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Economic history of Peru

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Historic real GDP per capita in Peru
Part ofa series on the
History ofPeru
Perou. Das Königreich Perou, from Description de l'Univers, contenant les différents systèmes du monde
By chronology
Pre-Columbian Peru 12000 BCE–1532
Ancient civilizations 3500 BCE–1470
Inca Empire 1438–1533/1572
Spanish conquest 1532–1572
Viceroyalty 1542–1824
War of Independence 1809–1826
Foundational Period 1821–1842
Protectorate of Peru 1821–1822
Supreme Governing Junta 1822–1823
Confederation andWar 1836–1839
Restoration 1839–1841
Military Anarchy 1841–1845
Guano Era 1845–1866
Chincha Islands War 1865–1879
War of the Pacific 1879–1883
Peruvian Resistance 1881–1883
National Reconstruction 1884–1895
Aristocratic Republic 1895–1919
New Motherland 1919–1930
Third Militarism1930–1939
Ecuadorian–Peruvian War 1941–1942
Odría Dictatorship 1948–1956
Moderate civil reform 1956–1968
Revolutionary Government 1968–1980
Democracy and terrorism 1980–2000
Internal conflict 1980–
Economic crisis 1980–1991
Peruvian political crisis 2016–
flagPeru portal

The industries of theeconomy of Peru arose in response to the country's rich natural resources. During the regime of theInca Empire, the economy was centrally planned, and labour was mandatory. Spanish explorers held the Incan system in much regard.[1]

Today, Peru has important mineral resources, which are found throughout its mountainous and coastal regions. The country is the world's second-largest producer ofsilver andcopper.[2] From 2016 to 2017, mining output increased, helping Peru attain one of the highest GDP growth rates in Latin America.[3] Peru's prominent industries include mining, farming, fishing, and agriculture.[1]

Incan Empire (pre-16th century)

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Quipu were used by theInca for economic record keeping.
See also:Agricultural history of Peru

The Incan economy was centered around theayllu, a local group composed of neighboring families in the same village. Everyayllu specialized in a certain industry, such as agriculture, pottery, clothing, or jewellery. People did collective community work in a system known as theminka, which involved construction, cleaning, or attending to other needs of the society at large. Since there was no official currency, taxes were collected in the form of crops, cattle, and labor.

Spanish colony (16th–18th centuries)

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While theSpanish Empire ruled the region, Peru's economy was dominated by minerals. The enslavement of indigenous peoples provided the initial labor force. Peru's precious mineral resources and large indigenous population placed it at the core of the South American colonies. According to Palmer,[who?] Peru could be ranked second on a scale that compares the degree to which colonies were exploited.[clarification needed][4] Minerals from Peru and other South American colonies along with textiles and sugar were exported back to Europe.

After theWar of the Spanish Succession in the early 18th century, Spain began to lose its monopoly in colonial trade. In the mid-18th century, liberal factions began to appear within the colonial elite; they questioned the legitimacy of Spanish rule in the Americas. Called "Creole patriots", the factions were originally marginalized to the periphery of the empire in places such as Venezuela; consequently, they experienced expanded trade opportunities. They provided the necessary conditions for successful economic development, however, during the late colonial period.[4] The introduction of free trade led to explosive growth throughout the empire; by the end of the century, Spain received ten times more imports.[clarification needed] Despite the overall growth of the colonies, Peru's economy stagnated in the period that lasted about 150 years after thePeruvian War of Independence. The regional socioeconomic hierarchy inverted itself because core territories where liberals were absent experienced much lower levels of economic development. Author James Mahoney writes:

[R]egional specialists have argued that underdevelopment throughout [areas such as Peru] can be traced to colonial patterns of economic dependence, Hispanic culture, and inefficient markets and economic arrangements.[4]

The Spanish crown, attempting to protect its colonial possessions and reverse its faltering role in colonial trade, implemented liberal reforms, hastening the removal of trade restrictions and weakening colonial monopolies. These actions continued the decay of the core regions, leaving them more exposed to the uncertainties of the free market. By the mid-19th century, the reversal of the socioeconomic hierarchy was complete. Peru has never recovered supremacy similar to that of theViceroyalty era.[4]

19th century

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After the country gained its independence, Peru embarked on a railroad building program. EntrepreneurHenry Meiggs built a standard gauge line fromCallao, a seaside city, across the Andes to theHuancayo in the highlands. Aiming forCusco in the Andes, he built the line but also bankrupted the country.

In 1879, Peru entered theWar of the Pacific, which lasted until 1884. Bolivia invoked its alliance with Peru against Chile. The Peruvian government tried to mediate the dispute by sending a diplomatic team to negotiate with the Chilean government, but the committee concluded that war was inevitable. Chile declared war on April 5, 1879. Almost five years of war ended with the loss ofTarapacá Province, and the provinces in theAtacama region ofTacna andArica. Originally, Chile committed to a referendum for the cities ofArica andTacna to be held years later to self-determine their national affiliation. However, Chile refused to apply the Treaty, and both countries could not determine the statutory framework. The USA decided that the plebiscite was impossible to take; direct negotiations between the parties led to the treatyTreaty of Lima in 1929, where Peru ceded Arica to Chile and Tacna remained in Peru. Tacna officially returned to Peru on August 29, 1929. The territorial loss, extensive looting of Peruvian cities by Chilean troops, and other effects of the war led to tense diplomatic relations between the two countries, which have not since fully subsided.

After the War of the Pacific, the Peruvian government initiated social and economic reforms to recover from the damage of the war. The country finally attained political stability in the early 20th century.

20th century

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Industrialization took place in Peru during the 1930s and 1940s, substantially later than in comparative Latin American countries.[5]

World War I

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Before the start ofWorld War I, Peru had enjoyed years of economic growth bolstered by sugar, mining and cotton exports. With the start of the war Peru's export economy was severely impacted by disruption in international markets.[6]

Military rule (1948–1980)

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On October 29, 1948, GeneralManuel A. Odría became the new president after a military coup. Due to a thriving economy, Odría implemented expensive, populist social reconstruction, whose programs included housing projects, hospitals, and schools. His government was dictatorial, however, and civil rights were severely restricted. Corruption was rampant throughout his regime.

Variousmilitary juntas continued to rule Peru over the next three decades. The economic policies of the 1950s, 1960s, and 1970s were based on thesubstitution of imports and had little effect on the size of the economy. GeneralFrancisco Morales Bermúdez replaced leftist GeneralJuan Velasco Alvarado in 1975, citing Velasco's economic mismanagement among other reasons. The regime of Bermúdez was a more conservative period, beginning the task of restoring the country's economy.

Belaúnde presidency (1980–1985)

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In 1980, after many years of military rule,Fernando Belaúnde Terry was elected president. After a strong beginning, his popularity eroded under the stress of inflation, economic hardship, and terrorism. The government's attempt to liberalize the economy failed, partly because of theLatin American debt crisis. Per-capita income declined, and Peru's foreign debt grew. Violence by leftist insurgents, notablyShining Path, rose steadily during the internal conflict in Peru. The first large insurgent activities began the day before Belaúnde's election. Belaúnde continued many of the projects that were planned during his 1963–1968 term, including the completion of theCarretera Marginal de la Selva, a roadway linkingChiclayo on the Pacific coast with the then-isolated northern regions ofAmazonas andSan Martín.

Over time, the economic problems left behind by the various junta governments persisted. TheEl Niño weather phenomenon from 1982 to 1983 further eroded the economy, causing widespread flooding in some parts of the country and severe droughts in others, and decimating the schools of ocean fish that were one of the country's major resources.

First García presidency (1985–1990)

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Belaúnde's successor,Alan García, was elected to office in 1985. His administration appliedheterodox policies through the expansion ofpublic expenditure and limitations onexternal debt payments.[7] With a parliamentary majority for the first time in theAmerican Popular Revolutionary Alliance's history, García's administration showed economic promise, much as Belaúnde's had. However, despite his initial popularity, García's term in office was marked by bouts of hyperinflation, which reached 7,649% in 1990 and had a cumulative total of 2,200,200% over his five-year term, and profoundly destabilized the Peruvian economy. As a result ofchronic inflation, the Peruvian currency, thesol, was replaced by theinti in mid-1985, which itself was replaced by thenuevo sol in July 1991; the new currency had an equivalent value of one billion oldsoles. During García's administration, the per-capita annual income of Peruvians fell to $720, which was below 1960 levels, and Peru's GDP dropped by 20%. By the end of his term, the national reserves cumulatively were $900 million in debt.[8]

García's term was also characterized by heavy increases in poverty. According to studies by theNational Institute of Statistics and Informatics and theUnited Nations Development Programme, at the start of García's presidency, 41.6% of Peruvians lived in poverty. By 1991, this figure had increased to 55%. García also attempted to nationalize the banking and insurance industries. He angered theInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) and the international financial community by unilaterally declaring a limit on debt repayment equal to 10% of the gross national product, thereby isolating Peru from international financial markets. One of his projects, a multimillion-dollar metro forLima, was not completed until 2011 because its construction was paralyzed for over 20 years until it was resumed in 2010.

Fujimori

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Further information:Economic policy of the Alberto Fujimori administration

Critics of García's presidency claim that his many poor decisions in office created an environment that led to the rise of the authoritarian leaderAlberto Fujimori, who came to power in 1990. Fujimori implemented drastic measures that caused inflation to drop from 7,650% in 1990 to 139% in 1991. Faced with opposition to his efforts, he dissolved Congress in theauto-golpe (self-coup) of April 5, 1992. He then revised the constitution and called for new congressional elections. Undertaking a process ofeconomic liberalization, he endedprice controls, discardedprotectionism, eliminated restrictions onforeign direct investment, and privatized most state companies.[9] The reforms allowed sustainedeconomic growth, except for a slump after the1997 Asian financial crisis.[10]

Modern era (1990–present)

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Peru bonds
  30 year
  20 year
  15 year
  10 year
  5 year
  2 year

Positive results in Peru's economy have begun to appear after 15 years, reflecting an expanding global economy. According to figures provided by theINEI, in 2007, during Alan García's second presidency, thegross national product grew by 8.99%; exports grew by over 35% and reached US$27.8 billion; private and public investments accounted for 21% of the GDP, growing even further to 24.4% in 2008; net international reserves, includinggold, reached US$35.1 billion; state income from taxation increased by 33%; national debt scaled to GNP was reduced from 50% in 2000 to 34% in 2006; and the national budget grew by 50% in the five years before 2007.

Since 1990, the Peruvian economy has undergone free-market reforms, legalizing parts of theinformal sector, and privatizing the mining, electricity, and telecommunications industries. Because of strong foreign investment, and cooperation between the Fujimori government and the IMR and World Bank, growth was strong in 1994–97, and inflation was brought under control. In 1998,El Niño's impact on agriculture, the financial crisis in Asia, and instability in Brazilian markets undercut growth. 1999 was another lean year for Peru due to the aftermath of El Niño and theAsian financial crisis. Lima completed negotiations for an Extended Fund Facility with the IMF in June 1999, although it subsequently had to renegotiate the targets.

Peru's per-capita growth rates have diverged from overall growth rates over the last quarter-century. Peru's GDP per capita peaked in 1981 and is only recently on the path to return to that level. By the end of 2006, the government had enacted measures that allowed the economy to improve by increasing investments, and expanding production and exports. Raw materials and agroindustrial products represent the bulk of potential exports. By 2020, investment is expected to total US$25 billion for mining activities; US$20 billion in energy, especially petroleum; US$12 billion for commerce; US$8 billion for agricultural industries; and US$5 billion for tourism.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ab"Economy of the Inca Empire | Discover Peru". Retrieved2 August 2019.[permanent dead link]
  2. ^LR, Redacción (30 May 2019)."Perú es el segundo mayor productor mundial de cobre, plata y zinc".larepublica.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved14 August 2019.
  3. ^"Field Listing :: Economy – overview — The World Factbook – Central Intelligence Agency".www.cia.gov. Archived fromthe original on January 9, 2019. Retrieved31 July 2019.
  4. ^abcdMahoney, James (2003). "Long-Run Development and the Legacy of Colonialism in Spanish America".American Journal of Sociology.109 (1):50–106.doi:10.1086/378454.ISSN 0002-9602.JSTOR 10.1086/378454.S2CID 73720682.
  5. ^Rippy, J. Fred (1946)."The Dawn of Manufacturing in Peru".Pacific Historical Review.15 (2):147–157.doi:10.2307/3634925.ISSN 0030-8684.
  6. ^"Commanding Heights:Peru".PBS.
  7. ^Carlos Parodi,Perú 1960–2000. CIUP, 2000, pp. 206–208.
  8. ^Carlos Parodi,Perú 1960–2000. CIUP, 2000, pp. 204-206.
  9. ^John Sheahan,La economía peruana desde 1950. IEP, 2001, p. 207.
  10. ^Banco Central de Reserva,Producto bruto interno por sectores productivos 1951 – 2006."Archived copy". Archived fromthe original on 20 March 2007. Retrieved15 May 2007.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link).
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