| Prahran Victoria—Legislative Assembly | |
|---|---|
Interactive map of electoral district boundaries from the2022 state election | |
| State | Victoria |
| Created | 1889 |
| MP | Rachel Westaway |
| Party | Liberal |
| Namesake | Prahran |
| Electors | 50,373 (2018) |
| Area | 11 km2 (4.2 sq mi) |
| Demographic | Inner metropolitan |
Prahran is anelectoral district of theLegislative Assembly in the Australian state ofVictoria. It was created by the Electoral Act Amendment Act 1888,[1] taking effect at the 1889 elections. The electorate is the state’s smallest by area, covering a little under 11 km2 in the inner south-east ofMelbourne. It includes the suburbs ofSouth Yarra,Prahran andWindsor, as well as parts ofSouthbank,St Kilda andSt Kilda East.
Prahran has tended to be a marginal seat throughout its existence, repeatedly changing between the Labor Party and its successive conservative rivals. It has not, however, been a bellwether seat, as the changes of party control have often not coincided with changes of government. In the 1980s and 1990s, the electorate became gradually more conservative as a result of increasinggentrification in the inner suburbs, resulting in seventeen years of Liberal control from 1985 until 2002. This trend was broken in the2002 election, which saw popular local member and shadow ministerLeonie Burke defeated by Labor rising starTony Lupton on an unexpectedly large swing, coinciding with Labor’s massive win that year. The seat has since become increasingly progressive, having been won by either Labor or the Greens in five out of the last six elections while the Liberal Party's primary vote has declined from slightly above the state average to significantly below the state average.
The seat was strongly targeted by theLiberal Party during the2006 election, with high-profile barristerClem Newton-Brown narrowly preselected as their candidate after a tight contest. Though Newton-Brown ran a thorough campaign, he was not successful. Following his success in the 2006 election, Tony Lupton was promoted to the position of Parliamentary Secretary for Industry and Innovation. Newton-Brown stood again at the2010 election and was this time successful. He re-contested the2014 election but lost toSam Hibbins of theGreens. Along with the seat ofMelbourne it was the first win for the Greens in theVictorian Legislative Assembly.
Hibbins increased his two-candidate-preferred margin to 7.5% at the2018 election, but only narrowly defeated Labor by 262 votes in the 3-candidate-preferred count. At the2022 election, a large swing to the Greens saw them take first place on primary votes before comfortably defeating the Liberal Party on a 2-candidate-preferred basis, retaining the seat for a third term with an increased margin of 12%.
Hibbins resigned from the Greens and briefly sat as an independent crossbencher after having an extramarital affair with a staffer. Hibbins subsequently resigned from parliament and aby-election ensued which was a race between the Greens and Liberals, with Labor not contesting. Tony Lupton contested as an Independent. The by-election was won narrowly by the Liberals'Rachel Westaway with a swing of 13.4% to the Liberals, the seat returning to conservative hands for the first time since 2014. This was due to numerous factors such as Lupton directing preferences to the Liberals, low voter turnout andJohn Pesutto's leadership of the Liberals. The seat is currently the third most marginal Liberal held seat in the state.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | Rachel Westaway | 11,443 | 36.19 | +5.1 | |
| Greens | Angelica Di Camillo | 11,442 | 36.19 | −0.2 | |
| Independent | Tony Lupton | 4,021 | 12.72 | +12.7 | |
| Independent | Nathan Chisholm | 1,672 | 5.29 | +5.3 | |
| Animal Justice | Faith Fuhrer | 879 | 2.78 | −0.4 | |
| Independent | Janine Hendry | 505 | 1.60 | +1.6 | |
| Independent | Buzz Billman | 465 | 1.47 | +1.5 | |
| Sustainable Australia | Dennis Bilic | 430 | 1.36 | +1.4 | |
| Family First | Geneviève Gilbert | 340 | 1.08 | −0.5 | |
| Libertarian | Mark Dessau | 292 | 0.92 | +0.9 | |
| Independent | Alan Menadue | 126 | 0.40 | −0.7 | |
| Total formal votes | 31,615 | 96.1 | −0.8 | ||
| Informal votes | 1,271 | 3.86 | +0.8 | ||
| Turnout | 32,886 | 68.28 | −14.4 | ||
| Two-candidate-preferred result | |||||
| Liberal | Rachel Westaway | 16,234 | 51.35 | +13.4 | |
| Greens | Angelica Di Camillo | 15,381 | 48.65 | −13.4 | |
| Liberalgain fromGreens | Swing | +13.4 | |||