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List of asteroid close approaches to Earth

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Trajectory of2004 FH in the Earth–Moon system
Goldstoneradar images of asteroid2007 PA8's Earth flyby in 2012

This is a list of examples where anasteroid ormeteoroid travels close to the Earth. Some of these objects are regarded aspotentially hazardous objects if they are estimated to be large enough to cause regional devastation. This list also gives an overview of more detailed lists dedicated to specific years, such asList of asteroid close approaches to Earth in 2025.

Near-Earth object detection technology began to improve around 1998, so objects being detected as of 2004 could have been missed only a decade earlier due to a lack of dedicated near-Earthastronomical surveys. As sky surveys improve, smaller and smaller asteroids are regularly being discovered. As smaller asteroids are more numerous, ever more close approaches are detected within a given distance. In 2014, scientists estimated that several dozen asteroids in the 6–12 m (20–39 ft) size range fly by Earth at a distance closer than the Moon every year, but only a fraction of these are actually detected.[1]

Definitions

[edit]

The lists below are based on the close approach database of theCenter for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), in its state as of 27 February 2025[update].[2] The database lists any approaches with a minimum distance less than 0.2astronomical units (AU) from 1900 and until a century into the future which have been derived by orbit calculations. This includes some close approaches a full orbit or more before or after the object has been observed.

The distance calculated for an approach has an uncertainty, the magnitude of which depends on the amount, length in time and quality of observations used, the extrapolation time from the observations, and perturbations by other objects along the predicted orbit. The uncertainty is usually characterised by the 3-sigma uncertainty region, which is the nominal close approach distance plus or minus three times thestandard deviation, and includes 99.7% of the probability distribution. For predicted close approaches in the future, if Earth is near the uncertainty region or intersects it, an impact risk is calculated.[3] Confirmed impacts, however, aren't considered close approaches and are excluded from the CNEOS close approach database. Asteroids whose detection in space led topredicted impacts on Earth are listed separately,[4] as are thehundreds of other objects that collided with Earth's atmosphere which were not discovered in advance but were observed visually or recorded by sensors designed to detect detonation of nuclear devices.[5] The CNEOS list also does not includeEarth-grazers, objects that enter Earth's atmosphere at a very shallow angle and leave it again without burning up completely, but they are listed separately below. Although Earth's atmosphere thins out continuously with distance from Earth's surface, the nominal limit of space is theKármán line, which is 100 km (62 mi) above sea level.

Timeline of closest approaches ever observed

[edit]

The list below shows all approaches bypotentially hazardous objects (objects which can approach Earth within 0.05 AU) without atmospheric contact which have been the closest ever observed at some point in time, from the discovery of the first such object to the record holder, as of February 2025[update].

Date of
closest
approach
Nominal
geocentric distance
ObjectSize (m)
(approximate)
Abs. mag.Ref
(km)(LD)(AU)
1932-05-1511,220,00029.1890.0750031862 Apollo150016.1JPL · CAD
1936-02-072,217,5005.7690.0148232101 Adonis60018.7JPL · CAD
1937-10-30740,6001.9270.00495169230 Hermes770–1700
810[6]
17.7JPL · CAD
1989-03-22684,0001.7790.0045724581 Asclepius190–42020.7JPL · CAD
384,3991.0000.002570average distance to the Moon
1991-01-18149,2000.4380.0011241991 BA5.1–1128.6JPL · CAD
1993-05-20149,2000.4380.0011241993 KA24.2–9.429.0JPL · CAD
1994-12-09105,3000.3880.0009971994 XM16.1–1428.2JPL · CAD
2003-09-2784,2000.2740.0007042003 SQ2222.5–5.730.1JPL · CAD
2004-03-1849,1000.2190.0005632004 FK14–3126.4JPL · CAD
42,1640.1100.0002827geosynchronous orbit
2004-03-3112,9000.03360.00008632004 FU1623.4–7.629.5JPL · CAD
2008-10-0912,5400.03290.00008452008 TS260.61–1.433.2JPL · CAD
2011-02-0411,8520.03080.00007922011 CQ11.0–2.332.1JPL · CAD
2020-08-169,3170.02420.00006232020 QG2.8–6.229.9JPL · CAD
2020-11-136,7460.01750.00004512020 VT45.0–1128.6JPL · CAD
6,4780.016850.0000433Kármán line (nominal limit of the atmosphere) above the equator
6,3780.016590.0000426equatorial radius of the Earth

Close approaches within one lunar distance

[edit]

The average distance to the Moon (orlunar distance (LD)) is 384,399 km (238,854 mi), which is around 30 times the diameter of the Earth.[7] The lists in this section are of close approaches in less than one LD.

Time of discovery

[edit]

The bar graphs below show the time of discovery relative to the time of the closest approach for each year. The asteroids are listed in separate list articles for each year. The statistics below only include close approaches that are evidenced by observations, thus the pre-discovery close approaches are only included if the object was found byprecovery.

Year(s)ApproachesTotal
2000-2007
2
22
6
23




53
2008
8
1
11




20
2009
11
1
7




19
2010
12
11




23
2011
2
10
1
19





32
2012
1
2
13
1
6




23
2013
1
9
2
12




24
2014
1
8
4
18




31
2015
1
6
3
17




27
2016
16
5
31




52
2017
1
1
24
6
23




55
2018
2
26
6
43





77
2019
4
20
10
47




81
2020
2
26
18
66




112
2021
1
54
33
70





158
2022
1
36
26
80




143
2023
1
2
37
13
62




115
2024
4
58
18
65




145
2025
1
12
3
13




29
  Discovered > 1 year in advance
  Discovered > 7 weeks in advance
  Discovered > 1 week in advance
  Discovered up to 1 week in advance
  < 24 hours' warning
  < no warning


Closest per year

[edit]
Satellites ingeostationary orbit

From the annual lists summarized in the preceding section, these are the closest known asteroids per year that approachEarth within onelunar distance. More than one asteroid per year may be listed if its geocentric distance[note 1]

The CNEOS database of close approaches lists some close approaches a full orbit or more before or after the discovery of the object, derived by orbit calculation. Until 2001 and in future years, all of these close approaches are included in the list below, but from the start of regular discoveries each year in 2001 until the current year, the list is limited to close approaches that are evidenced by observations, thus any of these pre-discovery close approaches are only included if the object was found byprecovery.

  Rows highlighted red indicate objects which were not discovered until after closest approach

  Rows highlighted yellow indicate objects discovered less than 24 hours before closest approach

  Rows left white indicate objects discovered 1–7 days before closest approach

  Rows highlighted green indicate objects discovered more than one week before closest approach

  Rows highlighted blue indicate objects discovered more than one year before closest approach, i.e. objects successfully cataloged on a previous orbit, rather than being detected during final approach.

YearDate of
closest approach
Date
discovered
ObjectNominal
geocentric
distance
(in 000'skm)
Nominal
geocentric
distance
(inLD)
Size of object
(inmeters)
(H)Ref
20952095-09-062010-09-052010 RF1251.90.1355.5–1228.4JPL · CAD
20322032-08-142008-02-182008 DB127.40.33218–4125.8JPL · CAD
20292029-04-132004-06-1999942 Apophis38.00.096340 ±4019.1JPL · CAD
20282028-06-262001-11-20(153814) 2001 WN5248.70.647932 ±1118.3JPL · CAD
20252025-01-262025-01-262025 BP69.70.0251.1–2.631.8JPL · CAD
20242024-12-012024-12-012024 XA7.70.0201.2–2.831.6JPL · CAD
20232023-01-272023-01-212023 BU10.00.0263.1–6.929.7JPL · CAD
20222022-03-252022-03-242022 FD114.80.0391.6–3.731.1JPL · CAD
20212021-10-252021-10-252021 UA19.40.0251.1–2.531.8JPL · CAD
20202020-11-132020-11-142020 VT46.70.0185.0–1128.6JPL · CAD
20192019-10-312019-10-312019 UN1312.60.0331.1–2.432.0JPL · CAD
20182018-10-192018-10-192018 UA13.70.0362.4–5.430.2JPL · CAD
20172017-04-042017-04-032017 GM16.30.0422.8–6.229.9JPL · CAD
20162016-02-252016-02-262016 DY3014.30.0372.1–4.730.5JPL · CAD
20152015-09-222015-09-242015 SK726.60.0694.4–9.928.9JPL · CAD
20142014-06-032014-06-022014 LY2120.00.0524.0–9.029.1JPL · CAD
20132013-12-232013-12-232013 YB27.30.0711.4–3.131.4JPL · CAD
2013-02-152012-02-23367943 Duende*34.10.08939–8624.2JPL · CAD
20122012-05-292012-05-282012 KT4220.80.0544.2–9.429.0JPL · CAD
20112011-02-042011-02-042011 CQ1[8]11.90.0311.0–2.332.1JPL · CAD
20102010-11-172010-11-162010 WA38.90.1012.7–5.930.0JPL · CAD
20092009-11-062009-11-062009 VA20.50.0535.1–1128.6JPL · CAD
20082008-10-092008-10-092008 TS2612.60.0330.6-1.433.2JPL · CAD
20072007-10-172007-10-212007 UN1269.70.1814.8–1128.7JPL · CAD
20062006-02-232006-02-222006 DD1117.50.30613–3026.5JPL · CAD
20052005-11-262005-11-252005 WN383.80.2182.8–6.229.9JPL · CAD
20042004-03-312004-03-312004 FU16212.90.0343.4–7.629.5JPL · CAD
20032003-09-272003-09-282003 SQ22284.20.222.5–5.730.1JPL · CAD
20022002-12-112002-12-132002 XV90117.70.3123–5225.3JPL · CAD
20012001-11-08
(undetected)
20172017 VW13120.20.31200–44020.6JPL · CAD
2001-01-152001-01-192001 BA16306.20.8017–3826.0JPL · CAD
19991999-03-12
(undetected)
20132013 EC20313.30.824.2–9.429.0JPL · CAD
19941994-12-091994-12-091994 XM1105.30.276.1–1428.2JPL · CAD
19931993-05-201993-05-211993 KA2149.20.394.2–9.429.0JPL · CAD
19921992-09-12
(undetected)
20242024 RC4262.60.160.89–2.032.4JPL · CAD
19911991-01-181991-01-181991 BA168.20.445.1–1128.6JPL · CAD
19901990-09-19
(undetected)
20032003 SW130205.90.544.0–9.029.1JPL · CAD
19881988-10-15
(undetected)
20102010 UK367.30.9612–2626.8JPL · CAD
19871987-08-25
(undetected)
20242024 RV30384.31.009.0–2027.4JPL · CAD
19851985-11-01
(undetected)
20192019 VC37253.70.663.1–6.929.7JPL · CAD
19841984-01-10
(undetected)
20162016 TB57294.80.7716–3626.1JPL · CAD
19821982-11-04
(undetected)
20122012 TY52314.30.82150–33021.3JPL · CAD
19801980-10-15
(undetected)
20182018 RY1173.30.4532–7124.6JPL · CAD
19791979-09-02
(undetected)
20142014 WX202334.60.873.2–7.129.6JPL · CAD
19771977-09-05
(undetected)
20222022 QX4128.70.3331–6824.7JPL · CAD
19761976-10-17
(undetected)
20132013 UG1328.20.8581–18022.6JPL · CAD
19751975-07-01
(undetected)
20212021 LD6117.90.319.7–2227.2JPL · CAD
19721972-03-17
(undetected)
20212021 RP291.70.242.3–5.230.3JPL · CAD
19711971-03-19
(undetected)
20242024 EN135.50.3534–7724.4JPL · CAD
19701970-02-26
(undetected)
20192019 DS1361.30.9420–4525.6JPL · CAD
19681968-04-23
(undetected)
20082008 GD11091.70.2433–7524.5JPL · CAD
19651965-10-27
(undetected)
20052005 VL1340.90.8914–3026.4JPL · CAD
19641964-11-07
(undetected)
20232023 VW253.60.666.7–1528.0JPL · CAD
19611961-05-31
(undetected)
20222022 KW4353.40.926.1–1428.2JPL · CAD
19601960-10-24
(undetected)
20042004 UH1184.10.486.4–1428.1JPL · CAD
19591959-01-27
(undetected)
20122012 BX34204.20.538.0–1827.6JPL · CAD
19581958-10-29
(undetected)
20242024 UO5182.80.483.5–7.929.4JPL · CAD
19571957-12-10
(undetected)
20102010 XW5860.80.1628–6224.9JPL · CAD
19551955-06-19
(undetected)
20152015 LR21226.70.5913–2826.6JPL · CAD
19541954-03-13
(undetected)
20132013 RZ53103.50.271.6–3.631.1JPL · CAD
19531953-04-10
(undetected)
20192019 GK21202.60.5319–4331.1JPL · CAD
19521952-10-23
(undetected)
20092009 UU1260.10.6831–6831.1JPL · CAD
19491949-01-01
(undetected)
20032003 YS70258.60.674.0–9.029.1JPL · CAD
19481948-01-24
(undetected)
20172017 BX378.80.996.7–1528.0JPL · CAD
19441944-08-12
(undetected)
20222022 BY39227.70.592.7–6.129.9JPL · CAD
19421942-09-11
(undetected)
20232023 FY3330.30.864.2–9.329.0JPL · CAD
19411941-01-10
(undetected)
20142014 AW32141.30.378.4–1927.5JPL · CAD
19401940-09-16
(undetected)
20072007 RJ1251.10.6524–5425.2JPL · CAD
19381938-11-14
(undetected)
20232023 VV182.20.274.3–9.728.9JPL · CAD
19361936-01-06
(undetected)
20102010 VB1212.60.5558–13023.3JPL · CAD
19351935-03-08
(undetected)
20152015 DD54184.10.4822–4925.4JPL · CAD
19331933-10-22
(undetected)
20152015 UM52253.20.667.3–1627.8JPL · CAD
19311931-10-01
(undetected)
20222022 SU7334.30.875.8–1328.3JPL · CAD
19281928-03-20
(undetected)
20242024 HC179.60.478.6–1927.4JPL · CAD
19261926-02-06
(undetected)
20232023 CN1149.60.3915–3426.2JPL · CAD
19251925-03-29
(undetected)
2002(163132) 2002 CU1139.30.10460 ±1718.6JPL · CAD
19231923-06-26
(undetected)
20212021 MK1368.90.96140–32027.5JPL · CAD
19221922-06-07
(undetected)
20172017 LD51.80.138.4–1927.5JPL · CAD
19201920-06-21
(undetected)
20232023 VC7271.00.7118–4027.5JPL · CAD
19191919-04-02
(undetected)
20242024 FQ5112.20.291.7–3.831.0JPL · CAD
19181918-09-17
(undetected)
2011(458732) 2011 MD5350.00.91730–160017.8JPL · CAD
19141914-12-31
(undetected)
1998(152680) 1998 KJ9233.20.61330–74019.4JPL · CAD
19101910-05-09
(undetected)
20072007 JB21174.90.4522–4925.4JPL · CAD

*367943 Duende is listed for 2013 although it was only the second-closest that year for notability: it is the largest asteroid that was observed while it approached within the radius of thegeostationary orbit, it was also predicted nearly a year in advance, and coincidentally approached just a few hours after the unrelatedChelyabinsk meteor, which was unpredicted, but injured thousands of people when it impacted.

Largest per year

[edit]
Animation of the trajectory of the asteroid 2005 YU55 compared with the orbits of Earth and the Moon on 8–9 November 2011.
Trajectory of the relatively large2005 YU55 compared with the orbits ofEarth and theMoon on 8–9 Nov 2011

From the lists in the first section, these are the largest known asteroids per year that approach Earth within one LD. (More than one asteroid per year may be listed if its size is 100 m [330 ft] or more.) For comparison, the 1908Tunguska event was caused by an object about 60–190 m (200–620 ft) in size, while the 2013Chelyabinsk meteor, which injured thousands of people and damaged buildings when it generated a largeairburst over Russia, was estimated to be just 20 m (66 ft) across.

The CNEOS database of close approaches lists some close approaches a full orbit or more before or after the discovery of the object, derived by orbit calculation. For years when the largest of the objects that had an undetected close approach within 1 LD was larger than the largest of the objects that were detected in real time or inprecovery, both objects are listed. If there were only undetected close approaches in a year, only objects larger than 25 m [82 ft] (or H ≤ 25.75) are shown.

YearDate of
closest approach
ObjectNominal
geocentric
distance
(in 000skm)
Nominal
geocentric
distance
(inLD)
Est. size
(inm)
(H)Ref
20292029-04-1399942 Apophis38.00.099300–38019.1JPL · CAD
20282028-06-26(153814) 2001 WN5248.70.647921–94318.3JPL · CAD
20252025-02-042025 BB2291.50.75820–4425.6JPL · CAD
20242024-06-292024 MK295.40.769100–23022.0JPL · CAD
20232023-03-252023 DZ2174.60.45437–8324.3JPL · CAD
20222022-07-102022 NR384.00.99918–4025.9JPL · CAD
20212021-09-162021 SG245.00.63742–9424.0JPL · CAD
20202020-07-252020 LD306.40.79789–20022.4JPL · CAD
20192019-07-252019 OK71.40.19158–13023.3JPL · CAD
20182018-01-032018 AH297.00.77277–17022.7JPL · CAD
20172017-07-212017 QP162.60.16337–8324.3JPL · CAD
20162016-03-212016 QA286.60.22525–5725.1JPL · CAD
20152015-01-182015 KW121285.80.74316–3626.1JPL · CAD
20142014-03-302014 GY44167.70.43622–4925.4JPL · CAD
20132013-01-15367943 Duende34.10.08939–8624.2JPL · CAD
20122012-04-012012 EG5230.40.59937–8224.3JPL · CAD
20112011-11-08(308635) 2005 YU55324.90.84540021.9JPL · CAD
20102010-11-022010 UJ7286.40.74522–4925.4JPL · CAD
20092009-03-022009 DD4572.20.18818–4125.8JPL · CAD
20082008-02-152008 CK70371.20.9728–6224.9JPL · CAD
20072007-01-182007 BD324.10.8422–4925.4JPL · CAD
20062006-02-232006 DD1117.50.3113–3026.5JPL · CAD
20052005-12-052005 XA8217.20.5719–4325.7JPL · CAD
20042001-04-18
(undetected)
2023 DZ2120.20.3137–8324.3JPL · CAD
2004-03-182004 FY15238.70.6216–3626.1JPL · CAD
20032003-12-062003 XJ7148.20.3914–3126.4JPL · CAD
20022002-06-142002 MN120.00.3148–11023.7JPL · CAD
20012001-11-08
(undetected)
2017 VW13120.20.31200–44020.6JPL · CAD
2001-01-152001 BA16306.20.8017–3826.0JPL · CAD
19941994-12-091994 XM1105.30.276.1–1428.2JPL · CAD
19931993-05-201993 KA2149.20.394.2–9.429.0JPL · CAD
19911991-04-08
(undetected)
2012 UE34329.70.8658–13023.3JPL · CAD
1991-01-181991 BA168.20.445.1–1128.6JPL · CAD
19821982-11-04
(undetected)
2012 TY52314.30.82150-33021.3JPL · CAD
19801980-10-15
(undetected)
2018 RY1173.30.4532-7124.6JPL · CAD
19771977-09-05
(undetected)
2022 QX4128.70.3331–6824.7JPL · CAD
19761976-10-17
(undetected)
2013 UG1328.10.8581–18022.6JPL · CAD
19711971-04-11
(undetected)
(612358) 2002 JE9263.60.69140–31021.4JPL · CAD
19701970-02-26
(undetected)
2019 DS1361.30.9420–4525.6JPL · CAD
19681968-04-23
(undetected)
2008 GD11091.70.2433–7524.5JPL · CAD
19571957-02-02
(undetected)
2019 CD275.30.20260–59020.0JPL · CAD
19531953-04-10
(undetected)
2019 GK21202.60.5319–4325.7JPL · CAD
19521952-10-23
(undetected)
2009 UU1260.10.6831–6824.7JPL · CAD
19401940-09-16
(undetected)
2007 RJ1251.10.6524–5425.2JPL · CAD
19361936-01-06
(undetected)
2010 VB1212.60.5558–13023.3JPL · CAD
19351935-03-08
(undetected)
2015 DD54184.10.4822–4925.4JPL · CAD
19251925-08-30
(undetected)
(163132) 2002 CU11347.00.90443–46718.6JPL · CAD
19231923-06-26
(undetected)
2021 MK1368.90.96140–32027.5JPL · CAD
19201920-06-21
(undetected)
2023 VC7271.00.7118–4027.5JPL · CAD
19181918-09-17
(undetected)
(458732) 2011 MD5350.00.91730–160017.8JPL · CAD
19141914-12-31
(undetected)
(152680) 1998 KJ9233.20.61279–90019.5JPL · CAD

The year 2011 was notable as two asteroids with size 100 m (330 ft) or more approached within one lunar distance.

Extremes in relative speed

[edit]

The average near-Earth asteroid, such as2019 VF5, passes Earth at 18 km/s. The averageshort-period comet passes Earth at 30 km/s, and the averagelong-period comet passes Earth at 53 km/s.[9] A retrograde parabolicOort cloud comet (e=1, i=180°) could pass Earth at 72 km/s when 1 AU from the Sun.

Fastest asteroid within 1 LD for each year
(these asteroids haveeccentric orbits)
Date of
closest
approach
ObjectEarth
distance
(LD)
Sun
distance
(AU)
Velocity
wrt Earth
(km/s)
Velocity
wrt Sun
(km/s)
Approx.
size (m)
(H)
(abs. mag.)
References
2025-01-232025 BP40.830.98422.136.53.7–8.329.3JPLHorizons
2024-02-112024 CH40.280.98724.034.37.7–1727.7JPLHorizons
2023-10-202023 TK150.990.99621.933.718–3925.9JPLHorizons
2022-12-232022 YW60.550.98329.838.14.8–1128.7JPLHorizons
2021-10-272021 UA70.330.99427.737.04.7–1128.8JPLHorizons
2020-03-142020 FD20.850.99533.438.619–4325.7JPLHorizons
2019-03-282019 FC10.270.99825.937.120–4525.6JPLHorizons
2018-04-152018 GE30.501.00329.635.946–10023.8JPLHorizons
2017-08-142017 QP10.161.01324.033.437–8324.3JPLHorizons
2016-03-082016 EV280.400.99325.636.65.4–1228.5JPLHorizons
2015-03-122015 EO60.290.99423.837.52.4–5.430.2JPLHorizons

The slowest passing speeds during close approaches are dominated by theperigees of asteroids captured by Earth astemporary satellites. This list includes close approaches that weren't observed, but the orbit was calculated with high precision.

Slowest asteroids passing within 1 LD of Earth
(these asteroids have Earth-like orbits)
Date of
closest
approach
ObjectEarth
distance
(LD)
Sun
distance
(AU)
Velocity
wrt Earth
(km/s)
Velocity
wrt Sun
(km/s)
Approx.
size (m)
(H)
(abs. mag.)
NotesReferences
2007-03-252006 RH1200.920.9971.3731.13.3–7.529.5temporary satellite perigeeJPLHorizons
2018-10-262020 CD30.840.9941.4531.31.2–2.731.7temporary satellite perigee; undetectedJPLHorizons
2019-09-102020 CD30.791.0071.4728.21.2–2.731.7temporary satellite perigee; undetectedJPLHorizons
2018-08-092020 CD30.791.0131.4830.71.2–2.731.7temporary satellite perigee; undetectedJPLHorizons
2019-11-182020 CD30.750.9891.5429.81.2–2.731.7temporary satellite perigee; undetectedJPLHorizons
2019-06-302020 CD30.721.0181.5628.11.2–2.731.7temporary satellite perigee; undetectedJPLHorizons
2007-06-142006 RH1200.721.0151.5730.33.3–7.529.5temporary satellite perigeeJPLHorizons
2014-12-072014 WX2020.980.9851.6730.63.2–7.129.6JPLHorizons
2017-12-062020 CD30.650.9861.6728.71.2–2.731.7temporary satellite perigee; undetectedJPLHorizons
2018-02-192020 CD30.580.9891.7729.51.2–2.731.7temporary satellite perigee; undetectedJPLHorizons
1979-09-022014 WX2020.871.0081.7929.43.2–7.129.6undetectedJPLHorizons
2020-05-092021 GM10.711.0091.8130.52.2–4.930.4precoveryJPLHorizons
2017-09-182020 CD30.521.0001.8927.91.2–2.731.7temporary satellite perigee; undetectedJPLHorizons
2011-06-022009 BD0.901.0151.9130.16.4–1428.1JPLHorizons

Closest approaches by size

[edit]
Goldstone radar image of asteroid2005 YU55 taken November 7, 2011

Below are lists of the closest approaches in different size ranges, the limits of which correspond to with size limits commonly considered in impact hazard scenarios. The list includes close approaches an orbital period or more before or after the closest observations in time which were derived by orbit calculation.

The diameter of most asteroids has not been measured directly, and can only be estimated from their brightness and assumed surface reflectivity oralbedo. While the measured albedo of asteroids can be as low as 6% and as high as 20%, the default estimated size for asteroids in the CNEOS databases is calculated for an albedo of 14%, which is also used for the size range limits below.[10] For objects with uncertain albedo, the CNEOS close approach database provides a possible size range, which is shown in all the lists on this page. In case other, more precise size estimates are available from other sources, the tables below show those, too, but asteroids are sorted according to the size resp. absolute magnitude in the CNEOS database.

Closest with an estimated diameter under 7 m (H > 28.5)

[edit]

If an asteroid less than 7 metres (23 ft) across (with an absolute magnitude greater than 28.5) impacts the Earth, it will produce spectacular but mostly harmlessfireballs andmeteorite falls. All of the asteroids that were destroyed inpredicted impacts on Earth up to 2024 were in this size range.[4] The list below shows all close approaches within 10,000 km (6,214 mi) from the centre of the Earth (or about 3,600 km (2,200 mi) above its surface).

Nominal
geocentric distance
Date of
closest
approach
ObjectSize (m)
(approximate)
Abs. mag.Ref
(km)(LD)(AU)
6,7460.01750.00004512020-11-132020 VT45.0–1128.6JPL · CAD
7,7260.02010.00005162024-12-012024 XA1.2–2.831.6JPL · CAD
8,0980.02110.00005412024-06-062024 LH11.8–4.130.8JPL · CAD
8,8500.02300.00005922024-10-302024 UG90.80–1.832.6JPL · CAD
9,3170.02420.00006232020-08-162020 QG2.8–6.229.9JPL · CAD
9,4270.02450.00006302021-10-252021 UA11.1–2.531.8JPL · CAD
9,7120.02530.00006492025-01-262025 BP61.1–2.631.8JPL · CAD
9,9670.02590.00006662023-01-272023 BU3.1–6.929.7JPL · CAD

Closest with an estimated diameter between 7 m and 20 m (28.5 ≥ H > 26.25)

[edit]

If an asteroid at the bottom of this size range, one 7 metres (23 ft) across (with an absolute magnitude greater than 28.5), has average asteroid density and impacts the Earth at average meteor speed, its impact energy is about 15 kilotonsTNT equivalent, or roughly equivalent to the blast energy of theHiroshima bomb.[11] The list below shows all close approaches of objects in the range between 7 and 20 metres across within the radius of thegeostationary orbit or 42,164 km (26,199 mi) from the centre of the Earth.

Nominal
geocentric distance
Date of
closest
approach
ObjectSize (m)
(approximate)
Abs. mag.Ref
(km)(LD)(AU)
18,6510.04850.0001252011-06-272011 MD6.7–1528.0JPL · CAD
27,3800.07120.0001832023-11-172023 WA5.3–1228.5JPL · CAD
29,3360.07630.0001962024-12-062024 XA613–3026.5JPL · CAD
29,8700.07770.0002002024-10-102024 TH119.3–2127.3JPL · CAD
32,7700.08520.0002192023-11-072023 VB26.3–1328.2JPL · CAD
33,4900.08710.0002242018-08-102018 PD208.8–2027.4JPL · CAD
37,8700.09850.0002532019-09-052019 RP17.0–1627.9JPL · CAD
39,9080.10380.0002672014-09-072014 RC11–2526.9JPL · CAD
40,4830.10530.0002712016-09-072016 RB15.8–1328.3JPL · CAD

Closest with an estimated diameter between 20 m and 50 m (26.25 ≥ H > 24.25)

[edit]

The bottom of this size range, 20 m (66 ft) corresponds to the average size of an asteroid with the smallest impact energy (1 megaton) considered for impact hazard ratings on theTorino scale.[12] 20 m (66 ft) is also about the size of theChelyabinsk meteor, which produced a meteor ending in an airburst briefly brighter than the Sun that injured over a thousand people and damaged thousands of buildings. The list below shows all close approaches within 100,000 km (62,137 mi) from the centre of the Earth.

Nominal
geocentric distance
Date of
closest
approach
ObjectSize (m)
(approximate)
Abs. mag.Ref
(km)(LD)(AU)
31,6200.0820.0002112016-03-112016 EF19521–4725.5JPL · CAD
60,8100.1580.0004061957-12-10
(undetected)
2010 XW5828–6224.9JPL · CAD
61,2500.1590.0004092017-08-29
(precovery)
2019 DP26–5825.1JPL · CAD
62,6400.1630.0004192017-08-142017 QP137–8324.3JPL · CAD
69,7320.1810.0004662018-02-092018 CB18–3925.9JPL · CAD
72,2280.1880.0004832009-03-022009 DD4515–4125.8JPL · CAD
77,9300.2030.0005212020-06-052020 FB716–3626.1JPL · CAD
85,2200.2220.0005702019-11-192019 WH15–3426.2JPL · CAD
86,5690.2250.0005792016-08-282016 GA225–5725.1JPL · CAD
92,0000.2390.0006131968-04-23
(undetected)
2008 GD11033–7524.5JPL · CAD

Closest with an estimated diameter between 50 m and 140 m (24.25 ≥ H > 22.00)

[edit]

NASA'sPlanetary Defense Coordination Office (PDCO) considers objects with a diameter of at least 50 m (164 ft) capable of destroying a concentrated urban area if they impact Earth.[13] The asteroid causing theTunguska event is estimated at 50–80 m (164–262 ft) in diameter.[14] The list below shows all close approaches within 1 LD (384,400 km; 238,900 mi) from the centre of the Earth.

Nominal
geocentric distance
Date of
closest
approach
ObjectSize (m)
(approximate)
Abs. mag.Ref
(km)(LD)(AU)
34,0530.0890.0002282013-02-15367943 Duende39–8624.2JPL · CAD
71,3550.1860.0004772019-07-252019 OK58–13023.3JPL · CAD
119,9850.3120.0008022002-06-142002 MN48–11023.7JPL · CAD
192,9500.5020.001292018-04-152018 GE346–10023.8JPL · CAD
202,9600.5280.001302018-06-152010 WC953–12023.5JPL · CAD
212,6000.5530.001421936-01-06
(undetected)
2010 VB158–13022.3JPL · CAD
245,0000.6370.001642021-09-162021 SG42–9424.0JPL · CAD
296,9840.7730.001992018-01-022018 AH77–17022.7JPL · CAD
306,4200.7970.002052020-06-052020 LD89–20022.4JPL · CAD
328,2240.8540.002191976-10-17
(undetected)
2013 UG181–18022.6JPL · CAD
329,6800.8580.002201991-04-08
(undetected)
2012 UE3458–13023.3JPL · CAD
347,4000.9040.002322011-12-032011 XC261–14023.2JPL · CAD
357,7850.9310.002392019-07-242019 OD56–12023.4JPL · CAD

Closest with an estimated diameter between 140 m and 1 km (22.0 ≥ H > 17.75)

[edit]

In 2005, theUnited States Congress gave NASA an updated mandate to detect 90% of NEOs with diameters of 140 m (459 ft) or greater.[15] NASA's PDCO considers objects with a diameter of at least 140 m (459 ft) capable of creating an impact crater at least 1–2 km (0.62–1.24 mi) across and causing regional devastation if they impact Earth.[13] The list below shows all close approaches within 2 LD (768,800 km; 477,700 mi) from the centre of the Earth.

Nominal
geocentric distance
Date of
closest
approach
ObjectSize (m)
(approximate)
Abs. mag.Ref
(km)(LD)(AU)
75,3000.1960.0005031957-02-01
(undetected)
2019 CD2260–59020.0JPL · CAD
120,1600.3130.0008032001-11-08
(undetected)
2017 VW13200–44020.6JPL · CAD
233,2200.6070.001561914-12-31
(undetected)
(152680) 1998 KJ9330–74019.5JPL · CAD
263,6000.6860.001761971-04-11
(undetected)
(612358) 2002 JE9140–31021.4JPL · CAD
295,4200.7690.001972024-06-292024 MK100–230
150[16]
22.0JPL · CAD
314,2900.8180.002101982-11-04
(undetected)
2012 TY52150–33021.3JPL · CAD
324,9310.8450.002172011-11-08(308635) 2005 YU5540021.9JPL · CAD
346,9400.9030.002321925-08-30
(undetected)
(163132) 2002 CU11460 ±1718.6JPL · CAD
350,0000.9110.002341918-09-17
(undetected)
(458732) 2011 MD5730–160017.8JPL · CAD
369,0000.9600.002471923-06-26
(undetected)
2021 MK1140–32021.3JPL · CAD
403,2401.0490.002701985-09-02
(undetected)
(371660) 2007 CN26160–35021.1JPL · CAD
413,9301.0770.002771965-09-15
(undetected)
2021 PC7350–79019.4JPL · CAD
432,4391.1250.002892006-07-03(612901) 2004 XP14290–650
130–260[17]
19.8JPL · CAD
453,1601.1790.003031996-05-191996 JA1170–38021.0JPL · CAD
486,8071.2660.003252015-10-312015 TB145260–580
625–700[18]
20.0JPL · CAD
518,5301.3490.003472013-06-15
(undetected)
2021 MK1140–32021.3JPL · CAD
526,9741.3710.003522002-02-182002 NY40420–64019.0JPL · CAD
550,5001.4320.003681938-03-11
(undetected)
2013 FA8160–37021.1JPL · CAD
554,1691.4420.003702008-01-292007 TU24230–510
250[19]
20.3JPL · CAD
594,4001.5460.003971983-03-19
(undetected)
2018 VG3180–39020.9JPL · CAD
624,1541.6240.004172011-04-252011 JA140–31021.4JPL · CAD
649,7001.6900.004341950-11-16
(undetected)
2023 GQ2280–63019.9JPL · CAD
677,1401.7620.004531975-01-31
(undetected)
(27002) 1998 DV9580–130018.3JPL · CAD
684,0101.7790.004571989-03-224581 Asclepius190–42020.7JPL · CAD
726,4001.8900.004861959-07-12
(undetected)
2017 NM6460–100018.8JPL · CAD
750,8201.9530.005021919-01-04
(undetected)
(509352) 2007 AG250–55020.2JPL · CAD

Closest with an estimated diameter above 1 km (17.75 ≥ H)

[edit]

The original mandate to NASA given by the United States Congress in 1998 was to detect 90% of near-Earth asteroids over 1 km (0.62 mi) diameter (that threaten global devastation) by 2008.[20] NASA's PDCO considers objects with a diameter of at least 1 km (0.62 mi) capable of creating an impact crater at least 10 km (6.2 mi) across and causing global devastation if they impact Earth.[13] The list below shows all close approaches within 5 LD (1,922,000 km; 1,194,000 mi) from the centre of the Earth.

Nominal
geocentric distance
Date of
closest
approach
ObjectSize (m)
(approximate)
Abs. mag.Ref
(km)(LD)(AU)
634,5231.6510.004241942-04-26
(undetected)
69230 Hermes770–1700
810[6]
17.7JPL · CAD
740,6401.9270.004951937-10-3069230 Hermes770–1700
810[6]
17.7JPL · CAD
1,060,9672.7600.007091981-05-18
(precovery)
(143651) 2003 QO1041600–360016.1JPL · CAD
1,125,0002.9270.007521933-01-17
(undetected)
(7482) 1994 PC11052 ±30316.6JPL · CAD
1,394,5703.6280.009321969-08-27
(undetected)
(192642) 1999 RD321300–2900
5000[21]
16.5JPL · CAD
1,549,4074.0310.010362004-09-294179 Toutatis5400
4750×1950[22]
15.3JPL · CAD
1,885,3104.9050.012601961-04-12
(undetected)
(163243) 2002 FB31682 ±1316.5JPL · CAD

Predicted encounters

[edit]

Incomplete list of asteroids larger than about 50 m (160 ft) predicted to pass close to Earth (see alsoasteroid impact prediction andSentry (monitoring system)):[2][23]

Nominal
geocentric
distance (AU)
Nominal
geocentric
distance (km)
Size (m)
(estimated)
Date of
closest approach
ObjectJPL-Ref
0.00025438,000325April 13, 202999942 ApophisJPL · CAD
0.000670100,20075–170October 19, 21292007 UW1JPL · CAD
0.000721107,80050–120April 8, 20412012 UE34JPL · CAD
0.001572235,200170–370January 2, 2101(456938) 2007 YV56JPL · CAD
0.001585237,000360±40November 8, 2075(308635) 2005 YU55JPL · CAD
0.001629243,700370–840December 1, 2140(153201) 2000 WO107JPL · CAD
0.001635**244,600190–420October 25, 2077(549948) 2011 WL2JPL · CAD
0.001663248,800700–1500June 26, 2028(153814) 2001 WN5JPL · CAD
0.001980296,200170–370January 22, 2148(85640) 1998 OX4JPL · CAD
0.002222332,500190–250May 28, 20652005 WY55JPL · CAD
0.002241335,20075–170March 23, 21462009 DO111JPL · CAD
0.00257384,400for comparison, this is theaverage distance to the Moon[7]

A list of predicted NEO approaches at larger distances is maintained as a database by the NASA Near Earth Object Program.[24]

** Only the nominal (best-fit) orbit shows a passage this close. The uncertainty region is still somewhat large due to a short observation arc.

Earth-grazers

[edit]
All-sky photo with theEarth-grazing meteoroid of 13 October 1990 (the light track across the picture going from the south to the north) taken at Červená hora (Czechoslovakia), one of the stations of theEuropean Fireball Network. The bright track on the left is theMoon.
Main article:Earth-grazing fireball

Objects which enter and then leaveEarth's atmosphere, the so-calledEarth-grazers, are a distinct phenomenon, inasmuch as entering the lower atmosphere can constitute animpact event rather than a close pass. Earth-grazer can also be short for a body that "grazes" the orbit of the Earth, in a different context.

Altitude
(km)
Size (m)
(approximate)
Mass (kg)
(approximate)
Date of
closest approach
ObjectNoteRef.
0meansea level
8.8Mount Everest (height)
585105–106August 10, 19721972 Great Daylight Fireball above the United States and CanadaFirst scientifically observed[25]
71.4100March 29, 20062006 Earth-grazing Fireball above Japan

[26]

98.744October 13, 19901990 Earth-grazing Fireball above Czechoslovakia and PolandFirst captured from 2 distant locations, which enabled computing its orbit by geometrical methods[27]
August 7, 20072007 Earth-grazing FireballIts pre-encounter orbit belonged to the rareAten type[28]
100Kármán line

Animations

[edit]
Animation of the2015 TB145 (NEO) flyby, as seen from the center of theEarth, with hourly trace circles along the path of motion

Overview

[edit]
Diagram showing spacecraft and notable asteroids (past and future) between the Earth and the Moon.
Plot of orbits of known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (size over 140 m [460 ft] and passing within 7.6 million km [4.7 million mi] of Earth's orbit) as of early 2013 (alternate image)

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Distance from the center of Earth to the center of the object. See theNASA/JPL Solar System Dynamics Glossary:GeocentricArchived 2013-02-14 at theWayback Machine. Earth has aradius of approximately 6,400 km.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Responding to Potential Asteroid Redirect Mission Targets".Jet Propulsion Laboratory.Archived from the original on 2014-02-26. Retrieved2014-02-21.
  2. ^ab"NEO Earth Close Approaches". NASA/JPL CNEOS. Retrieved2025-02-27.
  3. ^"Sentry: Earth Impact Monitoring". NASA/JPL CNEOS. Retrieved2025-02-25.
  4. ^ab"Pre-Impact Detections". NASA/JPL CNEOS. Retrieved2025-02-25.
  5. ^"Fireballs". NASA/JPL CNEOS.Archived from the original on 2025-02-22. Retrieved2025-02-25.
  6. ^abcJohnston, Robert (20 September 2014)."(69230) Hermes".johnstonsarchive.net. Retrieved2025-02-27.
  7. ^abNASA Staff (10 May 2011)."Solar System Exploration: Planets: Earth's Moon: Facts & Figures". NASA. Archived fromthe original on 10 February 2014. Retrieved6 November 2011.
  8. ^Yeomans, Don; Chodas, Paul (4 February 2011)."Very Small Asteroid Makes Close Earth Approach on February 4, 2011".Near-Earth Object Program Office. NASA/JPL. Archived fromthe original on 2 September 2011. Retrieved22 February 2013.
  9. ^"Impact Cratering Mechanics".Lunar and Planetary Institute (LPI). Retrieved2011-09-16.
  10. ^"Discovery Statistics. Introduction". NASA/JPL CNEOS. Retrieved2025-02-26.
  11. ^Robert Marcus; H. Jay Melosh; Gareth Collins."Earth Impact Effects Program". Imperial College London & Purdue University. Retrieved2013-02-04. (solution using 2600 kg/m^3, 17 km/s, 90 degrees)
  12. ^Binzel, Richard P. (2000). "Torino Impact Hazard Scale".Planetary and Space Science.48 (4):297–303.Bibcode:2000P&SS...48..297B.doi:10.1016/S0032-0633(00)00006-4.
  13. ^abcNASA Planetary Defense Strategy and Action Plan(PDF) (Report).NASAPDCO. April 2023. Retrieved2025-02-26.
  14. ^Smith, Kimberly Ennico (25 June 2019)."Tunguska Revisited: 111-Year-Old Mystery Impact Inspires New, More Optimistic Asteroid Predictions". NASA.Archived from the original on 2025-02-22. Retrieved2025-02-26.
  15. ^"Public Law 109–155–DEC.30, 2005"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on December 6, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 2, 2025.
  16. ^O'Neill, Ian J. (3 July 2024)."NASA's Planetary Radar Tracks Two Large Asteroid Close Approaches". NASA/JPL. Retrieved2025-02-26.
  17. ^Benner, Lance A.; Ostro; Giorgini; et al. (September 2006). "Radar Observations Of Asteroid 2004 XP14: An Outlier In The Near-earth Population".American Astronomical Society.38 (2): 621.Bibcode:2006DPS....38.6807B.
  18. ^Müller, T. G.; Marciniak, A.; Butkiewicz-Bąk, M.; et al. (February 2017). "Large Halloween asteroid at lunar distance".Astronomy & Astrophysics.598. id. A63.arXiv:1610.08267.Bibcode:2017A&A...598A..63M.doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201629584.S2CID 119162848.
  19. ^Agle, DC; Hautaluoma, Grey (25 January 2008)."NASA Scientists Get First Images of Earth Flyby Asteroid". NASA/JPL. Retrieved2025-02-27.
  20. ^Chapman, Clark R. (May 21, 1998)."Statement on The Threat of Impact by Near-Earth Asteroids before the Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics of the Committee on Science of the U.S. House of Representatives at its hearings on "Asteroids: Perils and Opportunities"". Southwest Research Institute.Archived from the original on December 6, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 2, 2025.
  21. ^Benner, Lance A: M. (12 March 2012)."(192642) 1999 RD32 Goldstone Radar Observations Planning". NASA/JPL Asteroid Radar Research. Retrieved2025-02-27.
  22. ^Huang, Jiangchuan; Ji, Jianghui; Ye, Peijian; et al. (December 2013)."The Ginger-shaped Asteroid 4179 Toutatis: New Observations from a Successful Flyby of Chang'e-2".Scientific Reports.3. id. 3411.arXiv:1312.4329.Bibcode:2013NatSR...3.3411H.doi:10.1038/srep03411.PMC 3860288.PMID 24336501.
  23. ^"PHA Close Approaches To The Earth". International Astronomical Union/Minor Planet Center.Archived from the original on 4 November 2011. Retrieved14 November 2011.
  24. ^NASA, Near Earth Object Program, databaseNEO Earth Close-Approaches Between 1900 A.D. and 2200 A.D. limited to encounters with reasonably low uncertaintyArchived 2013-02-17 at theWayback Machine (accessed 20 Sept. 2013)
  25. ^Ceplecha, Z. (March 1994). "Earth-grazing daylight fireball of August 10, 1972".Astronomy and Astrophysics.283 (1):287–288.Bibcode:1994A&A...283..287C.ISSN 0004-6361.
  26. ^S., Abe; J., Borovička; P., Spurný; P., Koten; Z., Ceplecha; Meteor Network Team in Japan (18–22 September 2006)."Earth-grazing fireball on March 29, 2006".European Planetary Science Congress 2006. Berlin. p. 486.Bibcode:2006epsc.conf..486A.Archived from the original on 28 May 2019. Retrieved2015-03-14.
  27. ^Borovička, J.; Ceplecha, Z. (April 1992). "Earth-grazing fireball of October 13, 1990".Astronomy and Astrophysics.257 (1):323–328.Bibcode:1992A&A...257..323B.ISSN 0004-6361.
  28. ^Spurný, P.; Borovička, J.; Ceplecha, Z.; Shrbený, L. (2008),"Precise Multi-Instrument Data on 45 Fireballs Recorded over Central Europe in the Period 2006-2008"(PDF),Asteroids, Comets, Meteors 2008 held July 14–18, 2008 in Baltimore, Maryland, vol. 1405, p. 8217,Bibcode:2008LPICo1405.8217S,archived(PDF) from the original on 2016-03-03, retrieved2015-03-14

External links

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