Moments of afunction inmathematics are certain quantitative measures related to the shape of the function'sgraph. For example, if the function represents mass density, then the zeroth moment is the total mass, the first moment (normalized by total mass) is thecenter of mass, and the second moment is themoment of inertia. If the function is aprobability distribution, then the first moment is theexpected value, the secondcentral moment is thevariance, the thirdstandardized moment is theskewness, and the fourth standardized moment is thekurtosis.
For a distribution of mass or probability on abounded interval, the collection of all the moments (of all orders, from0 to∞) uniquely determines the distribution (Hausdorff moment problem). The same is not true on unbounded intervals (Hamburger moment problem).
In the mid-nineteenth century,Pafnuty Chebyshev became the first person to think systematically in terms of the moments ofrandom variables.[1]
Thenth raw moment (i.e., moment about zero) of a random variable with density function is defined by[2]Thenth moment of areal-valued continuous random variable with density function about a value is theintegral
It is possible to define moments forrandom variables in a more general fashion than moments for real-valued functions – seemoments in metric spaces. The moment of a function, without further explanation, usually refers to the above expression with.For the second and higher moments, thecentral moment (moments about the mean, withc being the mean) are usually used rather than the moments about zero, because they provide clearer information about the distribution's shape.
Other moments may also be defined. For example, thenth inverse moment about zero is and thenth logarithmic moment about zero is
Thenth moment about zero of a probability density function is theexpected value of and is called araw moment orcrude moment.[3] The moments about its mean are calledcentral moments; these describe the shape of the function, independently oftranslation.
If is aprobability density function, then the value of the integral above is called thenth moment of theprobability distribution. More generally, ifF is acumulative probability distribution function of any probability distribution, which may not have a density function, then thenth moment of the probability distribution is given by theRiemann–Stieltjes integralwhereX is arandom variable that has this cumulative distributionF, andE is theexpectation operator or mean.Whenthe moment is said not to exist. If thenth moment about any point exists, so does the(n − 1)th moment (and thus, all lower-order moments) about every point. The zeroth moment of anyprobability density function is1, since the area under anyprobability density function must be equal to one.
| Moment ordinal | Moment | Cumulant | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw | Central | Standardized | Raw | Normalized | |
| 1 | Mean | 0 | 0 | Mean | — |
| 2 | — | Variance | 1 | Variance | 1 |
| 3 | — | — | Skewness | — | Skewness |
| 4 | — | — | (Non-excess or historical)kurtosis | — | Excess kurtosis |
| 5 | — | — | Hyperskewness | — | — |
| 6 | — | — | Hypertailedness | — | — |
| 7+ | — | — | — | — | — |
Thenormalisednth central moment or standardised moment is thenth central moment divided byσn; the normalisednth central moment of the random variableX is
These normalised central moments aredimensionless quantities, which represent the distribution independently of any linear change of scale.
The first raw moment is themean, usually denoted
The secondcentral moment is thevariance. The positivesquare root of the variance is thestandard deviation
The third central moment is the measure of the lopsidedness of the distribution; any symmetric distribution will have a third central moment, if defined, of zero. The normalised third central moment is called theskewness, oftenγ. A distribution that is skewed to the left (the tail of the distribution is longer on the left) will have a negative skewness. A distribution that is skewed to the right (the tail of the distribution is longer on the right), will have a positive skewness.
For distributions that are not too different from thenormal distribution, themedian will be somewhere nearμ −γσ/6; themode aboutμ −γσ/2.
The fourth central moment is a measure of the heaviness of the tail of the distribution. Since it is the expectation of a fourth power, the fourth central moment, where defined, is always nonnegative; and except for apoint distribution, it is always strictly positive. The fourth central moment of a normal distribution is3σ4.
Thekurtosisκ is defined to be the standardized fourth central moment. (Equivalently, as in the next section, excess kurtosis is the fourthcumulant divided by the square of the secondcumulant.)[4][5] If a distribution has heavy tails, the kurtosis will be high (sometimes called leptokurtic); conversely, light-tailed distributions (for example, bounded distributions such as the uniform) have low kurtosis (sometimes called platykurtic).
The kurtosis can be positive without limit, butκ must be greater than or equal toγ2 + 1; equality only holds forbinary distributions. For unbounded skew distributions not too far from normal,κ tends to be somewhere in the area ofγ2 and2γ2.
The inequality can be proven by consideringwhereT = (X −μ)/σ. This is the expectation of a square, so it is non-negative for alla; however it is also a quadraticpolynomial ina. Itsdiscriminant must be non-positive, which gives the required relationship.
High-order moments are moments beyond 4th-order moments.
As with variance, skewness, and kurtosis, these arehigher-order statistics, involving non-linear combinations of the data, and can be used for description or estimation of furthershape parameters. The higher the moment, the harder it is to estimate, in the sense that larger samples are required in order to obtain estimates of similar quality. This is due to the excessdegrees of freedom consumed by the higher orders. Further, they can be subtle to interpret, often being most easily understood in terms of lower order moments – compare the higher-order derivatives ofjerk andjounce inphysics. For example, just as the 4th-order moment (kurtosis) can be interpreted as "relative importance of tails as compared to shoulders in contribution to dispersion" (for a given amount of dispersion, higher kurtosis corresponds to thicker tails, while lower kurtosis corresponds to broader shoulders), the 5th-order moment can be interpreted as measuring "relative importance of tails as compared to center (mode and shoulders) in contribution to skewness" (for a given amount of skewness, higher 5th moment corresponds to higher skewness in the tail portions and little skewness of mode, while lower 5th moment corresponds to more skewness in shoulders).
Mixed moments are moments involving multiple variables.
The value is called the moment of order (moments are also defined for non-integral). The moments of the joint distribution of random variables are defined similarly. For any integers, the mathematical expectation is called a mixed moment of order (where), and is called a central mixed moment of order. The mixed moment is called the covariance and is one of the basic characteristics of dependency between random variables.
Some examples arecovariance,coskewness andcokurtosis. While there is a unique covariance, there are multiple co-skewnesses and co-kurtoses.
Sincewhere is thebinomial coefficient, it follows that the moments aboutb can be calculated from the moments abouta by:
The raw moment of a convolution readswhere denotes theth moment of the function given in the brackets. This identity follows by the convolution theorem for moment generating function and applying the chain rule fordifferentiating a product.
The first raw moment and the second and thirdunnormalized central moments are additive in the sense that ifX andY areindependent random variables then
(These can also hold for variables that satisfy weaker conditions than independence. The first always holds; if the second holds, the variables are calleduncorrelated).
These are the first three cumulants and all cumulants share this additivity property.
For allk, thekth raw moment of a population can be estimated using thekth raw sample momentapplied to a sampleX1, ...,Xn drawn from the population.
It can be shown that the expected value of the raw sample moment is equal to thekth raw moment of the population, if that moment exists, for any sample sizen. It is thus an unbiased estimator. This contrasts with the situation for central moments, whose computation uses up a degree of freedom by using the sample mean. So for example an unbiased estimate of the population variance (the second central moment) is given byin which the previous denominatorn has been replaced by the degrees of freedomn − 1, and in which refers to the sample mean. This estimate of the population moment is greater than the unadjusted observed sample moment by a factor of and it is referred to as the "adjusted sample variance" or sometimes simply the "sample variance".
Problems of determining a probability distribution from its sequence of moments are calledproblem of moments. Such problems were first discussed by P.L. Chebyshev (1874)[6] in connection with research on limit theorems. In order that the probability distribution of a random variable be uniquely defined by its moments it is sufficient, for example, that Carleman's condition be satisfied:A similar result even holds for moments of random vectors. Theproblem of moments seeks characterizations of sequences that are sequences of moments of some functionf, all moments of which are finite, and for each integer letwhere is finite. Then there is a sequence that weakly converges to a distribution function having as its moments. If the moments determine uniquely, then the sequence weakly converges to.
Partial moments are sometimes referred to as "one-sided moments". Thenth order lower and upper partial moments with respect to a reference pointr may be expressed as
If the integral function does not converge, the partial moment does not exist.
Partial moments are normalized by being raised to the power1/n. Theupside potential ratio may be expressed as a ratio of a first-order upper partial moment to a normalized second-order lower partial moment.
Let(M,d) be ametric space, and letB(M) be theBorelσ-algebra onM, theσ-algebra generated by thed-open subsets ofM. (For technical reasons, it is also convenient to assume thatM is aseparable space with respect to themetricd.) Let1 ≤p ≤ ∞.
Thepth central moment of a measureμ on themeasurable space(M, B(M)) about a given pointx0 ∈M is defined to be
μ is said to havefinitepth central moment if thepth central moment ofμ aboutx0 is finite for somex0 ∈M.
This terminology for measures carries over to random variables in the usual way: if(Ω, Σ,P) is aprobability space andX : Ω →M is a random variable, then thepth central moment ofX aboutx0 ∈M is defined to beandX hasfinitepth central moment if thepth central moment ofX aboutx0 is finite for somex0 ∈M.