An election in theQueensland electorate ofDickson took place on 3 May 2025 as part of the2025 Australian federal election .[ 2] Liberal National Party (LNP) MPPeter Dutton , who was also serving as theleader of the opposition and theleader of the Liberal Party , stood for re-election against eight candidates.[ 3] [ 4]
In what several media outlets described as a "stunning" result, Dutton lost his seat toAustralian Labor Party (ALP) candidateAli France after a 7.7%two-party-preferred vote swing.[ 5] [ 6]
Peter Dutton was elected as the member for Dickson in2001 after defeating sitting Labor MPCheryl Kernot .[ 7] 2004 with a positiveswing , but came close to losing his seat in2007 , retaining it with atwo-party-preferred (TPP) vote of 50.1% against Labor.[ 7]
At the2019 federal election , Labor preselected former journalist andpara-athlete Ali France as its candidate.[ 8] [ 7] 2022 , France contested Dickson again, with Dutton re-elected despite a 1.7% TPP swing.[ 9] [ 10]
Candidates are listed in the order they appeared on the ballot.[ 11]
Dutton was seeking a ninth term as the member for Dickson.[ 22] became leader of the opposition on 30 May 2022 after the resignation of formerprime minister Scott Morrison .[ 23]
France was announced as Labor's candidate on 11 July 2024, holding a press conference with prime ministerAnthony Albanese the following day.[ 24] [ 25]
Environmental consultant Ellie Smith announced her candidacy on 27 January 2025.[ 26] Climate 200 , which supported 35 "teal independent " candidates at the 2025 federal election.[ 27] [ 28]
On 23 December 2024, environmental scientist and para-athlete Vinnie Batten was announced as theGreens ' candidate.[ 29] [ 30]
On 18 April 2025, journalistKaren Middleton reported that the Liberals "[weren't] concerned" about the possibility of losing Dickson.[ 31] Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) election analyst Casey Briggs listed Dickson as one of six "potential wildcard" electorates.[ 32]
List of endorsements in Dickson at the 2025 federal election
Peter Dutton (LNP)
Ali France (Labor)
Ellie Smith (independent)
Vinnie Batten (Greens)
Vote Climate One(co-endorsement) [ 41] David Zaloudek (Legalise Cannabis)
Vote Climate One(co-endorsement) [ 41] Maureen Brohman (Animal Justice)
Vote Climate One(co-endorsement) [ 41] Did not make specific endorsement
Abbie Chatfield – media personality(supported voting against Dutton) [ 42] Hannah Ferguson – CEO of Cheek Media(supported voting against Dutton) [ 42] 2025 Australian federal election :Dickson [ 43] [ 44] Party Candidate Votes % ±% Liberal National Peter Dutton 36,628 34.69 −7.38 Labor Ali France 35,502 33.63 +1.93 Independent Ellie Smith 12,874 12.19 +12.19 Greens Vinnie Batten 8,061 7.64 −5.36 One Nation Joel Stevenson 4,429 4.19 −1.17 Legalise Cannabis David Zaloudek 2,950 2.79 +2.79 Family First Suniti Hewett 2,299 2.18 +2.18 Trumpet of Patriots Michael Jessop 1,900 1.80 +1.80 Animal Justice Maureen Brohman 936 0.89 +0.89 Total formal votes 105,579 95.76 −0.36 Informal votes 4,676 4.24 +0.36 Turnout 110,255 92.36 +1.01 Two-party-preferred resultLabor Ali France 59,115 55.99 +7.69 Liberal National Peter Dutton 46,464 44.01 −7.69 Labor gain fromLiberal National Swing +7.69
Date Firm Sample Margin Primary vote 2PP vote LNP ALP GRN ONP IND OTH LNP ALP 3 May 2025 2025 federal election 34.7% 33.6% 7.6% 4.3% 12.2% 7.7% 44.0% 56.0% 17–24 Apr 2025 YouGov[ 45] [ 46] 253 ±6% 40.3% 24.2% 7.6% 5.4% 16.5% 6.0%[ a] 55% 45% 18–23 Apr 2025 DemosAU[ b] [ 47] 1,053 ±4.3% 40% 27% 13% 7% 5% 8%[ c] 53% 47% 10 Apr 2025(released) Freshwater Strategy[ d] [ 48] — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a 57% 43% 10 Apr 2025(released) uComms[ e] [ 48] — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a — N/a 48.3% 51.7% 9–10 Apr 2025 uComms[ f] [ 48] 854 — N/a 37.6% 24.2% 10.9% — N/a 12.0% 4.6% 48% 52% 27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025 YouGov (MRP)[ 49] 10,217 — N/a 39.7% 28.8% 12.7% 8.6% 7.8% 2.4% 52.5% 47.5% 22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025 YouGov (MRP)[ 50] 8,732 — N/a 41.3% 28.2% 12.3% 8.8% 8.2% 1.2% 53.9% 46.1% 29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024 Accent/RedBridge (MRP)[ 51] 4,909 — N/a 48% 33% 6% — N/a — N/a 12% 56% 44% 10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024 Accent/RedBridge (MRP)[ 52] 5,976 — N/a 42% 30% 9% — N/a — N/a 19% 55% 45% 21 May 2022 2022 federal election 42.1% 31.7% 13% 5.4% 3.9% 4.0% 51.7% 48.3%
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