote with 1%
  5. ^If Pence and Trump were the only candidates
  6. ^Pence with 13%
  7. ^Romney, Sanford and Walsh with 0%
  8. ^Would not vote with 1%; Walsh with 2%
  9. ^Would not vote with 2%
  10. ^No voters
  11. ^Refused with 0%
  12. ^Romney with 9%
  13. ^Kasich with 5%; can't/won't vote with 1%; other with 2%
  14. ^abIncludes "refused"
  15. ^"Likely Republican" sample not yet released
  16. ^"Someone else" with 23%
  17. ^Sanford with 1%
  18. ^Buttigieg and Klobuchar with 0.7%; Maxwell with 0.6%; Bloomberg and Sanders with 0.5%; Romney with 0.4%; Merrill and Murphy with 0.3%; Matern with 0.2%; Ardini, Boddie, Comley, Kraft and Payne with 0.1%; Ely, Horn, Istvan and Locke with 0%; other write-in candidates with 1.1%
  19. ^"Would support another candidate" with 1%
  20. ^ab"Would support another candidate" with 2%
  21. ^Listed as "Another candidate"
  22. ^Some other candidate with 4%; would not vote with 5%
  23. ^Sanford with 1%; other with 3%
  24. ^Sanford with 1%; other with 2%
  25. ^abSomeone else with 1%; "no one" with 1%
  26. ^"Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
  27. ^Listed as "Don't know/refused"
  28. ^Listed as "no preference/cannot recall"
  29. ^"No answer/refused" with 0.9%
  30. ^"Don't know" with 6.5%; "no preference" with 2.6%
  31. ^abListed as "Time to give someone new a chance to serve" (as opposed to "should be re-elected")
  32. ^Other with 2%; "refused" with no voters
  33. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  34. ^Listed as "other/don't know"
  35. ^Walsh with 0%

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External links

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campaign
Republican Party
CPNYS ·RTLP
Candidates
Libertarian Party
Candidates
Nominee
Jo Jorgensen
campaign
endorsements
VP nominee:Spike Cohen
Eliminated in balloting
Jim Gray
Adam Kokesh
John McAfee
John Monds
Vermin Supreme
campaign
Withdrew before or during primaries
Max Abramson
Lincoln Chafee
Zoltan Istvan
Formed exploratory committee but did not run
Justin Amash
Green Party
LMN ·SA ·SPUSA
Candidates
Withdrew during primaries
Dario Hunter
Other candidates
Jesse Ventura
Constitution Party
Alliance Party
AIP ·Reform
Other candidates
Max Abramson
Phil Collins
American Solidarity Party
Other candidates
Joe Schriner
Birthday Party
Bread and Roses
Party for Socialism & Liberation
LUP ·PFP
Progressive Party
Prohibition Party
Socialist Action
Socialist Equality Party
Socialist Workers Party
Independent candidates
Disputes
Attempts to overturn
Lawsuits
Controversies
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