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2020 Missouri gubernatorial election

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For related races, see2020 United States gubernatorial elections.

2020 Missouri gubernatorial election
← 2016November 3, 20202024 →
Turnout69.75%Increase
 
NomineeMike ParsonNicole Galloway
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,720,2021,225,771
Percentage57.11%40.69%
County results
Congressional districts results
Precinct results
Parson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Galloway:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
Governor before election

Mike Parson
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Mike Parson
Republican

Elections in Missouri
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The2020 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect thegovernor of Missouri, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well aselections to theUnited States Senate, elections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and variousstate and local elections. IncumbentRepublican governorMike Parson ran for and was elected to a full term in office.[1] Parson was elected aslieutenant governor in2016 but became governor on June 1, 2018, after incumbentEric Greitens resigned under threat ofimpeachment by thestate legislature. Parson declared his bid for a full term on September 8, 2019.[2] State AuditorNicole Galloway, Missouri's only Democratic statewide officer and only female statewide officer, was the Democratic nominee and if elected, would have become Missouri's first female governor.

In October 2020,The Washington Post identified this state election as one of eight whose outcomes could affectpartisan balance during post-censusredistricting.[3]

Despite most news agencies characterizing the race as only leaning Republican, Mike Parson went on to win the election by a landslide of 16.4%, widely outperforming all election polling as well as justifying theformer swing state's trend towards the GOP. He even exceeded Donald Trump's statewide victory margin in theconcurrent presidential election, which was actually greater than that in neighboringKansas for the first time in104 years. Galloway suffered the largest margin of defeat for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate inMissouri sinceBetty Hearnes' 29-point loss in1988. The 1988 election was also the last election until this one in which Missouri elected a Republican for governor by double digits.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jim Neely

State officials

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Mike
Parson		Eric
Greitens		Other /
Undecided
March 31, 2020Filing deadline, by which Greitens had not declared his candidacy
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[13]Jan 29–30, 20201,155 (LV)± 2.9%52%22%26%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[14][A]Jan 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)–56%30%11%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Parson
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Parson (incumbent)511,56674.93%
RepublicanSaundra McDowell84,41212.36%
RepublicanJim Neely59,5148.72%
RepublicanRaleigh Ritter27,2643.99%
Total votes682,756100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Eric Morrison, community leader and pastor[17]
  • Antoin Johnson[18]
  • Jimmie Matthews[18]
  • Robin Quaethem[18]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Nicole Galloway

Federal politicians

Individuals

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Galloway
  •   >90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticNicole Galloway455,20384.62%
DemocraticEric Morrison32,4036.02%
DemocraticJimmie Matthews20,5863.83%
DemocraticAntoin Johnson20,2543.77%
DemocraticRobin Quaethem9,4811.76%
Total votes537,927100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]
Rik Combs, the Libertarian nominee

Nominee

[edit]
  • Rik Combs, U.S. Air Force veteran[18]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianRik Combs4,171100.00%
Total votes4,171100.00%

Green Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Green primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
GreenJerome Bauer862100.00%
Total votes862100.00%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Lean ROctober 23, 2020
Inside Elections[29]Lean ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Politico[31]Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[32]Likely ROctober 28, 2020
RCP[33]Lean RNovember 2, 2020
270towin[34]Lean RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]
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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Mike
Parson (R)		Nicole
Galloway (D)		Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[35]October 28–29, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%50%44%5%[b]
Cygnal (R)[36]October 18–20, 2020600 (LV)± 4%48%42%10%[c]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[37]October 14–15, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%51%43%6%[d]
YouGov[38]September 24 – October 7, 2020931 (LV)± 3.9%50%44%7%[e]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[39][B]September 28 – October 2, 2020600 (LV)± 4.1%50%48%–
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[40]September 30 – October 1, 2020980 (LV)± 3%51%44%5%[f]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[41]September 16–17, 20201,046 (LV)± 3%52%43%5%[g]
We Ask America[42]September 1–3, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%54%41%5%[h]
Trafalgar Group (R)[43]August 26–28, 20201,015 (LV)± 2.99%51%36%13%[i]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[44]August 12–13, 20201,112 (LV)± 3.0%50%43%7%[j]
Saint Louis University[45]June 23 – July 1, 2020900 (LV)± 4.0%41%39%20%[k]
Garin-Hart-Yang/Missouri Scout (D)[46][B]June 16–22, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%47%40%–
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[47]June 10–11, 20201,152 (LV)± 2.9%50%41%9%
We Ask America[48]May 26–27, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%47%39%15%[l]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[49]April 28–29, 20201,356 (LV)± 2.6%52%39%9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[50]March 11–12, 20201,241 (LV)–52%39%7%
American Viewpoint (R)[51][A]January 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)–54%36%7%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout[52]December 20–24, 2019415 (RV)± 5%51%36%13%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D)[53]November 17–20, 2019400 (RV)± 5.0%51%35%14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[54][C]November 14–15, 2019921 (LV)–45%36%19%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D)[55]October 18–20, 2019550 (RV)± 4.0%50%34%16%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R)[56]October 9–10, 20191,451 (LV)± 2.5%53%41%6%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D)[57]September 16–18, 2019825 (RV)± 4.0%45%36%19%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R)[58]August 14–15, 2019855 (LV)± 3.3%50%39%11%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R)[59]June 26–27, 2019960 (LV)± 3.2%50%37%13%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R)[60]February 27, 2019893 (LV)± 3.4%51%40%9%
Hypothetical polling

Eric Greitens vs Nicole Galloway

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Nicole
Galloway (D)		Other /
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R)[51][A]January 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)–44%45%7%

Mike Parson vs Jason Kander

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Mike
Parson (R)		Jason
Kander (D)		Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R)[60]February 27, 2019893 (LV)± 3.4%51%36%13%

Mike Parson vs. Scott Sifton

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Mike
Parson (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R)[60]February 27, 2019893 (LV)± 3.4%52%32%16%

Endorsements

[edit]
Nicole Galloway (D)

Federal politicians

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Unions

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Missouri gubernatorial election, 2020[71][72]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanMike Parson (incumbent)1,720,20257.11%+5.97%
DemocraticNicole Galloway1,225,77140.69%−4.88%
LibertarianRik Combs49,0671.63%+0.16%
GreenJerome Bauer17,2340.57%−0.18%
Write-in130.00%±0.00%
Total votes3,012,287100.0%
Turnout3,026,02869.75%
Registered electors4,318,758
Republicanhold

By congressional district

[edit]

Parson won six of eight congressional districts.[73]

DistrictParsonGallowayRepresentative
1st19%78%Lacy Clay (116th Congress)
Cori Bush (117th Congress)
2nd51%48%Ann Wagner
3rd66%31%Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th66%31%Vicky Hartzler
5th40%57%Emanuel Cleaver
6th64%34%Sam Graves
7th70%27%Billy Long
8th76%22%Jason Smith
State Senate districts results
State House districts results

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdeKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  3. ^Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  4. ^Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  5. ^"Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  6. ^Undecided with 5%
  7. ^Undecided with 5%
  8. ^Undecided with 5%
  9. ^Combs (L) with 3%; Bauer (G) with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  10. ^Undecided with 7%
  11. ^Undecided with 17%; "Other" with 3%
  12. ^Undecided with 15%

Partisan clients

  1. ^abcUniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  2. ^abPoll sponsored by Galloway's campaign.
  3. ^Poll sponsored by theDemocratic Governors Association

References

[edit]
  1. ^Clare Foran (May 29, 2018)."Embattled Missouri Governor Eric Greitens resigns amid scandals".CNN. RetrievedMay 29, 2018.
  2. ^abSuntrup, Jack (September 8, 2019)."Missouri Gov. Mike Parson, a cattle-farming former sheriff, announces bid for 4-year term".St. Louis Post-Dispatch. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2019.
  3. ^Phillips, Amber (October 2, 2020)."The state legislative battles to watch in 2020".The Washington Post. RetrievedOctober 2, 2020.
  4. ^Parks, MaryAlice (May 30, 2018)."Missouri governor to be replaced by longtime traditional politician". ABC News. RetrievedJune 4, 2018.
  5. ^Gerber, Cameron (March 31, 2020)."Saundra McDowell files to run for governor, challenging Parson".The Missouri Times.
  6. ^Erickson, Kurt (August 28, 2019)."State lawmaker announces plan to challenge Parson for GOP nomination for Missouri governor".St. Louis Post-Dispatch. RetrievedAugust 30, 2019.
  7. ^Governor, Raleigh Ritter For Missouri."Raleigh Ritter".Raleigh Ritter For Missouri Governor.
  8. ^Star, Jason Hancock and Lindsay Wise Kansas City."Parson faces unrest among Missouri conservatives as he heads into 2020".Columbia Daily Tribune. RetrievedApril 2, 2019.
  9. ^Suntrup, Kurt Erickson, Jack (January 19, 2020)."A Greitens comeback? Supporters of the ex-Missouri governor are hopeful".STLtoday.com. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  10. ^"Greitens 2020? Could former Gov. Greitens run for governor again?".KOMU.com. Archived fromthe original on February 19, 2020. RetrievedMarch 25, 2020.
  11. ^Hancock, Jason [@J_Hancock] (April 8, 2019).". @MonettiforMO went on @PeteMundo show this morning to announce he will not challenge @GovParsonMO in the GOP primary for governor in 2020. He'll dissolve his exploratory committee. #MoLeg #MoGOv" (Tweet). RetrievedApril 8, 2019 – viaTwitter.
  12. ^ab"Jim Neely for Missouri Governor 2020".Jim Neely. Archived fromthe original on July 14, 2020. RetrievedJuly 16, 2020.
  13. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  14. ^American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri
  15. ^abcd"State of Missouri - State of Missouri - Primary Election, August 04, 2020".Missouri Secretary of State.
  16. ^Lieb, David A. (August 12, 2019)."Democrat Galloway launches Missouri gubernatorial campaign".Associated Press News. RetrievedAugust 12, 2019.
  17. ^"Eric Morrison for Missouri |". Archived fromthe original on January 24, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2021.
  18. ^abcde"SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing".s1.sos.mo.gov.
  19. ^Rosenbaum, Jason (December 4, 2018)."New Missouri Democratic vice chair says the party can attract both urban and rural voters". KSMU. RetrievedDecember 11, 2018.
  20. ^Salter, Jim; Stafford, Margaret (July 28, 2019)."Jason Kander is back after quietly working through PTSD".Military Times. Associated Press. RetrievedAugust 6, 2019.
  21. ^Raasch, Chuck (December 12, 2018)."McCaskill: I'll never run again, but I'll stay involved in politics".St. Louis Post Dispatch. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2019.
  22. ^abcSuntrup, Jack (July 2, 2019)."Missouri lawmaker from Affton who considered run for governor backs Democratic auditor instead".stltoday.com. RetrievedJuly 2, 2019.
  23. ^ab"Show-Me Senator Kamala Harris Sending Support To Missouri Lady Candidates". May 23, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2021.
  24. ^ab"State & Local".3.14 Action. Archived fromthe original on June 15, 2020. RetrievedJune 15, 2020.
  25. ^abSchriock, Stephanie (November 19, 2019)."EMILY's List Endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor".emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
  26. ^ab"Endorsed Candidates".NWPC. RetrievedApril 9, 2020.
  27. ^abRodríguez, Yamelsie; Hill, Brandon (November 7, 2019)."Planned Parenthood Advocates and Votes Endorse Reproductive Health Champion Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor".plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Great Plains Votes; Advocates of Planned Parenthood of the St. Louis Region and Southwest Missouri. Archived fromthe original on September 13, 2020. RetrievedNovember 19, 2019.
  28. ^"2020 Governor Race Ratings for October 23, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  29. ^"2020 Gubernatorial Ratings".insideelections.com. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  30. ^"2020 Gubernatorial race ratings".Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  31. ^"We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win".Politico. RetrievedNovember 19, 2019.
  32. ^"2020 Governor Race Ratings".Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. RetrievedJune 5, 2020.
  33. ^"2020 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. RetrievedJune 14, 2020.
  34. ^"2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map".270towin.
  35. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  36. ^Cygnal (R)
  37. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  38. ^YouGov
  39. ^Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
  40. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  41. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  42. ^We Ask America
  43. ^Trafalgar Group (R)
  44. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  45. ^Saint Louis UniversityArchived July 14, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  46. ^Garin-Hart-Yang/Missouri Scout (D)
  47. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  48. ^We Ask AmericaArchived June 4, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  49. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  50. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  51. ^abAmerican Viewpoint (R)
  52. ^Human Agency/Missouri Scout
  53. ^Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D)
  54. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  55. ^Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D)
  56. ^Remington/Missouri Scout (R)
  57. ^Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D)
  58. ^Remington/Missouri Scout (R)
  59. ^Remington/Missouri Scout (R)
  60. ^abcRemington/Missouri Scout (R)
  61. ^"Biden endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri governor. Here's why it matters".The Kansas City Star.
  62. ^"Nicole Galloway for Missouri".Nicole Galloway for Missouri. Archived fromthe original on October 17, 2020. RetrievedOctober 17, 2020.
  63. ^"Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements".Medium. September 25, 2020.
  64. ^"Nicole Galloway Tops Week of Momentum with Endorsement From Sen. Elizabeth Warren".Democratic Governors Association. July 10, 2020.
  65. ^"Former Missouri Governor Jay Nixon hopeful that Galloway will unseat his successor in November election". October 29, 2020.
  66. ^"Join Pete Buttigeig in supporting Nicole Galloway!". ActBlue.
  67. ^"KC mayor endorses Galloway over Parson for Missouri governor".The Kansas City Star. October 12, 2020.
  68. ^"Nicole Galloway, CPA on Instagram: "You won't wanna miss this: Join me, @bravoandy, @karliekloss, and @derekblasberg on Monday for a virtual grassroots fundraiser for our…"".Instagram. Archived fromthe original on December 23, 2021. RetrievedOctober 19, 2020.
  69. ^"2020 Labor Endorsed Candidates".moaflcio.org. July 14, 2020.
  70. ^Gerber, Cameron (July 23, 2020)."Galloway endorsed by national gun violence prevention group".The Missouri Times.
  71. ^"All Results State of Missouri - State of Missouri - General Election, November 03, 2020".Missouri Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 8, 2020.
  72. ^"Statistiques"(PDF).www.sos.mo.gov. RetrievedDecember 18, 2020..
  73. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.

Further reading

[edit]

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

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