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All 109 seats in theParliament of Andalusia 55 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Constituency results map for theParliament of Andalusia | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Aregional election will be held inAndalusia no later than Tuesday, 30 June 2026, to elect the 13thParliament of theautonomous community. All 109 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.
ThePeople's Party (PP) underregional presidentJuanma Moreno secured anoverall majority in the2022 election, the first time in history this happened in an autonomous community which had been uninterruptedly ruled by theSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) from 1978 to 2019. In an attempt to revitalize the party,María Jesús Montero—the nationalfirst deputy prime minister andfinance minister—was appointed as new PSOE–A leader in February 2025, replacingJuan Espadas. Meanwhile, Moreno's government, which had enjoyed relative political stability for years, was rocked in October 2025 by ahealthcare scandal stemming from a mishandling ofbreast cancer screening protocols by theAndalusian Health Service, the management of which by the PP sparked widespread public outrage.
The2022 regional election saw thePeople's Party (PP) underregional presidentJuanma Moreno securing anabsolute majority in the regional parliament for the first time in history,[1] which allowed him toform amajority government.[2] Conversely, theSpanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) under regional leaderJuan Espadas obtained its worst historical result, a blow for a party which had uninterruptedly held power in the region from 1978 to 2019.[3] Espadas, who since December 2021 had held aSenate seat,[4] was appointed as the PSOE's spokesperson in that chamber in November 2023,[5] paving the way for the nationalfirst deputy prime minister andminister of Finance,María Jesús Montero, to become the PSOE–A's new leader in February 2025.[6][7][8]
In October 2025, theAndalusian government became embroiled in ahealthcare scandal stemming from a mishandling ofbreast cancer screening protocols by theAndalusian Health Service (SAS),[9][10] with at least 2,000 women having suffered unjustified delays inbreast cancer diagnoses (traced to a faultyoutsourcing of the notification system to an external company)[11][12] that could significantly reduce theirsurvival rate.[13][14] It saw several resignations in an attempt to contain political backlash, including those of the regional Health minister, Rocío Hernández Soto, and two officials at theVirgen del Rocío University Hospital inSeville—the head of radiodiagnosis and the coordinator of thebreast imaging unit—where most of the cases were traced.[15][16][17] On 21 October, the crisis escalated after abreast cancer awareness organization filed a legal complaint against an alleged manipulation and disappearance of some cancer patients' medical records,[18][19][20][21] which Moreno's government blamed on a "computer failure" caused by the victims' creating a "beastly social alarm" that collapsed their systems.[22][23][24] Public outrage at the PP's management of the crisis, which added up to those of theOctober 2024 floods in the Valencian Community and theAugust 2025 wildfires in Castile and León,[25][26] weakened the party's standing and eroded its narrative as a good manager.[27][28]
Under the2007 Statute of Autonomy, theParliament of Andalusia is theunicameral legislature of thehomonymousautonomous community, having legislative power indevolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from aregional president.[29]
Voting for the Parliament is on the basis ofuniversal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote.[30][31][32] Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish:Voto rogado), under whichSpaniards abroad were required toapply for voting before being permitted to vote.[33] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[34]
The Parliament of Andalusia is entitled to a minimum of 109 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at that number. All members are elected in eightmulti-member constituencies—corresponding to theprovinces ofAlmería,Cádiz,Córdoba,Granada,Huelva,Jaén,Málaga andSeville, with each being allocated an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the number of seats in each province does not exceed two times that of any other)—using theD'Hondt method and aclosed listproportional voting system, with anelectoral threshold of three percent of valid votes (which includesblank ballots) being applied in each constituency.[30][35] The use of the electoral method may result in aneffective threshold based on thedistrict magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.[36]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency would be entitled the following seats (as of 12 December 2024):[b]
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 18 | Seville |
| 17 | Málaga |
| 15 | Cádiz |
| 13 | Granada |
| 12 | Almería,Córdoba |
| 11 | Huelva,Jaén |
The law does not provide forby-elections to fillvacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term will be covered by the successive candidates in thelist and, when required, by the designatedsubstitutes.[38][39]
The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it isdissolved earlier. The electiondecree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in theOfficial Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), withelection day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August.[30][40][41] Theprevious election was held on 19 June 2022, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 19 June 2026. The election decree must be published in the BOJA no later than 26 May 2026, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest (theoretical) possible date for election day on Sunday, 19 July 2026. However, due to the ban on summer elections, the latest legal date for an election to be held is Tuesday, 30 June 2026.
The regional president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call asnap election, provided that nomotion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one.[40][42][43] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[44]
Speculation emerged in September 2025 that the national leadership of thePeople's Party (PP) was planning to advance the elections inAragon andExtremadura (and possibly theBalearic Islands) to make them take place near or concurrently with theCastilian-Leonese election scheduled for early 2026, in an electoral "Super Sunday".[45][46][47] While the alleged justification would be the regional governments' failure in getting their 2026 budgets passed through parliament, the true motive was attributed to PP plans—not without risk—to turn the simultaneous election call into a referendum on thenational government ofPrime MinisterPedro Sánchez.[48][49][50] While an advancement of the Andalusian election (scheduled for no later than June 2026) was commented within such plans, regional presidentJuanma Moreno dismissed this possibility except in the event of Sánchez calling a snap general election before that date.[51][52][53] The possibility of an election postponement until September 2026, in order to circumvent the ban on summer elections imposed by the Andalusian electoral law, was also ruled out by Moreno over political and legal concerns on its feasibility.[54] The breast cancer screening scandal in October 2025 was said to have affected Moreno's electoral plans,[14] with doubts existing on the opportunity of fostering a concerted "Super Sunday" action by several PP-controlled regions.[55][56]
The table below shows the composition of theparliamentary groups in the chamber at the present time.[57][58]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| Andalusian People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 58 | 58 | ||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE–A | 30 | 30 | ||
| Vox Parliamentary Group in Andalusia | Vox | 14 | 14 | ||
| For Andalusia Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 3 | 5 | ||
| IULV–CA | 1 | ||||
| SMR | 1 | ||||
| Mixed Group | AA | 2 | 2 | ||
The electoral law allows forparties andfederations registered in theinterior ministry,alliances andgroupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[59][60] Amendments to the electoral law in 2024 increased requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of azipper system.[61]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| PP | List
| Juanma Moreno | Conservatism Christian democracy | 43.1% | 58 | [62] | |||
| PSOE–A | List | María Jesús Montero | Social democracy | 24.1% | 30 | [7] [63] [64] | |||
| Vox | List
| Manuel Gavira | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 13.5% | 14 | [65] | |||
| Podemos | List
| TBD | Left-wing populism Democratic socialism | 7.7% [c] | 5 | [66] [67] | |||
| PorA | List
| Antonio Maíllo | Left-wing populism Green politics | [68] [69] | |||||
| Adelante Andalucía | List
| José Ignacio García | Andalusian nationalism Left-wing populism Anti-capitalism | 4.6% | 2 | [70] [71] [72] | |||
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are also displayed below (or in place of) the voting estimates in a smaller font; 55 seats are required for anabsolute majority in theParliament of Andalusia.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | SALF | Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 1] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | ? | 42.9 55 | 26.2 32 | 14.4 15 | 7.3 5 | 4.4 2 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 16.7 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 2] | 26 Sep–9 Oct 2025 | 1,000 | 55.1 | 42.3 57/59 | 21.8 26/28 | ? 16/17 | ? 5 | ? 3 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 20.5 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 3] | 15 Sep–1 Oct 2025 | 3,600 | 54.7 | 40.7 54/56 | 23.3 26/29 | 15.9 16/18 | 8.0 6/8 | 6.4 2/3 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 17.4 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 4] | 13 Jun–1 Jul 2025 | 3,600 | 57.5 | 41.7 55/57 | 19.8 24/26 | 14.7 16/18 | 10.0 8/9 | 6.2 2/3 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 21.9 |
| GAD3/ABC[p 5] | 3–10 Jun 2025 | 804 | ? | 43.3 55/57 | 24.2 28/29 | 15.4 16/18 | 7.5 5 | 4.8 2 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 19.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 6] | 16–31 May 2025 | 500 | ? | ? 59 | ? 28 | ? 14 | ? 6 | ? 2 | – | [d] | [d] | – | ? |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 7] | 27 Mar–28 Apr 2025 | 1,600 | ? | 45.0 58 | 25.5 32 | 11.1 12 | 6.3 4 | 6.3 3 | 0.2 0 | [d] | [d] | – | 19.5 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 8] | 17 Mar–3 Apr 2025 | 3,600 | 59.5 | 42.2 57/59 | 23.0 25/28 | 14.3 15/16 | 8.5 6/9 | 3.8 1/2 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 19.2 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 9] | 24–26 Feb 2025 | 1,500 | ? | 45.5 57 | 29.9 35 | 11.4 12 | 6.5 5 | 3.2 0 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 15.6 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 10] | 10–25 Feb 2025 | 1,464 | ? | 43.9 57/59 | 24.6 29/31 | 12.5 12/13 | 8.1 6 | 4.8 2/3 | – | [d] | [d] | 2.5 0 | 19.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 11] | 15–23 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | 57.7 | 44.3 59/60 | 22.2 28/29 | 13.7 14/15 | 7.4 5 | 4.4 2 | – | [d] | [d] | 2.8 0 | 22.1 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 12] | 25 Nov–4 Dec 2024 | 1,402 | ? | 42.2 55/57 | 22.9 28/29 | 13.3 13/14 | 10.5 9/10 | 4.9 2 | – | [d] | [d] | 2.7 0 | 19.3 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 13] | 20–29 Nov 2024 | 3,600 | 62.4 | 43.5 57/59 | 21.4 26/27 | 13.3 13/15 | 7.5 6/8 | 4.1 2/3 | – | [d] | [d] | 3.7 0/2 | 22.1 |
| Social Data/Grupo Viva[p 14][p 15] | 13–22 Nov 2024 | 2,400 | ? | 43.1 54/59 | 24.8 27/34 | 14.8 13/18 | 7.0 5/6 | 4.8 2/3 | – | 1.9 0 | [d] | – | 18.3 |
| Data10/OKDiario[p 16] | 20–21 Nov 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 44.4 59 | 24.4 29 | 14.9 15 | 8.6 6 | 2.8 0 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 20.0 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 17] | 16–30 Sep 2024 | 3,600 | 59.9 | 41.8 56/58 | 27.1 30/32 | 11.1 12/13 | 8.6 6/7 | 4.3 1/2 | – | [d] | [d] | 2.7 0 | 14.7 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 18] | 18 Jun–2 Jul 2024 | 3,600 | 57.1 | 41.6 57/59 | 23.5 30/31 | 12.0 12/13 | 10.2 7/8 | 3.9 0/1 | 1.2 0 | [d] | [d] | 2.4 0 | 18.1 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 43.6 | 37.9 (48) | 32.2 (40) | 10.9 (12) | [e] | – | 0.7 (0) | 2.8 (0) | 5.1 (4) | 6.2 (5) | 5.7 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 19] | 22 Mar–9 Apr 2024 | 3,632 | 52.6 | 46.1 58/61 | 21.2 24/27 | 13.8 14/17 | 8.6 7/8 | 3.3 0/1 | 2.0 0 | [d] | [d] | – | 24.9 |
| Sigma Dos/OKDiario[p 20] | 28 Feb 2024 | ? | ? | 46.4 59 | 24.5 29 | 10.2 10 | 10.5 9 | 5.1 2 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 21.9 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 21] | 12–22 Dec 2023 | 3,600 | 55.0 | 46.2 60/62 | 21.0 25/27 | 12.7 11/12 | 11.9 10 | 3.8 0/1 | 1.5 0 | [d] | [d] | – | 25.2 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 22] | 11–21 Sep 2023 | 3,600 | 59.8 | 41.4 56/58 | 24.7 30/32 | 11.7 9/10 | 12.6 10/12 | 4.8 0/2 | 1.3 0 | [d] | [d] | – | 16.7 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 66.6 | 36.4 (45) | 33.5 (38) | 15.3 (16) | [e] | 0.2 (0) | – | [e] | 12.0 (10) | – | 2.9 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 23] | 12–23 Jun 2023 | 3,600 | 58.9 | 44.6 58/59 | 24.1 30/31 | 12.5 12/13 | 8.5 5/6 | 5.3 2 | 1.6 0 | [d] | – | – | 20.5 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 24] | 7–21 Mar 2023 | 3,600 | 56.7 | 42.2 56/57 | 24.2 30/31 | 13.4 12/13 | 8.5 8/9 | 3.3 1 | 4.2 0 | [d] | – | – | 18.0 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 25] | 1 Jan–13 Feb 2023 | 854 | ? | 46.0 60 | 23.4 28 | 11.2 13 | 8.0 6 | 4.7 2 | 3.0 0 | [d] | – | – | 22.6 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 26] | 21 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 3,600 | 58.0 | 42.3 56/58 | 19.4 22/23 | 12.8 13/14 | 11.9 12/13 | 5.4 3/4 | 3.1 0 | [d] | – | – | 22.9 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 27] | 13–26 Sep 2022 | 3,600 | 53.2 | 45.5 58/60 | 21.1 27/28 | 11.5 10/11 | 11.4 10/11 | 4.9 1/2 | 2.3 0 | [d] | – | – | 24.4 |
| 2022 regional election | 19 Jun 2022 | — | 55.9 | 43.1 58 | 24.1 30 | 13.5 14 | 7.7 5 | 4.6 2 | 3.3 0 | [d] | – | – | 19.0 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SALF | Lead | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 1] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 28.7 | 21.6 | 12.3 | 7.6 | 3.9 | – | [d] | [d] | – | 11.2 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 3] | 15 Sep–1 Oct 2025 | 3,600 | 30.3 | 19.2 | 10.8 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | [d] | [d] | 1.1 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 11.1 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 4] | 13 Jun–1 Jul 2025 | 3,600 | 30.5 | 16.4 | 10.4 | 9.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | [d] | [d] | 0.5 | 3.5 | 10.2 | 14.1 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 8] | 17 Mar–3 Apr 2025 | 3,600 | 32.4 | 20.4 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | [d] | [d] | 1.2 | 4.7 | 11.1 | 12.0 |
| CIS[p 28] | 7–31 Mar 2025 | 2,966 | 32.4 | 22.9 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 1.7 | – | 2.2 | [d] | 0.8 | 20.0 | 3.6 | 9.5 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 13] | 20–29 Nov 2024 | 3,600 | 32.8 | 16.1 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | [d] | [d] | 2.5 | 8.8 | 10.6 | 16.7 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 17] | 16–30 Sep 2024 | 3,600 | 32.3 | 21.0 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 0.6 | [d] | [d] | 1.9 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 11.3 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 18] | 18 Jun–2 Jul 2024 | 3,600 | 31.6 | 20.0 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | [d] | [d] | 2.5 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 11.6 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 17.0 | 14.4 | 4.9 | [e] | – | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.8 | — | 54.7 | 2.6 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 19] | 22 Mar–9 Apr 2024 | 3,632 | 29.7 | 13.4 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | [d] | [d] | – | 22.7 | 10.0 | 16.3 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 21] | 12–22 Dec 2023 | 3,600 | 43.3 | 14.4 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 2.7 | 0.7 | [d] | [d] | – | 9.1 | 6.3 | 28.9 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 22] | 11–21 Sep 2023 | 3,600 | 35.9 | 19.5 | 5.9 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | [d] | [d] | – | 6.5 | 6.5 | 16.4 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 24.8 | 22.8 | 10.4 | [e] | 0.1 | – | [e] | 8.1 | – | — | 31.0 | 2.0 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 23] | 12–23 Jun 2023 | 3,600 | 37.9 | 20.8 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 3.6 | 1.4 | [d] | – | – | 9.1 | 4.5 | 17.1 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 24] | 7–21 Mar 2023 | 3,600 | 32.5 | 22.1 | 10.0 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 3.8 | [d] | – | – | 4.0 | 9.5 | 10.4 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 26] | 21 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 3,600 | 32.8 | 12.6 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | [d] | – | – | 6.7 | 8.4 | 20.2 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 27] | 13–26 Sep 2022 | 3,600 | 36.6 | 14.9 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.8 | [d] | – | – | 11.2 | 6.9 | 21.7 |
| 2022 regional election | 19 Jun 2022 | — | 24.9 | 13.9 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 | [d] | – | – | — | 41.6 | 11.0 |
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to becomepresident of the Regional Government of Andalusia.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreno PP | Montero PSOE–A | Gavira Vox | Nieto PorA | Maíllo PorA | García AA | ||||||
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 1] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 48.8 | 26.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 25.3 | 22.8 |
| 33.9 | 16.3 | 10.8 | 3.3 | – | 4.6 | – | 31.1 | 17.6 | |||
| CENTRA/CEA[p 3] | 15 Sep–1 Oct 2025 | 3,600 | 38.8 | 20.0 | 3.4 | 3.8 | – | 3.3 | 5.2 | 25.6 | 18.8 |
| CENTRA/CEA[p 4] | 13 Jun–1 Jul 2025 | 3,600 | 49.4 | 21.5 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 27.9 |
| CIS[f][p 28] | 7–31 Mar 2025 | 2,966 | 36.3 | 13.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.7 | – | 4.6 | 38.8 | 23.3 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 9] | 24–26 Feb 2025 | 1,500 | 45.9 | 28.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 26.0 | 17.8 |
| 35.1 | 15.1 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 5.8 | – | – | 31.0 | 20.0 |
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreno PP | Montero PSOE–A | ||||||
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 1] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 58.5 | 18.3 | – | 23.2 | 40.2 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 9] | 24–26 Feb 2025 | 1,500 | 56.9 | 19.8 | – | 23.3 | 37.1 |