Measures the relative position of nations' and regions' peacefulness
Global Peace Index 2023. Countries appearing with a deeper shade of green are ranked as more peaceful, countries appearing more red are ranked as more violent.[1]
TheGlobal Peace Index (GPI) is a report produced by the Australia-based NGOInstitute for Economics & Peace (IEP) which measures the relative position of nations' and regions'peacefulness.[2] The GPI ranks 163 independent states and territories (collectively accounting for 99.7 per cent of the world's population) according to their levels of peacefulness. In the past decade, theGPI has presented trends of increased global violence and less peacefulness.[3]
Ten indicators broadly assess what might be described as safety and security in society. Their assertion is that low crime rates, minimal incidences of terrorist acts and violent demonstrations, harmonious relations with neighbouring countries, a stable political scene, and a small proportion of the population being internally displaced or refugees can be suggestive of peacefulness.[7]
Indicators of peacefulness
In 2017, 23 indicators were used to establish peacefulness scores for each country. The indicators were originally selected with the assistance of an expert panel in 2007 and are reviewed by the expert panel on an annual basis. The scores for each indicator are normalised on a scale of 1–5, whereby qualitative indicators are banded into five groupings, and quantitative ones are scored from 1–5, to the third decimal point. A table of the indicators is below.[8] In the table, UCDP stands for theUppsala Conflict Data Program maintained by theUniversity of Uppsala inSweden, EIU for The Economist Intelligence Unit, UNSCT for theUnited Nations Survey of Criminal Trends and Operations of Criminal Justice Systems, ICPS is theInternational Centre for Prison Studies atKing's College London, IISS for theInternational Institute for Strategic Studies publicationThe Military Balance, and SIPRI for theStockholm International Peace Research Institute Arms Transfers Database.
International Institute for Strategic Studies, Armed Conflict Database
Total number
Number, duration, and role in external conflicts
UCDP Battle-related Deaths Dataset, IEP
Total number
Intensity of organized internal conflict
EIU
Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Relations with neighbouring countries
EIU
Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Level of perceived criminality in society
EIU
Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Number of refugees and displaced persons as percentage of population
UNHCR and IDMC
Refugee population by country or territory of origin, plus the number of a country's internally displaced people (IDP's) as a percentage of the country's total population
Political instability
EIU
Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Impact of terrorism
Global Terrorism Index (IEP)
Quantitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Political terror
Amnesty International and US State Department
Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Number of homicides per 100,000 people
UNODC Surveys on Crime Trends and the Operations of Criminal Justice Systems (CTS); EIU estimates
Total number
Level of violent crime
EIU
Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Likelihood of violent demonstrations
EIU
Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Number of jailed persons per 100,000 people
World Prison Brief, Institute for Criminal Policy Research at Birkbeck, University of London
Total number
Number of internal security officers and police per 100,000 people
UNODC CTS; EIU estimates
Total number; Civil police force distinct from national guards or local militia[b]
Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP
The Military Balance and IISS
Cash outlays of central or federal government to meet costs of national armed forces, as a percentage of GDP, scores from 1 to 5 based on percentages[c]
Number of armed-services personnel per 100,000
The Military Balance and IISS
All full-time active armed-services personnel
Volume of transfers of major conventional weapons as recipient (imports) per 100,000 people
SIPRI Arms Transfers Database
Imports of major conventional weapons per 100,000 people[d]
Volume of transfers of major conventional weapons as supplier (exports) per 100,000 people
SIPRI Arms Transfers Database
Exports of major conventional weapons per 100,000 people
Financial contribution to UN peacekeeping missions
United Nations Committee on Contributions and IEP
Percentage of countries' "outstanding payments versus their annual assessment to the budget of the current peacekeeping missions" over an average of three years, scored from 1–5 scale based on percentage of promised contributions met
Nuclear and heavy weapons capability
The Military Balance, IISS, SIPRI, UN Register of Conventional Arms and IEP
1–5 scale based on accumulated points; 1 point per armoured vehicle and artillery pieces, 5 points per tank, 20 points per combat aircraft, 100 points per warship, 1000 points for aircraft carrier and nuclear submarine[e]
Ease of access to small arms and light weapons
EIU
Qualitative scale, ranked 1 to 5
Indicators not already ranked on a 1 to 5 scale were converted by using the following formula:x = [x - min(x)] / [max(x) - min(x)], where max(x) and min(x) are the highest and lowest values for that indicator of the countries ranked in the index. The 0 to 1 scores that resulted were then converted to the 1 to 5 scale. Individual indicators were then weighted according to the expert panel's judgment of their importance. The scores were then tabulated into two weighted sub-indices: internal peace, weighted at 60% of a country's final score, and external peace, weighted at 40% of a country's final score. "Negative Peace", defined as the absence of violence or of the fear of violence, is used as the definition of peace to create the Global Peace Index. An additional aim of the GPI database is to facilitate deeper study of the concept of positive peace, or those attitudes, institutions, and structures that drive peacefulness in society. The GPI also examines relationships between peace and reliable international measures, including democracy and transparency, education and material well-being. As such, it seeks to understand the relative importance of a range of potential determinants, or "drivers", which may influence the nurturing of peaceful societies, both internally and externally.[9]
Statistical analysis is applied to GPI data to uncover specific conditions conducive of peace. Researchers have determined that Positive Peace, which includes the attitudes, institutions, and structures that pre-empt conflict and facilitate functional societies, is the main driver of peace. The eight pillars of positive peace are well-functioning government, sound business environment, acceptance of the rights of others, good relations with neighbours, free flow of information, high levels of human capital, low levels of corruption, and equitable distribution of resources. Well-functioning government, low levels of corruption, acceptance of the rights of others, and good relations with neighbours are more important in countries suffering from high levels of violence. Free flow of information and sound business environment become more important when a country is approaching the global average level of peacefulness, also described as the Mid-Peace level. Low levels of corruption is the only Pillar that is strongly significant across all three levels of peacefulness. This suggests it is an important transformational factor at all stages of a nation's development.
Note: The GPI's methodology is updated regularly and is improved to reflect the most up-to-date datasets. Each year's GPI report includes a detailed description of the methodology used. Also, the data is revised periodically and so values from previous years may change accordingly. These tables contain the scores and ranking published in the official annual reports. The latestrevised data can be found at Vision of Humanity'sInteractive world map of the Global Peace IndexArchived 2022-07-16 at theWayback Machine.
Responses
The Global Peace Index (GPI)[11] is shown compared to Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Jeffrey Sachs atColumbia University said: "The GPI continues its pioneering work in drawing the world's attention to the massive resources we are squandering in violence and conflict."[13] Some atAustralian National University say that the GPI report presents "the latest and most comprehensive global data on trends in peace, violence and war" and "provides the world's best analysis of the statistical factors associated with long-term peace, as well as economic analysis on the macroeconomic impacts of everyday violence and war on the global economy."[14]
According toThe Economist, the weighting of military expenditure "may seem to give heart to freeloaders: countries that enjoy peace precisely because others (often the USA) care for their defence".[15] The Global Peace Index has been criticized for not including indicators specifically relating to violence against women and children.[16] The impact of Global Peace Index has been lower on the academic study of war and peace than on international organizations.[17]
^In this case, a conflict is defined as, "a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year."
^This includes, "cash outlays of central or federal government to meet the costs of national armed forces—including strategic, land, naval, air, command, administration and support forces as well as paramilitary forces, customs forces and border guards if these are trained and equipped as a military force."
^This includes transfers, purchases, or gifts of aircraft, armoured vehicles, artillery, radar systems, missiles, ships, engines
^Rates the destructive capability of a country's stock of heavy weapons via a categorized system. As of 2013, countries with nuclear capabilities receive a score of five, the highest possible score.
^Information about indicators and methodology "2013 Global Peace Index"(PDF). Institute for Economics and Peace. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2013-12-10. Retrieved 2013-06-24.