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Next Austrian legislative election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Next Austrian legislative election

← 2024By 2029

All 183 seats in theNational Council
92 seats needed for a majority
 
Herbert Kickl - Pressekonferenz am 1. Sep. 2020.JPG
2025 Christian Stocker (54362633314) (cropped).jpg
Andreas Babler 2023 (cropped).jpg
LeaderHerbert KicklChristian StockerAndreas Babler
PartyFPÖÖVPSPÖ
Last election28.8%, 57 seats26.3%, 51 seats21.1%, 41 seats

 
Meinl-Reisinger PKEU (cropped).png
Leonore Gewessler - 2025-05-19 - 54530062295 (cropped).jpg
LeaderBeate Meinl-ReisingerLeonore Gewessler
PartyNEOSGreens
Last election9.1%, 18 seats8.2%, 16 seats

IncumbentChancellor

Christian Stocker
ÖVP



Legislative elections will be held in Austria by 2029 to elect the 29th National Council, the lower house of Austria's bicameral parliament.

Background

[edit]

The2024 legislative election resulted in theFreedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) becoming the largest party in parliament for the first time. TheAustrian People's Party (ÖVP) finished in second place after suffering significant losses and theSocial Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ) dropped to third place for the first time in the party's history even though its vote share was almost identical to the2019 election.NEOS also obtained its best-ever result while theGreens remained in parliament albeit with a reduced seat share. No other party was able to clear the 4% threshold to win seats. It led to a ÖVP-SPÖ-NEOS coalition government withChristian Stocker (ÖVP) as Chancellor.

Electoral system

[edit]

The 183 members of theNational Council are elected byopen listproportional representation at three levels; a single national constituency, nine constituencies based on thefederal states, and 39 regional constituencies. Seats are apportioned to the regional constituencies based on the results of the most recent census. For parties to receive any representation in the National Council, they must either win at least one seat in a constituency directly, or clear a 4 percent nationalelectoral threshold.[1]

Following the elections, seats are allocated to the candidates of successful parties and lists in a three-stage process, starting with the regional constituencies. Seats are distributed according to theHare quota in the regional constituencies, and with unallocated seats distributed at the state constituency level.[2] Any remaining seats are then allocated using theD'Hondt method at the federal level, to ensure overall proportionality between a party's national vote share and its share of parliamentary seats.[3]

In addition to voting for a political party, voters may cast three preferential votes for specific candidates of that party, but are not required to do so.[4] These additional votes do not affect the proportional allocation based on the vote for the party or list, but can change the rank order of candidates on a party's lists at the federal, state, and regional level. The threshold to increase the position of a candidate on a federal party list is 7 percent, compared to 10 percent at the state level, and 14 percent at the regional level. The names of candidates on regional party lists are printed on the ballot and can be marked with an "x" to indicate the voter's preference. Preference votes for candidates on party lists at the state and federal level, however, must be written in by the voter, either by writing the name or the rank number of the candidate in a blank spot provided for that purpose.[5]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Local regression of the voter intention polling for the next Austrian legislative election.

2025

[edit]
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
MethodFPÖÖVPSPÖNEOSGrüneKPÖOthersLead
Market-Lazarsfeld (for oe24.at)17–18 Nov 20252,000Online3819189112319
Market-Lazarsfeld (for oe24.at)3–4 Nov 20252,000Online3720188103417
IFDD (for the Kronen Zeitung)17–21 Oct 20251,215Online3621179114215
Market-Lazarsfeld (for oe24.at)13–14 Oct 20252,000Online3821177114217
Market-Lazarsfeld (for oe24.at)6–7 Oct 20252,000Online3820178104318
Market-Lazarsfeld (for oe24.at)15–16 Sep 20252,000Online3621188113315
IFDD (for the Kronen Zeitung)10–12 Sep 20251,500Online36211810113115
OGM (for the Kurier)9–11 Sep 20251,027Online33231910113110
Market-Lazarsfeld (for oe24.at)8–9 Sep 20252,000Online3621188113315
OGM (for ServusTV)Early Sep 2025?Online3322191011511
Market-Lazarsfeld (for oe24.at)1–2 Sep 20252,000Online3621199102315
INSA (for exxpress.at)15–27 Aug 20251,000Online371920994217
Market (for the Standard)24–30 Jul 2025810Online + CAPI3522201093113
INSA14–17 Jul 20251,000Online3719209104117
IFDD6–7 Jun 20251,250Online3224191011318
Unique Research2–5 Jun 2025800Online + Phone3123191310318
Market28 May–3 Jun 2025824Online + CAPI34212010103213
Market-Lazarsfeld26–27 May 20252,000Online3420219103313
OGM23–26 May 20251,011Online322221129410
INSA19–21 May 20251,000Online362020894216
Market-Lazarsfeld5–13 May 20252,000Online342221993212
Market-Lazarsfeld28 Apr–6 May 20252,000Online3321211093312
Market-Lazarsfeld18–29 Apr 20252,000Online3322211092311
Market-Lazarsfeld14–22 Apr 20252,000Online3422201093212
INSA14–16 Apr 20251,000Online342022993312
Market-Lazarsfeld14–15 Apr 20252,000Online3421201093313
Market-Lazarsfeld7–15 Apr 20252,000Online3421201093313
OGM4–9 Apr 20251,042Online322321119229
Market-Lazarsfeld31 Mar–8 Apr 20252,000Online3321211083412
Market-Lazarsfeld24 Mar–1 Apr 20252,000Online3421201083413
Market-Lazarsfeld17–25 Mar 20252,000Online3421201192313
Market-Lazarsfeld17–18 Mar 20252,000Online3322211282211
Market-Lazarsfeld3–11 Mar 20252,000Online3321211193212
Market5–7 Mar 2025829Online + CAPI3221211293211
Market-Lazarsfeld24 Feb–4 Mar 20252,000Online3420211193213
INSA24–26 Feb 20251,000Online34202399511
Market-Lazarsfeld24–25 Feb 20252,000Online3519211193214
OGM17–18 Feb 2025941Online34192113102113
Market-Lazarsfeld17–18 Feb 20252,000Online34182211103212
IFDD13–15 Feb 20251,250Online33192211103211
Spectra13–14 Feb 20251,001Online3519221093313
Market-Lazarsfeld10–11 Feb 20252,000Online33192310103210
Market-Lazarsfeld3–4 Feb 20252,000Online3419229103312
Market-Lazarsfeld27–28 Jan 20252,000Online3419221093312
Market-Lazarsfeld13–21 Jan 20252,000Online3518211293214
INSA13–15 Jan 20251,000Online352020118615
Market-Lazarsfeld13–14 Jan 20252,000Online3817191293219
Market-Lazarsfeld7–8 Jan 20251,000Online39171910103220
IFDD3–4 Jan 20251,250Online3721191183116
2024 legislative election29 Sep 202428.826.321.19.18.22.44.0[a]2.5

2024

[edit]
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
MethodFPÖÖVPSPÖNEOSGrüneKPÖOthersLead
IFDD17–18 Dec 20241,250Online3721201083116
Market-Lazarsfeld16–17 Dec 20242,000Online3620191083416
Market13–17 Dec 2024809Online + CAPI35222010832[b]13
Market-Lazarsfeld9–10 Dec 20242,000Online3621191083315
Unique Research2–4 Dec 2024800Online + Phone3520211282214
INSA2–4 Dec 20241,004Online3421209835[b]13
Market-Lazarsfeld2–3 Dec 20242,000Online3520191184315
Market-Lazarsfeld25–26 Nov 20242,000Online3321191184412
OGM25–26 Nov 20241,018Online32242012758
Market-Lazarsfeld18–19 Nov 20242,000Online322320108349
INSA11–13 Nov 20241,000Online3222219826[a]10
Market-Lazarsfeld11–12 Nov 20242,000Online332321983310
Market-Lazarsfeld4–5 Nov 20242,000Online342321983211
Market-Lazarsfeld28–29 Oct 20242,000Online3323211083210
OGM25–28 Oct 20241,008Online322520108237
Market-Lazarsfeld21–22 Oct 20242,000Online3323191184210
Market-Lazarsfeld14–15 Oct 20242,000Online322519108337
Market-Lazarsfeld7–8 Oct 20242,000Online332619107237
Market-Lazarsfeld30 Sep – 1 Oct 20242,000Online302520118245
2024 legislative election29 Sep 202428.826.321.19.18.22.44.0[a]2.5

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcBIER: 2.0%
  2. ^abBIER: 1.0%

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Wahlen zum Nationalrat".Österreichisches Parlament. 12 September 2017. Retrieved28 October 2017.
  2. ^"Wahlen".Bundesministerium für Inneres. Retrieved28 October 2017.
  3. ^"Das Verhältniswahlrecht und das Ermittlungsverfahren bei der Nationalratswahl".Österreichisches Parlament. 21 October 2017. Retrieved28 October 2017.
  4. ^"Vorzugsstimmenvergabe bei einer Nationalratswahl".State of Austria (official website). Archived fromthe original on 30 September 2019. Retrieved16 October 2019.
  5. ^"Vorzugsstimmenvergabe bei einer Nationalratswahl".HELP.gv.at. 1 January 2017. Archived fromthe original on 2 March 2019. Retrieved28 October 2017.
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