| Founded at | Imperial College London,Faculty of Medicine |
|---|---|
| Headquarters | London, England |
Director | Azra Ghani |
| Website | www |
Formerly called | MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling |
TheMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis is research centre atImperial College London and aWHO collaborating centre. It is part of the Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology at School of Public Health within theImperial College Faculty of Medicine.[1][2]Azra Ghani is the director of the centre.[3] The centre also collaboratesUK Health Protection Agency, and the USCentre for Disease Control.[4] The centre's main research areas aredisease outbreak analysis and modelling,vaccines,global health analytics,antimicrobial resistance, and developing methods and tools for studying these areas.[5]
The centre was previously called the MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling.[6] It has also been referred to as the MRC Center for Outbreak Analysis and Modeling[7] Its founding was confirmed in March 2007, with Imperial College London hosting the center with funding from theMedical Research Council (MRC).[8]
In 2016,Neil Ferguson was serving as director of the MRC Center for Outbreak Analysis and Modeling.[9] That year he was lead author on a paper concerningZika. Published inScience, Ferguson's research suggested the outbreak in South America was undergoing a sharp decline, and would "burn itself out" within a year or 18 months.[10] In 2016, Ferguson published a study in September 2016 raising concerns that wrong implementation of the newly licenseddengue virus vaccineDengvaxia could increase the number of cases of the disease.[9]
In 2025 the centre lost itsMedical Research Council funding as part of a general withdrawal of all research funding from all units.[11][12]
The centre—together with theJameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics—formed theCOVID-19 Response Team in respond to the COVID-19 pandemic.[13][14] On 16 March 2020 the team produced a research forecast of various scenarios for spread of the disease in the United Kingdom and theUnited States. Without any mitigation their forecast showed local health care capabilities vastly overwhelmed by the epidemic wave. Periodic cycles of quarantine followed by softer social distancing were recommended, with quarantines in effect two thirds of the time.[15] On 30 March, a study on 11 European countries was published.[16] It provided estimates of the situation as of 28 March (observed and modelised withCovidSim), and projections for 31 March given current expectations, no action, and the difference. It also provided a list of government policies and their respective absolute dates.[16] As of March 2021, the COVID-19 Response Team has produced 43 reports.[17]
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