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Evan Bayh 2008 presidential campaign

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2008 presidential campaign of Evan Bayh
Friends of Evan Bayh
CampaignU.S. presidential election, 2008
CandidateEvan Bayh
Governor of Indiana
(1989–1997)
U.S. Senator ofIndiana
(1999–2011)
AffiliationDemocratic Party
HeadquartersWashington, DC
Key peopleAnita Dunn,Thurgood Marshall Jr., David Holtzman,Nancy Jacobson,Dan Pfeiffer, Marc Farinella,[1][2] Barry Wagman
ReceiptsUS$0 (2007-01-31)
Website
evanbayh.com
(archived - December 5th, 2006)

The2008 presidential campaign ofEvan Bayh,DemocraticSenator and 46thGovernor of Indiana, began shortly after the2004 presidential election.

Although he was frequently mentioned as a possible challenger to frontrunnerHillary Clinton due to his status as a Senator from a traditionallyred state who could appeal to moderates in a general election, Bayh stopped short of a full-fledged candidacy, withdrawing from the race in December 2006 despite accumulating approximately $10.4 million for the campaign. His withdrawal was tied to his public image, which characterized the candidate as "dependable" but "dull".

Bayh spent a considerable amount of time campaigning throughout the earlyprimary states (particularlyIowa andNew Hampshire) for most of 2005 and 2006. The staff from his All AmericaPolitical Action Committee (PAC) worked as his campaign team.

Two weeks prior to his withdrawal, Bayh filed his organization with theFederal Election Commission as anexploratory committee, under the header Friends of Evan Bayh. Following his exit from the race, Bayh endorsed and campaigned for Hillary Clinton for president, switching his support to Democratic nominee Barack Obama following Clinton's withdrawal. He was a finalist to become Obama'srunning mate, losing, in a close decision, to Delaware SenatorJoe Biden.

Early stages

[edit]

Following the re-election of PresidentGeorge W. Bush and Bayh's re-election as a Senator from Indiana, Bayh considered the possibility of running for president in 2008. Although Bush carried Bayh's home state by 20 points, Bayh won 61% of the vote, solidifying the Senator's appeal to moderate and Republican voters. After serving four years as the chair of theDemocratic Leadership Council, Bayh hoped to even further demonstrate his position as a moderate by helping to found theThird WayPolitical Action Committee in January 2005.[3]

As word increased of Bayh's intentions, political scientists opined on the detractions of a run. Citing the fact that his eight years as governor may be nullified by its distance in time and that his visibility in the Senate was low, critics pondered whether moderate voters may be more inclined to line with possible candidateMark Warner ofVirginia. However, this criticism subsided once Warner decided against a run in October 2006.[3]

On the campaign trail

[edit]

2005

[edit]
Official Senate portrait of Bayh

Bayh traveled to the first primary state ofNew Hampshire on July 10, 2005, on his first campaign trip since the 2004 election. He held a "meet and greet" at Democratic headquarters inManchester,[4] and visitedConcord the following day to meet withGovernorJohn Lynch and environmental leaders.[5] The next month he traveled to the first caucus state of Iowa, meeting withCongressmanLeonard Boswell to discussmethamphetamine use.[6] He also attended party fundraisers and met with activists during his three-day stay. While inDes Moines, Bayh stated that Democrats must gain credibility on national security, and commented that he would begin a full-fledged presidential campaign if he felt he had the means to win the Democratic nomination.[7] Throughout the month, he visited Iowa and reflected similar rhetoric to the2004 Kerry campaign, advocatingenergy independence,fair trade, lowering thefederal deficit and an improved handling of thewar in Iraq. He explained to reporters that his visits to Iowa were "the beginning of a longer conversation".[8]

The following month, Bayh decided to vote against the confirmation ofJohn Roberts asChief Justice of the United States. This move was judged by some political commentators as "posturing" for the 2008 race. Detractors stated that Bayh voted against the judge to appeal to the liberals of the party, as other possible candidates voted in a similar manner.[9] The next month, Bayh attended the annual Jefferson-Jackson dinner in New Hampshire. At the event he accused President Bush of dividing the nation and stated that he believed Democrats could win inred states (traditional Republican states) if they stood up for "American values".[10]

Bayh posing with a group of children in New Hampshire while making an appearance on behalf ofJohn Lynch'sgubernatorial campaign

Bayh continued to campaign in Iowa and New Hampshire as November 2005 approached. Media outlets reported that 10 potential presidential candidates had visited Iowa in October. When asked about the attention given to the state 26 months prior to the caucus, Bayh replied that he "wish[ed] the process didn't begin this early, but it does".[11] Later in the month, former chief counsel and master political strategist for Bayh, Federal District JudgeDavid Hamilton ruled that prayer could not be conducted prior to the opening of the state legislature in Indiana, reasoning that the mention of "Jesus Christ" as "Savior" or "Son of God" is unconstitutional. Commentators argued that the decision diminished Bayh's label as the "centrist candidate" for the Democratic nomination due to his connections to the judge.[12]

It was revealed in December 2005 that Bayh had raised $1.2 million in the first two quarters of 2005, more than any other potential candidate with the exception ofSenatorBill Frist ofTennessee.[13] But the cash did not translate into high marks among possible voters as aCNN poll conducted December 9–11 found that Bayh had the support of only 1% of self-identified Democrats, placing him seventh among possible candidates.[14] Later in the month, Bayh was criticized by the video game industry for political posturing in his quest along with Senator Hillary Clinton to crack down on explicit content in video games. The manufacturers claimed that the movements were simply attempts to increase his appeal tovalues voters for his presidential run.[15]

2006

[edit]
Bayh during a January 2006 trip toIraq

As 2006 began, Bayh had $9.5 million on hand, $3.1 million of which he had raised the previous year.[16] A large portion of his time in the first month was spent positioning himself. He took a hard-line against the government ofIran, referring to leaderMahmoud Ahmadinejad as having a "radical, almost delusional nature," and then criticized the Bush administration for "ignoring" the situation, stating that "diplomacy, economic sanctions, [and] other means" needed to be used.[17] For balance, just as he had in the previous year, Bayh voted against the appointment of a George W. Bush Supreme Court nominee when he cast his "no" vote forSamuel Alito. However, his fellow potential Democratic presidential peers, voted in a similar fashion.[18] Late in January, Bayh gained the position as speaker at the Jefferson-Jackson dinner inNorth Carolina for the upcoming April. The gain came as a loss for North CarolinianJohn Edwards, who also was considered a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. A Bayh spokesman, commented that the Senator was chosen because he "has a lot of ideas about how to fix Washington and make America better". Prior to the event, in the beginning of February, Bayh made an appearance at theCongressional Black Caucus political action committee, spoke to theUnited Auto Workers conference, and made a trip back to Iowa for a plethora of events during the February 11–13 weekend.[16] By the end of the month and into March, Bayh criticized the Bush administration from theright, attempting to appeal to all segments of the political spectrum by speaking out against the plan to sell American ports toUnited Arab Emirates companies.[19]

Bayh campaigns for New Hampshire State RepresentativeBetsi DeVries'State Senate campaign in March 2006

March for Bayh began with reports that the potential candidate was one of the most conservative Democrats of the Senate. However, it was later revealed that he was the 19th most conservative Democrat during the109th Congress, demonstrating a sharp trend to the left during his run.[20] This came as the Senator made the keynote speech at theAmerican Israel Public Affairs Committee, where according to a campaign aide, he "la[id] out a tough and smart approach to deal with Iran and Hamas".[21] While on a campaign stop in Manchester late in March, Bayh revealed to a New Hampshire crowd that he supported the continuation of the New Hampshire Primary as the first in the nation and that he would "do everything" he could "to keep it that way".[22]

Bayh headlined the Jefferson-Jackson dinner for Michigan in the first week of April,[23] and made rounds on political talk shows throughout the month. He weighed in on the immigration debate, stating that the government should come up with a solution "without rewarding [and] violating the law, to bring [illegal immigrants] out of the shadows" and to "impose fines, [perform] criminal background checks" while making sure the immigrants "pay back taxes [and] learn English." He elaborated that it was in America's "national security interest" to give the immigrants "some kind of regular status here."[24] Later in the month, he traveled to North Carolina to deliver the keynote address at the Jefferson-Jackson dinner, just as he planned earlier in the year.[25]

Bayh continued campaigning in Iowa during May, making appearances inOsceola,Council Bluffs, andSioux City.[26] But polls of Iowa in June showed that the candidate had only single digit support.[27] In an attempt to improve his standing on the unpopular war in Iraq, Bayh along with many of his fellow potential Democratic presidential candidates, voted for a resolution that would set July 2007 as the deadline to remove American forces from the nation.[28] At the end of the month, Bayh traveled toSlidell, Louisiana to view the damage brought about byHurricane Katrina the previous year. Stating that he "just want[ed] to help," Bayh became the first member of Congress outside ofLouisiana to visit the site.[29] On a larger scale, Bayh commented on the rebuilding of the area, conveying that it "is a test of America".[30]

While campaigning in Des Moines during the first week of July, Bayh commented that he would campaign for embattled SenatorJoe Lieberman in hisConnecticut primary fight againstNed Lamont if asked to do so, but stopped short of proclaiming support for the candidate if he lost the primary and decided to run as an Independent.[31] As he completed his fifth trip to Iowa, party officials in the state remarked that he was "making inroads" in the state, commenting that "Democrats are looking for somebody who is new and fresh."[32] The candidate revealed his economic goals during a speech, stating "that creating opportunity for middle-class Americans will be a centerpiece of my campaign." He then listed his objectives including: tax credits to pay for college tuition of low to mid-level income Americans, covering insurance costs of small businesses for its sickest employees, and incentives for saving and buying automobiles with "good gas mileage." However, in order to pay for these proposals, Bayh stated that raising taxes would be "a decision worth making".[33]

Bayh campaigns inManchester, New Hampshire during a Democratic Party event in September 2006

In August, Bayh spread his staffers trained at "Camp Bayh" throughout the critical early primary and caucus states, sending 25 to Iowa, 15 to New Hampshire, three toNevada, two toSouth Carolina, and leaving five to remain in Indiana.[34] He returned to Iowa in mid-August, with a packed schedule that included fundraisers and a news conferencefor the "Wake Up Wal-Mart" organization.[35] During the event, Bayh tried to appeal to populist voters stating that "Wal-Mart has become emblematic of the anxiety around the country, and themiddle class squeeze."[36] The next month, Bayh traveled to Iowa to speak to the United Auto Workers for a second time in 2006.[37] During a separate trip to New Hampshire later in the month, Bayh tried to appeal to anti-war voters by remarking that the Iraq War was not a central part of thewar on terrorism and that it was "taking the focus away from Afghanistan and Iran".[38]

Following Mark Warner's withdrawal from the race in October, Bayh looked to gain the most in the field of candidates. He immediately began to call former Warner supporters, hoping they would support his campaign.[39] During a visit toNew Albany, Indiana, the candidate called for the9/11 Commission's recommendations to be enacted.[40] Later in the month, he made a stop in Nevada to discuss senior issues with Nevada's gubernatorial candidateDina Titus.[41]

The Democratic takeover of Congress during the2006 Mid-term elections was a victory for Bayh, who had helped three Iowan congressional candidates win their races during campaigning, and whose efforts culminated in a Democratic majority in the state's legislature.[42] In regards to the election, he stated that "we (the Democrats) won by turning the red states of the heartland blue".[43] In mid-November, the candidate traveled to the West Coast for a fundraising tour.[44] Late in the month, polls revealed that Bayh had a 43.3% likability rating among the American public, slightly ahead of the last placed finisherJohn Kerry at 39.6%.[45]

Exploratory committee

[edit]
Bayh delivering his campaign stump speech in December 2006

On December 3, 2006, Bayh announced that he would form an exploratory committee in order for him to travel and raise funds more effectively for a presidential run. Upon this declaration, the candidate appeared onThis Week, articulating that Americans "need someone who can deal with the dysfunction here in this city (Washington D.C.) so that our government begins to empower our people to fulfill their potential...if I can be that individual, so be it." His spokesman remarked that the committee would help "to put an infrastructure in place" for the campaign. Bayh immediately returned to the campaign trail following his announcement, traveling back to Iowa on December 4 with approximately $10.6 million to continue spreading his message.[46] The next weekend, Bayh visited New Hampshire to discuss his views onenergy independence,global warming and the war in Iraq.[47] But due to the two sold out appearances to the state by Barack Obama, who was recently named a potential candidate, Bayh's trip did not garner much media attention.[48]

Withdrawal

[edit]

Two weeks following his announcement, Bayh withdrew from the race, citing that "the odds were longer than I felt I could responsibly pursue". He further commented that a run would cause him to be "absent from the Senate...instead of working to help the people of my state and the nation."[48]

Employees

[edit]

The following individuals worked as advisors to Bayh as members of the All America PAC and at the candidate's Senate office.[49] Media consultantAnita Dunn was slated to be given a promotion and replaced as the Friends of Evan Bayh committee was formed, but the campaign's brevity prevented any notable action.[50] Dunn would go on to serve as PresidentBarack Obama's interim-White House Communications Director, replaced by another Bayh campaign employee,Daniel Pfeiffer, who currently holds the post.[51]

The campaign also featuredThurgood Marshall Jr., son of the lateU.S. Supreme Court JusticeThurgood Marshall, the firstAfrican-American to serve on the court. Marshall Jr. had previously worked in theBill Clinton administration.[52]

All America PAC[53]
PositionEmployeeImage
Senior AdvisorNancy Jacobson
Senior AdvisorThurgood Marshall Jr.
Chief Technology OfficerDavid Holtzman
PollsterPaul Maslin
Media ConsultantAnita Dunn
Executive DirectorMarc Farinella
Midwest Political DirectorChris Hayler
Northeast Political DirectorSean Downey
Communications DirectorDaniel Pfeiffer
Chief Financial OfficerBarry E. Wagman
Finance DirectorKory Mitchell
Administrative DirectorTyler Bullen
Press WriterJonathan Kott
Policy CoordinatorJennifer Linker
Technology/Internet OperationsChris Smith
Online Organizer/BloggerRyan Alexander

Senate Office

PositionEmployee
Chief of StaffTom Sugar
Deputy Chief of StaffLinda Moore Forbes

Reaction

[edit]

Bayh was criticized throughout his campaign for being "boring" or "dull," but media outlets also described the candidate as "folksy" and displaying a "Midwest charm,"[54] that some compared to PresidentHarry Truman.[32]The Washington Post commented that he was "unexciting but very dependable and electable," and that he would "have a great shot" if the Democratic Party was "feeling pragmatic".[55]The Wall Street Journal lauded the Senator as a "genuinely fiscally conservative Democrat." His record as a governor and Senator were also portrayed as desirable assets.[56] PollsterFrank Luntz summed up Bayh's campaign, describing the Senator from the perspective of his audience:[57]

After seeing 20 minutes of Evan Bayh, there wasn't much love or hate...They appreciated his down-to-earth appeal, but they wanted to see more passion.

Aftermath

[edit]
Bayh campaigning with Hillary Clinton

Nine months following his withdrawal, Bayh endorsed SenatorHillary Clinton, stating that he believed she would "run a campaign that is both tough and smart when it comes to protecting our nation's security".[58] He campaigned with the former First Lady, sticking to her when the race tightened with the surging Senator Barack Obama.[59]

After Obama secured the nomination, Bayh endorsed the Senator from Illinois and was mentioned as apossible running mate. He was included on the initial shortlist,[60] which was then whittled down to four names: Bayh, SenatorJoe Biden of Delaware, GovernorTim Kaine of Virginia and Governor Kathleen Sebelius of Kansas. On August 22, the eve of Obama's scheduled unveiling of his running mate,NBC News reported that Bayh and Kaine had been informed that they were not chosen.[61] Obama opted instead for Biden.[62] Obama's campaign managerDavid Plouffe later wrote in his bookThe Audacity to Win, which was published in November 2009, that Bayh had been a "coin toss" away from becoming Obama's running mate. Plouffe andDavid Axelrod had interviewed the finalists and Plouffe said that Bayh's answers were "substantively close to perfect, if cautiously so." He recalled that at the time of the interview he thought to himself, "there's no way this guy will color outside the lines... Bayh's up side and down side are probably the closest spread of the three", compared to Biden, who could "reach higher heights but could cause us real pain." As Obama approached a decision, he told Plouffe "it's a coin toss now between Bayh and Biden, but Kaine is still a distinct possibility." On August 17, Obama told Axelrod simply, "I've decided. It's Biden."[63][64]

Bayh later appeared at the2008 Democratic National Convention, delivering a speech in support of the Democratic nominee stating: "The time for change has come and Barack Obama is the change we need".[65]

References

[edit]
  1. ^https://www.in.gov/library/files/HPR1243.pdf.pdf[bare URL PDF]
  2. ^https://p2008.org/bayh/bayhorg.html[bare URL]
  3. ^ab"Evan Bayh". George Washington University.
  4. ^"Granite State Happenings". George Washington University.
  5. ^"Granite State Happenings". George Washington University.
  6. ^"Granite State Happenings". George Washington University.
  7. ^"Bayh: Democrats Lack Credibility on Security Issues".Fox News. Associated Press. 2005-08-04.
  8. ^Barabak, Mark (2005-08-20)."Politicians take early dip into '08 waters".Los Angeles Times.
  9. ^Bode, Ken (2005-09-30)."Criticism of Sen. Evan Bayh's Vote on John Roberts is "Nonsense"".Indianapolis Star.
  10. ^"The Situation: Friday, October 28". CNN. 2005-10-28.
  11. ^"Candidates Start Early in Iowa for 2008 Presidential Race". Fox News. 2005-11-03.
  12. ^Novak, Robert (2005-12-19)."Long-term Rummy?". CNN.
  13. ^Grimaldi, James V.; Schmidt, Susan (2005-12-05)."Dorgan Tangled in Abramoff Web".The Washington Post.
  14. ^"Poll: Clinton vs. Giuliani in 2008". CNN. 2005-12-16.
  15. ^"Lawmakers Target Video Game Retailers".ABC. 2005-12-17.
  16. ^abCillizza, Chris; Murray, Shailagh (2006-01-28)."Swann's Popularity Has a Downside for Some Pennsylvania Republicans".The Washington Post.
  17. ^"Senators: Military last option on Iran". CNN. 2006-01-16.
  18. ^"Alito sworn in as nation's 110th Supreme Court justice". CNN. 2006-02-01. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2011. Retrieved2010-05-02.
  19. ^"Bayh Questions Arab Company's Possible Port Operations Takeover". WRTV. 2006-02-20. Archived fromthe original on 2011-09-27. Retrieved2009-06-17.
  20. ^Klein, Ezra (2009-04-03)."THE STRANGE CASE OF EVAN BAYH".The American Prospect.
  21. ^"The Situation: Monday, March 6". CNN. 2006-03-06.
  22. ^Kepple, Benjamin (2006-03-27)."Sen. Bayh tells Democrats he backs current primary".New Hampshire Union Leader.
  23. ^"The Situation: Friday, April 7". CNN. 2006-04-07.
  24. ^"Lawmakers draw immigration battle lines". CNN. 2006-04-04. Retrieved2010-05-02.
  25. ^"The Situation: Friday, April 28".CNN. Retrieved2010-05-02.
  26. ^"The Note: RealClearPolitics".ABC News. 2006-05-19.
  27. ^Cillizza, Chris (2006-06-12)."Schumer Gets Cold Shoulder for Endorsement".The Washington Post.
  28. ^"Senate votes against withdrawal proposals". Associated Press. 2006-06-23.
  29. ^Rioux, Paul (2006-06-24)."Indiana senator tours Slidell damage".The Times Picayune.[permanent dead link]
  30. ^"Senators back Big Easy rebuilding".The Washington Times. 2006-06-24.
  31. ^Preston, Mark (2006-07-07)."Bush confidently predicts GOP wins in November". CNN.
  32. ^abGlover, Mike (2006-07-08)."Sen. Bayh Seeks Edge in Democratic Field".The Washington Post.
  33. ^Lee, Mara (2006-07-18)."Evan Bayh targets middle-class voters".Courier Press.
  34. ^Preston, Mark (2006-08-10)."Democrats lead in generic ballot". CNN.
  35. ^Preston, Mark (2006-08-15)."Santorum closes gap, but still faces an uphill battle for re-election". CNN.
  36. ^"Presidential Candidates Take On Wal-Mart".The New York Times. 2006-08-17.
  37. ^Halperin, Mark; Chalian, David; Davis, Teddy; Bradley, Tahman Nitya; Venkataram, Nitya; O'Donnell, Emily; Seshasai, Karuna; Rapheal, Mona; Anderson, Erica; Jones, Catrin (2006-09-15)."The Note: Independent Fighters Under Ken Mehlman's Direction".ABC News.
  38. ^"ANALYSIS WEEK 5: The first exit". Haaretz Israel News. 2006-10-30.
  39. ^Cillizza, Chris (2006-10-13)."Democrats Work to Fill Ideological, Electoral Void".The Washington Post.
  40. ^Mann, David (2006-10-06)."Bayh talks homeland security, Iraq". News and Tribune.com. Archived fromthe original on 2013-02-21.
  41. ^Halperin, Mark; Chalian, David; Davis, Teddy; Bradley, Tahman; Baker, Sarah; Jones, Jones; Anderson, Erica; Steinberger, Daniel (2006-10-19)."The Note: Mature and Incurably Green".ABC News.
  42. ^Lawrence, Jill (2006-11-08)."Elections help sort out playing field for 2008".USA Today.
  43. ^"THE 2006 ELECTIONS: THE OVERVIEW; For Democrats, Time to Savor Victory at Last".The New York Times. 2006-11-08.
  44. ^Bell, Diane (2006-11-21)."In Hollywood, why not basketball hoop in office?".Union-Tribune.
  45. ^Ferraro, Thomas (2006-11-27)."Likability poll bad news for Kerry".The Washington Post.
  46. ^Cillizza, Chris (2006-12-03)."Bayh Considers Presidential Bid".The Washington Post.
  47. ^Clark, Amy S. (2006-12-15)."Bayh Bailing On '08?".CBS News.
  48. ^ab"Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh Compares '08 Presidential Prospects to 'David and Goliath'".Fox News. Associated Press. 2006-12-16.
  49. ^"Key People-Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN)". George Washington University. 2006-12-13.
  50. ^Cillizza, Chris (2006-12-04)."Bayh Considers Presidential Bid".The Washington Post.
  51. ^Cillizza, Chris (November 10, 2009)."Dunn leaving White House, Pfeiffer takes over".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on September 13, 2012. Retrieved10 March 2010.
  52. ^Eurie, Stacy Boulware (June 2004)."Thurgood Marshall, Jr: A Call To Citizen Service".Sacramento Lawyer. Sacramento County Bar Association. Archived fromthe original on June 26, 2009. Retrieved10 March 2010.
  53. ^"Key People- Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN)".p2008.org. Retrieved2020-10-13.
  54. ^Curry, Tom (2006-05-22)."Bayh gets a taste for '08 during an Iowa tour".NBC News. Archived fromthe original on January 16, 2016.
  55. ^Cook, Charlie (2006-05-07)."Circling the White House".The Washington Post.
  56. ^Davison, Nicole (2006-04-07)."Potential 2008 Presidential Candidate Senator Evan Bayh to Visit HBS". Harvard University. Archived fromthe original on 2008-10-18.
  57. ^Dickinson, Tim (2006-04-05)."UPDATE: Handicapping 2008".Rolling Stone.[dead link]
  58. ^Barrett, Delvin (2007-09-24)."Bayh Endorses Clinton for President".The Washington Post. Associated Press.
  59. ^Healy, Patrick (2008-03-20)."Clinton Campaigns With Bayh in Indiana".The New York Times.
  60. ^Barrett, Ted (June 10, 2008)."Obama VP team discusses 20 possible picks".CNN. Retrieved2008-06-10.
  61. ^"Sources: Bayh, Kaine out of Obama VP race - Barack Obama News - NBC News".NBC News. August 22, 2008. Retrieved2008-09-05.
  62. ^Tapper, Jake."Obama Makes VP Choice, Keeps It Secret".ABC News.
  63. ^"Bayh was about a 'coin toss' away from being veep, book says". IndyStar.com. November 1, 2009. Archived fromthe original on October 16, 2014. RetrievedOctober 10, 2014.
  64. ^"Sen. Bayh lost 'coin toss' for VP slot – Legislative notebook".Evansville Courier & Press. November 1, 2009. RetrievedOctober 10, 2014.
  65. ^Superville, Darlene (2008-08-28)."Potential Obama veeps get turn on stage".Dallas Morning News.
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