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Economy of Latvia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Economy ofLatvia
Riga with itsCentral Market in the view
CurrencyEuro (EUR, €)
Calendar year
Trade organisations
EU,OECD andWTO
Country group
Statistics
PopulationDecrease 1,853,400 (2024)[3]
GDP
  • Increase $45.52 billion (nominal, 2024)[4]
  • Increase $81.79 billion (PPP, 2024)[4]
GDP rank
GDP growth
GDP per capita
  • Increase $24,222 (nominal, 2024)[4]
  • Increase $43,526 (PPP, 2024)[4]
GDP per capita rank
GDP by sector
Population belowpoverty line
  • Positive decrease 24.3% at risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE, 2024)[10]
Negative increase 34.2medium (2024)[11]
Decrease 59 out of 100 points (2024)[13] (38th)
Labour force
  • Increase 977,523 (2023)[14]
  • Increase 77.5% employment rate (2023)[15]
Labour force by occupation
Unemployment
  • Positive decrease 6.8% (December 2024)[16]
  • Increase 13.0% youth unemployment (15 to 24 year-olds; November 2024)[17]
Average gross salary
€1,757 monthly (2025, May)
€1,305 monthly (2025, May)
Main industries
processed foods, processed wood products, textiles, processed metals, pharmaceuticals, railroad cars, synthetic fibers, electronics
External
ExportsIncrease $20.73 billion (2023)[18]
Export goods
foodstuffs, wood and wood products, metals, machinery and equipment, textiles
Main export partners
ImportsIncrease $25.49 billion (2023)[19]
Import goods
machinery and equipment, consumer goods, chemicals, fuels, vehicles
Main import partners
FDI stock
  • Increase Inward: $1.32 billion (2023)[20]
  • Increase Outward: $0.63 billion (2023)[20]
  • Decrease −$1.708 billion (2024)[21]
  • Increase 3.75% of GDP (2024)[21]
Public finances
  • Positive decrease 43.8% of GDP (2024)[22]
  • Increase €19.90 billion (2024)[23]
Increase $4.95 billion (2023 est.)[8]
  • €1.3 billion deficit (2024)[24]
  • −2.9% of GDP (2024)[24]
Revenues37.8% of GDP (2024)[25]
Expenses40.8% of GDP (2024)[26]
Economic aid
All values, unless otherwise stated, are inUS dollars.

The economy ofLatvia is adevelopedmixed economy. Part of theEuropean single market, the nation has held accommodative foreign policy is trades extensively. Latvia has been a member of theWorld Trade Organization (WTO) since 1999, a member of theEuropean Union since 2004, a member of theEurozone since 2014 and a member of theOECD since 2016.[34][35] It is ranked the 14th in the world by theEase of Doing Business Index compiled by theWorld Bank Group.[36] According to the Human Development Report 2023-24 by theUnited Nations Development Programme, Latvia has a HDI score of 0.879 (2022).[37] Due to its geographical location, transit services are highly developed, along with timber andwood processing, agriculture and food products, as well as manufacturing of machinery and electronic devices.

Latvia's economy has had rapid GDP growth of more than 10% per year before it entered a severe recession in 2009 as a result of an unsustainable current account deficit, collapse of the real estate market, and large debt exposure amid the softening world economy. Triggered by the collapse ofParex Bank, the second largest bank, GDP decreased by almost 18% in 2009,[38] and the European Union, the International Monetary Fund, and other international donors provided substantial financial assistance to Latvia as part of an agreement to defend the currency's peg to the euro in exchange for the government's commitment to stringent austerity measures.In 2011 Latvia achieved GDP growth by 5.5%[39] and thus was again among the fastest growing economies in the European Union. TheIMF/EU program successfully concluded in December 2011.[40]

Privatization is mostly complete, except for some of the large state-owned utilities. Export growth contributed to the economic recovery, however, the bulk of the country's economic activity is in the services sector.

Economic history

[edit]

For centuries underHanseatic and German influence and then during its inter-war independence, Latvia used its geographic location as an important east–west commercial and trading centre. Industry served local markets, while timber, paper and agricultural products were Latvia's main exports.

Prior toWorld War I, Latvia was an advanced manufacturing hub within theRussian Empire, primarily serving the Russian market.[41] After attaining independence in 1918, Latvia lost its status as an advanced manufacturing hub.[41] Latvia sought in the interwar period to become an international exporter of food and to re-industrialize.[41] Latvia experienced growth in GDP per capita during the interwar period, although some economic historians have argued that there was stagnation in the period of the authoritarianKarlis Ulmanis regime (1934–1940).[41]

After reestablishing its independence, Latvia proceeded with market-oriented reforms, albeit at a measured pace. Its freely traded currency, the lat, was introduced in 1993 and held steady, or appreciated, against major world currencies. Inflation was reduced from 958.6% in 1992 to 25% by 1995 and 1.4% by 2002.

After contracting substantially between 1991 and 1995, the economy steadied in late 1994, led by a recovery in light industry and a boom in commerce and finance. This recovery was interrupted twice, first by a banking crisis and the bankruptcy ofBanka Baltija, Latvia's largest bank, in 1995 and second by a severe crisis in the financial system of neighbouringRussia in 1998. After 2000, Latvian GDP grew by 6–8% a year for 4 consecutive years. Latvia's state budget was balanced in 1997 but the1998 Russian financial crisis resulted in large deficits, which were reduced from 4% of GDP in 1999 to 1.8% in 2003. These deficits were smaller than in most of the other countries joining the European Union in 2004.[42]

Until the middle of 2008, Latvia had the fastest developing economy in Europe. In 2003, GDP growth was 7.5% and inflation was 2.9%. The centrally planned system of the Soviet period was replaced with a structure based on free-market principles. In 2005, private sector share in GDP was 70%.[43] Recovery in light industry andRiga's emergence as a regional financial and commercial centre offset shrinkage of the state-owned industrial sector and agriculture. The official unemployment figure was held steady in the 7%–10% range.

Economic contraction in 2008–2010

[edit]
Main articles:2008 Latvian financial crisis andBaltic states housing bubble

The2008 financial crisis severely disrupted the Latvian economy, primarily as a result of the easy credit bubble that began building up during 2004. The bubble burst leading to a rapidly weakening economy, resulting in a budget, wage and unemployment crisis.[44] Latvia had the worst economic performance in 2009, with annual growth rate averaging −18%.

The Latvian economy entered a phase of fiscal contraction during the second half of 2008 after an extended period of credit-based speculation and unrealistic inflation of real estate values. The national account deficit for 2007, for example, represented more than 22% of the GDP for the year while inflation was running at 10%.[45]By 2009 unemployment rose to 23% and was the highest in the EU.[46]

Paul Krugman, the Nobel Laureate in economics for 2008, wrote in hisNew York Times Op-Ed column for 15 December 2008:

"The acutest problems are on Europe's periphery, where many smaller economies are experiencing crises strongly reminiscent of past crises in Latin America and Asia: Latvia is the new Argentina".[47]

By August 2009, Latvia's GDP had fallen by 20% year on year, withStandard & Poor's predicting a further 16% contraction to come. TheInternational Monetary Fund suggested adevaluation of Latvia's currency, but the European Union objected to this, on the grounds that the majority of Latvia's debt was denominated in foreign currencies.[48] Financial economistMichael Hudson has advocated for redenominating foreign currency liabilities in Latvian lats before devaluing.

However, by 2010 there were indications that Latvia's policy ofinternal devaluation was successful.[49]

Economic recovery 2010–2012

[edit]

The economic situation has since 2010 improved,[50] and by 2012 Latvia was described as a success by IMF managing director Christine Lagarde[51] showing strong growth forecasts. The Latvian economy grew by 5.5% in 2011[52] and by 5.6% in 2012 reaching the highest rate of growth in Europe.[53] The GDP surpassed the pre-crisis level in 2018.[54]

Economic issues 2022-23

[edit]

TheRussian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 caused some economic problems in Latvia. Real GDP growth slowed to 2.8 percent in 2022 from 4.3 percent in 2021. Russia was a major trade partner and EU sanctions impacted this. Dramatic rises in the cost of energy, the need to seek alternative sources of gas and oil as well as logistics issues resulted in inflation averaging 17.2% in 2022 before falling back to single digits in 2023.[55]

Privatisation

[edit]

Privatisation in Latvia is almost complete. Virtually all of the previously state-owned small and medium companies have been privatized, leaving only a small number of politically sensitive large state companies. In particular, the country's main energy and utility company,Latvenergo remains state-owned and there are no plans to privatize it. The government also holds minority shares inVentspils Nafta oil transit company and the country's main telecom companyLattelecom but it plans to relinquish its shares in the near future.

Foreign investment in Latvia is still modest compared with the levels in north-central Europe. A law expanding the scope for selling land, including land sales to foreigners, was passed in 1997. Representing 10.2% of Latvia's total foreign direct investment, American companies invested $127 million in 1999. In the same year, the United States exported $58.2 million of goods and services to Latvia and imported $87.9 million. Eager to join Western economic institutions like theWorld Trade Organization,OECD, and theEuropean Union, Latvia signed a Europe Agreement with the EU in 1995 with a 4-year transition period. Latvia and the United States have signed treaties on investment, trade, and intellectual property protection and avoidance of double taxation.

Employment

[edit]
Employed-unemployed in Latvia in workforce 15–74 years old (thousand people) 1996-2017 and chain-linked GDP reference year 2010 (bln EUR). Data:Statistics Latvia
  510-593
  594-676
  677-759
  760-842
  843-925
  926-1008
  1009-1091
  1092-1170
Average monthly gross wages in cities under state jurisdiction and counties (in euro) 2017. Excluding private sector enterprises with number of employees < 50. Data:Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia

Average wages are higher in Riga and Ventspils and their surroundings, with inland border regions lagging behind, mainly the region of Latgale.[56]

Sectors

[edit]

Primary

[edit]

Agriculture

[edit]
Main article:Agriculture in Latvia

Latvia produced in 2018:

  • 1.4 million tons ofwheat;
  • 426 thousand tons ofpotato;
  • 306 thousand tons ofbarley;
  • 229 thousand tons ofrapeseed;
  • 188 thousand tons ofoat;
  • 81 thousand tons ofrye;
  • 80 thousand tons ofbean;

In addition to smaller productions of other agricultural products.[57]

Manufacturing

[edit]

Services

[edit]
Main article:Tourism in Latvia

In 2022, the sector with the highest number of companies registered in Latvia is Services with 71,692 companies followed by Retail Trade and Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate with 15,300 and 10,287 companies respectively.[58]

Corporations

[edit]

Most valuable companies

[edit]

Largest Latvian companies by valuation (EUR € billions) according toPrudentia andNasdaq Riga (2024).[59]

RankNameHeadquartersValuation
(bil. €)
Industry
1Same positionSwedbank Baltics, ASRiga4.345RiseBanking
2Same positionLatvenergo, ASRiga4.024RiseEnergy
3Same positionLatvijas valsts meži [lv], ASRiga1.657FallForestry
4Same positionMikrotīkls, SIARiga0.992FallNetwork equipment
5Same positionMaxima Latvija, SIARiga0.816RiseRetail
7RiseSEB banka, ASValdlauči [lv]0.590RiseBanking
8FallLatvijas Mobilais Telefons, SIARiga0.560RiseTelecommunications
9RiseCitadele Banka, ASRiga0.507RiseBanking
10Same positionRimi Latvia, SIARiga0.499RiseRetail
11RiseTele2, SIARiga0.425RiseTelecommunications
12FallElko Grupa, ASRiga0.402FallWholesale ofelectronics

Infrastructure

[edit]

Energy

[edit]
Main article:Energy in Latvia
Pļaviņas Hydroelectric Power Station
Real GPD per capita development of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania

Most ofLatvian electricity is produced with Hydroelectricity. The largest hydroelectric power stations arePļaviņas Hydroelectric Power Station,Riga Hydroelectric Power Plant andĶegums Hydroelectric Power Station.

In 2017 about 4381 GWh were produced in hydro power and 150 GWh in wind power. There are plans to increase Wind electricity production under the 2021-2030 energy plan.

Latvia used to import 100% of itsnatural gas from Russia,[60] until its import was banned in January 2023.

Transport

[edit]
Main article:Transport in Latvia

Key ports are located inRiga (Freeport of Riga andRiga Passenger Terminal),Ventspils (Free port of Ventspils), andLiepāja (Port of Liepāja). Most transit traffic uses these and half the cargo iscrude oil and oil products.

Latvian Railways is the main state-owned railway company in Latvia. Its daughter companies both carry out passengers services as well as carry a large quantity of freight cargo, and freight trains operate over the whole current passenger network, and a number of lines currently closed to passenger services.

Riga International Airport is the only major airport in Latvia, carrying around 5 million passengers annually. It is the largest airport in theBaltic states and has direct flights to over 80 destinations in 30 countries. It is also the main hub ofairBaltic.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"World Economic Outlook Database, April 2019".IMF.org.International Monetary Fund. Retrieved29 September 2019.
  2. ^"World Bank Country and Lending Groups".datahelpdesk.worldbank.org.World Bank. Retrieved29 September 2019.
  3. ^"Population on 1 December".data.stat.gov.lv. Retrieved2 February 2025.
  4. ^abcd"Economy of Latvia: October 2024".imf.org.International Monetary Fund. Retrieved2 February 2025.
  5. ^"GDP has risen by 2.0 % in 2022 and by 0.3 % in the 4th quarter". 28 February 2023.
  6. ^ab"Republic of Latvia: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2024 Article IV Mission".International Monetary Fund. 9 July 2024.
  7. ^"In 2024 drop of GDP comprised 0.4 % and in the 4th quarter – also 0.4 %". 28 February 2025.
  8. ^abcde"CIA World Factbook".CIA.gov.Central Intelligence Agency. Retrieved21 July 2024.
  9. ^abc"World Economic Outlook database: October 2024".International Monetary Fund. 10 February 2025.
  10. ^"People at risk of poverty or social exclusion by sex".ec.europa.eu.Eurostat. Retrieved2 February 2025.
  11. ^"Gini coefficient of equivalised disposable income – EU-SILC survey".ec.europa.eu.Eurostat. Retrieved8 July 2024.
  12. ^ab"Human Development Report 2025"(PDF).United Nations Development Programme. 6 May 2025.Archived(PDF) from the original on 6 May 2025. Retrieved12 May 2025.
  13. ^"Corruption Perceptions Index".Transparency International. 11 February 2025.Archived from the original on 11 February 2025. Retrieved11 February 2025.
  14. ^"Labor force, total – Latvia".data.worldbank.org.World Bank. Retrieved21 July 2024.
  15. ^"Employment rate by sex, age group 20-64".ec.europa.eu/eurostat.Eurostat. Retrieved20 July 2024.
  16. ^"Unemployment rate".Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia. Retrieved2 February 2025.
  17. ^"Youth unemployment rate".Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia. Retrieved2 February 2025.
  18. ^"Eksports un imports pa valstīm (eiro)".eksports.csb.gov.lv. Retrieved21 July 2024.
  19. ^"Eksports un imports pa valstīm (eiro)".eksports.csb.gov.lv. Retrieved21 July 2024.
  20. ^ab"Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows is the value of cross-border transactions related to direct investment over time".OECD. Retrieved10 February 2025.
  21. ^ab"World Economic Outlook Database, October 2024".IMF.org.International Monetary Fund. Retrieved10 February 2025.
  22. ^"Government debt".data.stat.gov.lv/. National Statistical System of Latvia. Retrieved8 July 2024.
  23. ^"Government debt".data.stat.gov.lv/. National Statistical System of Latvia. Retrieved8 July 2024.
  24. ^ab"Council recommendation on the economic, social, employment, structural and budgetary policies of Latvia"(PDF).commission.europa.eu. European Commission. Retrieved21 July 2024.
  25. ^"World Economic Outlook Database, April 2024".IMF.org.International Monetary Fund. Retrieved8 July 2024.
  26. ^"World Economic Outlook Database, April 2024".IMF.org.International Monetary Fund. Retrieved8 July 2024.
  27. ^"Archived copy"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on 25 December 2017. Retrieved25 December 2017.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  28. ^"Archived copy"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on 20 April 2017. Retrieved25 December 2017.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  29. ^"Sovereigns rating list". Standard & Poor's. Retrieved31 July 2024.
  30. ^Rogers, Simon; Sedghi, Ami (15 April 2011)."How Fitch, Moody's and S&P rate each country's credit rating".The Guardian. London. Retrieved31 May 2011.
  31. ^"Government of Latvia – A3 stable: Regular update; stable outlook".Moody's. 2024. Retrieved31 July 2024.
  32. ^"Fitch Revises Latvia's Outlook to Stable; Affirms at 'A-'".Fitch. 2024. Retrieved2 February 2025.
  33. ^"Scope affirms the Republic of Latvia's A- rating with Stable Outlook". Scope Ratings. 2025. Retrieved5 September 2025.
  34. ^"Latvia becomes full-fledged OECD member".LETA. 1 July 2016. Archived fromthe original on 10 August 2016. Retrieved4 July 2016.
  35. ^"Members and Observers".
  36. ^"Rankings – Doing Business – The World Bank Group". Doing Business. Retrieved6 September 2012.
  37. ^Human Development Index and its components Retrieved 2012-09-06
  38. ^The CIA World FactbookLatvia – CIA – The World Factbook Retrieved 2012-09-06
  39. ^"GDP of Latvia increased by 5.5% in 2011".The Baltic Course. 9 March 2012. Retrieved24 March 2012.
  40. ^Latvia and the Baltics—a Story of Recovery by Christine Lagarde managing director, International Monetary Fund Riga, 5 June 2012
  41. ^abcdKlimantas, Adomas; Norkus, Zenonas; Markevičiūtė, Jurgita; Grytten, Ola Honningdal; Šiliņš, Jānis (2023)."Reinventing perished "Belgium of the East": new estimates of GDP for inter-war Latvia (1920–1939)".Cliometrica.18 (3):765–835.doi:10.1007/s11698-023-00275-y.ISSN 1863-2513.
  42. ^"Latvia Economy, Politics and GDP Growth Summary - The Economist Intelligence Unit".country.eiu.com. Retrieved4 July 2024.
  43. ^Ruta Aidis, Friederike Welter:The Cutting Edge: Innovation and Entrepreneurship in New Europe, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2008, p. 32
  44. ^Damien, McGuinness (4 February 2010)."In Pictures: Latvia economy reels in recession". BBC.
  45. ^"Latvia".CIA. Retrieved15 December 2008.
  46. ^"Robin Hood hacker exposes bankers". BBC News. 24 February 2010. Retrieved1 May 2010.
  47. ^Krugman, Paul (15 December 2008)."European Crass Warfare".The New York Times. Retrieved15 December 2008.
  48. ^Evans-Pritchard, Ambrose (10 August 2009)."S&P downgrades Baltic states' debt ratings".The Daily Telegraph. London. Archived fromthe original on 13 August 2009.
  49. ^"Baltic Business News, 8 February 2010". Archived fromthe original on 6 March 2016. Retrieved17 January 2012.
  50. ^Moody's: Latvian economy is stabilizingArchived 6 March 2016 at theWayback Machine Baltic Business News, Retrieved on 3 September 2012
  51. ^Those who change will endure – IMF managing directorArchived 10 August 2019 at theWayback MachineLETA Retrieved on 5 June 2012
  52. ^Danske Bank: we expect Latvian GDP to grow by 2.0% y/y in 2012 Retrieved on 3 September 2012
  53. ^GDP growth in Latvia, at 5.6%, the fastest in Europe; growth to moderate this yearArchived 22 October 2013 at theWayback Machine
  54. ^"GDP (constant 2015 US$) – Latvia | Data".data.worldbank.org. Retrieved1 December 2021.
  55. ^"Republic of Latvia: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2023 Article IV Mission". 13 June 2023.
  56. ^"Figure 5. Average monthly salary (in euro) of employed people in Latvia..."ResearchGate.Archived from the original on 9 April 2023. Retrieved6 January 2025.
  57. ^Latvia production in 2018, by FAO
  58. ^"Industry Breakdown of Companies in Latvia".HitHorizons.
  59. ^"Latvia's most valuable enterprises | Top101.lv".
  60. ^"Europe's Declining Gas Demand: Trends and Facts about European Gas Consumption – June 2015". (PDF). p.9.E3G. Source: Eurostat, Eurogas, E3G.

External links

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