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Next Italian general election

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Next Italian general election

← 2022
No later than 22 December 2027

All 400 seats in theChamber of Deputies (C)
201 seats needed for a majority
All 200 elective seats in the
Senate of the Republic (S)
101 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
LeaderGiorgia MeloniElly SchleinGiuseppe Conte
PartyBrothers of ItalyDemocratic PartyFive Star Movement
AllianceCentre-rightCentre-leftCentre-left[a]
Leader since8 March 2014[b]12 March 20236 August 2021
Leader's seatAbruzzo (C)Veneto 2 (C)Lombardy 1 (C)
Current seats116 (C) · 63 (S)71 (C) · 36 (S)49 (C) · 26 (S)

 
LeaderMatteo SalviniAntonio TajaniAngelo Bonelli
Nicola Fratoianni
PartyLegaForza ItaliaGreens and Left
AllianceCentre-rightCentre-rightCentre-left
Leader since15 December 201315 July 20232 July 2022
Leader's seatApulia (S)Velletri (C)Imola (C)
Tuscany (C)
Current seats65 (C) · 29 (S)51 (C) · 20 (S)10 (C) · 3 (S)

IncumbentPrime Minister

Giorgia Meloni
Brothers of Italy



General elections will occur inItaly no later than 22 December 2027.[nb 1] It may be called earlier as asnap election.

Background

[edit]
Main article:2022 Italian government formation
Giorgia Meloni accepting the task of forming the new government

In the2022 Italian general election, thecentre-right coalition led byGiorgia Meloni'sBrothers of Italy (FdI) won anabsolute majority of seats in theItalian Parliament.[2] On 20 October, a few days following the elections of the presidents of the two houses of Parliament (Ignazio La Russa of FdI on 13 October for theSenate of the Republic andLorenzo Fontana of theLega on 14 October for theChamber of Deputies),[3][4] consultations on the formation of a new cabinet officially began.[5]

The Cabinet was announced on 21 October and was officially sworn in on the next day. It was one of the fastest government formations in thehistory of the Italian Republic.[6] The firstItalian cabinet headed by a femaleprime minister,[7] it was variously described as a shift to thepolitical right,[8] and as the firstfar-right-led Italian government sinceWorld War II.[9][10]

Electoral system

[edit]
See also:Politics of Italy

TheItalian electoral law of 2017 still in force assigns seats in both houses of the Italian Parliament usingmixed-member majoritarian representation. The 400 deputies are to be elected as follows:[11]

  • 147 in single-member constituencies byplurality (FPTP).
  • 245 in multi-member constituencies by nationalproportional representation.
  • 8 in multi-member abroad constituencies by constituency proportional representation.

The 200 elective senators are to be elected as follows:[11]

  • 74 in single-member constituencies by plurality (FPTP).
  • 122 in multi-member constituencies by regional proportional representation.
  • 4 in single-member abroad constituencies by plurality (FPTP).

For Italian residents, each house member is to be elected in single ballots, including theconstituency candidate and their supporting party lists. In each single-member constituency, the deputy or senator is elected on a plurality basis, while the seats in multi-member constituencies are allocated nationally. In order to be calculated in single-member constituency results, parties need to obtain at least 1% of the national vote and be part of a coalition obtaining at least 10% of the national vote. In order to receive seats in multi-member constituencies, parties need to obtain at least 3% of the national vote. Elects from multi-member constituencies would come fromclosed lists.[12]

The voting paper, which is a single one for the FPTP and the proportional systems, shows the names of the candidates to single-member constituencies and in close conjunction with them the symbols of the linked lists for the proportional part, each one with a list of the relative candidates.[13] The voter is able to cast their vote in three different ways, among them:[14]

  • Drawing a sign on the symbol of a list. In this case, the vote extends to the candidate in the single-member constituency that is supported by that list.
  • Drawing a sign on the name of the candidate of the single-member constituency and another one on the symbol of one list that supports them; the result is the same as that described above. Under penalty of annulment, thepanachage is not allowed, so the voter cannot vote simultaneously for a candidate in the FPTP constituency and for a list which is not linked to them.
  • Drawing a sign only on the name of the candidate for the FPTP constituency, without indicating any list. In this case, the vote is valid for the candidate in the single-member constituency and also automatically extended to the list that supports them; however, if that candidate is connected to several lists, the vote is divided proportionally between them, based on the votes that each one has obtained in that constituency.

Opinion polls

[edit]
Main article:Opinion polling for the next Italian general election

Graphical summary

[edit]
Local regression trend line of poll results from 25 September 2022 to the election day, with each line corresponding to the next general election party lists

Party vote aggregations

[edit]
Polling aggregatorRef.Date updatedFdIPDM5SLegaFIAIVAVS+EPTDDSPNMScNOthersLead
Cassandra[15]27 January 202629.722.212.68.08.23.02.36.41.51.05.17.5
WahlenWeltWeit[16]15 January 202630.022.112.98.38.33.12.56.41.5__1.2_3.87.9
Sondaggi BiDiMedia[17]28 August 202528.822.512.98.68.32.61.57.01.30.95.66.3
Youtrend[18]31 July 202529.221.713.58.48.73.02.36.32.11.03.87.5
PolitPro[19]23 August 202529.122.013.08.58.73.22.36.42.04.87.1
Politico Europe[20]31 July 202529.022.012.09.09.03.02.06.02.05.06.0
Europe Elects[21]31 July 202529.022.013.09.09.03.02.07.02.01.04.07.0
2022 election[22]25 Sep 202226.019.115.48.88.17.8[c]3.62.81.4[d]1.2[e]0.90.84.16.9

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Whileelections in Italy are customarily held on a Sunday or Sunday and Monday, there is no constitutional requirement to do so; the latest possible date for a general election to be held is the 70th day following the expiration of the Parliament's five-year term.[1]
  1. ^The M5S is generally seen as aligned with the centre-left coalition but is formally independent, and does not run joint presidential candidates in some regions.
  2. ^On 27 July 2022, the centre-right coalition agreed that its candidate for prime minister would be the leader of the party with the most votes, which proved to be FdI in the snap election on 25 September 2022.
  3. ^AsAction – Italia Viva
  4. ^AsUP
  5. ^AsISP

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Constitution of the Italian Republic"(PDF). Parliamentary Information, Archives and Publications Office of the Senate Service for Official Reports and Communication. Retrieved29 October 2022.
  2. ^Winfield, Nicole (26 September 2022)."How a party of neo-fascist roots won big in Italy".AP News. Associated Press. Retrieved30 September 2022.
  3. ^"Senato, Ignazio La Russa eletto presidente".Sky TG24 (in Italian). 13 October 2022. Retrieved20 October 2022.
  4. ^"Il discorso di Lorenzo Fontana nuovo presidente della Camera che elogia il Papa e ringrazia Bossi: 'L'Italia non deve omologarsi'".La Repubblica (in Italian). 14 October 2022. Retrieved20 October 2022.
  5. ^"Quirinale, il calendario delle consultazioni per la formazione del nuovo governo. Centrodestra (unito) atteso al Colle venerdì".Il Fatto Quotidiano (in Italian). 19 October 2022. Retrieved19 October 2022.
  6. ^"Tempi di formazione dei governi, da Berlusconi a Conte: i record".Sky TG24 (in Italian). 21 October 2022. Retrieved28 October 2022.
  7. ^Harlan, Chico; Pitrelli, Stefano (21 October 2022)."Meloni sworn in as Italy's first female prime minister".The Washington Post.ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved22 October 2022.
  8. ^Amante, Angelo; Weir, Keith (21 October 2022)."Meloni takes charge as PM as Italy swings to the right".Reuters. Retrieved21 October 2022.
  9. ^"Presidential palace says Giorgia Meloni forms government, giving Italy first far-right-led coalition since World War II".ABC News. Associated Press. 21 October 2022. Retrieved21 October 2022.
  10. ^"Far-right Meloni set to become Italy's first woman PM".France 24. Agence France-Presse. 21 October 2022. Retrieved21 October 2022.
  11. ^abChughtai, Alia (4 March 2018)."Understanding Italian elections 2018". Al Jazeera. Retrieved20 November 2022.
  12. ^Cavallaro, Matteo; Pregliasco, Lorenzo (15 January 2018)."'Hand-to-hand' combat in Italy's election".Politico. Retrieved20 November 2022.
  13. ^"Elezioni, come si vota con il Rosatellum, debutta la nuova scheda elettorale".Today (in Italian). 20 October 2017. Retrieved4 March 2018.
  14. ^"Il Rosatellum bis è legge. Ma come funziona" (in Italian). AGI. 23 July 2017. Retrieved2 November 2022.
  15. ^"Media dei sondaggi".Cassandra (in Italian). Retrieved1 February 2026.
  16. ^"Home".WahlenWeltWeit (in German). Retrieved13 January 2026.
  17. ^"Sondaggi dopo le elezioni: PD su di 7 decimi, quelli che perde il centrodestra".Sondaggi BiDiMedia (in Italian). 19 June 2025.
  18. ^"Supermedia Youtrend/Agi: FdI al 29,9%".Youtrend (in Italian). 20 June 2025.
  19. ^"Italy: Polls and trends for the Italian election 2027".PolitPro. Retrieved10 December 2024.
  20. ^"Poll of polls Italy".Politico Europe. Retrieved4 December 2024.
  21. ^"Polling average of Italy".Europe Elects. Retrieved16 November 2024.
  22. ^"Elezioni Camera 25/09/2022".Eligendo (in Italian). Retrieved20 December 2024.

External links

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